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Metlife (MET)
NYSE:MET
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Metlife (MET) AI Stock Analysis

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MET

Metlife

(NYSE:MET)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$96.00
â–²(22.95% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/23/26
Overall score reflects solid financial quality with strong, consistent cash generation but ongoing margin/earnings volatility and a modestly higher leverage profile. Technicals are constructive (price above major moving averages with positive MACD), valuation is reasonable (mid-teens P/E with a ~2.7% yield), and the latest earnings call reinforced momentum with top-end ROE performance, disciplined expenses, reiterated targets, and meaningful capital return despite manageable segment headwinds.
Positive Factors
Consistent cash generation
MetLife’s large, consistently positive operating and free cash flow (TTM ~$16.5B) provides durable financial flexibility. Reliable cash generation supports dividend policy, buybacks, reinvestment in growth areas and holding-company liquidity targets, cushioning against underwriting or market stress.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage trend
An uptick in leverage and a reduced equity base weaken balance‑sheet cushion and regulatory flexibility. Higher debt-to-equity and lower equity can constrain capital actions, raise sensitivity to market shocks, and increase the importance of consistent earnings to preserve statutory and rating metrics.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent cash generation
MetLife’s large, consistently positive operating and free cash flow (TTM ~$16.5B) provides durable financial flexibility. Reliable cash generation supports dividend policy, buybacks, reinvestment in growth areas and holding-company liquidity targets, cushioning against underwriting or market stress.
Read all positive factors

Metlife Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Management
Assets Under Management
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Metlife (MET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Metlife Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
MetLife, Inc. operates as a leading global financial services entity, delivering an extensive array of services encompassing insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management. The company manages its operations through five primary div...
How the Company Makes Money
MetLife primarily makes money by underwriting insurance and providing benefit and retirement-related products while investing the premiums it collects. Key revenue and earnings drivers include: (1) Premiums and risk-based underwriting margins: For...

Metlife Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong quarter with broad-based top-line growth, improved margins, disciplined expense and capital management, and clear progress integrating PineBridge into MIM. Management highlighted robust VII performance, a top-end ROE of 17%, and numerous regional wins (notably Asia and EMEA). Headwinds were present but generally described as manageable and/or seasonal: net investment/trading losses, short-term MIM outflows and integration expenses, tax-related impacts in Latin America, modest spread headwinds in RIS, and localized operational/regulatory items. Overall, the positive operational and financial momentum materially outweighs the lowlights, which are characterized as limited, manageable, or transitory.
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted Earnings and EPS Growth
Reported adjusted earnings of $1.6 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.42, representing an 18% increase in adjusted earnings and a 23% increase in adjusted EPS year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Net Investment / Trading Losses and Opportunistic PE Sale
Net income ($1.1 billion, $1.74 per share) lagged adjusted earnings due to net investment losses from trading activity and a modest loss on the opportunistic sale of ~$750 million of private equity at a discount.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Adjusted Earnings and EPS Growth
Reported adjusted earnings of $1.6 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.42, representing an 18% increase in adjusted earnings and a 23% increase in adjusted EPS year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated several quantified targets and near‑term expectations: RIS full‑year adjusted earnings are guided to $1.6–$1.8 billion; company adjusted ROE target is 15–17% (Q1 reached 17%); 2026 direct expense‑ratio target is 12.1% (Q1 was 11.9%); effective tax‑rate guidance is 24–26% (Q1 was 24%); RIS total investment spread guidance is 100–120 bps (Q1 was 119 bps) with core spread ex‑VII ~95 bps; pretax variable investment income was $518 million in Q1 and total VII assets were $18.2 billion (PE avg Q1 return ~2.9%, VC +6.8%); holding‑company liquidity target is $3–$4 billion (Q1 cash $3.9 billion); 2025 U.S. NAIC RBC was 379% vs a 360% target and estimated U.S. statutory adjusted capital was ~$16.2 billion; free cash‑flow conversion target remains 65–75%; and capital actions/constraints noted included ~$750 million of Q1 share repurchases (plus ~$200 million in April), ~$370 million of common dividends in Q1 (total returned ≈$1.1 billion), a $1 billion subordinated debt issuance, and ≈$1.1 billion remaining on the buyback authorization.

Metlife Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid but not peak-cycle: revenue has been stable-to-growing and operating profitability improved versus 2023, while cash generation remains consistently positive and sizable. Offsetting this, profitability/margins have been volatile, recent free cash flow growth decelerated (TTM down ~8.7%), and leverage has risen with a reduced equity base versus 2021.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue76.94B77.08B69.94B67.71B67.97B63.37B
Gross Profit21.85B28.02B19.00B17.29B18.94B16.84B
EBITDA5.88B6.47B7.37B3.92B7.97B10.13B
Net Income3.62B3.38B4.43B1.58B5.28B6.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets743.21B745.17B677.46B687.58B663.07B759.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments338.80B125.34B108.78B316.83B313.32B367.50B
Total Debt20.29B20.18B18.71B18.83B17.98B17.43B
Total Liabilities715.41B716.25B649.75B657.33B632.95B691.96B
Stockholders Equity27.32B28.40B27.45B30.02B29.88B67.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.53B18.11B15.12B14.26B11.37B12.83B
Operating Cash Flow16.53B18.11B15.12B14.26B11.37B12.83B
Investing Cash Flow-17.74B-15.61B-11.49B-10.25B-2.62B-11.19B
Financing Cash Flow3.50B163.00M-3.13B-2.94B-9.95B-1.38B

Metlife Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price78.08
Price Trends
50DMA
80.80
Positive
100DMA
76.82
Positive
200DMA
77.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.95
Positive
RSI
63.76
Neutral
STOCH
42.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MET, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 78.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 84.76, below the 50-day MA of 80.80, and above the 200-day MA of 77.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MET.

Metlife Risk Analysis

Metlife disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Metlife reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Metlife Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$13.36B11.7020.32%0.74%3.96%18.81%
76
Outperform
$14.47B19.657.07%2.22%4.19%-45.74%
74
Outperform
$56.34B16.8712.88%2.78%5.57%-16.00%
71
Outperform
$59.32B13.2416.08%2.10%7.25%37.42%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$7.20B4.1716.79%3.93%8.45%21.80%
64
Neutral
$37.57B11.0110.91%4.73%4.08%54.01%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MET
Metlife
87.56
10.25
13.26%
AFL
AFLAC
116.55
13.90
13.54%
LNC
Lincoln National
37.68
6.39
20.43%
PRU
Prudential Financial
108.26
6.73
6.63%
GL
Globe Life
172.05
50.97
42.10%
UNM
Unum Group
90.58
12.39
15.85%

Metlife Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
MetLife Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Executive Pay
Positive
Jun 22, 2026
At its annual meeting of common shareholders held on June 16, 2026, MetLife, Inc. shareholders elected eleven directors to serve terms expiring at the 2027 annual meeting, signaling broad support for the current board’s composition and gover...
Dividends
MetLife Declares Second-Quarter 2026 Preferred Stock Dividends
Positive
May 15, 2026
On May 15, 2026, MetLife, Inc. declared second-quarter 2026 dividends on three series of its non-cumulative preferred stock, including floating rate Series A and fixed-rate Series E and F, with per-share payouts aligned to their respective liquida...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
MetLife Reports Strong First-Quarter 2026 Financial Performance
Positive
May 6, 2026
MetLife reported strong first-quarter 2026 results for the period ended March 31, 2026, with net income rising 30% year on year to $1.1 billion, or $1.74 per share, and adjusted earnings up 18% to $1.6 billion, or $2.42 per share. Premiums, fees a...
Financial Disclosures
MetLife Issues Preliminary First-Quarter Variable Investment Income
Neutral
Apr 7, 2026
MetLife disclosed preliminary, unaudited figures for variable investment income for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, estimating pre-tax income of approximately $475 million to $525 million. This range is set against the company’s full-year ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 23, 2026