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Metlife (MET)
NYSE:MET

Metlife (MET) AI Stock Analysis

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ME

Metlife

(NYSE:MET)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$93.00
â–²(15.31%Upside)
Metlife's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance, supported by robust cash flow and profitability. Technical indicators and valuation metrics further enhance the company's investment appeal. The positive sentiment from the latest earnings call, marked by strategic growth and shareholder returns, contributes significantly to the high score.
Positive Factors
Capital Management
Robust repurchases of $1.4 billion exceeded estimates, showing strong capital management.
Investment Income
Higher private equity returns led to an outperformance in net investment income, which exceeded forecasts.
Reinsurance Transaction
The transaction to reinsure $10 billion of US retail variable annuity and rider reserves is viewed positively by investors.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
The adjusted EPS of $2.09 for 4Q24 missed the forecast, with underperformance in Group Benefits, Retirement and Income Solutions, and Latin America.
FX Impacts
The international earnings growth outlook was weaker than expected, primarily due to FX impacts in Asia and LatAm.
Investment Sensitivity
MET has a higher sensitivity to 'variable' private equity/real estate investment returns compared to peers, which could impact EPS with changes in VII returns.

Metlife (MET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Metlife Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMetLife, Inc., a financial services company, provides insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management services worldwide. It operates through five segments: U.S.; Asia; Latin America; Europe, the Middle East and Africa; and MetLife Holdings. The company offers life, dental, group short-and long-term disability, individual disability, pet insurance, accidental death and dismemberment, vision, and accident and health coverages, as well as prepaid legal plans; administrative services-only arrangements to employers; and general and separate account, and synthetic guaranteed interest contracts, as well as private floating rate funding agreements. It also provides pension risk transfers, institutional income annuities, structured settlements, and capital markets investment products; and other products and services, such as life insurance products and funding agreements for funding postretirement benefits, as well as company, bank, or trust-owned life insurance used to finance nonqualified benefit programs for executives. In addition, it provides fixed, indexed-linked, and variable annuities; and pension products; regular savings products; whole and term life, endowments, universal and variable life, and group life products; longevity reinsurance solutions; credit insurance products; and protection against long-term health care services. MetLife, Inc. was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMetLife makes money primarily through the sale of insurance policies and financial products. Its revenue streams include premiums from policyholders for life, disability, dental, and other insurance products, as well as income from investments made with the collected premiums. The company also earns fees from managing retirement plans and providing employee benefit programs. MetLife's earnings are bolstered by its global presence, enabling it to leverage diverse markets. Key partnerships with corporations and financial institutions help expand its distribution and reach, further contributing to its revenue.

Metlife Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
MetLife's earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic achievements, including robust earnings growth, successful risk transfer, and proactive capital management. However, challenges remain, particularly with declining earnings in Asia and currency impacts in Latin America. Overall, the highlights outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted Earnings Growth
MetLife reported adjusted earnings of $1.3 billion, or $1.96 per share, up 7% from the same period a year ago.
Strong Group Benefits Performance
The Group Benefits business reported adjusted earnings of $367 million, up 29% from the prior year period due to favorable life underwriting margins and lower mortality.
Robust Retirement and Income Solutions (RIS) Growth
RIS adjusted earnings totaled $401 million. Sales of synthetic GICs and UK longevity reinsurance were strong, with inflows associated with pension risk transfers totaling $1.8 billion.
Successful Risk Transfer Transaction
MetLife announced a significant risk transfer deal with Talcott Resolution Life Insurance Company to reinsure approximately $10 billion of U.S. retail variable annuity and rider reserves, reducing enterprise risk and securing investment management mandates for $6 billion of assets.
Capital Management and Shareholder Returns
MetLife returned around $1.8 billion to shareholders through common stock dividends and share repurchases. The Board authorized a new $3 billion share repurchase program and increased the common dividend per share by 4.1%.
Positive International Sales Momentum
Sales in Asia were up 10% on strong volume growth in Korea and China, and Latin America adjusted earnings were up 7% on a constant currency basis.
Negative Updates
Decline in Asia Earnings
Adjusted earnings in Asia were $374 million, down 12% from the same period a year ago, primarily due to lower underwriting margins and higher taxes.
Latin America Earnings Impacted by Currency
Latin America adjusted earnings were down 6% from the prior year, although up 7% on a constant currency basis. Adjusted PFOs in the region were up 1% on a reported basis but up 14% on a constant currency basis.
Lower than Expected Private Equity Returns
Private equity funds gained 1.6% in the quarter, which is below the implied quarterly outlook return.
Company Guidance
During its first quarter 2025 earnings call, MetLife provided guidance reflecting the resilience of its business model amidst economic uncertainty. The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.3 billion, or $1.96 per share, a 7% increase from the previous year. Its adjusted return on equity stood at 14.4%, and its direct expense ratio was 12%. MetLife's Group Benefits business saw a 29% increase in adjusted earnings to $367 million, driven by favorable life underwriting margins. The Retirement and Income Solutions segment reported $401 million in adjusted earnings, with strong sales in synthetic GICs and UK longevity reinsurance. While Asia's adjusted earnings declined by 12% to $374 million, sales in Korea and China grew by 10%. Latin America's adjusted earnings were $218 million, a 6% decline due to currency headwinds, though constant currency earnings were up 7%. MetLife also announced a significant risk transfer deal with Talcott Resolution Life Insurance Company, reinsurance of approximately $10 billion in U.S. retail variable annuity and rider reserves, reducing its enterprise risk. The company returned around $1.8 billion to shareholders and secured a new $3 billion share repurchase authorization.

Metlife Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MetLife's financial statements collectively portray strong profitability, stable financial health, and excellent cash flow generation. The income statement highlights efficient revenue management and moderate growth, while the balance sheet indicates prudent leverage and strong returns on equity. The cash flow analysis underscores robust cash generation, supporting operational and strategic goals. Minor concerns include declining EBITDA margins and stockholders' equity.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Metlife's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) financial performance shows strong gross profit and net income, with a gross profit margin of 100% due to revenue equaling gross profit. The net profit margin is a healthy 6.15%, indicating efficient management of expenses relative to revenue. Revenue growth from the previous year is 4.74%, showing positive momentum in revenue generation. The EBIT margin is 6.95%, but a declining trend in EBITDA margin from the previous annual report suggests potential cost pressures. Overall, the income statement reflects solid profitability and moderate growth.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet demonstrates a robust equity position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is 16.39%, reflecting strong profitability relative to shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 4.00%, highlighting a substantial asset base supported by equity. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity over the past few years may signal potential challenges in maintaining equity levels. Overall, the balance sheet indicates financial stability with manageable leverage.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals significant strengths, with a free cash flow growth rate of 13.25% from the previous year, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.79, suggesting robust cash flow efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 3.67, further emphasizing the company's ability to convert earnings into cash. These metrics reflect strong cash flow management and capacity to fund operations and growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue72.40B69.90B66.41B67.82B63.65B67.84B
Gross Profit19.00B18.96B15.99B67.82B63.65B67.84B
EBITDA6.96B7.37B3.92B7.97B9.74B8.46B
Net Income4.50B4.43B1.58B5.28B6.86B5.41B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets688.32B677.46B687.58B663.07B759.71B795.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments313.06B100.57B302.05B301.91B367.50B378.51B
Total Debt15.08B18.71B18.83B17.98B17.43B18.15B
Total Liabilities660.56B649.75B657.33B632.95B691.96B720.33B
Stockholders Equity27.49B27.45B30.02B29.88B67.48B74.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.53B14.60B13.72B13.04B12.35B11.64B
Operating Cash Flow17.05B14.60B13.72B13.04B12.35B11.64B
Investing Cash Flow-12.19B-11.49B-10.25B-2.62B-11.19B-18.57B
Financing Cash Flow-2.65B-3.13B-2.94B-9.95B-1.38B10.73B

Metlife Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price80.65
Price Trends
50DMA
78.47
Positive
100DMA
78.67
Positive
200DMA
80.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.58
Negative
RSI
57.97
Neutral
STOCH
73.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MET, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.39, above the 50-day MA of 78.47, and above the 200-day MA of 80.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MET.

Metlife Risk Analysis

Metlife disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Metlife reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Metlife Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MEMET
79
Outperform
$54.14B13.1316.08%2.83%8.77%110.90%
PUPUK
77
Outperform
$31.79B14.7012.82%2.63%-14.78%34.80%
UNUNM
75
Outperform
$14.17B9.5814.68%2.07%1.69%25.54%
GLGL
74
Outperform
$10.00B9.8620.47%0.90%5.41%16.60%
PRPRU
70
Neutral
$38.61B17.268.04%4.97%2.47%6.88%
AFAFL
69
Neutral
$56.54B16.3214.41%2.24%-12.66%-29.30%
67
Neutral
$17.01B11.909.70%3.76%11.63%-9.47%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MET
Metlife
80.65
13.12
19.43%
AFL
AFLAC
104.57
17.32
19.85%
PRU
Prudential Financial
109.08
-2.48
-2.22%
PUK
Prudential
24.88
6.94
38.68%
GL
Globe Life
121.20
40.43
50.06%
UNM
Unum Group
82.12
33.56
69.11%

Metlife Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
MetLife Announces $10 Billion Reinsurance Deal with Chariot
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, MetLife, Inc. announced a significant agreement with Chariot Reinsurance, Ltd. to reinsure approximately $10 billion of structured settlement annuity contracts and group annuity contracts related to pension risk transfers. This strategic move is part of MetLife’s New Frontier strategy to enhance its diversified retirement platform and asset management business. The transaction marks the launch of Chariot Re, co-sponsored by MetLife and General Atlantic, with backing from Chubb and other investors. Chariot Re aims to reshape the life and annuity reinsurance market with its unique platform and experienced leadership team, led by CEO Cynthia Smith. The partnership is expected to drive growth and deliver innovative reinsurance solutions globally, while MetLife maintains its commitment to policyholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
MetLife Releases Preliminary Q2 2025 Investment Income Estimates
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

MetLife, Inc. disclosed preliminary estimates of its variable investment income for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, ranging between $175 million and $225 million pre-tax. These figures, which include income from private equity, real estate, and other funds, are unaudited and subject to change as the company has not completed its financial closing procedures. Stakeholders are advised to be cautious in relying on these preliminary results, as they are not indicative of future performance and may differ from the final audited figures.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
MetLife Shareholders Elect Directors and Ratify Auditor
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

At MetLife, Inc.’s annual meeting of common shareholders on June 17, 2025, shareholders elected eleven directors for terms expiring at the 2026 meeting, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and approved executive compensation on an advisory basis. These decisions reflect shareholder support for the company’s leadership and financial oversight, potentially impacting its governance and operational strategies moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
MetLife Enters Note Purchase Agreement for Senior Notes
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, MetLife, Inc. entered into a Note Purchase Agreement for the private placement of ¥87,840,000,000 in yen-denominated senior notes with varying interest rates and maturities. The proceeds from the sale are intended for refinancing existing debt and general corporate purposes, reflecting MetLife’s strategic financial management and positioning within the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
MetLife Announces Quarterly Dividends for Preferred Stock
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, MetLife, Inc. announced the declaration of quarterly dividends for its preferred stock series. These dividends, payable on June 16, 2025, include $0.35141735 per share for Series A, $351.5625 per share for Series E, and $296.875 per share for Series F, reflecting MetLife’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
MetLife Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, MetLife, Inc. announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, reporting a 10% increase in net income to $879 million and a 14% rise in premiums, fees, and other revenues to $13.6 billion. The company also authorized a new $3.0 billion share repurchase program and entered into a reinsurance agreement with Talcott Financial Group. The results reflect strong performance across various segments, including a 29% increase in Group Benefits adjusted earnings and significant sales growth in Asia and Latin America. These developments underscore MetLife’s robust operational performance and strategic initiatives to enhance shareholder value.

Business Operations and Strategy
MetLife Announces $10 Billion Reinsurance Agreement
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, MetLife, Inc. announced an agreement with Talcott Resolution Life Insurance Company to reinsure approximately $10 billion of U.S. retail variable annuity and rider reserves. This transaction is expected to reduce MetLife’s enterprise risk associated with capital markets and significantly lower its retail variable annuity tail risk by reducing account values by approximately 40%. The transaction aligns with MetLife’s strategic priorities and is expected to close in the second half of 2025, subject to regulatory approvals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025