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Unum Group (UNM)
NYSE:UNM
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Unum Group (UNM) AI Stock Analysis

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UNM

Unum Group

(NYSE:UNM)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$79.00
â–²(13.08% Upside)
Unum Group's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and attractive valuation, tempered by bearish technical indicators and mixed earnings call results. The company's robust cash flow and strategic initiatives support long-term growth, but short-term operational challenges and market momentum present risks.
Positive Factors
Capital Management
Internal long-term care reinsurance deal freed up $600M-plus of capital, offering diversification benefits and reducing volatility.
Reinsurance Strategy
Unum announced a transaction to reinsure $3.4bn of statutory long-term care reserves with Fortitude Re, which is viewed as a positive step in management’s goal to de-risk the business.
Risk Management
Unum's recent long-term care deal gives confidence that the company can further derisk its insurance block.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
UNM shares traded down owing to the earnings miss and weaker disability results in the quarter.
Growth Outlook
UNM lowered its 2025 EPS growth outlook to 6-10% and lowered its core premium growth expectation to 3-6%.
Sales Growth
Management attributed the poor sales growth to plans remaining with incumbent carriers and noted that premium growth will be more a function of strong persistency rather than new sales growth.

Unum Group (UNM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Unum Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnum Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial protection benefit solutions primarily in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Poland. It operates through Unum US, Unum International, Colonial Life, and Closed Block segments. The company offers group long-term and short-term disability, group life, and accidental death and dismemberment products; supplemental and voluntary products, such as individual disability, voluntary benefits, and dental and vision products; and accident, sickness, disability, life, and cancer and critical illness products. It also provides group pension, individual life and corporate-owned life insurance, reinsurance pools and management operations, and other products. The company sells its products primarily to employers for the benefit of employees. Unum Group sells its products through field sales personnel, independent brokers, consultants, and independent contractor agency sales force. The company was founded in 1848 and is based in Chattanooga, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyUnum Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of insurance premiums from its various products, including group and individual disability insurance, life insurance, and other supplemental insurance offerings. The company collects premiums from policyholders, which constitute a significant portion of its income. Additionally, Unum earns investment income from its portfolio of invested assets, which includes stocks, bonds, and other financial instruments. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with employers, enabling it to offer its products as part of employee benefits packages, thereby expanding its customer base. Furthermore, effective risk management practices and underwriting processes help maintain profitability by controlling claims costs.

Unum Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture, with strong capital levels and strategic transactions supporting long-term growth, but current earnings were pressured by elevated claims and challenges in the sales environment. While Unum's capital position and strategic initiatives are strong, short-term operational challenges and lower-than-expected earnings suggest a balanced outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Persistency and Premium Growth
Unum reported strong premium growth of 4.6% in the quarter, driven by high persistency levels and natural growth within the in-force block, which mitigated the impact of pressured sales.
Record High Capital Levels
The company's risk-based capital ratio increased to approximately 485%, one of the highest levels seen, with holding company liquidity at $2 billion, indicating strong financial health.
Successful Strategic Transactions
Unum completed the acquisition of a small block of group business in the U.K. and became the exclusive U.K. Employee Benefits partner for Generali Employee Benefits Network. Additionally, they acquired Beanstalk Benefits to enhance their digital platform.
Increased Capital Returns to Shareholders
Unum announced a 10% increase in its annual common stock dividend and repurchased $300 million in shares during the second quarter, with total capital returns for the year reaching $650 million.
Closure of External Reinsurance Transaction
The closure of the external reinsurance transaction is expected to enhance Unum's focus on their core employee benefits business while reducing exposure to Legacy Long-Term Care.
Negative Updates
Disappointing Earnings Performance
Second quarter adjusted after-tax operating income per share was $2.07, down from $2.16 in the same period last year, reflecting earnings pressure due to higher-than-expected claims experience.
Elevated Claims in Group Products
Higher-than-expected claims experience in group products, particularly group disability, with a benefit ratio of 62% compared to historical expectations.
Challenging Sales Environment
Sales in the first half of 2025 started slower than annual growth expectations and were lower year-over-year, with total group sales expected to be relatively flat for the full year.
Unfavorable Long-Term Care Experience
The Closed Block segment experienced unfavorable Long-Term Care benefits experience, primarily in capped cohorts, leading to a significant decrease in adjusted operating income.
Lower-than-Expected Alternative Investment Income
The alternative investment portfolio yielded 7%, below the long-term expectation of 8% to 10%, impacting the earnings performance of the Closed Block segment.
Company Guidance
In the Unum Group's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided updated guidance and metrics reflecting its financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 4.6% core operations premium growth for the quarter and revised its full-year earnings per share (EPS) expectation to approximately $8.50. This adjustment was attributed to pressures in earnings, particularly within the group disability segment, which recorded a benefit ratio of 62%, slightly higher than anticipated. The company highlighted a strong capital position, ending the quarter with $2 billion in holding company cash and a 485% risk-based capital ratio. Despite a slower start to sales in the first half, Unum Group remains optimistic about achieving its premium growth outlook of 3% to 6% for the year, bolstered by higher-than-expected persistency levels and strategic investments in digital capabilities. The company also announced a 10% increase in its annual common stock dividend and repurchased $300 million in shares during the quarter, aiming to finish the year toward the upper end of its $500 million to $1 billion range of share repurchases.

Unum Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Unum Group exhibits strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and cash flow generation is robust. However, operational efficiency as indicated by the negative EBIT margin in the TTM period needs attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Unum Group has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 99.8%, indicating robust business expansion. The gross profit margin is high at 84.23% for TTM, showcasing effective cost management. However, the EBIT margin is negative in the TTM period, reflecting operational challenges. Net profit margin remains healthy at 11.80% for TTM, but slightly lower than the previous annual report. Overall, the income statement reflects strong revenue growth and profitability, though operational efficiency needs improvement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33 in the TTM period, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is solid at 13.67% for TTM, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 18.01%, suggesting a stable capital structure. While the balance sheet shows financial stability, the equity ratio indicates potential room for strengthening equity base.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Unum Group's cash flow performance is strong, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 60.6% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.94, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 91.54%, demonstrating effective conversion of profits into cash. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects strong liquidity and cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.88B12.89B12.39B11.99B12.01B13.16B
Gross Profit10.85B12.89B12.39B11.52B11.80B13.16B
EBITDA2.21B2.45B1.94B2.05B1.57B1.27B
Net Income1.52B1.78B1.28B1.41B981.00M793.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.84B61.96B63.26B61.43B70.12B70.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.45B1.40B146.00M1.51B1.46B1.67B
Total Debt3.74B3.74B3.43B3.43B3.44B3.35B
Total Liabilities51.52B51.00B53.60B52.24B58.70B59.75B
Stockholders Equity11.32B10.96B9.65B9.20B11.42B10.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.44B1.39B1.07B1.32B1.28B478.40M
Operating Cash Flow1.58B1.51B1.20B1.42B1.39B597.50M
Investing Cash Flow889.70M-344.40M-725.90M-955.90M-1.34B-267.70M
Financing Cash Flow-1.41B-1.15B-450.10M-418.60M-168.90M-216.90M

Unum Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price69.86
Price Trends
50DMA
75.31
Negative
100DMA
76.91
Negative
200DMA
75.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.62
Negative
RSI
41.30
Neutral
STOCH
51.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UNM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 69.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.63, below the 50-day MA of 75.31, and below the 200-day MA of 75.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for UNM.

Unum Group Risk Analysis

Unum Group disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Unum Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Unum Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.65B14.128.40%2.52%1.78%0.77%
78
Outperform
$11.34B11.1820.02%0.73%4.02%13.01%
71
Outperform
$8.14B7.4912.97%4.19%11.33%-38.17%
71
Outperform
$8.72B13.3431.95%1.49%5.70%61.69%
69
Neutral
$11.90B8.3613.95%2.46%1.69%22.65%
68
Neutral
$17.90B11.8610.29%3.72%9.74%1.66%
63
Neutral
$6.88B82.500.30%3.04%27.18%-100.02%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UNM
Unum Group
69.86
16.08
29.90%
LNC
Lincoln National
42.93
12.95
43.20%
PRI
Primerica
269.34
12.50
4.87%
GL
Globe Life
139.95
35.68
34.22%
JXN
Jackson Financial Incorporation
98.80
16.07
19.42%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc
34.57
-6.80
-16.44%

Unum Group Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Unum Group Completes Major Transaction with Fortitude Re
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Unum Group announced the completion of a significant transaction with Fortitude Reinsurance Company Ltd., as outlined in their Master Transaction Agreement from February 26, 2025. This transaction involved Unum Life Insurance Company of America ceding a 100% quota share of its closed block individual long-term care business and individual disability business to Fortitude Reinsurance, impacting $3.4 billion in statutory reserves and $120 million of in-force premium respectively, effective January 1, 2025.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Unum Group Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting, Elects Directors
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Unum Group held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where key decisions were made. Shareholders elected eleven directors for one-year terms, approved executive compensation, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and endorsed the Unum European Holding Company Limited SAYE Share Option Scheme 2025. These decisions reflect continued shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic initiatives, potentially strengthening its market position and operational stability.

Dividends
Unum Group Increases Quarterly Dividend by 10%
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Unum Group announced that its Board of Directors has authorized a 10% increase in the quarterly dividend on its common stock, setting the new rate at 46 cents per share, effective in the third quarter of 2025. This decision reflects the company’s strong financial performance and commitment to delivering value to its shareholders, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025