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Metlife (MET)
NYSE:MET

Metlife (MET) AI Stock Analysis

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MET

Metlife

(NYSE:MET)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$86.00
ā–²(6.29% Upside)
MetLife's overall stock score of 71 reflects a stable financial position with strong earnings growth and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. The valuation is fair, and recent corporate events are supportive. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and challenges in revenue and profit growth remain areas to watch.
Positive Factors
Strong Earnings Growth
The significant increase in earnings per share indicates robust financial performance, enhancing MetLife's ability to reinvest in growth and return value to shareholders.
Strategic Capital Deployment
Returning capital to shareholders through dividends and buybacks reflects strong cash generation and a commitment to shareholder value, supporting long-term investor confidence.
Asia Market Expansion
The substantial growth in Asia underscores MetLife's successful market expansion strategy, providing a strong foundation for future revenue growth in a key region.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A declining revenue growth rate suggests challenges in maintaining market share or pricing power, which could impact long-term profitability and competitive positioning.
Impact of Reinsurance Transactions
The earnings reduction from reinsurance transactions indicates potential challenges in managing legacy liabilities, impacting future earnings stability.
Higher Corporate and Other Losses
Increased corporate losses can strain overall profitability and may indicate inefficiencies or increased costs that need addressing for sustainable growth.

Metlife (MET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Metlife Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMetLife, Inc. (NYSE: MET) is a leading global provider of insurance, annuities, and employee benefits, serving approximately 90 million customers in over 40 countries. Founded in 1868, the company operates through various segments, including U.S. Life Insurance, U.S. Group Benefits, U.S. Retirement and Income Solutions, and International Markets. MetLife's core products and services include life insurance, dental insurance, disability income insurance, annuities, and retirement planning solutions, focusing on helping individuals and businesses manage risk and secure financial stability.
How the Company Makes MoneyMetLife generates revenue primarily through premiums collected from its insurance policies, which include life, health, and property insurance. The company also earns income from investment returns on its extensive portfolio of assets, which is comprised of bonds, equities, and real estate. Additionally, MetLife generates revenue from fees associated with its retirement and income solutions, such as annuities and pension plans. Key revenue streams include U.S. Life Insurance and Group Benefits, which provide substantial contributions to the overall earnings. Strategic partnerships with employers for group benefits and collaborations with financial advisors for retirement solutions also enhance its revenue potential. Furthermore, the company benefits from economies of scale and a diversified product offering, allowing it to mitigate risks and capitalize on various market opportunities.

Metlife Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in earnings, strong performance in the PRT and Asia segments, and efficient expense management. However, there were notable challenges, including the impact of the Mexican tax law change and reduced earnings from reinsurance transactions. Overall, the positive aspects of the results outweigh the negative ones.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
MetLife reported adjusted earnings of $1.6 billion or $2.37 per share, a 22% increase per share from the prior year period. Excluding notable items, adjusted earnings were $1.6 billion or $2.34 per share, a 21% increase from a year ago.
Record PRT Transactions
MetLife secured $12 billion of Pension Risk Transfer (PRT) transactions in the fourth quarter, making it a record quarter for the company.
Asia Sales Surge
Adjusted earnings in Asia were $473 million, a 36% increase from the prior year quarter. Sales surged 34% on a constant currency basis, driven by a 31% increase in Japan.
Strong Group Benefits Performance
Group Benefits adjusted earnings, excluding notable items, totaled $457 million, up 6% from a year ago, reflecting solid underwriting results.
High Return on Equity
MetLife generated an adjusted return on equity, excluding notables, of 16.7%, near the top of its target range of 15% to 17%.
Efficient Expense Management
The direct expense ratio was 11.6% in the third quarter, below the full-year target of 12.1%, due to productivity and efficiency gains.
Increased Value of New Business
In 2024, MetLife deployed $3.4 billion of capital to support new business origination with an average internal rate of return of 19% and a payback period of 5 years.
Negative Updates
Mexico Tax Law Impact
A change in the Mexican tax law resulted in an after-tax charge of $71 million in Q3 of 2025, with anticipated additional charges in Q4 and a reduction in Latin America adjusted earnings for 2026.
Impact of Reinsurance Transactions
The transfer of approximately $10 billion of RIS liabilities to Chariot Re in Q3 of '25 resulted in a reduction in adjusted earnings by $15 million to $20 million per quarter.
Higher Corporate and Other Losses
Corporate and Other reported an adjusted loss of $288 million for Q3 of '25 compared to a loss of $249 million in the same period last year, driven by market-related employee costs and higher interest payments.
Company Guidance
During the MetLife Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several metrics and insights regarding its performance and strategic initiatives. MetLife reported strong third quarter results with adjusted earnings of $1.6 billion or $2.37 per share, marking a 22% per share increase from the prior year period. Excluding notable items, adjusted earnings were $1.6 billion or $2.34 per share, up 21% from a year ago. Variable investment income was a significant contributor, posting $483 million, above the implied quarterly outlook of $425 million, driven by higher private equity returns. The company's global retirement liability origination platform is experiencing growth, particularly in the U.S., U.K., and Japan. The Group Benefits segment posted adjusted earnings of $457 million, up 6% year-over-year, while the Retirement and Income Solutions segment saw adjusted earnings rise 15% to $423 million. MetLife's direct expense ratio improved to 11.6% for the quarter. In Asia, adjusted earnings surged 36% to $473 million, with sales increasing 34% on a constant currency basis. The company also highlighted its strategic capital deployment, with $875 million returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases during the quarter. MetLife's economic solvency ratio in Japan is expected to range between 170% to 190% by March 2026.

Metlife Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MetLife demonstrates a stable financial foundation with a strong balance sheet and consistent cash flow generation. However, the company faces challenges in revenue and profit growth, as indicated by declining margins and negative growth rates in the TTM period. While the debt levels are manageable, careful attention is needed to sustain profitability and improve growth trajectories in the competitive insurance industry.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Metlife's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 1.96%, and a decrease in net profit margin to 5.39% from 6.33% in the previous year. The gross profit margin also decreased to 19.83% from 27.17%. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBIT margin of 8.40%. Overall, the company faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability, but maintains stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70 in the TTM period. The return on equity is 13.77%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the slight increase in debt levels over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 3.82% in the TTM period, indicating potential challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available for the TTM, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 1.0, suggesting that the company generates sufficient cash relative to its net income. Overall, cash flow management appears stable, but growth concerns persist.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue70.76B69.94B67.71B67.97B63.37B67.89B
Gross Profit17.06B19.00B17.29B18.94B16.84B15.47B
EBITDA5.98B7.37B3.92B7.97B10.13B8.46B
Net Income3.84B4.43B1.58B5.28B6.86B5.41B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets719.73B677.46B687.58B663.07B759.71B795.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments114.77B100.57B302.05B301.91B367.50B378.51B
Total Debt19.83B18.71B18.83B17.98B17.43B18.15B
Total Liabilities690.53B649.75B657.33B632.95B691.96B720.33B
Stockholders Equity28.94B27.45B30.02B29.88B67.48B74.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.14B15.12B14.26B11.37B12.83B11.51B
Operating Cash Flow15.14B15.12B14.26B11.37B12.83B11.51B
Investing Cash Flow-16.68B-11.49B-10.25B-2.62B-11.19B-18.57B
Financing Cash Flow642.00M-3.13B-2.94B-9.95B-1.38B10.73B

Metlife Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price80.91
Price Trends
50DMA
78.43
Positive
100DMA
78.75
Positive
200DMA
77.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.16
Negative
RSI
57.60
Neutral
STOCH
51.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MET, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.42, above the 50-day MA of 78.43, and above the 200-day MA of 77.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MET.

Metlife Risk Analysis

Metlife disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Metlife reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Metlife Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$40.19B15.658.36%4.73%-19.35%-35.23%
71
Outperform
$53.60B15.2312.84%2.78%0.82%7.18%
71
Outperform
$8.76B4.1121.66%3.93%35.76%636.97%
68
Neutral
$57.68B14.4315.58%2.10%2.31%15.46%
68
Neutral
$11.35B10.3122.28%0.74%3.73%17.47%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$13.17B15.468.35%2.22%1.80%-44.44%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MET
Metlife
80.91
0.98
1.23%
AFL
AFLAC
110.72
9.70
9.60%
LNC
Lincoln National
45.77
15.66
52.01%
PRU
Prudential Financial
114.18
0.81
0.71%
GL
Globe Life
142.37
32.60
29.70%
UNM
Unum Group
79.39
7.70
10.74%

Metlife Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
MetLife Completes $10 Billion Risk Transfer Deal
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, MetLife, Inc. announced the completion of a $10 billion variable annuity risk transfer transaction with Talcott Resolution Life Insurance Company. This transaction is part of MetLife’s strategy to reduce portfolio risk and accelerate the run-off of its legacy business blocks, resulting in expected annual adjusted earnings loss of approximately $100 million, partially offset by $45 million in hedge cost savings. MetLife Investment Management will manage around $6 billion of assets under investment management agreements with Talcott.

Dividends
MetLife Announces Quarterly Dividends for Preferred Stock
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, MetLife, Inc. announced the declaration of quarterly dividends for its preferred stock series. The dividends, payable on December 15, 2025, include $0.33489390 per share for Series A, $351.5625 per share for Series E, and $296.875 per share for Series F, with respective depositary shares receiving $0.3515625 and $0.296875. This announcement reflects MetLife’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and maintaining its strong market position.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
MetLife Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

MetLife, Inc. announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a net income of $818 million, or $1.22 per share, and adjusted earnings of $1.6 billion, marking a 15% increase from the previous year. The company experienced growth in variable investment income and volume, with adjusted earnings per share rising 21% to $2.34. MetLife also reported a 16% increase in net investment income and returned $875 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. The company secured $12 billion in pension risk transfer mandates and expanded its operations in Asia and Latin America, reflecting strategic growth initiatives.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
MetLife Eliminates Series G Preferred Stock
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, MetLife, Inc. filed a Certificate of Elimination with the Delaware Secretary of State to eliminate its 3.850% Fixed Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series G, which had been previously redeemed or reacquired. This action returned the shares to the status of authorized but unissued preferred stock, impacting the company’s capital structure by removing the specific designation of the Series G shares.

Financial Disclosures
MetLife Announces Preliminary Q3 2025 Investment Income
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

MetLife, Inc. has disclosed preliminary information regarding its variable investment income for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, ahead of its official earnings release scheduled for November 5, 2025. The company estimates that it will meet its quarterly target of $425 million in variable investment income, which includes private equity, real estate, and other funds, as well as prepayment fees. However, these results are unaudited and subject to change, and stakeholders are advised to exercise caution as the actual results could differ materially from these preliminary figures.

Other
MetLife Advises Against Potemkin’s Mini-Tender Offer
Negative
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, MetLife, Inc. announced that it received an unsolicited mini-tender offer from Potemkin Limited to purchase up to 10,000 shares of its common stock at a price significantly below the market value. MetLife does not endorse this offer and advises shareholders against tendering their shares, as the offer price is 34.42% lower than the market price on September 12, 2025. The company highlights that mini-tender offers like Potemkin’s avoid many disclosure requirements and do not provide the same investor protections as larger offers. Shareholders who have already tendered their shares can withdraw them before the offer expires on October 7, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025