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Primerica (PRI)
NYSE:PRI

Primerica (PRI) AI Stock Analysis

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Primerica

(NYSE:PRI)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$305.00
â–˛( 12.10% Upside)
Primerica's strong financial performance and strategic growth in its ISP and mortgage segments are key strengths, providing a solid foundation. However, technical analysis indicates potential resistance, and challenges in recruiting and term life sales suggest caution. Overall, the company's robust financial health and growth prospects slightly outweigh market and operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
PRI reported earnings beats across all segments, strong sales and flows in ISP and a higher operating margin in Term Life.
Sales Growth
Sales of $3.6B were above estimates and up 28% year-over-year, benefiting from demand for mutual funds, annuities and managed accounts.
Segment Growth
Stable Term Life segment and continued growth in I&S Products segment should support the share price going forward.
Negative Factors
Economic Uncertainty
PRI posted year-over-year declines in recruiting and productivity, citing growing economic uncertainty.
Equity Market Correlation
Momentum will slow from here due to high correlation with equity markets.
Term Life Expenses
Term Life remains weak from higher cost of living and investment income growth is likely to slow.

Primerica (PRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Primerica Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimerica, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products to middle-income households in the United States and Canada. The company operates in four segments: Term Life Insurance; Investment and Savings Products; Senior Health; and Corporate and Other Distributed Products. The Term Life Insurance segment underwrites individual term life insurance products. The Investment and Savings Products segment provides mutual funds and various retirement plans, managed investments, variable and fixed annuities, and fixed indexed annuities. The Senior Health segment offers segregated funds; and medicare advantage and supplement products. The Corporate and Other Distributed Products segment provides mortgage loans; prepaid legal services that assist subscribers with legal matters, such as drafting wills, living wills and powers of attorney, trial defense, and motor vehicle-related matters; ID theft defense services; auto and homeowners' insurance; home automation solutions; and insurance products, including supplemental health, accidental death, and disability for small businesses. It distributes and sells its products through a network of 129,515 licensed sales representatives. Primerica, Inc. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimerica makes money through a multi-level marketing (MLM) business model where independent representatives sell financial products and services directly to consumers. The company's primary source of revenue comes from the sale of term life insurance policies. Representatives also earn commissions by selling investment and savings products such as mutual funds and annuities. Primerica further earns income through fees associated with the management and administration of investment products. Additionally, the company benefits from its large sales force, which helps expand its customer base and increase product sales. Key partnerships with financial institutions and investment management firms also contribute to its revenue streams by providing a range of products that Primerica representatives can offer to clients.

Primerica Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Primerica shows strong financial performance with robust income growth and profitability. The balance sheet is solid with no debt, enhancing financial flexibility. Cash flows are strong, supporting potential future investments. Minor concerns exist with reduced total assets and equity, but these are offset by improved cash and profit margins.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Primerica's income statement shows strong growth and profitability. The gross profit margin is consistently high, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin for 2024 was robust, though there was a decrease in net income compared to 2023. Revenue growth has been positive, highlighting a strong upward trend. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating stable operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid, with no outstanding debt in 2024, which significantly strengthens the company's financial position. The equity ratio is stable, and ROE is strong, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder equity. However, the decrease in total assets and stockholders' equity from 2023 is a slight concern, though it is balanced by the reduction in liabilities.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow is robust, with strong operating cash flow relative to net income, indicating good cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow growth is positive, supporting potential future investments or distributions. The cash flow statement reflects a consistent ability to generate cash efficiently, which is crucial for stability and future growth.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.09B2.82B2.72B2.71B2.22B
Gross Profit
3.09B2.48B2.40B2.41B1.97B
EBIT
1.03B1.79B526.02M437.97M445.66M
EBITDA
1.03B2.60B681.39M703.98M553.27M
Net Income Common Stockholders
470.52M576.60M373.01M373.36M386.16M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.68B1.62B3.05B3.18B3.01B
Total Assets
14.58B15.03B15.35B16.12B14.91B
Total Debt
1.95B2.04B2.08B2.04B1.77B
Net Debt
1.27B1.43B1.59B1.65B1.23B
Total Liabilities
12.32B12.96B13.63B14.03B13.07B
Stockholders Equity
2.26B2.07B1.72B2.08B1.84B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
832.86M658.62M731.86M632.27M615.79M
Operating Cash Flow
862.09M692.52M757.66M656.96M643.42M
Investing Cash Flow
-232.25M-90.05M-200.05M-923.38M-53.53M
Financing Cash Flow
-551.14M-479.62M-457.85M107.97M-301.79M

Primerica Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price272.08
Price Trends
50DMA
270.62
Positive
100DMA
276.60
Negative
200DMA
274.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.97
Negative
RSI
52.22
Neutral
STOCH
67.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 272.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 268.96, above the 50-day MA of 270.62, and below the 200-day MA of 274.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PRI.

Primerica Risk Analysis

Primerica disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Primerica reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Our U.S. mortgage brokerage business is impacted by U.S. mortgage interest rates. Changes in prevailing mortgage interest rates or U.S. monetary policies that affect mortgage interest rates could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. Q4, 2024

Primerica Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UNUNM
76
Outperform
$14.30B9.6714.68%2.05%1.69%25.54%
PRPRI
75
Outperform
$9.15B18.8023.87%1.29%10.18%-9.75%
GLGL
74
Outperform
$10.09B9.9420.47%0.81%5.41%16.60%
FGFG
70
Outperform
$4.36B8.7512.72%2.66%-1.72%95.91%
JXJXN
69
Neutral
$6.08B82.881.24%3.41%3.55%8.91%
LNLNC
64
Neutral
$5.85B4.8716.91%5.30%8.31%-2.30%
64
Neutral
$12.78B9.877.67%17015.06%12.34%-5.99%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRI
Primerica
272.08
44.56
19.59%
LNC
Lincoln National
32.62
2.54
8.44%
GL
Globe Life
120.20
35.40
41.75%
UNM
Unum Group
80.30
28.71
55.65%
JXN
Jackson Financial Incorporation
81.38
6.34
8.45%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc
31.98
-8.92
-21.81%

Primerica Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and significant growth in the Investment and Savings Products segment and mortgage business. However, challenges were noted in recruiting, new life licenses, and term life sales due to economic uncertainty and cost of living pressures. Overall, while there are significant achievements, the challenges faced indicate a more cautious outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Results Amid Economic Uncertainty
Adjusted net operating income for the quarter was $168 million, up 14% year-over-year, while diluted adjusted operating EPS increased 20% to $5.02.
Investment and Savings Products Segment Growth
Total sales during the quarter were $3.6 billion, up 28% year-over-year. Net inflows were very strong at $839 million versus $274 million in the prior year period.
Mortgage Business Performance
In the U.S., closed loans reached $93.5 million, up 31%. In Canada, closed loans were $43.3 million, up 78%.
Strong Capital Position
Primerica Life estimated RBC ratio was 470%, with the holding company ending the quarter with $407 million in cash and invested assets.
Shareholder Returns
Returned $153 million to stockholders through $118 million in share repurchases and $35 million in regular dividends.
Negative Updates
Decline in Recruiting and New Life Licenses
Recruited a total of 100,867 individuals, representing a 9% decline year-over-year. New life licenses declined 5% versus the prior year period.
Challenges in Term Life Sales
Issued 86,415 new Term Life policies, with productivity at 0.19 policies per rep, just below the historical range.
Economic Headwinds Impacting Sales
Economic uncertainty and cost of living pressures have impacted Term Life insurance sales and recruiting.
Resistance in Investment Sales Momentum
Since April, there has been some resistance to investment sales momentum due to continued market volatility and broader economic uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During the Primerica First Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the year. Primerica reported an adjusted net operating income of $168 million, a 14% increase year-over-year, and a diluted adjusted operating EPS of $5.02, up 20%. The company returned $153 million to shareholders through $118 million in share repurchases and $35 million in dividends. Despite a 9% decline in recruiting and a 5% decrease in new life licenses, the total number of life-licensed representatives grew 7% compared to March 2024. Primerica issued 86,415 new Term Life policies, representing $28 billion in new protection, with productivity slightly below historical levels at 0.19 policies per rep. The ISP segment saw strong growth, with total sales of $3.6 billion, a 28% increase year-over-year, and net inflows of $839 million. The company maintains a full-year sales growth expectation in the mid-to-high single digits for 2025. In the Mortgage business, U.S. closed loans were up 31% to $93.5 million, and Canadian closed loans increased by 78% to $43.3 million. Primerica emphasized its resilient business model, with a focus on financial education and support for middle-income families, and highlighted plans to grow its sales force by around 3% in 2025.

Primerica Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Primerica Concludes 2025 Annual Stockholders’ Meeting
Neutral
May 15, 2025

Primerica held its 2025 annual stockholders’ meeting on May 14, 2025, where 90% of the outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, several key proposals were addressed: the election of board members, approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRI) stock is a Buy with a $340.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primerica stock, see the PRI Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Primerica Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Primerica, Inc. announced its financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025. The company reported a 9% increase in total revenues to $804.8 million, with net income rising 14% to $169.1 million compared to the previous year. The life-licensed sales force grew by 7% year-over-year, and investment and savings product sales reached a record $3.6 billion, up 28%. The results reflect the strength of Primerica’s business model and its ability to attract new recruits, despite economic uncertainties impacting productivity.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.