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Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG)
NYSE:HIG
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Hartford Financial (HIG) AI Stock Analysis

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HIG

Hartford Financial

(NYSE:HIG)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$143.00
▲(11.58% Upside)
Hartford Financial's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of the stock's high score. While technical analysis is stable, the valuation is attractive, and recent corporate events add strategic value. Overall, the company is well-positioned for growth.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The Hartford saw strong earnings driven by all segments, partially offset by slower growth.
Share Repurchases
Share repurchases of $400 million came in above expectations.
Underwriting
Strong Business Insurance underwriting and a path for expanding margins in Personal Insurance should provide a sense of calm and optimism for Hartford.
Negative Factors
Catastrophe Losses
Catastrophe losses came in higher than expected, with significant contributions from California fires.
General Liability Reserves
HIG shares traded down on the GL reserve noise.
Investment Income
Investment income missed expectations due to weaker results in limited partnerships.

Hartford Financial (HIG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hartford Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHartford Financial Services Group, Inc., commonly referred to as The Hartford, is a United States-based investment and insurance company. It provides a wide range of financial products and services, including property and casualty insurance, group benefits, and mutual funds. The company operates through several segments, such as Commercial Lines, Personal Lines, Group Benefits, and Hartford Funds. The Hartford is known for its expertise in underwriting and claims handling, serving both individual and business customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Hartford generates revenue primarily through insurance premiums, investment income, and fees. The company's main revenue streams include premiums collected for property and casualty insurance policies, which cover areas like workers' compensation, auto, and home insurance. Additionally, The Hartford earns income from investment activities, where it manages and invests the premiums collected until claims are paid out. The Group Benefits segment contributes to revenue by providing life and disability insurance, as well as other employee benefits, to corporate clients. Hartford Funds generates revenue through asset management fees from the mutual funds it offers. These activities, combined with strategic partnerships and a focus on maintaining efficient operations and selective underwriting, contribute to The Hartford's financial performance.

Hartford Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The Hartford's earnings call highlights strong performance across various segments with record core earnings, significant growth in Business and Personal Insurance, and robust results in Global Specialty and Employee Benefits. Despite minor challenges such as flat premium growth in Employee Benefits and pricing pressure in specific property markets, the overall sentiment is positive due to the company's strategic execution and market positioning.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Core Earnings
The Hartford reported outstanding core earnings of $981 million, reflecting the effectiveness of strategy and execution, with a trailing 12-month core earnings ROE of 17%.
Strong Business Insurance Growth
Business Insurance experienced top line growth of 8% with an underlying combined ratio of 88. Small Business achieved record-breaking net new business premium, with a 35% increase in E&S binding premium.
Personal Insurance Improvement
Personal Insurance improved significantly with an underlying combined ratio of 88 and 17% written premium growth in homeowners. Auto results improved by 9.7 points to a mid-90s underlying combined ratio.
Global Specialty and Reinsurance Success
Global Specialty achieved record quarterly gross written premium of $1.3 billion with growth in casualty, auto, and inland marine. The Global Reinsurance business grew gross written premium by 15%.
Exceptional Employee Benefits Results
Employee Benefits achieved a core earnings margin of 9.2%, driven by excellent life and disability results with persistency remaining strong in the low 90s.
Investment Income Growth
Net investment income increased due to a higher level of invested assets and reinvesting at higher interest rates, with a total annualized portfolio yield of 4.6% before tax.
Negative Updates
Workers' Compensation Pricing Decline
Workers' compensation pricing declined modestly, turning negative by about 0.5 points, though it remains within expectations.
Flat Growth in Employee Benefits Premium
Fully insured premium growth in Employee Benefits was flat, reflecting a competitive market despite strong core earnings margins.
Pressure in Large and Wholesale Property Markets
Large property and wholesale pricing declined, with decreases of 4 and 8 points respectively from the first quarter, though margins are still adequate.
Company Guidance
During The Hartford Insurance Group's second-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported impressive financial metrics, underscoring its robust performance. Core earnings reached nearly $1 billion, with a trailing 12-month core earnings return on equity (ROE) of 17%. Business Insurance experienced top-line growth of 8%, achieving an underlying combined ratio of 88. Personal Insurance also demonstrated strength, with an underlying combined ratio of 88 and a 9.7-point improvement in auto results. Meanwhile, Employee Benefits boasted an exceptional core earnings margin of 9.2%. Notably, Global Specialty achieved record quarterly gross written premiums of $1.3 billion, showcasing sustained underlying margins in the mid-80s. The company highlighted strategic investments in AI and technology, which have driven growth and efficiency, allowing 75% of quotes to be bound within minutes. Additionally, The Hartford projected a clear trajectory to exceed $6 billion in annual written premium for Small Business in 2025. Overall, the call emphasized The Hartford's strategic focus on innovation, market expansion, and maintaining strong margins across its diverse insurance segments.

Hartford Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hartford Financial demonstrates robust profitability metrics and effective cost management with a healthy revenue growth rate. The balance sheet shows low leverage and strong financial stability, while cash flow metrics indicate efficient cash utilization.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Hartford Financial exhibits solid profitability with a TTM Gross Profit Margin of 15.23%, and a Net Profit Margin of 11.90%. The company has maintained a healthy revenue growth rate of 3.37% from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins stand at 14.87% and 15.83% respectively, indicating efficient cost management and operational effectiveness. The consistent revenue growth reflects strong market positioning in the insurance sector.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.25, which indicates low leverage and a conservative approach in capital structure. The Return on Equity is robust at 18.52%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. However, the Equity Ratio of 20.94% suggests a moderate degree of financial stability, with potential room for improving equity financing.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Hartford Financial demonstrates strong cash flow management with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of -0.83% in the TTM period, which remains relatively stable. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.80, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.76 further supports the company's ability to generate cash, ensuring liquidity and operational flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.27B26.38B24.33B21.85B21.65B20.32B
Gross Profit4.15B3.97B3.17B2.05B2.47B2.33B
EBITDA4.41B4.21B3.60B2.89B3.58B2.68B
Net Income3.25B3.11B2.50B1.82B2.37B1.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets83.64B80.92B76.78B73.02B76.58B74.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.81B4.25B126.00M40.32B46.75B48.47B
Total Debt4.37B4.37B4.36B4.36B4.94B4.35B
Total Liabilities66.12B64.47B54.77B59.39B4.94B4.35B
Stockholders Equity17.52B16.45B15.33B13.63B17.84B18.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.72B5.76B4.00B3.83B3.96B3.76B
Operating Cash Flow5.83B5.91B4.22B4.01B4.09B3.87B
Investing Cash Flow-3.59B-3.77B-2.43B-1.28B-2.47B-2.07B
Financing Cash Flow-2.22B-2.08B-1.95B-2.71B-1.58B-1.78B

Hartford Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price128.16
Price Trends
50DMA
125.04
Positive
100DMA
123.55
Positive
200DMA
118.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.95
Negative
RSI
59.72
Neutral
STOCH
81.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HIG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 128.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 123.92, above the 50-day MA of 125.04, and above the 200-day MA of 118.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HIG.

Hartford Financial Risk Analysis

Hartford Financial disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hartford Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hartford Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$36.03B11.6219.55%1.58%7.67%15.99%
76
Outperform
$33.50B9.1817.09%23.79%-32.09%
72
Outperform
$17.11B15.4710.16%3.92%-3.34%-3.32%
70
Neutral
$11.41B15.999.36%5.38%-5.03%
67
Neutral
$17.04B11.609.79%3.95%10.64%1.80%
65
Neutral
$15.68B41.9334.30%1.96%0.60%-47.26%
56
Neutral
$45.56B14.657.61%2.11%-44.30%-33.09%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HIG
Hartford Financial
128.16
22.84
21.69%
AEG
Aegon
7.38
1.64
28.57%
AIG
American International Group
78.13
8.01
11.42%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group
88.83
-4.33
-4.65%
PFG
Principal Financial
76.59
4.85
6.76%
EQH
Equitable Holdings
51.98
14.50
38.69%

Hartford Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hartford Financial Appoints Thomas Bartlett to Board
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, The Hartford announced the appointment of Thomas Bartlett to its board of directors, effective July 1, 2025. Bartlett, a former CEO of American Tower Corp. and a veteran of Verizon Communications, brings extensive C-suite experience and financial acumen to the board. His appointment is expected to enhance the company’s strategic direction and shareholder growth through innovation and customer focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (HIG) stock is a Hold with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hartford Financial stock, see the HIG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Hartford Financial Confirms Board and Auditor for 2025
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Hartford Financial held its annual meeting of shareholders where several key decisions were made. The election of the Board of Directors was confirmed, with nominees elected to serve until the 2026 meeting. Additionally, the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for 2025 was ratified, and the compensation of named executive officers was approved. The 2025 Long Term Incentive Stock Plan was also approved, while a proposal for special meeting rights for shareholders at 10% was not passed.

The most recent analyst rating on (HIG) stock is a Hold with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hartford Financial stock, see the HIG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025