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Primerica (PRI)
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Primerica (PRI) AI Stock Analysis

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PRI

Primerica

(NYSE:PRI)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$293.00
â–²(7.23% Upside)
Primerica's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and reasonable valuation, supported by positive earnings call highlights. However, technical indicators suggest a neutral market sentiment, and challenges in specific segments like term life insurance policies may pose risks.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Primerica reported another good quarter with operating EPS above consensus, driven by strong ISP results.
Revenue Growth
Sales of $3.6B were above estimates and up 28% year-over-year, benefiting from demand for mutual funds, annuities and managed accounts.
Negative Factors
Cost-of-Living Pressures
Cost-of-living pressures continue to weigh on term life results.
Market Conditions
Investors have questioned PRI's ability to grow in an environment that features weaker and more volatile equity markets and economic pressures on its mass market customer base.

Primerica (PRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Primerica Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimerica, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products to middle-income households in the United States and Canada. The company operates in four segments: Term Life Insurance; Investment and Savings Products; Senior Health; and Corporate and Other Distributed Products. The Term Life Insurance segment underwrites individual term life insurance products. The Investment and Savings Products segment provides mutual funds and various retirement plans, managed investments, variable and fixed annuities, and fixed indexed annuities. The Senior Health segment offers segregated funds; and medicare advantage and supplement products. The Corporate and Other Distributed Products segment provides mortgage loans; prepaid legal services that assist subscribers with legal matters, such as drafting wills, living wills and powers of attorney, trial defense, and motor vehicle-related matters; ID theft defense services; auto and homeowners' insurance; home automation solutions; and insurance products, including supplemental health, accidental death, and disability for small businesses. It distributes and sells its products through a network of 129,515 licensed sales representatives. Primerica, Inc. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimerica generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of financial products and services. The company's key revenue sources include life insurance premiums, investment product sales, and fees from financial planning services. Primerica earns commissions on the life insurance policies sold by its representatives, as well as on mutual funds and other investment products. Additionally, the company benefits from a robust multi-level marketing structure, where representatives earn commissions not only on their sales but also on the sales made by agents they recruit. This model incentivizes representatives to expand their networks, driving additional revenue. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and investment firms also enhance Primerica's product offerings, further contributing to its earnings.

Primerica Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with significant growth in investment and savings products, recruiting, and mortgage business. However, challenges were noted in the decline of term life insurance policies, elevated lapse rates, and a decrease in new representatives compared to the previous year. The overall sentiment is balanced with positive growth in some segments and challenges in others.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted net operating income was $180 million, up 6% year-over-year, while diluted adjusted operating EPS increased 10% to $5.46.
Investment and Savings Products (ISP) Growth
ISP sales grew 15% to $3.5 billion, with net inflows at $487 million versus $227 million in the prior year. Client asset values were up 14% to $120 billion.
Robust Recruiting and Sales Force Growth
Over 80,000 recruits and nearly 13,000 new representatives were added, with life-licensed representatives increasing by 5% compared to June 2024.
Strong Mortgage Business Performance
U.S. mortgage closed loan volume increased by 33% year-over-year, and Canadian referral program closed loan volume increased by 30%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Term Life Insurance Policies
The number of new life insurance policies issued declined 11%, and the face amount issued declined 9% year-over-year.
Elevated Lapse Rates
Overall lapse rates remained elevated, driven by cost of living pressures, impacting the Term Life segment.
Recruitment Decline Compared to Previous Year
The number of newly licensed representatives was down 10% from the second quarter record set last year.
Methodology Correction for Canadian Mutual Funds
A need to correct the methodology for calculating outflows and market value for Canadian mutual fund assets was identified, though it did not impact financial statements.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Primerica reported strong financial results, with adjusted net operating income rising 6% year-over-year to $180 million and diluted adjusted operating EPS increasing by 10% to $5.46. The company returned $163 million to shareholders through $129 million in share repurchases and $34 million in dividends. Primerica recruited over 80,000 individuals and licensed nearly 13,000 new representatives, ending the quarter with 152,592 Life-licensed representatives, a 5% increase from June 2024. The company issued 89,850 new term life insurance policies, though this was an 11% decline year-over-year, with a total face amount in force reaching a record $968 billion. The Investment Savings Products (ISP) segment saw total sales grow 15% to $3.5 billion, with net inflows of $487 million, and client asset values increasing by 14% year-over-year to $120 billion. Mortgage business in the U.S. showed a 33% increase in closed loan volume, totaling $133 million. Despite the pressure on new life sales, Primerica remains optimistic about its long-term growth potential and continues to focus on expanding its sales force and returning capital to stockholders.

Primerica Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Primerica demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, with solid margins and return on equity. However, the recent decline in revenue and free cash flow growth, coupled with a moderate debt level, suggests potential challenges ahead.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Primerica's income statement shows a robust EBIT and EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational efficiency. However, the recent revenue decline in the TTM period is a concern, suggesting potential market challenges. Despite this, the company maintains a healthy net profit margin, reflecting effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which is manageable but slightly elevated compared to previous years. The return on equity is strong, demonstrating effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio indicates a moderate reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if market conditions worsen.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, which could impact future investments and dividends. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. However, the recent negative free cash flow growth rate is a concern that needs monitoring.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.19B3.15B2.82B2.72B2.77B2.28B
Gross Profit1.97B1.31B2.48B1.53B2.77B2.28B
EBITDA1.34B987.68M2.60B681.39M703.98M553.27M
Net Income678.84M470.52M576.60M472.07M477.36M386.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.83B14.58B15.03B15.35B16.12B14.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.72B1.68B1.62B3.05B3.18B3.01B
Total Debt1.91B1.95B2.04B2.08B2.04B1.77B
Total Liabilities12.52B12.32B12.96B13.63B14.03B13.07B
Stockholders Equity2.31B2.26B2.07B1.72B2.08B1.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow809.07M832.86M658.62M731.86M632.27M615.79M
Operating Cash Flow837.95M862.09M692.52M757.66M656.96M643.42M
Investing Cash Flow-276.21M-232.25M-90.05M-200.05M-923.38M-53.53M
Financing Cash Flow-568.35M-551.14M-479.62M-457.85M107.97M-301.79M

Primerica Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price273.25
Price Trends
50DMA
265.81
Positive
100DMA
264.81
Positive
200DMA
272.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.13
Negative
RSI
59.91
Neutral
STOCH
82.80
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 273.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 265.80, above the 50-day MA of 265.81, and above the 200-day MA of 272.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PRI.

Primerica Risk Analysis

Primerica disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Primerica reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Primerica Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.75B14.298.40%2.52%1.78%0.77%
78
Outperform
$11.46B11.2320.02%0.73%4.02%13.01%
71
Outperform
$8.87B13.5631.95%1.47%5.70%61.69%
71
Outperform
$8.19B7.5512.97%4.16%11.33%-38.17%
69
Neutral
$12.44B8.7113.95%2.36%1.69%22.65%
68
Neutral
$18.06B11.9710.24%3.74%9.75%1.30%
63
Neutral
$6.84B82.500.30%3.06%27.18%-100.02%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRI
Primerica
273.25
21.94
8.73%
LNC
Lincoln National
42.11
14.25
51.15%
GL
Globe Life
139.81
38.16
37.54%
UNM
Unum Group
73.76
20.87
39.46%
JXN
Jackson Financial Incorporation
95.42
16.35
20.68%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc
34.50
-4.92
-12.48%

Primerica Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Primerica Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Primerica announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a 7% year-over-year increase in adjusted operating revenues to $796.0 million and a 6% rise in adjusted net operating income to $180.4 million. Despite a decrease in net income compared to the previous year due to non-recurring items in 2024, the company showed strong growth in its Investment and Savings Products segment, with sales reaching $3.5 billion, a 15% increase. The life-licensed sales force grew by 5% year-over-year, reflecting the company’s ongoing appeal to individuals seeking flexible career paths. These results underscore Primerica’s resilience and strength in navigating economic uncertainties, positioning it as a robust player in the financial services sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025