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Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG)
NYSE:HIG
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Hartford Financial (HIG) AI Stock Analysis

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HIG

Hartford Financial

(NYSE:HIG)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$139.00
▲(8.64% Upside)
Hartford Financial's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including record core earnings and strategic growth in key segments. The valuation is reasonable, supporting a stable investment outlook. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which could pose short-term challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Performance
Record earnings and high ROE indicate strong financial health and effective strategic execution, supporting long-term growth.
Business Insurance Growth
Growth in Business Insurance premiums reflects strong market demand and effective product offerings, enhancing revenue stability.
Dividend Increase
A significant dividend increase signals strong capital generation and management's confidence in sustained cash flow.
Negative Factors
Global Specialty Wholesale Decline
Decline in Global Specialty wholesale suggests challenges in market demand, potentially impacting future revenue in this segment.
Personal Insurance Competitive Pressure
Competitive pressures in Personal Insurance could limit market share expansion and affect pricing power, impacting margins.
Middle & Large Business Competition
Increased competition in Middle & Large business may necessitate cautious underwriting, potentially affecting profitability.

Hartford Financial (HIG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hartford Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. provides insurance and financial services to individual and business customers in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. Its Commercial Lines segment offers workers' compensation, property, automobile, liability, umbrella, bond, marine, livestock, and reinsurance; and customized insurance products and risk management services, including professional liability, bond, surety, and specialty casualty coverages through regional offices, branches, sales and policyholder service centers, independent retail agents and brokers, wholesale agents, and reinsurance brokers. The company's Personal Lines segment provides automobile, homeowners, and personal umbrella coverages through direct-to-consumer channel and independent agents. Its Property & Casualty Other Operations segment offers coverage for asbestos and environmental exposures. The company's Group Benefits segment provides group life, disability, and other group coverages to members of employer groups, associations, and affinity groups through direct insurance policies; reinsurance to other insurance companies; employer paid and voluntary product coverages; disability underwriting, administration, and claims processing to self-funded employer plans; and a single-company leave management solution. This segment distributes its group insurance products and services through brokers, consultants, third-party administrators, trade associations, and private exchanges. Its Hartford Funds segment offers investment products for retail and retirement accounts; exchange-traded products through broker-dealer organizations, independent financial advisers, defined contribution plans, financial consultants, bank trust groups, and registered investment advisers; and investment management and administrative services, such as product design, implementation, and oversight. The company was founded in 1810 and is headquartered in Hartford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyHartford makes money primarily through premium collections from its insurance operations. The company generates revenue by underwriting various types of insurance policies, which include auto, homeowners, and commercial insurance. It also earns investment income from the assets it holds to back its insurance policies and from its investment management services. Key revenue streams include the sale of group benefits insurance products and mutual funds. The company benefits from partnerships with independent agents and brokers who distribute its insurance products, enhancing its market reach and client acquisition. Furthermore, Hartford strategically invests in its own portfolio, which allows for additional revenue through investment gains.

Hartford Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Income by Segment
Net Income by Segment
Reveals profitability across different business units, highlighting which segments drive earnings and where there might be challenges or opportunities for growth.
Chart InsightsHartford Financial's Commercial Lines segment has shown consistent strength, with net income stabilizing after fluctuations in 2020. The latest earnings call highlights robust growth in Business Insurance and Personal Insurance, with significant improvements in auto results. However, challenges remain in workers' compensation pricing and flat growth in Employee Benefits premiums. Strategic investments in AI and technology are enhancing efficiency, positioning Hartford for future growth despite these pressures. The strong performance in core earnings and strategic focus on innovation suggest a positive outlook for investors.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Hartford Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with record core earnings and strategic achievements across several segments, including Business Insurance and Employee Benefits. However, challenges in specific areas like Global Specialty wholesale and competitive pressures in Personal Insurance and Middle & Large business were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Core Earnings
The Hartford delivered record third quarter core earnings of $1.1 billion or $3.78 per diluted share, reflecting the company's strong franchise and strategic execution.
Business Insurance Growth
Business Insurance experienced written premium growth of 9% with an underlying combined ratio of 89.4%. Small Business Insurance recorded an 11% growth in written premium.
Employee Benefits Margin Improvement
Employee Benefits achieved a core earnings margin of 8.3%, with strong life and disability performance.
Dividend Increase
The company announced a 15% increase in the common quarterly dividend, supported by strong earnings power and capital generation.
Investment Income Surge
Net investment income increased by $100 million from the third quarter of 2024 due to higher income from limited partnerships and reinvesting at higher interest rates.
Negative Updates
Global Specialty Wholesale Decline
Global Specialty saw a 3% dip in wholesale, primarily due to a decline in new construction projects.
Personal Insurance Competitive Market Pressure
Personal Insurance growth was impacted by a highly competitive market, despite improvements in underlying margins.
Middle & Large Business Competition
Middle & Large business faced competition and potential pricing pressure, with a noted need for cautious underwriting.
Company Guidance
During The Hartford Insurance Group's third quarter 2025 earnings call, management provided robust guidance, highlighting record core earnings of $1.1 billion, or $3.78 per diluted share, reflecting a strong franchise and strategic execution. The company reported a trailing 12-month core earnings return on equity (ROE) of 18.4%. Business Insurance saw a 9% written premium growth with an underlying combined ratio of 89.4%, and Personal Insurance improved with a 3.7-point increase in the underlying combined ratio to 90%. Employee Benefits maintained an 8.3% core earnings margin. Notable growth areas included a 47% increase in E&S binding premiums and a 10% growth in Middle & Large business premiums. The company also announced a 15% increase in the quarterly dividend, supported by strong capital generation. Looking forward, written premium is expected to surpass $6 billion in 2025, indicating a 10% growth over the previous year.

Hartford Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hartford Financial presents a strong financial profile with robust profitability metrics, effective cost management, and stable revenue growth. The balance sheet reflects low leverage, promoting financial stability, while cash flow metrics confirm efficient cash utilization. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the insurance industry, with a solid foundation for future growth and resilience against market fluctuations.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Hartford Financial exhibits solid profitability with a TTM Gross Profit Margin of 15.23%, and a Net Profit Margin of 11.90%. The company has maintained a healthy revenue growth rate of 3.37% from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins stand at 14.87% and 15.83% respectively, indicating efficient cost management and operational effectiveness. The consistent revenue growth reflects strong market positioning in the insurance sector.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.25, which indicates low leverage and a conservative approach in capital structure. The Return on Equity is robust at 18.52%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. However, the Equity Ratio of 20.94% suggests a moderate degree of financial stability, with potential room for improving equity financing.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Hartford Financial demonstrates strong cash flow management with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of -0.83% in the TTM period, which remains relatively stable. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.80, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.76 further supports the company's ability to generate cash, ensuring liquidity and operational flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.79B26.38B24.33B21.85B21.65B20.32B
Gross Profit3.17B3.97B3.17B2.05B2.47B2.33B
EBITDA4.87B4.21B3.60B2.89B3.58B2.68B
Net Income3.56B3.11B2.50B1.82B2.37B1.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets85.00B80.92B76.78B73.02B76.58B74.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.37B4.25B19.30B4.09B46.75B48.47B
Total Debt4.37B4.37B4.36B4.36B4.94B4.35B
Total Liabilities66.55B64.47B61.45B59.39B58.73B55.55B
Stockholders Equity18.45B16.45B15.33B13.63B17.84B18.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.89B5.76B4.00B3.83B3.96B3.76B
Operating Cash Flow5.99B5.91B4.22B4.01B4.09B3.87B
Investing Cash Flow-3.81B-3.77B-2.43B-1.28B-2.41B-2.12B
Financing Cash Flow-2.24B-2.08B-1.95B-2.71B-1.58B-1.78B

Hartford Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price127.94
Price Trends
50DMA
129.55
Negative
100DMA
127.58
Positive
200DMA
123.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.92
Negative
RSI
53.25
Neutral
STOCH
86.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HIG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 127.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 125.81, below the 50-day MA of 129.55, and above the 200-day MA of 123.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HIG.

Hartford Financial Risk Analysis

Hartford Financial disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hartford Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hartford Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$32.65B8.2017.81%16.68%-28.54%
74
Outperform
$35.73B10.4820.07%1.66%7.11%22.52%
73
Outperform
$18.03B11.9513.74%3.67%12.33%
69
Neutral
$11.92B8.2414.42%5.80%-6.19%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
$42.28B13.687.68%2.11%-23.02%52.43%
54
Neutral
$14.64B-41.33%2.27%4.80%-155.12%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HIG
Hartford Financial
127.94
12.44
10.77%
AEG
Aegon
7.61
1.40
22.54%
AIG
American International Group
76.28
2.30
3.11%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group
87.76
-9.09
-9.39%
PFG
Principal Financial
82.44
0.10
0.12%
EQH
Equitable Holdings
44.87
-1.55
-3.34%

Hartford Financial Corporate Events

Hartford Financial Services Reports Record Earnings
Oct 29, 2025

Hartford Financial Services, known as The Hartford, is a prominent player in the property and casualty insurance sector, offering a range of services including employee benefits and mutual funds. The company is recognized for its strong service excellence and sustainability practices.

Hartford Financial Services Reports Record Earnings Amid Strategic Success
Oct 29, 2025

The recent earnings call for Hartford Financial Services painted a picture of robust performance and strategic success, underscored by record core earnings. The company showcased significant achievements across various segments, notably in Business Insurance and Employee Benefits. However, the call also highlighted challenges in specific areas such as Global Specialty wholesale and competitive pressures in Personal Insurance and Middle & Large business sectors.

Private Placements and Financing
Hartford Financial Secures $750M Credit Facility Agreement
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. entered into a Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with several major banks, securing a revolving credit facility of up to $750 million, with provisions for an additional $500 million. This agreement, which expires in 2030, includes financial covenants and allows for borrowings in alternative currencies, impacting the company’s financial flexibility and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HIG) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hartford Financial stock, see the HIG Stock Forecast page.

Hartford Financial Services Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 30, 2025

Hartford Financial Services, a prominent player in the property and casualty insurance, employee benefits, and mutual funds sectors, has reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2025. Known for its service excellence and sustainability practices, the company continues to demonstrate strong performance across its diverse offerings.

Hartford Financial’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Jul 30, 2025

The Hartford Financial Services Group recently held an earnings call that exuded a positive sentiment, reflecting the company’s robust performance across various segments. The call highlighted record core earnings, significant growth in Business and Personal Insurance, and strong results in Global Specialty and Employee Benefits. Despite facing minor challenges such as flat premium growth in Employee Benefits and pricing pressure in specific property markets, the overall sentiment remained optimistic due to the company’s strategic execution and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025