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Hartford Insurance (HIG)
NYSE:HIG
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Hartford Financial (HIG) AI Stock Analysis

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HIG

Hartford Financial

(NYSE:HIG)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
$155.00
▲(12.67% Upside)
Hartford Financial's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The stock's valuation is attractive, and technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The company's strategic execution and dividend increase further bolster confidence in its growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 9% growth in Business Insurance premiums indicates strong demand and effective market penetration, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Dividend Increase
A 15% dividend increase reflects strong capital generation and management's confidence in sustained profitability, enhancing shareholder value.
Investment Income
Higher investment income from limited partnerships and reinvestment at higher rates boosts financial resilience and supports future growth.
Negative Factors
Global Specialty Decline
A decline in Global Specialty wholesale due to fewer new construction projects may signal challenges in sustaining growth in this segment.
Competitive Pressures
Intense competition in Personal Insurance could pressure margins and limit growth, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain competitiveness.
Middle & Large Business Competition
Competitive pressures in Middle & Large business may lead to pricing challenges, impacting profitability and requiring careful underwriting.

Hartford Financial (HIG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hartford Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (HIG) is a leading provider of insurance and financial services, headquartered in Hartford, Connecticut. The company operates primarily through three segments: Property & Casualty, Group Benefits, and Mutual Funds. Hartford offers a wide range of products including automobile, home, and business insurance, as well as employee benefits such as disability and life insurance, and investment products through its asset management services.
How the Company Makes MoneyHartford generates revenue through multiple key streams. The Property & Casualty segment earns money by underwriting various insurance policies and collecting premiums from policyholders, which can include commercial and personal lines insurance. The Group Benefits segment provides employee benefits solutions, where revenue is derived from premiums paid by employers for coverage such as short-term disability and group life insurance. Additionally, Hartford's Mutual Funds segment earns management fees from investment products and services offered to consumers and institutions. The company also benefits from investment income generated from its own investment portfolio, which includes fixed income and equity securities. Strategic partnerships with brokers and agents enhance its distribution capabilities, further contributing to its earnings.

Hartford Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Income by Segment
Net Income by Segment
Reveals profitability across different business units, highlighting which segments drive earnings and where there might be challenges or opportunities for growth.
Chart InsightsHartford Financial's Commercial Lines segment has shown consistent strength, with net income stabilizing after fluctuations in 2020. The latest earnings call highlights robust growth in Business Insurance and Personal Insurance, with significant improvements in auto results. However, challenges remain in workers' compensation pricing and flat growth in Employee Benefits premiums. Strategic investments in AI and technology are enhancing efficiency, positioning Hartford for future growth despite these pressures. The strong performance in core earnings and strategic focus on innovation suggest a positive outlook for investors.
Data provided by:The Fly

Hartford Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with record core earnings and strategic achievements across several segments, including Business Insurance and Employee Benefits. However, challenges in specific areas like Global Specialty wholesale and competitive pressures in Personal Insurance and Middle & Large business were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Core Earnings
The Hartford delivered record third quarter core earnings of $1.1 billion or $3.78 per diluted share, reflecting the company's strong franchise and strategic execution.
Business Insurance Growth
Business Insurance experienced written premium growth of 9% with an underlying combined ratio of 89.4%. Small Business Insurance recorded an 11% growth in written premium.
Employee Benefits Margin Improvement
Employee Benefits achieved a core earnings margin of 8.3%, with strong life and disability performance.
Dividend Increase
The company announced a 15% increase in the common quarterly dividend, supported by strong earnings power and capital generation.
Investment Income Surge
Net investment income increased by $100 million from the third quarter of 2024 due to higher income from limited partnerships and reinvesting at higher interest rates.
Negative Updates
Global Specialty Wholesale Decline
Global Specialty saw a 3% dip in wholesale, primarily due to a decline in new construction projects.
Personal Insurance Competitive Market Pressure
Personal Insurance growth was impacted by a highly competitive market, despite improvements in underlying margins.
Middle & Large Business Competition
Middle & Large business faced competition and potential pricing pressure, with a noted need for cautious underwriting.
Company Guidance
During The Hartford Insurance Group's third quarter 2025 earnings call, management provided robust guidance, highlighting record core earnings of $1.1 billion, or $3.78 per diluted share, reflecting a strong franchise and strategic execution. The company reported a trailing 12-month core earnings return on equity (ROE) of 18.4%. Business Insurance saw a 9% written premium growth with an underlying combined ratio of 89.4%, and Personal Insurance improved with a 3.7-point increase in the underlying combined ratio to 90%. Employee Benefits maintained an 8.3% core earnings margin. Notable growth areas included a 47% increase in E&S binding premiums and a 10% growth in Middle & Large business premiums. The company also announced a 15% increase in the quarterly dividend, supported by strong capital generation. Looking forward, written premium is expected to surpass $6 billion in 2025, indicating a 10% growth over the previous year.

Hartford Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hartford Financial exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and effective capital management. The income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics are all robust, though there is room for improvement in the equity ratio.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Hartford Financial shows strong income statement performance with consistent revenue growth and improving profit margins. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 16.09% and a net profit margin of 12.80%, both of which are healthy for the industry. Revenue growth has been positive, with a 1.59% increase in the latest TTM period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, reflecting efficient operations and cost management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24 in the TTM period, indicating prudent leverage. Return on equity is strong at 20.55%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 21.70%, reflecting a stable capital structure. However, the relatively low equity ratio suggests some room for improvement in asset financing.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow performance is commendable, with a free cash flow growth rate of 3.06% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 9.75, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 0.98, demonstrating efficient cash conversion. Overall, cash flow metrics suggest robust liquidity and financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.70B26.38B24.33B21.85B21.65B20.32B
Gross Profit4.47B3.97B3.17B2.05B2.47B2.33B
EBITDA4.82B4.21B3.60B2.89B3.58B2.68B
Net Income3.56B3.11B2.50B1.82B2.37B1.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets85.00B80.92B70.10B73.02B76.58B74.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.37B4.25B126.00M4.09B46.75B48.47B
Total Debt4.37B4.37B4.36B4.36B4.94B4.35B
Total Liabilities66.55B64.47B54.77B59.39B58.73B55.55B
Stockholders Equity18.45B16.45B15.33B13.63B17.84B18.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.89B5.76B4.00B3.83B3.96B3.76B
Operating Cash Flow5.99B5.91B4.22B4.01B4.09B3.87B
Investing Cash Flow-3.81B-3.77B-2.43B-1.28B-2.41B-2.12B
Financing Cash Flow-2.24B-2.08B-1.95B-2.71B-1.58B-1.78B

Hartford Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price137.57
Price Trends
50DMA
129.94
Positive
100DMA
128.70
Positive
200DMA
124.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.26
Negative
RSI
71.51
Negative
STOCH
86.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HIG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 137.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 130.64, above the 50-day MA of 129.94, and above the 200-day MA of 124.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.51 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HIG.

Hartford Financial Risk Analysis

Hartford Financial disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hartford Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hartford Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$38.07B11.1620.07%1.66%7.11%22.52%
79
Outperform
$33.34B8.6017.81%16.68%-28.54%
73
Outperform
$18.61B12.3313.74%3.67%12.33%
69
Neutral
$11.90B8.2914.42%5.72%-6.19%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
$40.47B13.457.68%2.11%-23.02%52.43%
40
Underperform
$13.39B-41.33%2.25%7.70%-155.12%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HIG
Hartford Financial
137.57
16.29
13.43%
AEG
Aegon
7.72
1.56
25.32%
AIG
American International Group
75.01
-0.24
-0.32%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group
93.61
-7.11
-7.06%
PFG
Principal Financial
84.69
0.77
0.92%
EQH
Equitable Holdings
46.72
-0.50
-1.06%

Hartford Financial Corporate Events

Hartford Financial Services Reports Record Earnings
Oct 29, 2025

Hartford Financial Services, known as The Hartford, is a prominent player in the property and casualty insurance sector, offering a range of services including employee benefits and mutual funds. The company is recognized for its strong service excellence and sustainability practices.

Hartford Financial Services Reports Record Earnings Amid Strategic Success
Oct 29, 2025

The recent earnings call for Hartford Financial Services painted a picture of robust performance and strategic success, underscored by record core earnings. The company showcased significant achievements across various segments, notably in Business Insurance and Employee Benefits. However, the call also highlighted challenges in specific areas such as Global Specialty wholesale and competitive pressures in Personal Insurance and Middle & Large business sectors.

Private Placements and Financing
Hartford Financial Secures $750M Credit Facility Agreement
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. entered into a Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with several major banks, securing a revolving credit facility of up to $750 million, with provisions for an additional $500 million. This agreement, which expires in 2030, includes financial covenants and allows for borrowings in alternative currencies, impacting the company’s financial flexibility and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HIG) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hartford Financial stock, see the HIG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 17, 2025