tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Prudential Financial (PRU)
NYSE:PRU
Advertisement

Prudential Financial (PRU) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
3,637 Followers

Top Page

PRU

Prudential Financial

(NYSE:PRU)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$114.00
▲(9.29%Upside)
Prudential Financial's overall score is influenced by strong operational efficiency and attractive valuation, though tempered by high leverage and mixed technical indicators. The recent earnings call and strategic board appointment highlight growth potential but also underscore challenges in the U.S. and Japan markets.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
PGIM delivered total net flows of $4.3bn, which compared favorably with our forecast of $1.4bn.
Growth Opportunities
Management highlighted the continuing de-risking process and growth opportunities at Prudential.
Market Position
Management is optimistic that Prudential is favorably positioned for the longer term retirement trend.
Negative Factors
Earnings Forecast
Price objective falls to $101, previously $106, indicating a modest decline in forward EPS forecasts.
Operating Income
Retirement strategies saw adjusted operating income of $851 million, vs consensus of $940 million, with both Institutional and Individual segments weaker than expected.
Sales Performance
Net flows in Retirement of $409mn missed our forecast of $2.16bn largely due to weaker sales compared to recent quarters.

Prudential Financial (PRU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prudential Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrudential Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, investment management, and other financial products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through eight segments: PGIM, Retirement, Group Insurance, Individual Annuities, Individual Life, Assurance IQ, International Businesses, and Closed Block. The company offers investment management services and solutions related to public fixed income, public equity, real estate debt and equity, private credit and other alternatives, and multi-asset class strategies to institutional and retail clients, as well as its general account. It also provides a range of retirement investment, and income products and services to retirement plan sponsors in the public, private, and not-for-profit sectors; and group life, long-term and short-term group disability, and group corporate-, bank-, and trust-owned life insurance in the United States, primarily to institutional clients for use in connection with employee and membership benefits plans, as well as sells accidental death and dismemberment, and other supplemental health solutions; and provides plan administration services in connection with its insurance coverages. In addition, the company develops and distributes individual variable and fixed annuity products, principally to the mass affluent and affluent markets; and individual variable, term, and universal life insurance products to the mass middle, mass affluent, and affluent markets in the United States. Further, it provides third-party life, health, Medicare, property and casualty, and term life products to retail shoppers through its digital and independent agent channels. The company offers its products and services to individual and institutional customers through its proprietary and third-party distribution networks. Prudential Financial, Inc. was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Newark, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrudential Financial generates revenue primarily through premiums from its insurance products, fees from asset management services, and investment income. The company's insurance operations, which include selling life insurance and annuities, contribute a significant portion of its revenue through the collection of premiums. Prudential also earns substantial income from managing assets, where it charges fees based on the volume of assets under management. Additionally, the company invests the premiums collected in a variety of financial instruments, generating income through dividends and interest. Prudential's strategic partnerships and joint ventures, particularly in international markets, further enhance its revenue streams and global reach.

Prudential Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Prudential demonstrated strong sales and investment performance, particularly in its global retirement and insurance segments. However, near-term earnings pressures from product runoffs and currency-driven surrenders in Japan present notable challenges. The company is positioned well for future growth but faces current headwinds impacting earnings growth targets.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Global Sales and Investment Performance
In the first quarter, Prudential reported robust sales across its global retirement and insurance businesses, coupled with strong investment performance and robust flows at PGIM.
Diversified Product Mix and Market Position
Prudential has made significant progress in de-risking and diversifying its product offerings, with a reduction of nearly 60% in traditional variable annuities and guaranteed universal life products.
Solid Financial Position
The company holds nearly $5 billion in highly liquid assets and maintains strong statutory solvency ratios, supporting its AA financial strength rating.
PGIM Assets Under Management Growth
PGIM's assets under management increased by 3% to $1.4 trillion, driven by market appreciation, net flows, and strong investment performance.
Record International Business Sales
International business sales increased by 15% compared to the prior year, with Japan sales benefiting from recent retirement and savings product launches.
Negative Updates
Earnings Growth Challenges
Prudential faces near-term earnings pressure in its U.S. and Japan businesses due to the runoff of more volatile blocks and elevated surrenders of U.S. dollar-denominated products.
Lower Alternative Investment Income
The company reported lower than expected alternative investment income, driven by lower private equity and real estate returns, impacting pre-tax adjusted operating income.
Earnings Headwinds from Japan Surrenders
Surrenders of U.S. dollar-denominated products in Japan, driven by a weaker yen, are expected to contribute to an estimated $100 million drag on 2025 earnings.
PGIM Margin Pressure
PGIM's first-quarter margins were lower than expected due to volatility affecting seed and co-investments, impacting long-term incentive compensation expenses.
Company Guidance
During Prudential's Quarterly Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating expectations of 5% to 8% core adjusted operating EPS growth on average through 2027, despite current headwinds. These headwinds include an estimated 3% to 4% EPS growth drag in 2025 due to the runoff of variable annuities and guaranteed universal life products, and elevated surrenders of U.S. dollar-denominated products in Japan driven by a weaker yen. The company also highlighted its strong capital position with nearly $5 billion in highly liquid assets and strong statutory solvency ratios. Furthermore, Prudential reported robust sales in its retirement and insurance businesses, with a notable increase of over 50% in sales of savings and retirement products in Japan over the past three years. The CEO emphasized a commitment to executing a strategy to enhance financial performance, focusing on evolving the business strategy, consistent execution, and fostering a high-performance culture to drive sustainable, profitable growth.

Prudential Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prudential Financial shows strong operational efficiency with high EBIT margins and a strong gross profit margin. However, challenges include declining revenue and profit margins and a highly leveraged balance sheet. Cash flow generation is weakening, although it remains positive.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Prudential Financial shows strong revenue generation with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) total revenue of $60.46 billion. However, the revenue has decreased when compared to the previous annual revenue of $70.41 billion. The net profit margin stands at a modest 3.81% for the TTM, which is a drop from the previous year. The gross profit margin is strong at 75.38%, indicating effective cost management. EBIT margin is notably high at 37.28%, reflecting operational efficiency, but the declining revenue growth rate is a concern.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Prudential Financial's balance sheet indicates high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 10.37, highlighting significant reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is relatively low at 113.96%, primarily due to the low equity base. The equity ratio is notably low at 0.27%, indicating a high level of liabilities compared to assets. These factors suggest potential risks associated with financial stability.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
The cash flow analysis shows a decrease in operating cash flow from the previous year, now at $775 million. The free cash flow has similarly reduced, resulting in a negative free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.34, which denotes some inconsistency in cash generation relative to net income. Despite these challenges, the company maintains positive free cash flow, crucial for sustaining operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue60.62B70.64B54.27B56.96B71.15B57.03B
Gross Profit16.38B17.49B17.55B11.86B28.28B15.21B
EBITDA2.56B3.59B3.00B-1.77B11.05B132.00M
Net Income2.30B2.73B2.49B-1.65B8.87B-374.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets739.26B735.59B721.12B689.92B937.58B940.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.92B66.39B19.42B324.97B391.93B434.41B
Total Debt22.39B21.57B20.87B21.06B19.62B20.95B
Total Liabilities707.04B705.46B691.34B672.71B874.97B872.51B
Stockholders Equity29.88B27.87B27.82B16.25B61.88B67.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow775.00M8.50B6.51B5.16B10.55B8.28B
Operating Cash Flow775.00M8.50B6.51B5.16B9.81B8.37B
Investing Cash Flow-23.81B-28.59B-12.12B-7.64B-5.34B-16.21B
Financing Cash Flow20.35B19.39B7.74B4.93B-3.01B4.88B

Prudential Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price104.31
Price Trends
50DMA
105.06
Positive
100DMA
104.72
Positive
200DMA
111.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.43
Positive
RSI
51.36
Neutral
STOCH
50.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 104.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 105.80, below the 50-day MA of 105.06, and below the 200-day MA of 111.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PRU.

Prudential Financial Risk Analysis

Prudential Financial disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prudential Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prudential Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$52.66B12.7716.08%2.83%8.77%110.90%
77
Outperform
$32.08B14.9912.82%0.09%-14.78%34.80%
74
Outperform
$10.30B10.1620.47%0.82%5.41%16.60%
74
Outperform
$13.95B9.5214.68%2.15%1.69%25.54%
68
Neutral
¥746.02B10.957.55%3.23%7.81%14.63%
67
Neutral
$37.29B16.678.04%5.08%2.47%6.88%
63
Neutral
$55.63B16.0614.41%2.59%-12.66%-29.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRU
Prudential Financial
104.31
-13.22
-11.25%
AFL
AFLAC
102.45
10.23
11.09%
MET
Metlife
77.79
4.61
6.30%
PUK
Prudential
25.16
7.86
45.43%
GL
Globe Life
131.52
43.21
48.93%
UNM
Unum Group
80.74
28.70
55.15%

Prudential Financial Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Prudential Financial Discloses Preliminary Q2 2025 Results
Neutral
Jul 15, 2025

Prudential Financial disclosed preliminary financial information for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, ahead of its scheduled earnings release on July 30, 2025. The company reported that its PGIM segment managed assets worth $1.44 trillion, while other related revenues netted approximately $50 million. However, the alternative investment income of its General Account fell short of expectations by $55 – $75 million. The company also completed its annual review of actuarial assumptions, resulting in expected one-time and ongoing impacts on adjusted operating income across various business segments, notably a $100 million aggregate impact on Individual Retirement Strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRU) stock is a Hold with a $110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prudential Financial stock, see the PRU Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prudential Financial Appoints Tom Stoddard as Director
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Prudential Financial, Inc. announced the election of Tom Stoddard as an independent director to its Board of Directors, effective immediately. Stoddard, who brings 35 years of experience in financial services, will serve on the Audit and Investment Committees. His extensive background includes roles at Bank of America, Athora Ltd., and Aviva plc, and he is expected to contribute significantly to Prudential’s growth strategy. The appointment is seen as a strategic move to leverage Stoddard’s deep industry knowledge and leadership experience to guide Prudential’s future development.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRU) stock is a Hold with a $110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prudential Financial stock, see the PRU Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Prudential Financial Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
May 13, 2025

The Annual Meeting of Shareholders of Prudential Financial, Inc. was held on May 13, 2025, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and operations. All nominees for the Board of Directors were elected for a one-year term, and the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm was ratified. Additionally, the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved, while a shareholder proposal for an independent board chairman was not passed.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRU) stock is a Hold with a $110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prudential Financial stock, see the PRU Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Prudential Financial Corrects Misstatement in Q1 2025 Call
Neutral
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Prudential Financial, Inc. held a conference call to discuss its first-quarter results for 2025. During the call, a misstatement was made by Executive Vice President and CFO Yanela Frias regarding the company’s sensitivity to interest rate changes, which was later corrected. The full transcript, including the correction, will be available on the company’s Investor Relations website.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Prudential Financial Reports Q1 2025 Earnings Results
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Prudential Financial reported its first quarter 2025 results, with net income of $707 million, down from $1.138 billion in the same quarter last year. Despite lower net income, the company saw an increase in after-tax adjusted operating income to $1.188 billion, driven by strong sales in global retirement and insurance businesses, and robust investment performance. The company returned $736 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, and aims to continue balancing business growth with shareholder returns. CEO Andy Sullivan emphasized the company’s commitment to executing its strategy to improve financial performance and maintain its position as a leader in investment, insurance, and retirement security.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 24, 2025