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CNO Financial (CNO)
NYSE:CNO
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CNO Financial (CNO) AI Stock Analysis

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CNO

CNO Financial

(NYSE:CNO)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$50.00
▲(14.60% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
CNO scores as moderately attractive: strong cash flow and a constructive earnings-call backdrop (solid EPS growth, affirmed guidance, and meaningful buybacks with capital within targets) support the rating. This is tempered by weaker current profitability/ROE and meaningful leverage, plus a less compelling valuation (P/E ~25.6, ~1.47% yield) and slightly overbought technicals.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained operating and free cash flow (~$688M TTM; FCF growth ~179%) supports durable funding for claims, reserves, investments and shareholder returns. Strong cash conversion (FCF ~ net income) improves financial resilience across economic cycles and backs capital allocation.
Negative Factors
Compressed profitability and margins
Material margin compression and weaker net margin reduce long-term earnings power and the ability to generate ROE. Lower profitability makes returns more sensitive to underwriting cycles and investment yields, limiting durable cash available for growth, reserves and distributions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained operating and free cash flow (~$688M TTM; FCF growth ~179%) supports durable funding for claims, reserves, investments and shareholder returns. Strong cash conversion (FCF ~ net income) improves financial resilience across economic cycles and backs capital allocation.
Read all positive factors

CNO Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

CNO Financial (CNO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CNO Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CNO Financial Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops, markets, and administers health insurance, annuity, individual life insurance, and other insurance products for senior and middle-income markets in the United States. It offers Medicar...
How the Company Makes Money
CNO primarily makes money from (1) insurance premiums and fees and (2) investment income on the assets it holds to support insurance and annuity obligations. 1) Premiums and policy charges (insurance revenue) - Health insurance: The company colle...

CNO Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a broad set of positive operating and financial results: strong earnings growth (operating EPS +33%), sustained multi-quarter sales and agent growth, solid investment income momentum, record brokerage asset growth, and robust capital returns while maintaining capital targets. Notable challenges were highlighted but appear manageable: modest adverse Medicare supplement claims that are being addressed via rate filings, slight annuity sales decline on tough comps, minor shortfall in alternative investment income, and temporary capital metric noise from equity market moves and FABN spread dynamics. Management affirmed 2026 guidance given macro uncertainty but signaled continued confidence in improving ROE and disciplined capital deployment. Overall, the positive operational momentum and capital strength outweigh the manageable headwinds.
Positive Updates
Operating Earnings Growth
Operating earnings per diluted share were $1.05 for Q1 2026, up 33% year-over-year and up 42% excluding significant items.
Negative Updates
Medicare Supplement Claims Pressure
Medicare supplement experienced modestly adverse claims experience in the quarter; management has filed rate increases (closed block ~10.2% approval effective 01/01/2026; open block filings asked ~16.8% with expected approvals around ~14.5% effective 07/01/2026) with full impact expected to show by Q4 2026.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Operating Earnings Growth
Operating earnings per diluted share were $1.05 for Q1 2026, up 33% year-over-year and up 42% excluding significant items.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management affirmed its original 2026 guidance while noting strong Q1 results (operating EPS $1.05, +33% YoY and +42% excluding significant items) and said it will refine guidance later in the year; trailing twelve‑month operating ROE was 13.1% (12.2% excl. items) versus a three‑year ROE waypoint of 12% that the team said is likely to be raised for 2027 but will not be updated until early next year. Capital and liquidity metrics remain within targets: consolidated RBC managed in a 360–390% range, holding‑company liquidity $280 million (vs. $150 million minimum), and debt‑to‑capital 26.4% (target 25–28%); the company returned $77 million to shareholders in Q1, including $60 million of buybacks that reduced weighted‑average diluted shares by ~7%. On the financial and investment front management highlighted net investment income +6% YoY, average book value of invested assets +4.2% YoY, net insurance liabilities and related assets +4.8% in the quarter, ~ $1.3 billion of new investments at ~5‑year duration, thirteen consecutive quarters of new‑money rates above 6%, an expense ratio of 18.9% (expected to normalize over the year), and timing details that MedSup rate increases will be substantially in effect by Q4 2026.

CNO Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: TTM revenue growth is very strong (~56.8%), and cash generation is a bright spot with strong operating/free cash flow (~$688M) and ~179% FCF growth. Offsetting this, profitability and returns have weakened (TTM net margin ~5.4% vs. ~9.1% in 2024 and ~17.6% in 2022; ROE down to ~9.6% in TTM) alongside meaningful leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.72).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
75
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.51B4.49B4.45B4.15B3.58B4.12B
Gross Profit1.91B2.01B1.70B1.53B1.79B1.70B
EBITDA641.80M524.30M1.07B862.80M1.20B1.07B
Net Income245.50M229.30M404.00M276.50M630.60M570.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.90B38.79B37.85B35.03B33.13B36.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.15B8.87B24.69B22.28B20.63B24.91B
Total Debt4.30B4.05B4.52B4.15B3.88B4.00B
Total Liabilities36.47B36.15B35.33B32.81B31.36B30.94B
Stockholders Equity2.50B2.64B2.52B2.22B1.77B5.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow687.80M675.70M627.70M582.90M495.40M598.30M
Operating Cash Flow687.80M675.70M627.70M582.90M495.40M598.30M
Investing Cash Flow-1.31B-1.67B-1.49B-872.30M-1.78B-1.53B
Financing Cash Flow754.90M-22.60M1.97B533.50M1.20B667.60M

CNO Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price43.63
Price Trends
50DMA
43.42
Positive
100DMA
42.73
Positive
200DMA
41.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.10
Negative
RSI
66.69
Neutral
STOCH
77.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.00, above the 50-day MA of 43.42, and above the 200-day MA of 41.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNO.

CNO Financial Risk Analysis

CNO Financial disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CNO Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CNO Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.68B3.3911.42%2.91%17.32%-0.37%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$4.41B25.629.56%1.54%5.03%-12.76%
66
Neutral
$3.47B16.762.46%-1.14%7.17%
65
Neutral
$7.46B-4.35-3.73%2.98%-20.54%-652.89%
62
Neutral
$6.89B-9.8616.79%3.93%8.45%21.80%
54
Neutral
$3.59B-1.13-1.07%-16.15%-133.67%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNO
CNO Financial
47.29
10.78
29.54%
GNW
Genworth Financial
9.07
2.28
33.58%
LNC
Lincoln National
36.03
5.16
16.72%
BHF
Brighthouse Financial
62.47
4.56
7.87%
JXN
Jackson Financial Incorporation
106.95
28.77
36.80%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc
27.79
-2.46
-8.14%

CNO Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CNO Financial Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
May 13, 2026
On May 12, 2026, CNO Financial held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where investors elected nine directors to one-year terms ending at the 2027 annual meeting, with each nominee receiving strong majority support across the shareholder bas...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026