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Primerica (PRI)
NYSE:PRI
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Primerica (PRI) AI Stock Analysis

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PRI

Primerica

(NYSE:PRI)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$292.00
â–˛(11.09% Upside)
Primerica's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's robust profitability and effective cash flow management are significant strengths. However, technical analysis indicates potential bearish momentum, and valuation metrics suggest moderate pricing. Despite challenges in the Term Life segment, the company's long-term growth prospects remain optimistic.
Positive Factors
Capital Returns
Capital return remains strong and steady, with the company returning a significant portion of adjusted net operating income.
Earnings Performance
Primerica reported another good quarter with operating EPS above consensus, driven by strong ISP results.
Financial Stability
Management highlighted Primerica's unique distribution model with low balance sheet risk, strong earnings growth, ROE, and FCF conversions.
Negative Factors
Growth Challenges
EPS growth decelerated despite favorable market conditions and high share buybacks.
Market Volatility
Investors have questioned PRI's ability to grow in an environment that features weaker and more volatile equity markets and economic pressures on its mass market customer base.
Productivity Decline
PRI posted year-over-year declines in recruiting and productivity, citing growing economic uncertainty.

Primerica (PRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Primerica Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimerica, Inc. is a financial services company headquartered in Duluth, Georgia, specializing in providing financial products and services to middle-income families. The company operates primarily in the sectors of life insurance, investment, and financial planning, offering products such as term life insurance, mutual funds, annuities, and debt management services. Through a network of independent representatives, Primerica aims to empower clients to achieve financial independence by educating them about their finances and offering tailored solutions to meet their needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimerica generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of financial products and services. The company's key revenue sources include life insurance premiums, investment product sales, and fees from financial planning services. Primerica earns commissions on the life insurance policies sold by its representatives, as well as on mutual funds and other investment products. Additionally, the company benefits from a robust multi-level marketing structure, where representatives earn commissions not only on their sales but also on the sales made by agents they recruit. This model incentivizes representatives to expand their networks, driving additional revenue. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and investment firms also enhance Primerica's product offerings, further contributing to its earnings.

Primerica Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.96%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with robust growth in the ISP segment and successful capital returns to stockholders. However, challenges were evident in the decline of Term Life insurance sales, elevated lapse rates, and recruiting difficulties. The company remains optimistic about long-term growth despite these headwinds.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted net operating income reached $180 million, a 6% increase year-over-year, with diluted adjusted operating EPS up 10% to $5.46.
Robust ISP Sales Growth
Total sales in the Investment Savings Products (ISP) segment rose by 15% to $3.5 billion, with net inflows of $487 million compared to $227 million in the prior year.
Record Capital Return to Stockholders
The company returned $163 million to stockholders through $129 million in share repurchases and $34 million in dividends.
Mortgage Business Growth
Closed loan volume in the U.S. increased by 33% year-over-year to $133 million, and Canada's referral program closed $45 million, up 30% from the previous year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Term Life Insurance Sales
The number of new policies issued decreased by 11%, and the face amount issued declined by 9% year-over-year, attributed to cost of living pressures and economic uncertainty.
Elevated Lapse Rates in Term Life
Lapse rates remained elevated, driven by cost of living pressures, impacting middle-income families.
Recruiting Challenges
Licensed representatives recruited nearly 13,000 new representatives, down 10% from the second quarter record set last year.
Correction in Canadian Mutual Funds Methodology
A need to correct the methodology for calculating outflows and market value for Canadian mutual fund assets was discovered, impacting net flows.
Company Guidance
During Primerica's Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial metrics, including a 6% year-over-year increase in adjusted net operating income to $180 million and a 10% rise in diluted adjusted operating EPS to $5.46. The company returned $163 million to stockholders through share repurchases and dividends. Recruitment efforts were strong, with over 80,000 new recruits and nearly 13,000 newly licensed representatives, though down 10% from the previous year's record. Life insurance policies issued declined by 11% year-over-year, but the total face amount in force reached a record $968 billion. Investment and Savings Products (ISP) sales surged 15% to $3.5 billion, and client asset values increased 14% to $120 billion, with expectations for full-year ISP sales growth exceeding 10%. The mortgage business also showed significant growth, with U.S. closed loan volume up 33% year-over-year. The company maintained a strong capital position, with Primerica Life's estimated RBC ratio at 490%, and reiterated its full-year expense growth outlook of 6% to 8%.

Primerica Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Primerica demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability, effective leverage management, and solid cash flow generation. Despite some data irregularities, particularly in revenue reporting for 2024, the company's financial performance is commendable, demonstrating resilience and stability in the life insurance industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Primerica's income statement reflects strong profitability and growth. The TTM gross profit margin is robust at 58.3%, and the net profit margin stands at 21.2%, indicating healthy operational efficiency. However, the dramatic drop in reported annual revenue for 2024 suggests a data anomaly. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 38.8% and 28.1% respectively in TTM, underscoring effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86, suggesting manageable leverage. ROE for TTM is impressive at 22.2%, highlighting effective use of equity financing. The equity ratio is moderate at 15.5%, reflecting a well-balanced capital structure. Overall, the company maintains strong asset and liability management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flows are strong, with the TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio at 1.69, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is stable, and the free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.65, further emphasizing robust cash generation capabilities. The company efficiently manages its cash flow, supporting ongoing operations and growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.20B3.09B2.82B2.72B2.71B2.22B
Gross Profit2.20B1.31B2.48B2.40B2.41B1.97B
EBITDA1.11B987.68M2.60B681.39M703.98M553.27M
Net Income501.67M470.52M576.60M373.01M373.36M386.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.59B14.58B15.03B15.35B16.12B14.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.73B1.68B1.62B3.05B3.18B3.01B
Total Debt1.93B1.95B2.04B2.08B2.04B1.77B
Total Liabilities12.33B12.32B12.96B13.63B14.03B13.07B
Stockholders Equity2.26B2.26B2.07B1.72B2.08B1.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow819.09M832.86M658.62M731.86M632.27M615.79M
Operating Cash Flow848.66M862.09M692.52M757.66M656.96M643.42M
Investing Cash Flow-244.71M-232.25M-90.05M-200.05M-923.38M-53.53M
Financing Cash Flow-569.69M-551.14M-479.62M-457.85M107.97M-301.79M

Primerica Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price262.84
Price Trends
50DMA
265.16
Negative
100DMA
266.26
Negative
200DMA
274.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.26
Negative
RSI
48.67
Neutral
STOCH
49.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 262.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 263.66, below the 50-day MA of 265.16, and below the 200-day MA of 274.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRI.

Primerica Risk Analysis

Primerica disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Primerica reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Primerica Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$4.78B14.508.40%2.46%1.78%0.77%
74
Outperform
$11.22B11.0720.02%0.73%4.02%13.01%
72
Outperform
$8.56B13.0931.95%1.48%5.70%61.69%
71
Outperform
$7.53B6.9312.97%4.39%11.33%-38.17%
69
Neutral
$11.98B8.4213.95%2.43%1.69%22.65%
62
Neutral
AU$10.42B9.8713.11%4.72%32.06%21.38%
61
Neutral
$6.57B82.500.30%3.11%27.18%-100.02%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRI
Primerica
262.84
8.20
3.22%
LNC
Lincoln National
40.98
11.97
41.26%
GL
Globe Life
138.56
43.43
45.65%
UNM
Unum Group
70.89
17.73
33.35%
JXN
Jackson Financial Incorporation
96.45
11.97
14.17%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc
35.33
-4.17
-10.56%

Primerica Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Primerica Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Primerica announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a 7% year-over-year increase in adjusted operating revenues to $796.0 million and a 6% rise in adjusted net operating income to $180.4 million. Despite a decrease in net income compared to the previous year due to non-recurring items in 2024, the company showed strong growth in its Investment and Savings Products segment, with sales reaching $3.5 billion, a 15% increase. The life-licensed sales force grew by 5% year-over-year, reflecting the company’s ongoing appeal to individuals seeking flexible career paths. These results underscore Primerica’s resilience and strength in navigating economic uncertainties, positioning it as a robust player in the financial services sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRI) stock is a Buy with a $340.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primerica stock, see the PRI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Primerica Concludes 2025 Annual Stockholders’ Meeting
Neutral
May 15, 2025

Primerica held its 2025 annual stockholders’ meeting on May 14, 2025, where 90% of the outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, several key proposals were addressed: the election of board members, approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRI) stock is a Buy with a $340.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primerica stock, see the PRI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 15, 2025