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Principal Financial (PFG)
NASDAQ:PFG
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Principal Financial (PFG) AI Stock Analysis

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PFG

Principal Financial

(NASDAQ:PFG)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$85.00
▲(10.05% Upside)
Principal Financial Group's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance, particularly in cash flow management and profitability. Challenges include recent bearish technical indicators and market volatility affecting revenue. The company's strategic initiatives and leadership changes are expected to drive long-term growth, while valuation metrics suggest moderate market expectations.
Positive Factors
Asset Management Earnings
Asset management earnings of $236 million outpaced the consensus expectation of $221 million, with higher management and performance fees contributing to revenue growth and expanded operating margin.
Corporate Expenses
Corporate and Other earnings of $(81) million finished better than the consensus expectation of $(99) million, driven by higher net investment income and lower operating expenses.
Negative Factors
Investment Management Net Outflows
Investment Management saw $4.2bn in net outflows in the quarter due to a couple large accounts exiting the fund complex.
Net Fund Flows
Net fund flows declined somewhat across RIS, Investment Management, and International Pension, all below consensus.
Retirement & Income Solutions Earnings
Retirement & Income Solutions had underlying pre-tax earnings that missed consensus, driven in part by lower than expected net fund flows.

Principal Financial (PFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Principal Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrincipal Financial Group (PFG) is a global financial services company headquartered in Des Moines, Iowa. It operates primarily in the sectors of insurance, retirement planning, and asset management. PFG offers a range of products and services including individual and group insurance, retirement solutions such as 401(k) plans, investment management, and financial advisory services. The company serves a diverse clientele, including individuals, small businesses, and large corporations, aiming to help them achieve financial security and stability.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrincipal Financial Group generates revenue through several key streams. Its primary sources of income include premiums from life and health insurance products, fees from asset management services, and commissions from retirement plan services. The company earns premiums from its insurance offerings that provide financial protection to individuals and businesses. Additionally, it collects management fees on assets under management in its investment portfolios, which include mutual funds, retirement accounts, and other investment products. PFG also generates revenue through advisory services related to financial planning and investment strategies. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and corporations enhance its distribution channels and broaden its market reach, further contributing to its earnings.

Principal Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call demonstrated strong earnings growth, increased capital returns to shareholders, and significant recognition for leadership. However, challenges remain with negative net cash flows, ongoing market volatility impacting revenue, and continued negative flows in asset management. The sentiment reflects a balance between positive achievements and continued challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
Adjusted non-GAAP earnings excluding significant variances were $469 million or $2.07, representing an 18% increase in EPS over 2024.
Capital Returns to Shareholders
Returned $320 million to shareholders in the second quarter, including $150 million of share repurchases and raised the common stock dividend for the eighth consecutive quarter.
Asset Management Growth
Principal Asset Management sales of $33 billion increased 19% over the prior year quarter, with AUM increasing to $723 billion, a 5% sequential increase.
Specialty Benefits Business Performance
Strong earnings growth of 10% in the Specialty Benefits business, with premium fees growing 3% compared to the year-ago quarter.
Recognition and Awards
Named one of the 2025 best places to work for disability inclusion and received a 2025 CSO award for digital ID verification initiative.
Negative Updates
Negative Net Cash Flow
Net cash flow was negative $2.6 billion in the quarter, although it was an improvement sequentially.
Market Volatility Impact
Volatility continued to underpin markets in the second quarter, with the market drop in April impacting fee revenue.
Negative Flows in Asset Management
Net cash flows in investment management remained negative for the eighth consecutive quarter.
Decline in Life Insurance Earnings
Pretax operating earnings of $23 million in the life insurance business were down year over year due to higher mortality from net claim severity.
Company Guidance
During the Principal Financial Group's second-quarter 2025 conference call, the company reported strong financial performance with adjusted non-GAAP earnings excluding significant variances at $469 million, marking an 18% increase in EPS over 2024. They highlighted a 5% sequential increase in managed assets under management (AUM) to $753 billion, and an 8% increase year-over-year. Despite negative net cash flow of $2.6 billion, the company saw improvement from global institutional client inflows. The retirement solutions segment recorded $6 billion in RIS sales, up 7% year-over-year, with a notable 27% year-over-year growth in transfer deposits. Principal Asset Management reported a 5% sequential increase in AUM to $723 billion and a 19% increase in sales over the prior year. Specialty Benefits and life insurance segments experienced strong earnings growth of 10% and robust sales results, respectively. The company maintained a strong capital position with $1.4 billion in excess and available capital and returned $320 million to shareholders in the second quarter. Principal Financial reiterated their confidence in meeting their 2025 financial targets and highlighted ongoing strategic investments to drive long-term growth.

Principal Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company shows robust profitability with a strong Gross Profit Margin and a moderate Net Profit Margin of 8.60%. Operational efficiency is indicated by an EBIT margin of 12.89%, but revenue growth has been volatile with a 25.15% decline from 2022 to 2024. The Balance Sheet is stable with good leverage management, though high reliance on liabilities is typical for the industry. Cash Flow is strong, with excellent cash conversion and utilization.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The Income Statement shows robust profitability with a strong Gross Profit Margin consistently at 100% due to the nature of the industry. The Net Profit Margin stands at 8.60% for the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), showing profitability but with room for improvement. Revenue growth has been volatile, with a notable decline of 25.15% from 2022 to 2024. EBIT Margin for TTM is 12.89%, indicating operational efficiency, while EBITDA Margin is 9.21% reflecting decent operating performance.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The Balance Sheet reflects a stable financial structure with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.39, indicating good leverage management. Return on Equity (ROE) for TTM is 9.26%, which is moderate, showing efficient use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio is 3.58%, suggesting a high reliance on liabilities which is typical in the insurance industry but could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
The Cash Flow Statement indicates strong cash generation with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 8.68% from the previous year. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 4.81, demonstrating excellent cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 4.74, highlighting efficient cash utilization relative to reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.77B16.13B13.67B17.54B14.43B14.74B
Gross Profit6.79B7.35B5.90B11.04B7.08B6.46B
EBITDA1.29B2.15B1.01B6.28B2.19B1.95B
Net Income1.09B1.57B623.20M4.76B1.58B1.40B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets313.00B313.66B305.05B303.00B321.21B313.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.88B29.94B27.19B67.74B80.49B81.56B
Total Debt4.35B4.11B3.99B4.08B4.36B4.36B
Total Liabilities301.41B302.19B293.84B292.70B304.70B296.60B
Stockholders Equity11.22B11.09B10.92B10.00B16.13B16.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.93B4.53B3.69B3.06B3.09B3.63B
Operating Cash Flow5.00B4.60B3.79B3.17B3.22B3.74B
Investing Cash Flow-5.01B-5.40B-1.35B1.06B-5.66B-5.03B
Financing Cash Flow-279.20M300.30M-2.59B-1.72B1.92B1.62B

Principal Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price77.24
Price Trends
50DMA
78.33
Negative
100DMA
77.73
Negative
200DMA
79.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.79
Positive
RSI
46.64
Neutral
STOCH
37.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PFG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 77.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.41, below the 50-day MA of 78.33, and below the 200-day MA of 79.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PFG.

Principal Financial Risk Analysis

Principal Financial disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Principal Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Principal Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$36.28B11.7019.55%1.57%7.67%15.99%
78
Outperform
$33.55B9.2817.09%23.79%-32.09%
72
Outperform
$17.04B15.4010.16%3.87%-3.34%-3.32%
70
Neutral
$11.66B16.399.36%5.34%-5.03%
65
Neutral
$16.43B44.2334.30%1.86%5.05%-47.26%
62
Neutral
AU$10.41B9.9113.11%4.73%32.38%21.40%
58
Neutral
$43.56B14.577.61%2.10%-33.87%-5.72%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PFG
Principal Financial
77.24
3.06
4.13%
AEG
Aegon
7.44
1.46
24.41%
AIG
American International Group
78.48
6.59
9.17%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group
87.78
-8.88
-9.19%
HIG
Hartford Financial
129.02
20.72
19.13%
EQH
Equitable Holdings
54.84
15.65
39.93%

Principal Financial Corporate Events

Other
Principal Financial Advises Against Potemkin’s Mini-Tender Offer
Negative
Jul 17, 2025

Principal Financial Group, Inc. has received an unsolicited mini-tender offer from Potemkin Limited to purchase up to 100,000 shares of its common stock at a price significantly lower than the market value. On July 17, 2025, the company advised shareholders against accepting this offer, emphasizing that it does not endorse or associate with Potemkin’s proposal, and provided guidance for those who have already tendered their shares on how to withdraw them.

The most recent analyst rating on (PFG) stock is a Sell with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Principal Financial stock, see the PFG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Principal Financial Reports $752.7 Billion Assets Under Management
Neutral
Jul 16, 2025

As of June 30, 2025, Principal Financial Group reported assets under management totaling $752.7 billion, with a significant portion managed by Principal Asset Management’s Investment Management and International Pension divisions. The company’s strategic allocation during market fluctuations highlights its emphasis on diverse equity and fixed income products, reflecting its adaptability and potential impact on stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PFG) stock is a Sell with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Principal Financial stock, see the PFG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Principal Financial Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Principal Financial Group, Inc. held its annual shareholders meeting where key decisions were made. The shareholders elected Class III directors for a term ending in 2028, approved executive compensation, and ratified the appointment of independent registered public accountants, indicating continued stability and governance focus within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (PFG) stock is a Sell with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Principal Financial stock, see the PFG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Principal Financial Appoints New CFO Joel Pitz
Positive
May 20, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Principal Financial Group appointed Joel Pitz as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Deanna Strable. Pitz, who has been with the company since 1995, previously served as Senior Vice President and Interim CFO. His extensive experience in aligning financial strategy with business goals is expected to benefit the company as it continues to pursue sustainable growth and value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PFG) stock is a Sell with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Principal Financial stock, see the PFG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025