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American International Group (AIG)
NYSE:AIG

American International Group (AIG) AI Stock Analysis

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AIG

American International Group

(NYSE:AIG)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$81.00
▼(-4.59% Downside)
AIG's overall stock score reflects a balance of strong earnings performance and strategic growth initiatives against the backdrop of revenue decline and technical challenges. The positive sentiment from the earnings call and reasonable valuation provide support, while technical indicators suggest caution. The company's operational efficiency and strategic investments are key strengths, but revenue trends and market conditions warrant careful monitoring.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency through reduced expense ratios enhances profitability and competitiveness, supporting long-term growth.
Strategic Investments
Strategic investments enhance market position and are expected to boost earnings, EPS, and ROE, strengthening future financial performance.
Technological Advancements
Technological advancements in AI improve operational processes, potentially increasing efficiency and competitive edge in the insurance market.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A substantial revenue decline poses a risk to future profitability and indicates potential challenges in maintaining market share and growth.
Challenging Rate Environment
Pricing pressures in key segments could impact revenue and profitability, challenging AIG's ability to maintain competitive pricing and margins.
Leadership Changes
Leadership changes can disrupt strategic continuity and may impact organizational stability and long-term strategic execution.

American International Group (AIG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American International Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican International Group, Inc. offers insurance products for commercial, institutional, and individual customers in North America and internationally. The company's General Insurance segment provides general liability, environmental, commercial automobile liability, workers' compensation, casualty, and crisis management insurance products; commercial, industrial, and energy-related property insurance; and aerospace, political risk, trade credit, portfolio solutions, crop, and marine insurance. It also provides professional liability insurance products for a range of businesses and risks, including directors and officers, mergers and acquisitions, fidelity, employment practices, fiduciary liability, cyber risk, kidnap and ransom, and errors and omissions insurance. In addition, this segment offers personal auto and property insurance, such as auto, homeowners, umbrella, yacht, fine art, and collections; voluntary and sponsor-paid personal accident; supplemental health products; extended warranty insurance products; and travel insurance products. Its Life and Retirement segment offers variable annuities, index and fixed annuities, and retail mutual funds; and financial planning and advisory services; record-keeping, plan administrative, and compliance services; and term life and universal life insurance. It also provides stable value wrap products, and structured settlement and pension risk transfer annuities; and corporate- and bank-owned life insurance and guaranteed investment contracts. This segment sells its products through independent marketing organizations, independent insurance agents, financial advisors, direct marketing, banks, and broker-dealers. The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyAIG generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies and the management of investment portfolios. The company earns premiums from its General Insurance segment, which includes both commercial and personal lines, while the Life and Retirement segment provides income through premiums, fees, and investment income. AIG also benefits from investment income generated from its insurance reserves, which are invested in various financial instruments. Additionally, strategic partnerships and collaborations enhance its market reach and can provide additional revenue opportunities. The company's diversified product offerings and global presence contribute to its ability to capture a wide range of revenue streams, making it resilient in varying market conditions.

American International Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Despite some challenges in pricing and specific segments, AIG delivered strong financial results, with significant strategic investments and technological advancements that are expected to drive future growth. The company's strong capital management and operational efficiencies further support a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
AIG reported adjusted after-tax income per diluted share of $2.20, an increase of 77% year-over-year. Adjusted after-tax income for the quarter was $1.2 billion, up 52% year-over-year.
General Insurance Business Success
Underwriting income was $793 million, an increase of 81% year-over-year. Net investment income on an adjusted pretax basis was $1 billion, up 15% year-over-year.
Strategic Investments
AIG announced strategic investments with Convex Group, Onex Corporation, and a transaction with Everest Group, all expected to be accretive to earnings, EPS, and ROE within a year post-closing.
Operational Efficiency
The General Insurance expense ratio improved by 100 basis points year-over-year to 30.9%, with expectations to achieve a target of below 30% by 2027.
Technological Advancements
AIG made significant advancements in GenAI initiatives, deploying solutions to improve underwriting and claims processes, aiming for increased efficiency and growth.
Capital Management
AIG returned $1.5 billion of capital to shareholders in the third quarter, through share repurchases and dividends, and reduced debt by $4.5 billion over the past three years.
Negative Updates
Challenging Rate Environment
North America Commercial Insurance net premiums written were flat year-over-year, with rate pressure in retail property (declined 10%) and Lexington Property (declined 8%).
International Financial Lines Decline
Net premiums in International Commercial Financial Lines declined by 6% year-over-year.
Global Personal Segment Challenges
Global Personal net premiums written decreased by 4%, driven by the high net worth quota share reinsurance treaty.
Pricing Pressures
Property and Specialty lines faced pricing pressure, which impacted the overall rate environment despite strong profitability.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, AIG reported strong financial results, with adjusted after-tax income per diluted share rising by 77% year-over-year to $2.20 and adjusted after-tax income increasing by 52% to $1.2 billion, driven primarily by their General Insurance business. Underwriting income reached $793 million, marking an 81% year-over-year increase, while net investment income on an adjusted pretax basis grew by 15% to $1 billion. The accident year combined ratio remained strong at 88.3%, consistent with the prior year quarter, and the calendar year combined ratio improved by 580 basis points to 86.8%. AIG's North America Commercial Insurance segment experienced flat net premiums written year-over-year, though adjusted for a prior closeout transaction, it reflected a 3% increase. Growth was evident in targeted areas such as Programs, Western World, and Excess Casualty, which saw increases of 27%, 11%, and 8%, respectively. However, Retail Property and Lexington Property faced declines of 10% and 8%, respectively, due to rate pressures. International Commercial Insurance saw a 1% increase in net premiums written, with Marine and Property segments leading growth. AIG also noted advancements in strategic investments and technology, highlighting acquisitions with Convex Group, Onex Corporation, and Everest Group, all expected to be accretive to earnings, EPS, and ROE. The company's capital management strategy remains robust, with over $19 billion returned to shareholders over the past three years and a focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet while pursuing accretive growth opportunities.

American International Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AIG's financial statements present a mixed picture. The income statement highlights strong margins but is overshadowed by significant revenue decline. The balance sheet shows improved leverage and profitability, while the cash flow statement indicates stable cash management despite growth challenges. Overall, AIG demonstrates operational efficiency but faces risks from declining revenues and the need for careful debt management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
AIG's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue decline of 74.37%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a high gross profit margin of over 100% due to its revenue recognition practices. The net profit margin has improved to 12.69% in the TTM, a positive sign compared to previous losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, indicating operational efficiency, but the revenue decline poses a risk to future profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
AIG's balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 in the TTM, which is a positive trend compared to previous years. The return on equity has improved to 7.51% in the TTM, indicating better profitability. However, the equity ratio is not provided, limiting a full assessment of asset financing. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but requires careful monitoring of debt levels.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 11.27% in the TTM, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.88, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains stable at 1.0, suggesting consistent cash flow management. Despite the decline in growth, cash flow metrics show resilience.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.39B27.27B27.96B29.98B51.98B43.84B
Gross Profit9.49B9.28B4.37B7.26B20.11B43.84B
EBITDA8.73B7.93B7.22B8.24B19.19B-3.17B
Net Income3.26B-1.40B3.64B10.23B10.37B-5.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets163.41B161.32B539.31B522.23B596.11B586.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.01B37.41B79.65B240.57B292.76B292.53B
Total Debt9.09B8.92B10.86B27.18B30.16B37.53B
Total Liabilities122.30B118.77B488.00B478.77B527.20B519.28B
Stockholders Equity41.09B42.52B45.35B40.97B65.96B66.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.80B3.27B6.24B4.13B6.22B1.04B
Operating Cash Flow2.80B3.27B6.24B4.13B6.22B1.04B
Investing Cash Flow5.91B1.67B-7.02B-3.63B-3.28B-6.20B
Financing Cash Flow-8.75B-5.06B782.00M-602.00M-3.68B5.06B

American International Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price84.90
Price Trends
50DMA
78.57
Positive
100DMA
78.73
Positive
200DMA
80.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.96
Negative
RSI
75.67
Negative
STOCH
84.55
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 84.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 77.38, above the 50-day MA of 78.57, and above the 200-day MA of 80.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.67 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.55 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AIG.

American International Group Risk Analysis

American International Group disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American International Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American International Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$34.06B8.7917.81%16.68%-28.54%
78
Outperform
$37.70B11.0520.07%1.60%7.11%22.52%
76
Outperform
$19.76B13.0913.74%3.42%12.33%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$11.71B8.1414.42%5.98%-6.19%
60
Neutral
$45.81B15.227.68%2.00%-23.02%52.43%
40
Underperform
$13.83B-17.43-41.33%2.18%7.70%-155.12%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIG
American International Group
86.30
15.35
21.63%
AEG
Aegon
7.38
1.73
30.62%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group
95.72
4.38
4.80%
HIG
Hartford Insurance
135.30
26.41
24.25%
PFG
Principal Financial
89.94
14.21
18.76%
EQH
Equitable Holdings
48.26
1.93
4.17%

American International Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
AIG Finalizes Agreement with John Neal
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

American International Group, Inc. (AIG) has finalized the documentation related to the mutual decision that John Neal will not be joining the company. As part of the agreement, AIG will compensate Mr. Neal with $2,700,000 for incentives he forewent at his former employer.

Executive/Board Changes
AIG President Appointment Change Announced
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

American International Group, Inc. (AIG) announced that John Neal, who was set to become President on December 1, 2025, will no longer join the company due to personal reasons. AIG’s Chairman & CEO, Peter Zaffino, will continue to collaborate with the Board to optimize the company’s organizational structure, aiming to enhance performance for clients, partners, and stakeholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AIG Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

AIG reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net income per diluted share increasing by 31% to $0.93 and adjusted after-tax income per diluted share rising by 77% to $2.20. The company announced strategic investments in Convex Group and Onex Corporation, as well as agreements to acquire renewal rights for Everest Group’s global retail commercial insurance portfolios. These moves are expected to enhance AIG’s earnings, EPS, and ROE, reflecting its robust brand and industry relationships. AIG’s General Insurance underwriting income grew by 81%, and the company returned approximately $1.5 billion of capital to shareholders during the quarter.

Executive/Board Changes
AIG Board Member Paola Bergamaschi Resigns
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

On October 1, 2025, American International Group, Inc. announced that Paola Bergamaschi will resign from its Board of Directors, effective October 15, 2025. Following her resignation, she will join the board of Talbot Underwriting Ltd., a subsidiary of AIG operating within the Lloyd’s Insurance Market, starting October 20, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025