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Primerica (PRI)
NYSE:PRI

Primerica (PRI) AI Stock Analysis

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Primerica

(NYSE:PRI)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$294.00
â–˛(12.97%Upside)
Primerica's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and reasonably good valuation. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and challenges highlighted in the earnings call, such as recruiting difficulties, impact the score. The strong earnings performance and strategic growth in specific segments provide a foundation for future potential.
Positive Factors
Business Model
PRI has a uniquely capital-light business model and stronger growth profile relative to the Life Insurance peers.
Earnings
PRI reported earnings beats across all segments, strong sales and flows in ISP and a higher operating margin in Term Life.
Financial Performance
Earnings of $81 million in Investment & Savings Products were above the consensus expectation of $74 million.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
Investors have questioned PRI's ability to grow in an environment that features weaker and more volatile equity markets and economic pressures on its mass market customer base.
Momentum
Momentum will slow from here due to high correlation with equity markets.
Productivity
PRI posted year-over-year declines in recruiting and productivity, citing growing economic uncertainty.

Primerica (PRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Primerica Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimerica, Inc. (NYSE: PRI) is a leading financial services company headquartered in Duluth, Georgia. The company operates primarily in the United States and Canada, focusing on the middle-income market segment. Primerica provides a range of financial products and services, including term life insurance, mutual funds, annuities, and other financial products. The company’s mission is to help families become financially independent, offering education and customized solutions to meet their financial needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimerica makes money primarily through the distribution of financial products and services via its extensive sales force of independent representatives. The company's revenue model is based on commissions and fees earned from the sale of term life insurance policies, investment and savings products, and other financial solutions. Primerica earns a significant portion of its income from the sales and renewal of term life insurance policies, which provide a steady stream of revenue over time. Additionally, Primerica earns revenue from its investment and savings products, including mutual funds and annuities, through asset management fees and commissions. The company benefits from its large network of licensed representatives who sell these products, enabling wide market reach and customer acquisition. Furthermore, Primerica's strategic partnerships with financial institutions and product providers enhance its ability to offer diverse financial solutions, contributing to its overall earnings.

Primerica Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and significant growth in the Investment and Savings Products segment and mortgage business. However, challenges were noted in recruiting, new life licenses, and term life sales due to economic uncertainty and cost of living pressures. Overall, while there are significant achievements, the challenges faced indicate a more cautious outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Results Amid Economic Uncertainty
Adjusted net operating income for the quarter was $168 million, up 14% year-over-year, while diluted adjusted operating EPS increased 20% to $5.02.
Investment and Savings Products Segment Growth
Total sales during the quarter were $3.6 billion, up 28% year-over-year. Net inflows were very strong at $839 million versus $274 million in the prior year period.
Mortgage Business Performance
In the U.S., closed loans reached $93.5 million, up 31%. In Canada, closed loans were $43.3 million, up 78%.
Strong Capital Position
Primerica Life estimated RBC ratio was 470%, with the holding company ending the quarter with $407 million in cash and invested assets.
Shareholder Returns
Returned $153 million to stockholders through $118 million in share repurchases and $35 million in regular dividends.
Negative Updates
Decline in Recruiting and New Life Licenses
Recruited a total of 100,867 individuals, representing a 9% decline year-over-year. New life licenses declined 5% versus the prior year period.
Challenges in Term Life Sales
Issued 86,415 new Term Life policies, with productivity at 0.19 policies per rep, just below the historical range.
Economic Headwinds Impacting Sales
Economic uncertainty and cost of living pressures have impacted Term Life insurance sales and recruiting.
Resistance in Investment Sales Momentum
Since April, there has been some resistance to investment sales momentum due to continued market volatility and broader economic uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During the Primerica First Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the year. Primerica reported an adjusted net operating income of $168 million, a 14% increase year-over-year, and a diluted adjusted operating EPS of $5.02, up 20%. The company returned $153 million to shareholders through $118 million in share repurchases and $35 million in dividends. Despite a 9% decline in recruiting and a 5% decrease in new life licenses, the total number of life-licensed representatives grew 7% compared to March 2024. Primerica issued 86,415 new Term Life policies, representing $28 billion in new protection, with productivity slightly below historical levels at 0.19 policies per rep. The ISP segment saw strong growth, with total sales of $3.6 billion, a 28% increase year-over-year, and net inflows of $839 million. The company maintains a full-year sales growth expectation in the mid-to-high single digits for 2025. In the Mortgage business, U.S. closed loans were up 31% to $93.5 million, and Canadian closed loans increased by 78% to $43.3 million. Primerica emphasized its resilient business model, with a focus on financial education and support for middle-income families, and highlighted plans to grow its sales force by around 3% in 2025.

Primerica Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Primerica demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability, effective leverage management, and solid cash flow generation. Despite some data irregularities, particularly in revenue reporting for 2024, the company's financial performance is commendable, demonstrating resilience and stability in the life insurance industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Primerica's income statement reflects strong profitability and growth. The TTM gross profit margin is robust at 58.3%, and the net profit margin stands at 21.2%, indicating healthy operational efficiency. However, the dramatic drop in reported annual revenue for 2024 suggests a data anomaly. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 38.8% and 28.1% respectively in TTM, underscoring effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86, suggesting manageable leverage. ROE for TTM is impressive at 22.2%, highlighting effective use of equity financing. The equity ratio is moderate at 15.5%, reflecting a well-balanced capital structure. Overall, the company maintains strong asset and liability management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flows are strong, with the TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio at 1.69, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is stable, and the free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.65, further emphasizing robust cash generation capabilities. The company efficiently manages its cash flow, supporting ongoing operations and growth.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.37B-62.65M2.82B2.72B2.71B2.22B
Gross Profit
1.38B0.002.48B2.40B2.41B1.97B
EBIT
917.73M1.03B1.79B526.02M437.97M445.66M
EBITDA
664.88M962.65M2.60B681.39M703.98M553.27M
Net Income Common Stockholders
501.67M470.52M576.60M373.01M373.36M386.16M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.18B3.63B1.62B3.05B3.18B3.01B
Total Assets
16.12B14.58B15.03B15.35B16.12B14.91B
Total Debt
2.04B1.95B2.04B2.08B2.04B1.77B
Net Debt
1.65B1.27B1.43B1.59B1.65B1.23B
Total Liabilities
14.03B12.32B12.96B13.63B14.03B13.07B
Stockholders Equity
2.08B2.26B2.07B1.72B2.08B1.84B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
827.74M832.86M658.62M731.86M632.27M615.79M
Operating Cash Flow
848.51M862.09M692.52M757.66M656.96M643.42M
Investing Cash Flow
-244.71M-232.25M-90.05M-200.05M-923.38M-53.53M
Financing Cash Flow
-569.69M-551.14M-479.62M-457.85M107.97M-301.79M

Primerica Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price260.24
Price Trends
50DMA
265.09
Negative
100DMA
274.96
Negative
200DMA
274.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.71
Positive
RSI
41.55
Neutral
STOCH
33.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 260.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 270.57, below the 50-day MA of 265.09, and below the 200-day MA of 274.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRI.

Primerica Risk Analysis

Primerica disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Primerica reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Primerica Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UNUNM
79
Outperform
$14.21B9.6114.68%2.06%1.69%25.54%
GLGL
74
Outperform
$9.91B9.7720.47%0.82%5.41%16.60%
PRPRI
74
Outperform
$8.92B18.3223.87%1.43%10.18%-9.75%
FGFG
70
Outperform
$4.48B8.9912.72%2.59%-1.72%95.91%
JXJXN
69
Neutral
$5.97B81.381.24%3.49%3.55%8.91%
64
Neutral
$12.83B9.787.78%16985.64%12.26%-7.81%
LNLNC
61
Neutral
$5.69B4.7416.91%5.38%8.31%-2.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRI
Primerica
260.24
40.04
18.18%
LNC
Lincoln National
33.32
3.47
11.62%
GL
Globe Life
120.09
39.74
49.46%
UNM
Unum Group
78.80
30.14
61.94%
JXN
Jackson Financial Incorporation
84.23
12.74
17.82%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc
32.15
-5.98
-15.68%

Primerica Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Primerica Concludes 2025 Annual Stockholders’ Meeting
Neutral
May 15, 2025

Primerica held its 2025 annual stockholders’ meeting on May 14, 2025, where 90% of the outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, several key proposals were addressed: the election of board members, approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRI) stock is a Buy with a $340.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primerica stock, see the PRI Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Primerica Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Primerica, Inc. announced its financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025. The company reported a 9% increase in total revenues to $804.8 million, with net income rising 14% to $169.1 million compared to the previous year. The life-licensed sales force grew by 7% year-over-year, and investment and savings product sales reached a record $3.6 billion, up 28%. The results reflect the strength of Primerica’s business model and its ability to attract new recruits, despite economic uncertainties impacting productivity.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.