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Unum Group (UNM)
NYSE:UNM
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Unum Group (UNM) AI Stock Analysis

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UNM

Unum Group

(NYSE:UNM)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$91.00
â–²(14.28% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/30/26
UNM scores well on valuation and a positive earnings-call outlook with clear capital return plans, supported by an ongoing technical uptrend. The main offset is weaker recent profitability and returns versus the prior strong period, alongside slightly softer free-cash-flow trends.
Positive Factors
Capital generation & disciplined deployment
Consistent multi-hundred-million dollar capital generation and an active $1.0B buyback program indicate durable free-cash-flow conversion and a management priority on returning capital. High redeployment capacity supports EPS accretion, enhances per-share metrics, and gives flexibility for dividends or strategic uses over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Earnings power and margin deterioration
A marked step-down in net margin and ROE materially lowers the firm's long-term earnings power relative to recent history. If higher benefit ratios or weaker investment income persist, the company will generate less internal capital, which constrains future buybacks, dividend increases, and reinvestment without riskier asset choices or higher underwriting margins.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Capital generation & disciplined deployment
Consistent multi-hundred-million dollar capital generation and an active $1.0B buyback program indicate durable free-cash-flow conversion and a management priority on returning capital. High redeployment capacity supports EPS accretion, enhances per-share metrics, and gives flexibility for dividends or strategic uses over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Unum Group (UNM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Unum Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Unum Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial protection benefit solutions primarily in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Poland. It operates through Unum US, Unum International, Colonial Life, and Closed Block segments. ...
How the Company Makes Money
Unum Group makes money primarily by underwriting employee-benefit insurance and investing the premiums it collects. Its core revenue model has two main components: (1) insurance premiums and fees, and (2) net investment income earned on invested a...

Unum Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operating and financial picture: record and improved earnings in several core lines (Group Life, Colonial Life), strong sales growth, high persistency, solid Unum US profitability and robust capital metrics (RBC 460%, $1.7B liquidity). Management also highlighted active, methodical progress reducing long-term care (LTC) tail risk (7% of group LTC cases closed) and reiterated a clear capital deployment plan (repurchases and dividends). Offsetting items include quarterly weakness at Unum International (U.K. claim-size driven), a year-over-year decline in supplemental & voluntary earnings, GAAP volatility from closed-block LTC actions, and alternative portfolio yields below target. Overall, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights and most of the negatives were described as manageable or transitory by management.
Positive Updates
Strong adjusted operating earnings and EPS growth
After-tax adjusted operating earnings of $353 million and after-tax adjusted operating EPS of $2.14, up nearly 10% year-over-year, reflecting solid top- and bottom-line execution.
Negative Updates
Unum International earnings and benefit ratio pressure
Unum International adjusted operating income fell to $30.9 million from $38.7 million a year ago and missed the low-$40M outlook; the International benefit ratio rose to 71% from 66.5% YoY, driven by unfavorable experience in the U.K. (larger average claim sizes).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong adjusted operating earnings and EPS growth
After-tax adjusted operating earnings of $353 million and after-tax adjusted operating EPS of $2.14, up nearly 10% year-over-year, reflecting solid top- and bottom-line execution.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Unum reiterated 2026 guidance of 4%–7% top‑line growth and 8%–12% EPS growth, with a focus on attractive core ROEs and continued capital deployment: it expects $1.4–$1.6B of total capital generation for the year, roughly $1.3B of redeployment (about annual generation), and a $1.0B share‑repurchase program (Q1 repurchases ≈ $400M, reducing float ~3%); Q1 supported the outlook with after‑tax adjusted operating EPS of $2.14 (up ~10% YoY), core premium growth of 3.9% (just over 5% ex‑runoff/transactions), sales growth (~14%), and group persistency of 92% (+2.7 pts YoY). Balance‑sheet targets are intact: RBC ~460% at quarter‑end (full‑year target 400%–425%), holding company liquidity ~$1.7B (target $2.0–$2.5B), closed‑block fair‑wind protection ~$2.2B, and the closed‑block alternative portfolio yielded 6.7% annualized (vs a long‑run 8%–10% expectation); the company paid ≈$78M in dividends in Q1 and indicated plans to modestly raise the dividend.

Unum Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady top-line growth and moderate leverage support a solid base, but profitability has cooled materially versus 2023–2024 (TTM net margin ~5.9% vs. ~13.9% in 2024) and returns have softened (TTM ROE ~7%). Cash generation remains healthy, though free cash flow is slightly down (~-3% TTM) and conversion is a bit weaker than prior years.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
69
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.30B13.05B12.79B12.31B11.88B11.84B
Gross Profit4.51B4.99B4.74B4.03B3.93B3.32B
EBITDA1.24B1.27B2.57B1.94B2.05B1.57B
Net Income781.40M738.50M1.78B1.28B1.41B981.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.71B64.09B62.35B63.61B61.53B71.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments192.60M158.20M162.80M146.00M119.20M75.00M
Total Debt3.76B3.90B3.86B3.54B3.43B3.58B
Total Liabilities51.82B52.98B51.39B53.96B52.79B59.81B
Stockholders Equity10.89B11.12B10.96B9.65B8.73B11.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow538.80M555.40M1.39B1.07B1.32B1.28B
Operating Cash Flow674.90M687.70M1.51B1.20B1.42B1.39B
Investing Cash Flow643.70M548.90M-344.40M-725.90M-955.90M-1.34B
Financing Cash Flow-1.36B-1.24B-1.15B-450.10M-418.60M-168.90M

Unum Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price79.63
Price Trends
50DMA
73.88
Positive
100DMA
75.21
Positive
200DMA
74.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.42
Negative
RSI
71.16
Negative
STOCH
87.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UNM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 79.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.51, above the 50-day MA of 73.88, and above the 200-day MA of 74.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.16 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UNM.

Unum Group Risk Analysis

Unum Group disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Unum Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Unum Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.40B10.4432.28%1.59%5.70%61.07%
77
Outperform
$3.79B3.3911.42%2.91%17.32%-0.37%
76
Outperform
$11.99B10.0820.32%0.74%3.96%18.81%
74
Outperform
$12.93B12.917.07%2.22%4.19%-45.74%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$7.76B-4.35-3.73%2.98%-20.54%-652.89%
62
Neutral
$6.61B-9.8616.79%3.93%8.45%21.80%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UNM
Unum Group
80.90
2.03
2.57%
LNC
Lincoln National
34.55
2.04
6.28%
PRI
Primerica
269.47
-2.26
-0.83%
GL
Globe Life
154.47
34.92
29.21%
JXN
Jackson Financial Incorporation
111.32
29.01
35.24%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc
28.59
-1.47
-4.89%

Unum Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Unum Group Updates Bylaws to Modernize Corporate Governance
Positive
Mar 6, 2026
On March 4, 2026, Unum Group’s board approved a wide-ranging update of its bylaws, including modernized terminology such as replacing “Chairman” with “Chair” and clarifying that remote shareholder participation counts...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Unum Group Reports Q4 2025 Results and 2026 Outlook
Positive
Feb 5, 2026
On February 5, 2026, Unum Group reported fourth-quarter 2025 net income of $174.1 million, down from $348.7 million a year earlier, while after-tax adjusted operating income reached $322.3 million, reflecting higher benefits expenses and several o...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026