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Metlife (MET)
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Metlife (MET) AI Stock Analysis

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MET

Metlife

(NYSE:MET)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$87.00
▲(14.25% Upside)
MetLife's overall stock score reflects a solid financial performance and positive earnings call insights, which are the most significant factors. The company's valuation is attractive, supported by a reasonable P/E ratio and a good dividend yield. However, technical analysis indicates some short-term weakness, and the decline in revenue growth remains a concern.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
The significant growth in earnings per share indicates strong operational performance and effective cost management, enhancing shareholder value.
Pension Risk Transfer Transactions
Record PRT transactions highlight MetLife's leadership in the pension risk transfer market, strengthening its competitive position and revenue base.
Asia Market Growth
Strong growth in the Asian market underscores MetLife's successful expansion strategy and potential for continued revenue diversification.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant decline in revenue growth can hinder future profitability and market competitiveness, necessitating strategic adjustments.
Impact of Mexican Tax Law
The Mexican tax law change introduces financial uncertainty and could negatively impact earnings in the Latin American segment.
Reinsurance Transactions Impact
Reinsurance transactions reducing earnings highlight potential risks in liability management, affecting long-term financial performance.

Metlife (MET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Metlife Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMetLife, Inc., a financial services company, provides insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management services worldwide. It operates through five segments: U.S.; Asia; Latin America; Europe, the Middle East and Africa; and MetLife Holdings. The company offers life, dental, group short-and long-term disability, individual disability, pet insurance, accidental death and dismemberment, vision, and accident and health coverages, as well as prepaid legal plans; administrative services-only arrangements to employers; and general and separate account, and synthetic guaranteed interest contracts, as well as private floating rate funding agreements. It also provides pension risk transfers, institutional income annuities, structured settlements, and capital markets investment products; and other products and services, such as life insurance products and funding agreements for funding postretirement benefits, as well as company, bank, or trust-owned life insurance used to finance nonqualified benefit programs for executives. In addition, it provides fixed, indexed-linked, and variable annuities; and pension products; regular savings products; whole and term life, endowments, universal and variable life, and group life products; longevity reinsurance solutions; credit insurance products; and protection against long-term health care services. MetLife, Inc. was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMetLife generates revenue primarily through premiums collected from its insurance and annuity products. The company offers life insurance, health insurance, and retirement services, with premiums being a significant source of income. Additionally, MetLife earns investment income from the assets it holds, which include bonds, stocks, and real estate, as it invests the premiums received. Another revenue stream comes from fees for asset management services, particularly within its retirement and employee benefit segments. MetLife also engages in partnerships with employers to provide group insurance products, enhancing its distribution channels and customer reach. Key factors contributing to its earnings include its strong brand presence, diversified product offerings, and strategic acquisitions that expand its market footprint.

Metlife Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in earnings, strong performance in the PRT and Asia segments, and efficient expense management. However, there were notable challenges, including the impact of the Mexican tax law change and reduced earnings from reinsurance transactions. Overall, the positive aspects of the results outweigh the negative ones.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
MetLife reported adjusted earnings of $1.6 billion or $2.37 per share, a 22% increase per share from the prior year period. Excluding notable items, adjusted earnings were $1.6 billion or $2.34 per share, a 21% increase from a year ago.
Record PRT Transactions
MetLife secured $12 billion of Pension Risk Transfer (PRT) transactions in the fourth quarter, making it a record quarter for the company.
Asia Sales Surge
Adjusted earnings in Asia were $473 million, a 36% increase from the prior year quarter. Sales surged 34% on a constant currency basis, driven by a 31% increase in Japan.
Strong Group Benefits Performance
Group Benefits adjusted earnings, excluding notable items, totaled $457 million, up 6% from a year ago, reflecting solid underwriting results.
High Return on Equity
MetLife generated an adjusted return on equity, excluding notables, of 16.7%, near the top of its target range of 15% to 17%.
Efficient Expense Management
The direct expense ratio was 11.6% in the third quarter, below the full-year target of 12.1%, due to productivity and efficiency gains.
Increased Value of New Business
In 2024, MetLife deployed $3.4 billion of capital to support new business origination with an average internal rate of return of 19% and a payback period of 5 years.
Negative Updates
Mexico Tax Law Impact
A change in the Mexican tax law resulted in an after-tax charge of $71 million in Q3 of 2025, with anticipated additional charges in Q4 and a reduction in Latin America adjusted earnings for 2026.
Impact of Reinsurance Transactions
The transfer of approximately $10 billion of RIS liabilities to Chariot Re in Q3 of '25 resulted in a reduction in adjusted earnings by $15 million to $20 million per quarter.
Higher Corporate and Other Losses
Corporate and Other reported an adjusted loss of $288 million for Q3 of '25 compared to a loss of $249 million in the same period last year, driven by market-related employee costs and higher interest payments.
Company Guidance
During the MetLife Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several metrics and insights regarding its performance and strategic initiatives. MetLife reported strong third quarter results with adjusted earnings of $1.6 billion or $2.37 per share, marking a 22% per share increase from the prior year period. Excluding notable items, adjusted earnings were $1.6 billion or $2.34 per share, up 21% from a year ago. Variable investment income was a significant contributor, posting $483 million, above the implied quarterly outlook of $425 million, driven by higher private equity returns. The company's global retirement liability origination platform is experiencing growth, particularly in the U.S., U.K., and Japan. The Group Benefits segment posted adjusted earnings of $457 million, up 6% year-over-year, while the Retirement and Income Solutions segment saw adjusted earnings rise 15% to $423 million. MetLife's direct expense ratio improved to 11.6% for the quarter. In Asia, adjusted earnings surged 36% to $473 million, with sales increasing 34% on a constant currency basis. The company also highlighted its strategic capital deployment, with $875 million returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases during the quarter. MetLife's economic solvency ratio in Japan is expected to range between 170% to 190% by March 2026.

Metlife Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MetLife demonstrates a stable financial foundation with consistent profitability and efficient cash flow management. However, the significant decline in revenue growth and reliance on debt financing pose potential risks. The company should focus on reversing the negative revenue trend and enhancing equity levels to strengthen its financial position further.
Income Statement
65
Positive
MetLife's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 44.5%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of approximately 27% and a net profit margin of around 5.95%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are consistent, reflecting operational efficiency. Despite the revenue decline, the company remains profitable, but the negative growth trajectory is a risk factor.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is strong at 15.11%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but could benefit from improved equity levels.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 16.88, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, showing that the company effectively converts its earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -7.64%, which could impact future liquidity. Despite this, the cash flow position remains solid.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue71.24B69.94B67.71B67.97B63.37B67.89B
Gross Profit14.13B19.00B17.29B18.94B16.84B15.47B
EBITDA5.98B7.37B3.92B7.97B10.13B8.46B
Net Income3.84B4.43B1.58B5.28B6.86B5.41B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets719.73B677.46B687.58B663.07B759.71B795.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments324.88B100.57B302.05B301.91B367.50B378.51B
Total Debt20.23B18.71B18.83B17.98B17.43B18.15B
Total Liabilities690.53B649.75B657.33B632.95B691.96B720.33B
Stockholders Equity28.94B27.45B30.02B29.88B67.48B74.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.14B15.12B14.26B11.37B12.83B11.51B
Operating Cash Flow15.14B15.12B14.26B11.37B12.83B11.51B
Investing Cash Flow-16.68B-11.49B-10.25B-2.62B-11.19B-18.57B
Financing Cash Flow642.00M-3.13B-2.94B-9.95B-1.38B10.73B

Metlife Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price76.15
Price Trends
50DMA
79.49
Negative
100DMA
78.34
Negative
200DMA
78.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.64
Positive
RSI
38.09
Neutral
STOCH
26.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MET, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 76.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.51, below the 50-day MA of 79.49, and below the 200-day MA of 78.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MET.

Metlife Risk Analysis

Metlife disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Metlife reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Metlife Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$50.52B14.3012.84%2.95%0.82%7.18%
71
Outperform
$12.85B14.968.35%2.29%1.80%-44.44%
71
Outperform
$36.55B14.318.36%5.09%-19.35%-35.23%
71
Outperform
$10.49B9.5522.28%0.79%3.73%17.47%
70
Outperform
$59.49B14.5015.58%2.06%2.31%15.46%
68
Neutral
$7.75B3.6621.66%4.37%35.76%636.97%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MET
Metlife
76.15
-3.32
-4.18%
AFL
AFLAC
114.09
5.96
5.51%
LNC
Lincoln National
41.15
7.06
20.71%
PRU
Prudential Financial
106.29
-12.89
-10.82%
GL
Globe Life
132.24
24.12
22.31%
UNM
Unum Group
78.15
9.51
13.85%

Metlife Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
MetLife Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

MetLife, Inc. announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a net income of $818 million, or $1.22 per share, and adjusted earnings of $1.6 billion, marking a 15% increase from the previous year. The company experienced growth in variable investment income and volume, with adjusted earnings per share rising 21% to $2.34. MetLife also reported a 16% increase in net investment income and returned $875 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. The company secured $12 billion in pension risk transfer mandates and expanded its operations in Asia and Latin America, reflecting strategic growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Buy with a $86.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
MetLife Eliminates Series G Preferred Stock
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, MetLife, Inc. filed a Certificate of Elimination with the Delaware Secretary of State to eliminate its 3.850% Fixed Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series G, which had been previously redeemed or reacquired. This action returned the shares to the status of authorized but unissued preferred stock, impacting the company’s capital structure by removing the specific designation of the Series G shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Buy with a $104.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
MetLife Announces Preliminary Q3 2025 Investment Income
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

MetLife, Inc. has disclosed preliminary information regarding its variable investment income for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, ahead of its official earnings release scheduled for November 5, 2025. The company estimates that it will meet its quarterly target of $425 million in variable investment income, which includes private equity, real estate, and other funds, as well as prepayment fees. However, these results are unaudited and subject to change, and stakeholders are advised to exercise caution as the actual results could differ materially from these preliminary figures.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Hold with a $84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

Other
MetLife Advises Against Potemkin’s Mini-Tender Offer
Negative
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, MetLife, Inc. announced that it received an unsolicited mini-tender offer from Potemkin Limited to purchase up to 10,000 shares of its common stock at a price significantly below the market value. MetLife does not endorse this offer and advises shareholders against tendering their shares, as the offer price is 34.42% lower than the market price on September 12, 2025. The company highlights that mini-tender offers like Potemkin’s avoid many disclosure requirements and do not provide the same investor protections as larger offers. Shareholders who have already tendered their shares can withdraw them before the offer expires on October 7, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Buy with a $89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
MetLife Announces Redemption of Preferred Stock Series G
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, MetLife announced its decision to redeem all outstanding shares of its 3.850% fixed rate reset non-cumulative preferred stock, Series G, with a liquidation preference of $1,000 per share. The redemption will occur on September 15, 2025, and will not include accrued dividends, which will be paid separately. This strategic move may impact MetLife’s financial operations and stakeholder interests by altering its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
MetLife Declares Dividends on Preferred Stock
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

On August 15, 2025, MetLife, Inc. announced the declaration of dividends on several series of its preferred stock, payable on September 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 29, 2025. This announcement reflects MetLife’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may impact investor perceptions and market positioning within the financial services industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Buy with a $93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

MetLife’s Earnings Call: Strong Performance Amid Challenges
Aug 12, 2025

MetLife’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s strong performance in several key areas. Despite facing challenges in some segments, MetLife demonstrated effective expense management, robust capital returns, and significant sales growth in Asia, which contributed to an overall optimistic outlook.

MetLife Reports Second Quarter 2025 Earnings
Aug 8, 2025

MetLife, Inc., a global leader in financial services, offers insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management to customers worldwide. In its second quarter of 2025 earnings report, MetLife highlighted its strategic focus on growth in international markets and asset management, despite facing challenges in underwriting and investment margins. The company reported a net income of $698 million, with adjusted earnings declining to $1.4 billion due to less favorable underwriting and lower investment margins. Premiums, fees, and other revenues were $12.7 billion, with a 5% increase in adjusted revenues excluding pension risk transfers. MetLife’s net investment income rose by 9% to $5.7 billion, while variable investment income fell due to lower private equity returns. The company returned approximately $900 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Looking ahead, MetLife remains confident in its New Frontier strategy, emphasizing its resilience and commitment to delivering on its financial goals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025