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American International Group, Inc. (AIG)
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American International Group (AIG) AI Stock Analysis

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AIG

American International Group

(NYSE:AIG)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$80.00
▲(4.82% Upside)
AIG's overall stock score reflects a balance of strong earnings call performance and reasonable valuation against the backdrop of mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The company's strategic investments and technological advancements are promising, but declining revenues and technical weakness pose risks.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency, as shown by a better expense ratio, indicates AIG's ability to manage costs effectively, enhancing profitability and competitiveness in the long term.
Strategic Investments
Strategic investments are expected to be accretive to earnings, EPS, and ROE, positioning AIG for sustainable growth and enhanced market position.
Technological Advancements
Technological advancements in AI enhance underwriting and claims processes, driving efficiency and potential growth, crucial for maintaining a competitive edge.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A substantial revenue decline poses a risk to future profitability and growth, challenging AIG's ability to maintain its market position and financial health.
Challenging Rate Environment
Rate pressures in key segments can hinder revenue growth and profitability, affecting AIG's ability to compete effectively in the insurance market.
Decline in Global Personal Segment
A decline in the Global Personal segment indicates challenges in maintaining premium growth, which could impact AIG's revenue diversification and stability.

American International Group (AIG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American International Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican International Group (AIG) is a leading global insurance and financial services organization headquartered in New York City. The company operates through several segments, including General Insurance, Life & Retirement, and a diverse range of financial services. AIG provides a wide array of insurance products, including property and casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement solutions, and investment products, catering to both individual and institutional clients worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyAIG primarily generates revenue through underwriting insurance policies and collecting premiums from policyholders. The General Insurance segment is a significant revenue driver, where the company earns money by providing property and casualty insurance to businesses and individuals. The Life & Retirement segment contributes by offering life insurance and retirement savings products, generating income from premiums and fees associated with these policies. Additionally, AIG invests the premiums it collects, earning investment income from various financial instruments, which further enhances its revenue. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and distribution channels also play a crucial role in expanding AIG's market reach and driving sales across its product lines, contributing to overall profitability.

American International Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Despite some challenges in pricing and specific segments, AIG delivered strong financial results, with significant strategic investments and technological advancements that are expected to drive future growth. The company's strong capital management and operational efficiencies further support a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
AIG reported adjusted after-tax income per diluted share of $2.20, an increase of 77% year-over-year. Adjusted after-tax income for the quarter was $1.2 billion, up 52% year-over-year.
General Insurance Business Success
Underwriting income was $793 million, an increase of 81% year-over-year. Net investment income on an adjusted pretax basis was $1 billion, up 15% year-over-year.
Strategic Investments
AIG announced strategic investments with Convex Group, Onex Corporation, and a transaction with Everest Group, all expected to be accretive to earnings, EPS, and ROE within a year post-closing.
Operational Efficiency
The General Insurance expense ratio improved by 100 basis points year-over-year to 30.9%, with expectations to achieve a target of below 30% by 2027.
Technological Advancements
AIG made significant advancements in GenAI initiatives, deploying solutions to improve underwriting and claims processes, aiming for increased efficiency and growth.
Capital Management
AIG returned $1.5 billion of capital to shareholders in the third quarter, through share repurchases and dividends, and reduced debt by $4.5 billion over the past three years.
Negative Updates
Challenging Rate Environment
North America Commercial Insurance net premiums written were flat year-over-year, with rate pressure in retail property (declined 10%) and Lexington Property (declined 8%).
International Financial Lines Decline
Net premiums in International Commercial Financial Lines declined by 6% year-over-year.
Global Personal Segment Challenges
Global Personal net premiums written decreased by 4%, driven by the high net worth quota share reinsurance treaty.
Pricing Pressures
Property and Specialty lines faced pricing pressure, which impacted the overall rate environment despite strong profitability.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, AIG reported strong financial results, with adjusted after-tax income per diluted share rising by 77% year-over-year to $2.20 and adjusted after-tax income increasing by 52% to $1.2 billion, driven primarily by their General Insurance business. Underwriting income reached $793 million, marking an 81% year-over-year increase, while net investment income on an adjusted pretax basis grew by 15% to $1 billion. The accident year combined ratio remained strong at 88.3%, consistent with the prior year quarter, and the calendar year combined ratio improved by 580 basis points to 86.8%. AIG's North America Commercial Insurance segment experienced flat net premiums written year-over-year, though adjusted for a prior closeout transaction, it reflected a 3% increase. Growth was evident in targeted areas such as Programs, Western World, and Excess Casualty, which saw increases of 27%, 11%, and 8%, respectively. However, Retail Property and Lexington Property faced declines of 10% and 8%, respectively, due to rate pressures. International Commercial Insurance saw a 1% increase in net premiums written, with Marine and Property segments leading growth. AIG also noted advancements in strategic investments and technology, highlighting acquisitions with Convex Group, Onex Corporation, and Everest Group, all expected to be accretive to earnings, EPS, and ROE. The company's capital management strategy remains robust, with over $19 billion returned to shareholders over the past three years and a focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet while pursuing accretive growth opportunities.

American International Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AIG's financial statements present a mixed picture. The income statement highlights strong margins but is overshadowed by significant revenue decline. The balance sheet shows improved leverage and profitability, while the cash flow statement indicates stable cash management despite growth challenges. Overall, AIG demonstrates operational efficiency but faces risks from declining revenues and the need for careful debt management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
AIG's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue decline of 74.37%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a high gross profit margin of over 100% due to its revenue recognition practices. The net profit margin has improved to 12.69% in the TTM, a positive sign compared to previous losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, indicating operational efficiency, but the revenue decline poses a risk to future profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
AIG's balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 in the TTM, which is a positive trend compared to previous years. The return on equity has improved to 7.51% in the TTM, indicating better profitability. However, the equity ratio is not provided, limiting a full assessment of asset financing. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but requires careful monitoring of debt levels.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 11.27% in the TTM, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.88, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains stable at 1.0, suggesting consistent cash flow management. Despite the decline in growth, cash flow metrics show resilience.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.12B27.27B27.96B29.98B51.98B43.84B
Gross Profit-2.14B9.28B4.37B7.26B20.11B43.84B
EBITDA7.61B7.93B7.22B8.24B19.19B-3.17B
Net Income902.08M-1.40B3.64B10.23B10.37B-5.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets163.41B161.32B539.31B522.23B596.11B586.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.01B15.76B2.15B240.57B292.76B292.53B
Total Debt9.09B9.79B22.39B27.18B30.16B37.53B
Total Liabilities122.30B118.77B488.00B478.77B527.20B519.28B
Stockholders Equity41.09B42.52B45.35B40.97B65.96B66.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.80B3.27B6.24B4.13B6.22B1.04B
Operating Cash Flow2.80B3.27B6.24B4.13B6.22B1.04B
Investing Cash Flow5.91B1.67B-7.02B-3.63B-3.28B-6.20B
Financing Cash Flow-8.75B-5.06B782.00M-602.00M-3.68B5.06B

American International Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price76.32
Price Trends
50DMA
79.11
Negative
100DMA
80.03
Negative
200DMA
80.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.54
Positive
RSI
39.44
Neutral
STOCH
29.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 76.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.98, below the 50-day MA of 79.11, and below the 200-day MA of 80.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AIG.

American International Group Risk Analysis

American International Group disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American International Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American International Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$32.65B8.2017.81%16.68%-28.54%
74
Outperform
$35.73B10.4820.07%1.66%7.11%22.52%
73
Outperform
$17.83B11.8213.74%3.67%12.33%
69
Neutral
$11.92B8.2414.42%5.80%-6.19%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
$42.28B13.687.68%2.11%-23.02%52.43%
54
Neutral
$14.64B-41.33%2.27%4.80%-155.12%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIG
American International Group
76.28
2.30
3.11%
AEG
Aegon
7.61
1.40
22.54%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group
87.76
-9.09
-9.39%
HIG
Hartford Financial
127.94
12.44
10.77%
PFG
Principal Financial
82.44
0.10
0.12%
EQH
Equitable Holdings
44.87
-1.55
-3.34%

American International Group Corporate Events

AIG Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Nov 6, 2025

American International Group, Inc. (AIG) is a leading global insurance organization that provides a wide range of insurance solutions to businesses and individuals across more than 200 countries and jurisdictions. The company is known for its extensive global reach and diverse portfolio of insurance products.

AIG Earnings Call: Strong Results Amid Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

American International Group, Inc. (AIG) recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment despite some challenges in pricing and specific segments. The company reported strong financial results, underscored by significant strategic investments and technological advancements that are expected to drive future growth. AIG’s robust capital management and operational efficiencies further support a positive outlook for the company.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
AIG Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

AIG reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net income per diluted share increasing by 31% to $0.93 and adjusted after-tax income per diluted share rising by 77% to $2.20. The company announced strategic investments in Convex Group and Onex Corporation, as well as agreements to acquire renewal rights for Everest Group’s global retail commercial insurance portfolios. These moves are expected to enhance AIG’s earnings, EPS, and ROE, reflecting its robust brand and industry relationships. AIG’s General Insurance underwriting income grew by 81%, and the company returned approximately $1.5 billion of capital to shareholders during the quarter.

The most recent analyst rating on (AIG) stock is a Hold with a $83.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American International Group stock, see the AIG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
AIG Board Member Paola Bergamaschi Resigns
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

On October 1, 2025, American International Group, Inc. announced that Paola Bergamaschi will resign from its Board of Directors, effective October 15, 2025. Following her resignation, she will join the board of Talbot Underwriting Ltd., a subsidiary of AIG operating within the Lloyd’s Insurance Market, starting October 20, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (AIG) stock is a Buy with a $88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American International Group stock, see the AIG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
AIG Announces Leadership Change Due to Health Issues
Negative
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, American International Group, Inc. announced that Claude Wade, Executive Vice President, Chief Digital Officer and Global Head of Business Operations & Claims, will step down from his current responsibilities on December 31, 2025, due to health issues. Mr. Wade will transition to an advisory role, which may impact the company’s operations and leadership structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AIG) stock is a Buy with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American International Group stock, see the AIG Stock Forecast page.

AIG Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance
Aug 8, 2025

American International Group, Inc. (AIG) is a prominent global insurance organization providing a wide range of insurance solutions to businesses and individuals in over 200 countries. The company operates primarily in the insurance sector, offering products and services through its subsidiaries and affiliates.

AIG Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

American International Group, Inc. (AIG) recently held its earnings call, revealing a positive sentiment driven by strong financial growth and strategic advancements. Despite facing challenges in certain market segments, the company demonstrated robust financial performance, particularly in capital returns and Gen AI initiatives, which contributed to the overall optimistic outlook.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AIG Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Turnaround
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

In the second quarter of 2025, AIG reported a net income of $1.1 billion, a significant turnaround from a $4.0 billion net loss in the same quarter of the previous year. The company achieved a 56% year-over-year increase in adjusted after-tax income per diluted share, driven by higher underwriting and investment income. AIG’s General Insurance segment showed strong performance with a combined ratio of 89.3% and a 3% increase in global commercial net premiums written. The company returned $2.0 billion to shareholders and received credit rating upgrades from Moody’s and S&P Global, reflecting its strong financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AIG) stock is a Buy with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American International Group stock, see the AIG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025