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Genworth Financial Inc (GNW)
NYSE:GNW

Genworth Financial (GNW) AI Stock Analysis

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Genworth Financial

(NYSE:GNW)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(6.38%Upside)
Genworth Financial's overall stock score reflects its robust technical indicators and solid financial foundation, despite challenges in profitability and cash flow. Strong momentum and recent strategic moves support its positive outlook, though valuation concerns and segment losses present risks.

Genworth Financial (GNW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Genworth Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGenworth Financial, Inc. provides insurance products in the United States and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Enact, U.S. Life Insurance, and Runoff. The Enact segment offers mortgage insurance products primarily insuring prime-based, individually underwritten residential mortgage loans; and pool mortgage insurance products. The U.S. Life Insurance segment offers long-term care insurance products; and service traditional life insurance and fixed annuity products in the United States. The Runoff segment includes variable annuity, variable life insurance, and corporate-owned life insurance, as well as funding agreements. It distributes its products through sales force, in-house sales representatives, and digital marketing programs. The company was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenworth Financial primarily makes money through its insurance products and services. The U.S. Mortgage Insurance segment generates revenue by providing private mortgage insurance to lenders and investors, which protects them against borrower defaults. This is a key revenue stream as it is essential for lenders to manage their risk. The Long-Term Care Insurance and Life Insurance segments generate income through policyholder premiums, investment income on reserves, and fees from policyholders. Genworth invests the premiums it collects in a diversified portfolio of investments, which generates additional income. Furthermore, strategic partnerships with financial institutions and distribution channels help expand its reach and enhance revenue growth. The company’s earnings are influenced by factors such as interest rates, claims experience, and regulatory changes affecting the insurance industry.

Genworth Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.47%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced sentiment with strong performance from Enact and CareScout's expansion, offset by losses in the life and annuities segment and ongoing litigation uncertainty.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Enact's Strong Performance
Enact contributed $137 million in adjusted operating income to Genworth, maintaining a strong capital and liquidity position with a 165% PMIER sufficiency ratio.
CareScout Expansion
CareScout saw a tenfold increase in matches from 52 in Q1 2024 to 576 in Q1 2025, and expanded its provider network to nearly 550 providers, achieving a 90% coverage level for the 65-plus age group.
Shareholder Returns and Capital Management
Genworth repurchased $55 million worth of shares year-to-date through April and received $76 million in capital returns from Enact in Q1 2025.
Successful Rate Action Program
Achieved $24 million in gross incremental premium approvals with an average increase of 28% in Q1 2025, contributing to a total of $31.3 billion in net present value since 2012.
Negative Updates
Life and Annuities Segment Loss
Reported an adjusted operating loss of $33 million due to seasonally high mortality and a decline in premiums from benefit reduction elections.
Litigation Uncertainty
Ongoing litigation between AXA and Santander with potential financial implications, although Genworth remains optimistic about a favorable outcome.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Potential impact from global tariff negotiations and a possible recession could affect Genworth's earnings and business operations.
Company Guidance
In the Genworth Financial's first-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a net income of $54 million, or $0.13 per share, with an adjusted operating income of $51 million. Enact, Genworth's mortgage insurance subsidiary, significantly contributed to these results with $137 million in adjusted operating income. The U.S. Life insurance segment posted an estimated pre-tax statutory loss of $1 million. The company ended the quarter with cash and liquid assets totaling $211 million. Genworth highlighted the 14% increase in Enact's quarterly dividend and a new $350 million share repurchase authorization. Moreover, CareScout, their long-term care services division, reported a more than tenfold increase in the number of matches with quality network providers, reaching 576 in the first quarter of 2025 compared to 52 in the same period last year. The company projects $1 billion to $1.5 billion in claims savings due to CareScout's negotiated rates with providers. Additionally, Genworth continued its share repurchase program, buying back $55 million worth of shares year-to-date through April, with a total of $600 million shares repurchased since the program's inception.

Genworth Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Genworth Financial shows a solid balance sheet with strong equity and low leverage. However, the company faces challenges in maintaining profitability and consistent cash flow growth. The income statement indicates efficient cost management but volatility in net profit margins and free cash flow.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Genworth Financial's revenue has been relatively stable over the years, with a slight decline in recent periods. The company maintains a strong gross profit margin, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has shown volatility, with a significant dip in the latest year, signaling potential profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company demonstrates a strong balance sheet with low debt levels and high stockholders' equity, resulting in an excellent debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio remains robust, indicating financial stability. However, the return on equity has fluctuated, suggesting inconsistency in generating profits from equity investments.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Genworth Financial's cash flow statements reveal challenges in maintaining consistent free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong operational cash generation relative to net income, but the free cash flow has decreased significantly, reflecting potential issues in cash management or capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.13B7.14B7.49B7.51B7.83B8.66B
Gross Profit6.96B7.14B7.49B7.51B7.83B8.66B
EBITDA757.00M710.00M461.00M1.52B1.39B1.17B
Net Income250.00M299.00M76.00M609.00M850.00M761.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets87.26B86.87B90.82B86.44B99.17B105.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments47.56B7.72B2.21B61.39B74.50B80.57B
Total Debt0.001.52B1.58B1.61B1.90B3.55B
Total Liabilities77.58B77.44B82.48B75.70B1.88B3.53B
Stockholders Equity8.71B8.49B7.48B9.98B15.51B15.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow229.00M88.00M597.00M1.05B437.00M2.23B
Operating Cash Flow229.00M88.00M597.00M1.05B437.00M1.96B
Investing Cash Flow704.00M861.00M1.26B733.00M896.00M-1.15B
Financing Cash Flow-993.00M-1.11B-1.44B-1.55B-2.42B-1.51B

Genworth Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.99
Price Trends
50DMA
7.14
Positive
100DMA
6.98
Positive
200DMA
7.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
66.07
Neutral
STOCH
76.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.43, above the 50-day MA of 7.14, and above the 200-day MA of 7.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GNW.

Genworth Financial Risk Analysis

Genworth Financial disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genworth Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Genworth Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GNGNW
73
Outperform
$3.31B16.212.73%0.98%156.14%
FGFG
70
Outperform
$4.38B8.7912.72%2.71%-1.72%95.91%
JXJXN
69
Neutral
$6.36B86.701.24%3.60%3.55%8.91%
LNLNC
65
Neutral
$5.94B4.9416.91%5.18%8.31%-2.30%
CNCNO
63
Neutral
$3.79B13.3712.47%1.78%-0.78%-16.22%
61
Neutral
C$14.67B6.1420.17%5.70%26.93%-38.21%
BHBHF
49
Neutral
$3.06B6.3813.00%14.74%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GNW
Genworth Financial
7.99
2.01
33.61%
CNO
CNO Financial
38.27
11.00
40.34%
LNC
Lincoln National
34.77
5.73
19.73%
BHF
Brighthouse Financial
53.34
9.98
23.02%
JXN
Jackson Financial Incorporation
88.96
18.22
25.76%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc
32.51
-4.43
-11.99%

Genworth Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Genworth Financial Approves Key Governance Changes
Neutral
May 22, 2025

At the 2025 annual meeting held on May 22, Genworth Financial‘s stockholders elected ten directors, approved executive compensation, the 2025 Omnibus Incentive Plan, and the selection of KPMG LLP as the accounting firm. An amendment to remove the ‘Pass-Through Voting’ provision was also approved, indicating strategic governance changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNW) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genworth Financial stock, see the GNW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 19, 2025