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Brighthouse Financial (BHF)
NASDAQ:BHF

Brighthouse Financial (BHF) AI Stock Analysis

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BHF

Brighthouse Financial

(NASDAQ:BHF)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$63.00
▲(3.69% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/25/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow quality and recent bearish technical momentum. These are partially offset by improving leverage and the shareholder-approved all-cash acquisition, with valuation appearing moderate based on the P/E.
Positive Factors
Stable annuity and life-insurance franchise
Brighthouse’s business model centers on annuities and life insurance sold through third-party distribution, producing recurring premium, fee and spread income. That mix creates durable, contract-driven cash flows and long-duration liabilities where scale in product administration and distribution supports steady revenue over years.
Improving leverage and stronger equity base
Leverage reduction and a stronger equity base increase financial flexibility for an insurer, lowering solvency and regulatory strain. Improved debt ratios reduce refinancing and interest-rate vulnerability, enabling more predictable capital allocation and supporting long-term product guarantees and liability management.
Shareholder-approved all-cash acquisition provides clear strategic outcome
A near-certain, approved all-cash acquisition offers a definitive strategic resolution and value realization independent of market volatility. For the business, private ownership under a specialist buyer can enable longer-term optimization of product mix, capital deployment and liability management outside public quarterly pressures.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating cash flow
Sustained negative operating cash flow signals earnings quality and liquidity concerns for an insurer reliant on investment spread and policy flows. Weak cash generation constrains reinvestment, hedging liquidity, and dividend or liability management flexibility, increasing reliance on capital markets or parent support.
Volatile earnings and inconsistent margins
Large year-to-year swings in profitability reflect sensitivity to underwriting, market outcomes and timing items. Persistent volatility undermines predictability of returns, complicates capital planning and makes sustained margin improvement uncertain absent durable remediation of underwriting, expense or market-risk drivers.
Material exposure to market and policyholder behavior risks
Variable annuity guarantees and asset-liability mismatch create ongoing hedging and market-risk costs. Results depend on rates, equity levels and lapses; adverse shifts raise guarantee costs or reduce fee income. That structural exposure makes earnings and capital sensitive to macro market moves over the medium term.

Brighthouse Financial (BHF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brighthouse Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrighthouse Financial, Inc. provides annuity and life insurance products in the United States. It operates through three segments: Annuities, Life, and Run-off. The Annuities segment offers variable, fixed, index-linked, and income annuities for contract holders' needs for protected wealth accumulation on a tax-deferred basis, wealth transfer, and income security. The Life segment provides term, universal, whole, and variable life policies for policyholders' needs for financial security and protected wealth transfer. The Run-off segment manages structured settlements, pension risk transfer contracts, certain company-owned life insurance policies, funding agreements, and universal life with secondary guarantees. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrighthouse Financial generates revenue primarily through the sale of its insurance and annuity products. Key revenue streams include premiums collected from life insurance policies, fees from asset management on its annuity products, and investment income earned on the premiums and reserves held. The company also benefits from surrender charges when policyholders withdraw funds from their annuities before a specified period. Additionally, Brighthouse has established various distribution partnerships with financial advisors and institutions, which help expand its market reach and drive sales. Overall, its revenue model is supported by a diverse product portfolio aimed at meeting the financial needs of its customers.

Brighthouse Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong sales performance and shareholder returns, contrasted by declining adjusted earnings and challenges in underwriting margins. The company's strong capital and liquidity position provides a solid foundation, but the decline in earnings and statutory losses raise concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Annuity and Life Insurance Sales
Total annuity sales were $2.6 billion, increasing 16% sequentially and 8% year-over-year. Shield sales contributed significantly with $1.9 billion in the quarter. Life insurance sales reached a record $69 million year-to-date, a 21% increase from the same period in 2024.
Capital and Liquidity Position
Brighthouse Financial maintained a strong capital position with an estimated combined RBC ratio of 405%-425% and liquid assets at the holding company exceeding $900 million as of June 30.
Shareholder Returns
The company repurchased $43 million of common stock in the second quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to $102 million. Since the inception of the repurchase program in 2018, over $2.6 billion in stock has been repurchased, representing 52% of outstanding shares.
Negative Updates
Adjusted Earnings Decline
Adjusted earnings for the quarter were $198 million, down from $245 million in the first quarter of 2025 and $346 million in the second quarter of 2024. The drop was attributed to lower alternative investment income and a lower underwriting margin.
Challenges in Underwriting Margin
The lower underwriting margin was driven by higher average severity of claims, impacting the Life and Run-off segments. Severity was approximately 18% higher than normal.
Statutory Losses
There were normalized statutory losses of about $400 million in the VA and Shield businesses, although this had a muted impact on the RBC ratio due to benefits in TAC.
Company Guidance
During Brighthouse Financial's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial performance and progress in strategic initiatives. Annuity sales reached $2.6 billion, reflecting a 16% sequential increase and an 8% increase compared to the previous year, with Shield sales contributing $1.9 billion. Life insurance sales totaled $33 million, leading to record year-to-date sales of $69 million, up 21% from 2024. The company maintained a robust liquidity position with over $900 million in liquid assets at the holding company as of June 30, 2025. The estimated combined risk-based capital (RBC) ratio stood between 405% and 425%, within the target range of 400% to 450%. Corporate expenses decreased to $202 million from $239 million in the first quarter. The company repurchased $43 million in common stock during the second quarter, contributing to $102 million year-to-date repurchases, with a remaining $441 million capacity under the share repurchase program. Adjusted earnings for the quarter were $198 million, or $3.43 per share.

Brighthouse Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: earnings recovered and leverage improved, but results have been highly volatile across years and operating/free cash flow has been persistently negative in 2022–2025, raising earnings-quality and liquidity-flexibility concerns.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Revenue improved in the last two annual periods (2024 and 2025) and the company returned to profitability after a large loss in 2023. However, results are notably volatile over the cycle (very strong profitability in 2021–2022, sharp losses in 2020 and 2023), and current margins in 2024–2025 are modest versus prior peak years—suggesting earnings power is less consistent than it appears in a single year.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Leverage looks moderate for the period shown, with debt-to-equity improving to ~0.47 in 2025 from ~0.64 in 2023–2024, and equity building meaningfully in 2025. That said, returns on equity have swung sharply (strongly positive in 2021–2022, negative in 2020 and 2023), which highlights sensitivity in reported earnings and potential balance-sheet/market risks typical for life insurers.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash generation is the key weak spot: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in 2022–2025 (including -$102M in 2025 and -$290M in 2024), and free cash flow growth is highly unstable. While net income is positive in 2024–2025, the lack of operating cash inflow in those years raises questions about earnings quality and near-term cash flexibility.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.21B4.37B3.95B6.63B3.58B
Gross Profit4.41B2.01B336.00M6.57B3.07B
EBITDA626.00M574.00M-1.32B4.88B2.17B
Net Income433.00M388.00M-1.11B3.88B1.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets240.74B239.27B237.21B226.01B261.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.39B5.04B3.85B4.12B4.47B
Total Debt3.15B3.15B3.16B3.16B3.16B
Total Liabilities233.91B234.24B232.20B220.41B245.09B
Stockholders Equity6.77B4.96B4.94B5.46B16.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-102.00M-290.00M-137.00M-1.23B746.00M
Operating Cash Flow-102.00M-290.00M-137.00M-1.23B746.00M
Investing Cash Flow164.00M-2.19B-3.20B-8.28B-12.24B
Financing Cash Flow-108.00M3.68B3.07B9.14B11.86B

Brighthouse Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price60.76
Price Trends
50DMA
64.22
Negative
100DMA
60.74
Positive
200DMA
56.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.52
Positive
RSI
20.46
Positive
STOCH
19.14
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BHF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 60.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.60, below the 50-day MA of 64.22, and above the 200-day MA of 56.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.46 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.14 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BHF.

Brighthouse Financial Risk Analysis

Brighthouse Financial disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brighthouse Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brighthouse Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.06B12.116.05%2.91%-4.58%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$3.41B15.892.86%1.41%150.35%
63
Neutral
$6.77B6.1012.27%3.93%35.76%636.97%
62
Neutral
$3.97B18.1211.12%1.54%-1.61%15.79%
58
Neutral
$7.44B-334.280.27%2.98%24.94%
54
Neutral
$3.54B10.477.38%27.71%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BHF
Brighthouse Financial
60.76
2.46
4.22%
CNO
CNO Financial
42.32
2.15
5.35%
GNW
Genworth Financial
8.51
1.78
26.45%
LNC
Lincoln National
36.01
0.40
1.13%
JXN
Jackson Financial Incorporation
112.92
28.85
34.32%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc
23.32
-17.50
-42.87%

Brighthouse Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Brighthouse Financial Shareholders Approve Aquarian Capital Acquisition
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

On February 12, 2026, Brighthouse Financial stockholders held a virtual special meeting at which they approved a merger agreement under which an affiliate of Aquarian Capital LLC will acquire the insurer in an all-cash transaction valued at about $4.1 billion. Common stockholders will receive $70.00 in cash per share once the deal closes, with approximately 69.7% of outstanding shares represented at the meeting, and about 99.7% of votes cast in favor of the merger proposal.

Shareholders also passed an advisory proposal approving merger-related compensation for named executive officers and authorized potential adjournment of the meeting, though adjournment ultimately was not needed because sufficient votes were secured. The company said the transaction, which is expected to close in 2026 subject to customary conditions and regulatory approvals, marks a key step in its strategic transition under private ownership, with implications for investors who will be cashed out and for Aquarian Capital’s growing footprint in the U.S. life and annuity market.

The most recent analyst rating on (BHF) stock is a Hold with a $69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brighthouse Financial stock, see the BHF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026