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Unum Group (UNM)
NYSE:UNM

Unum Group (UNM) AI Stock Analysis

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UNM

Unum Group

(NYSE:UNM)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$78.00
▼(-1.56% Downside)
Unum Group's overall stock score is primarily influenced by stable financial performance and strategic corporate events. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and challenges in profitability and cash flow generation weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Strong Market Position
Unum's premium growth across segments indicates a strong market position and high levels of persistency, which are crucial for long-term stability and competitiveness.
Robust Capital Position
A robust capital position provides Unum with the flexibility to pursue strategic actions and return capital to shareholders, supporting long-term financial health.
Share Repurchase Program
The new share repurchase program reflects confidence in the company's financial health and can enhance shareholder value over the long term.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability Margins
Declining profitability margins can impact Unum's ability to generate sufficient returns, affecting long-term financial performance and investor confidence.
Significant Reserve Increases
Significant reserve increases indicate potential future liabilities and can strain financial resources, impacting Unum's long-term profitability and stability.
Decline in Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow growth suggests potential liquidity challenges, which could limit Unum's ability to invest in growth opportunities and return capital to shareholders.

Unum Group (UNM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Unum Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnum Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial protection benefit solutions primarily in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Poland. It operates through Unum US, Unum International, Colonial Life, and Closed Block segments. The company offers group long-term and short-term disability, group life, and accidental death and dismemberment products; supplemental and voluntary products, such as individual disability, voluntary benefits, and dental and vision products; and accident, sickness, disability, life, and cancer and critical illness products. It also provides group pension, individual life and corporate-owned life insurance, reinsurance pools and management operations, and other products. The company sells its products primarily to employers for the benefit of employees. Unum Group sells its products through field sales personnel, independent brokers, consultants, and independent contractor agency sales force. The company was founded in 1848 and is based in Chattanooga, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyUnum Group generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance products. The company earns money by collecting premiums from policyholders in exchange for coverage. Key revenue streams include group long-term disability insurance, group life insurance, and supplemental health products. Unum also invests the premiums collected in various financial instruments, generating investment income. Additionally, the company benefits from partnerships with employers, providing tailored employee benefits packages that enhance employee retention and satisfaction. Factors such as the growth of the workforce, increasing awareness of the importance of disability and life insurance, and strong relationships with brokers and employers contribute to Unum's earnings.

Unum Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong premium growth, a successful LTC reinsurance transaction, and a robust capital position. However, challenges included earnings per share falling below expectations and significant reserve increases in the Closed Block, driven by changes in morbidity and mortality assumptions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Premium Growth
Year-to-date solid premium growth was up 4%, with Unum US growing nearly 4%, Colonial Life up over 3%, and International delivering 10% growth. This reflects a strong market position and high levels of persistency.
Successful LTC Reinsurance Transaction
Unum completed a milestone long-term care reinsurance transaction with Fortitude Re, which ceded 20% of LTC reserves, showcasing the company's ability to execute in the market.
Robust Capital Position
The company maintained a holding company liquidity of $2 billion and an RBC ratio of over 450%, both well above targets, providing flexibility to pursue strategic actions and return capital to shareholders.
Strong Shareholder Returns
Through the first 9 months of 2025, nearly $1 billion was returned to shareholders, including $750 million in share repurchases and $230 million in dividends.
Negative Updates
Earnings Per Share Below Expectations
Earnings per share of $2.09 fell below expectations, primarily due to volatility in the Closed Block.
Closed Block Reserve Increase
The reserve assumption review led to a net increase in reserves of $478.5 million pretax, with a significant portion attributable to long-term care.
Impact of Morbidity and Mortality Assumptions
The removal of morbidity and mortality improvement assumptions added $850 million to reserves, creating modeling uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During the Unum Group's 3Q 2025 earnings call, the company provided various metrics reflecting its financial performance and strategic directions. Year-to-date premium growth was reported at 4%, contributing to industry-leading margins and robust capital generation. Despite earnings per share of $2.09 falling short of expectations due to volatility in the Closed Block, core businesses exceeded projections with a return on equity for core operations near 20%, and an aggregate return on equity of 11.3%. Premium growth was robust across segments, with Unum US up nearly 4%, Colonial Life over 3%, and International at 10%. The company completed a long-term care reinsurance transaction, ceding 20% of LTC reserves, and announced a series of strategic actions to manage the Closed Block, including a reserve increase of $378 million after-tax. Additionally, Unum returned nearly $1 billion to shareholders through $750 million in share repurchases and $230 million in dividends, maintaining a strong capital position with an RBC ratio exceeding 450% and holding company liquidity of $2 billion.

Unum Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Unum Group exhibits strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and cash flow generation is robust. However, operational efficiency as indicated by the negative EBIT margin in the TTM period needs attention.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Unum Group has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 99.8%, indicating robust business expansion. The gross profit margin is high at 84.23% for TTM, showcasing effective cost management. However, the EBIT margin is negative in the TTM period, reflecting operational challenges. Net profit margin remains healthy at 11.80% for TTM, but slightly lower than the previous annual report. Overall, the income statement reflects strong revenue growth and profitability, though operational efficiency needs improvement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33 in the TTM period, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is solid at 13.67% for TTM, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 18.01%, suggesting a stable capital structure. While the balance sheet shows financial stability, the equity ratio indicates potential room for strengthening equity base.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Unum Group's cash flow performance is strong, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 60.6% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.94, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 91.54%, demonstrating effective conversion of profits into cash. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects strong liquidity and cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.98B12.79B12.31B11.88B11.84B13.15B
Gross Profit3.77B4.74B4.03B3.93B3.32B3.09B
EBITDA1.49B2.57B1.94B2.05B1.57B1.27B
Net Income913.10M1.78B1.28B1.41B981.00M793.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets63.68B61.96B63.26B61.15B70.12B70.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.12B38.33B38.59B36.35B1.46B45.80B
Total Debt3.75B3.74B3.43B3.43B3.44B3.35B
Total Liabilities52.77B51.00B53.60B52.41B58.70B59.75B
Stockholders Equity10.91B10.96B9.65B8.73B11.42B10.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow689.10M1.39B1.07B1.32B1.28B478.40M
Operating Cash Flow815.60M1.51B1.20B1.42B1.39B597.50M
Investing Cash Flow820.10M-344.40M-725.90M-955.90M-1.34B-267.70M
Financing Cash Flow-1.47B-1.15B-450.10M-418.60M-168.90M-216.90M

Unum Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price79.24
Price Trends
50DMA
75.82
Positive
100DMA
74.29
Positive
200DMA
76.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.71
Negative
RSI
65.45
Neutral
STOCH
93.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UNM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 79.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.81, above the 50-day MA of 75.82, and above the 200-day MA of 76.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UNM.

Unum Group Risk Analysis

Unum Group disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Unum Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Unum Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.19B9.3010.12%2.92%-4.58%
73
Outperform
$7.32B14.905.50%2.97%24.94%
72
Outperform
$8.26B11.8833.91%1.61%5.63%67.39%
71
Outperform
$8.78B4.1521.66%3.90%35.76%636.97%
68
Neutral
$11.12B10.1122.28%0.75%3.73%17.47%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$13.26B15.448.35%2.22%1.80%-44.44%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UNM
Unum Group
79.24
8.09
11.37%
LNC
Lincoln National
46.21
16.52
55.64%
PRI
Primerica
258.83
-7.23
-2.72%
GL
Globe Life
139.64
30.97
28.50%
JXN
Jackson Financial Incorporation
107.69
21.72
25.26%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc
31.15
-9.37
-23.12%

Unum Group Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Unum Group Announces New $1 Billion Buyback Program
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Unum Group announced that its Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program, allowing the company to buy back up to $1 billion of its common stock starting January 1, 2026. This move, which follows the termination of the current program on December 31, 2025, reflects Unum’s strategic financial management and could impact its market positioning and shareholder value.

Private Placements and Financing
Unum Group Completes $300 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Unum Group announced the completion of a $300 million offering of senior notes due in 2035, with a 5.250% annual coupon rate. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, including replacing cash used to repay $275 million of senior notes that matured on November 5, 2025. This financial move is expected to support Unum Group’s ongoing operations and financial stability, potentially enhancing its market position and providing reassurance to stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025