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Principal Financial (PFG)
NASDAQ:PFG
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Principal Financial (PFG) AI Stock Analysis

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PFG

Principal Financial

(NASDAQ:PFG)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$111.00
▲(15.42% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is driven mainly by healthy fundamentals (solid profitability, strong absolute free cash flow, and manageable leverage) and a constructive earnings outlook with improving margins/ROE and continued capital returns. Technicals support the trend but look stretched (RSI/Stoch), and valuation is supportive with a modest P/E and solid dividend yield; key risk remains revenue/flow and results volatility tied to timing-sensitive items.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Principal’s sizable TTM free cash flow (~$3.6B) that closely tracks reported earnings (≈97%) indicates high earnings quality and resilient internal liquidity. Over a multi‑month horizon this supports dividends, buybacks, reinvestment in distribution and reduces reliance on external funding for strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
A materially lower TTM revenue base undermines top‑line predictability; earnings gains to date rely partly on margin expansion and investment timing. If revenue pressures persist, sustaining profit growth and capital returns will be harder without continued margin improvement or higher recurring flows.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Principal’s sizable TTM free cash flow (~$3.6B) that closely tracks reported earnings (≈97%) indicates high earnings quality and resilient internal liquidity. Over a multi‑month horizon this supports dividends, buybacks, reinvestment in distribution and reduces reliance on external funding for strategic initiatives.
Read all positive factors

Principal Financial (PFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Principal Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Principal Financial Group, Inc. provides retirement, asset management, and insurance products and services to businesses, individuals, and institutional clients worldwide. The company operates through Retirement and Income Solutions, Principal Glo...
How the Company Makes Money
PFG generates earnings primarily through fees, premiums, and investment income tied to its retirement, asset management, and insurance/benefits businesses. In Retirement and Income Solutions, it earns recurring administrative and service fees for ...

Principal Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Revenue by Segment
Operating Revenue by Segment
Chart InsightsRetirement & Income Solutions is still the dominant, highly cyclical revenue engine—big Q4 jumps reflect bulk PRT/roll‑in and transfer activity (management flagged +35% transfer deposits), so expect lumpy quarter‑to‑quarter timing rather than steady growth. Since 2023 Principal Asset Management and Benefits & Protection have become consistent, growing revenue contributors (aligns with record PAM gross sales and improved Benefits margins), while Corporate & Other shows outsized volatility tied to real‑estate/transaction timing and reclassification. The earlier zeroing of some legacy labels points to reporting resegmentation—focus on flows/AUM and margin trends, not headline quarterly noise.
Data provided by:The Fly

Principal Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted broad, measurable momentum across the company: strong adjusted EPS growth, margin and ROE expansion, record gross sales in asset management, robust retirement and SMB flows, sizable capital returns and a raised dividend. Management acknowledged some short-term headwinds — negative total net cash flow for the company, redemptions in select active U.S. equity funds, timing-driven reductions in variable investment income, and lumpiness in PRT transactions — but positioned these as largely manageable, transitory, or offset by diversification and capital strength. On balance, highlights materially outweigh the lowlights and management expressed confidence in delivering 2026 targets.
Positive Updates
Adjusted EPS and Operating Earnings Growth
13% adjusted non-GAAP EPS growth in Q1 (above high end of target). Non-GAAP operating earnings of $456M (+10% YoY) or $2.07/share (+14% YoY). Excluding significant variances, adjusted operating earnings $479M (+9% YoY) or $2.17/share (+13% YoY).
Negative Updates
Negative Total Company Net Cash Flow
Total company net cash flow was negative $1.5B in Q1 (though improved sequentially and YoY), contributing to modest sequential AUM decline despite YoY AUM growth.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Adjusted EPS and Operating Earnings Growth
13% adjusted non-GAAP EPS growth in Q1 (above high end of target). Non-GAAP operating earnings of $456M (+10% YoY) or $2.07/share (+14% YoY). Excluding significant variances, adjusted operating earnings $479M (+9% YoY) or $2.17/share (+13% YoY).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated confidence in delivering on its 2026 financial targets, calling for year‑over‑year improvement in variable investment income and real‑estate monetization and noting several Q1 metrics that underpin that guidance: adjusted non‑GAAP EPS rose 13% (above the high end of the target range); non‑GAAP operating earnings were $456M ($479M ex‑significant variances) or $2.07/share ($2.17 ex‑variances); non‑GAAP operating ROE was 16.1% (up 140 bps, at the midpoint of the 15–17% target); margin expanded 190 bps to 30% on 6% net revenue growth; total AUM was $770B (+7% YoY) with total company net cash flow −$1.5B (improved sequentially); retirement transfer deposits were $12B (+35% YoY) with recurring deposits +7% and participant deferrals and average deferrals both up ~3% (roll‑ins $1.7B; RIS account‑value NCF ≈ $1.8B); Principal Asset Mgmt gross sales were a record $37B (+21% YoY) with private markets net inflows $400M qtr/$3B TTM and private AUM +11% YoY; International Pension AUM hit $160B (+20% YoY) with +$500M NCF; Benefits & Protection pretax earnings were $177M (+41% YoY) with total loss ratio improving 220 bps and Specialty Benefits record sales +24% (business market life premium & fees +15%); capital returned was ~$374M (including $200M buybacks), excess/available capital >$1.4B (including $800M at the holding co, $300M in subsidiaries and ~$350M excess above a ~375% RBC target; RBC ≈400%); and the Q2 dividend was raised to $0.82 (+$0.02 QoQ, +8% YoY) consistent with a ~40% payout target—management cautioned that performance fees, real‑estate gains and flow patterns will be lumpy by quarter.

Principal Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and cash generation are solid (TTM ~13% net margin; ~$3.6B FCF with ~97% FCF-to-net-income), and leverage looks manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.33) with improved ROE (~13%). Offsets include sharp TTM revenue decline, multi-year earnings/margin volatility, and a meaningful TTM drop in free cash flow with weaker near-term cash coverage.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.46B15.63B16.13B13.67B17.54B14.43B
Gross Profit7.52B7.06B7.35B5.90B11.04B7.08B
EBITDA1.91B1.67B2.15B1.01B6.28B2.19B
Net Income1.55B1.19B1.57B623.20M4.76B1.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets332.70B341.38B313.66B305.05B303.00B304.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.05B33.49B73.49B71.22B67.74B80.91B
Total Debt3.95B3.95B4.11B3.99B4.08B4.69B
Total Liabilities320.31B328.99B302.19B293.84B292.70B288.20B
Stockholders Equity11.82B11.88B11.09B10.92B10.00B16.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.63B4.44B4.53B3.69B3.06B3.09B
Operating Cash Flow3.75B4.54B4.60B3.79B3.17B3.22B
Investing Cash Flow-4.15B-4.14B-5.40B-1.35B1.06B-5.66B
Financing Cash Flow578.00M-181.80M300.30M-2.59B-1.72B1.92B

Principal Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price96.17
Price Trends
50DMA
91.12
Positive
100DMA
89.94
Positive
200DMA
84.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.40
Negative
RSI
65.77
Neutral
STOCH
87.30
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 96.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 90.78, above the 50-day MA of 91.12, and above the 200-day MA of 84.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.30 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PFG.

Principal Financial Risk Analysis

Principal Financial disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Principal Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Principal Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$37.50B10.9922.01%1.55%6.90%41.67%
73
Outperform
$21.80B12.0213.35%3.44%-1.98%48.93%
73
Outperform
$33.65B8.2421.07%8.66%32.96%
71
Outperform
$40.13B7.50%2.02%-24.08%26.42%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$12.30B10.9211.63%5.77%33.06%50.47%
50
Neutral
$11.88B15.82-152.32%2.15%-16.14%-224.34%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PFG
Principal Financial
101.09
27.38
37.15%
AEG
Aegon
8.23
1.91
30.30%
AIG
American International Group
78.77
-2.45
-3.02%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group
93.82
1.24
1.34%
HIG
Hartford Insurance
135.81
12.17
9.84%
EQH
Equitable Holdings
42.17
-6.98
-14.20%

Principal Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Principal Financial Updates Q1 2026 Assets Under Management
Neutral
Apr 20, 2026
As of March 31, 2026, Principal Financial Group reported total assets under management of $770.2 billion, with $578.0 billion overseen by Principal Asset Management – Investment Management and $159.6 billion managed by Principal Asset Manage...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026