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Unum Group (UNM)
NYSE:UNM
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Unum Group (UNM) AI Stock Analysis

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UNM

Unum Group

(NYSE:UNM)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$95.00
â–²(19.30% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/23/26
UNM scores well on solid underlying financials (moderate leverage and healthy cash generation) and a positive earnings outlook/capital return plan, supported by reasonable valuation. The main constraints are the recent TTM profitability/ROE downshift versus 2023–2024 and technically overbought momentum signals.
Positive Factors
Capital generation & returns
Sustained annual capital generation (guidance $1.4–$1.6B) and an active $1.0B buyback program demonstrate durable capacity to return capital. High repurchases in Q1 (~$400M) plus stated redeployment plans signal disciplined capital allocation that can support dividends and share count reduction over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Earnings/margin deterioration
A meaningful step-down in margins and trailing ROE indicates a material decline in earnings power versus 2023–2024. Persistently lower underwriting or investment profitability could limit sustainable capital generation, constrain long-term ROE recovery, and reduce the cushion for underwriting reserves and shareholder returns if not reversed.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Capital generation & returns
Sustained annual capital generation (guidance $1.4–$1.6B) and an active $1.0B buyback program demonstrate durable capacity to return capital. High repurchases in Q1 (~$400M) plus stated redeployment plans signal disciplined capital allocation that can support dividends and share count reduction over multiple quarters.
Read all positive factors

Unum Group (UNM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Unum Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Unum Group, along with its various subsidiaries, specializes in delivering financial protection benefits, primarily operating across the United States, the United Kingdom, and Poland. The company's operations are organized into distinct segments: ...
How the Company Makes Money
Unum primarily makes money by underwriting and administering insurance and employee benefit products, generating revenue mainly from premium income and, secondarily, from investment income on the assets backing its policy reserves. 1) Premiums fr...

Unum Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operating and financial picture: record and improved earnings in several core lines (Group Life, Colonial Life), strong sales growth, high persistency, solid Unum US profitability and robust capital metrics (RBC 460%, $1.7B liquidity). Management also highlighted active, methodical progress reducing long-term care (LTC) tail risk (7% of group LTC cases closed) and reiterated a clear capital deployment plan (repurchases and dividends). Offsetting items include quarterly weakness at Unum International (U.K. claim-size driven), a year-over-year decline in supplemental & voluntary earnings, GAAP volatility from closed-block LTC actions, and alternative portfolio yields below target. Overall, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights and most of the negatives were described as manageable or transitory by management.
Positive Updates
Strong adjusted operating earnings and EPS growth
After-tax adjusted operating earnings of $353 million and after-tax adjusted operating EPS of $2.14, up nearly 10% year-over-year, reflecting solid top- and bottom-line execution.
Negative Updates
Unum International earnings and benefit ratio pressure
Unum International adjusted operating income fell to $30.9 million from $38.7 million a year ago and missed the low-$40M outlook; the International benefit ratio rose to 71% from 66.5% YoY, driven by unfavorable experience in the U.K. (larger average claim sizes).
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong adjusted operating earnings and EPS growth
After-tax adjusted operating earnings of $353 million and after-tax adjusted operating EPS of $2.14, up nearly 10% year-over-year, reflecting solid top- and bottom-line execution.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Unum reiterated 2026 guidance of 4%–7% top‑line growth and 8%–12% EPS growth, with a focus on attractive core ROEs and continued capital deployment: it expects $1.4–$1.6B of total capital generation for the year, roughly $1.3B of redeployment (about annual generation), and a $1.0B share‑repurchase program (Q1 repurchases ≈ $400M, reducing float ~3%); Q1 supported the outlook with after‑tax adjusted operating EPS of $2.14 (up ~10% YoY), core premium growth of 3.9% (just over 5% ex‑runoff/transactions), sales growth (~14%), and group persistency of 92% (+2.7 pts YoY). Balance‑sheet targets are intact: RBC ~460% at quarter‑end (full‑year target 400%–425%), holding company liquidity ~$1.7B (target $2.0–$2.5B), closed‑block fair‑wind protection ~$2.2B, and the closed‑block alternative portfolio yielded 6.7% annualized (vs a long‑run 8%–10% expectation); the company paid ≈$78M in dividends in Q1 and indicated plans to modestly raise the dividend.

Unum Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial quality is solid with steady revenue growth, moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.35), and healthy operating/free cash flow. The key offset is a meaningful TTM step-down in profitability and returns (net/EBIT margins and ROE down versus 2023–2024) plus slightly weaker free-cash-flow growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
69
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.30B13.05B12.79B12.31B11.88B11.84B
Gross Profit4.51B4.99B4.74B4.03B3.93B3.32B
EBITDA1.33B1.27B2.57B1.94B2.05B1.57B
Net Income781.40M738.50M1.78B1.28B1.41B981.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.71B64.09B62.35B63.61B61.53B71.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments192.60M158.20M162.80M146.00M119.20M75.00M
Total Debt3.76B3.90B3.86B3.54B3.43B3.58B
Total Liabilities51.82B52.98B51.39B53.96B52.79B59.81B
Stockholders Equity10.89B11.12B10.96B9.65B8.73B11.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow538.80M555.40M1.39B1.07B1.32B1.28B
Operating Cash Flow674.90M687.70M1.51B1.20B1.42B1.39B
Investing Cash Flow643.70M548.90M-344.40M-725.90M-955.90M-1.34B
Financing Cash Flow-1.36B-1.24B-1.15B-450.10M-418.60M-168.90M

Unum Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price79.63
Price Trends
50DMA
82.54
Positive
100DMA
77.86
Positive
200DMA
76.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.81
Negative
RSI
64.45
Neutral
STOCH
74.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UNM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 79.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.06, below the 50-day MA of 82.54, and above the 200-day MA of 76.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UNM.

Unum Group Risk Analysis

Unum Group disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Unum Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Unum Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$8.79B11.5632.28%1.59%5.70%61.07%
76
Outperform
$14.38B18.897.07%2.22%4.19%-45.74%
76
Outperform
$13.26B11.3820.32%0.74%3.96%18.81%
75
Outperform
$3.64B6.8511.42%2.91%17.32%-0.37%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$7.11B4.1116.79%3.93%8.45%21.80%
62
Neutral
$7.45B-19.96-3.73%2.98%-20.54%-652.89%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UNM
Unum Group
89.98
12.56
16.23%
LNC
Lincoln National
37.17
5.70
18.12%
PRI
Primerica
281.78
25.13
9.79%
GL
Globe Life
170.76
51.19
42.81%
JXN
Jackson Financial Incorporation
106.81
24.93
30.44%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc
27.49
-3.09
-10.10%

Unum Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Unum Group Shareholders Reelect Board, Back Governance Measures
Positive
May 22, 2026
Unum Group held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 21, 2026, where investors elected eleven director nominees to one-year terms expiring in 2027, reaffirming the existing leadership structure with solid support across the slate. Shareholder...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Unum Group Approves 10% Increase in Quarterly Dividend
Positive
May 21, 2026
On May 21, 2026, Unum Group announced that its board of directors approved an approximate 10 percent increase in the quarterly dividend on its common stock. The new rate of 50.5 cents per share, equivalent to $2.02 annually, is scheduled to take e...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Unum Group Updates Bylaws to Modernize Corporate Governance
Positive
Mar 6, 2026
On March 4, 2026, Unum Group’s board approved a wide-ranging update of its bylaws, including modernized terminology such as replacing “Chairman” with “Chair” and clarifying that remote shareholder participation counts...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 23, 2026