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Oportun Financial Corp. (OPRT)
NASDAQ:OPRT
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Oportun Financial (OPRT) AI Stock Analysis

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OPRT

Oportun Financial

(NASDAQ:OPRT)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-14.97% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by a improving-but-risky financial profile: strong and consistent cash flow and a return to profitability are positives, but historically high leverage remains a key concern for a credit-services lender. Earnings-call takeaways are moderately supportive (reiterated guidance, improving funding costs and deleveraging) but tempered by elevated charge-offs and weaker near-term operating trends. Technicals add a modest tailwind with improving momentum, while valuation is only average given a 24.3 P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Oportun's very strong, consistent operating and free cash flow provides durable internal liquidity to absorb credit volatility, fund operations, service debt, and support ABS issuance or strategic initiatives without frequent equity needs, enhancing financial flexibility over time.
Negative Factors
Historically high leverage
A history of very high leverage for a consumer credit lender amplifies earnings volatility and raises funding and capital risk during downturns. Even with recent TTM improvements, legacy leverage levels constrain flexibility and make sustained deleveraging critical.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Oportun's very strong, consistent operating and free cash flow provides durable internal liquidity to absorb credit volatility, fund operations, service debt, and support ABS issuance or strategic initiatives without frequent equity needs, enhancing financial flexibility over time.
Read all positive factors

Oportun Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Aggregate Originations
Aggregate Originations
Dollar volume of new loans originated over a period, reflecting demand and the company’s growth momentum. Rising originations signal revenue potential but can foreshadow credit stress if underwriting loosens to chase volume.
Chart InsightsOriginations retraced sharply from the 2021–22 peak after credit tightening, bottomed in early 2024, and have staged a steady recovery into 2025 driven largely by returning members and growth in secured personal loans. Management’s cheaper financing and expense cuts support the rebound, but originations remain below prior cycle highs and face headwinds — a guided temporary uptick in charge‑offs and still-elevated delinquencies could cap margin upside even as volumes improve.
Data provided by:The Fly

Oportun Financial (OPRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oportun Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
This financial institution specializes in providing a range of monetary services, encompassing personal loans, vehicle financing, and credit card options. Customers can access their offerings through diverse channels, including digital platforms, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Oportun primarily makes money by originating consumer loans and earning interest income over the life of those loans. Revenue is largely driven by: (1) Interest income on loans held on its balance sheet—borrowers pay interest (and in some cases fe...

Oportun Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mix of constructive balance-sheet and funding achievements (GAAP profitability, lower interest expense, stronger liquidity, deleveraging, ABS execution, secured-loan growth, and operating efficiency) alongside notable near-term challenges (an 11% decline in originations, elevated Q1 net charge-offs at 12.65%, lower adjusted EPS, and modest revenue declines). Management reiterated full-year guidance and outlined initiatives (risk-based pricing, payment protection, upgraded underwriting model B13) intended to drive improvement. Overall, results show clear progress on capitalization and cost of funds, but operational and credit-performance headwinds keep the tone measured.
Positive Updates
GAAP Profitability Streak
Sixth consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability with net income of $2.3 million and diluted EPS of $0.05; adjusted net income of $10 million and adjusted EPS of $0.21.
Negative Updates
Originations Decline
Total originations declined 11% year over year in Q1, contributing to lower top-line growth and explaining part of the revenue decline.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
GAAP Profitability Streak
Sixth consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability with net income of $2.3 million and diluted EPS of $0.05; adjusted net income of $10 million and adjusted EPS of $0.21.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Oportun reiterated Q2 and full‑year 2026 guidance: Q2 total revenue $227–232M, annualized net charge‑off 12.2% ±15 bps, adjusted EBITDA $34–39M (midpoint $37M); full‑year revenue $935–955M, annualized net charge‑off 11.9% ±50 bps, adjusted EBITDA $150–165M, adjusted net income $74–82M, and adjusted EPS $1.50–1.65. The outlook assumes a 1–2% decline in average daily principal, at least a 10% reduction in interest expense, and substantially flat operating expenses, with mid‑single‑digit originations growth; management expects Q1’s 12.65% annualized net charge‑off to be the 2026 peak, Q2 30+ delinquency of 4.1–4.2% (Q1: 4.5%), cost of funds ~7% (improved from 8.2%), adjusted OpEx ratio ~12.7% (toward a 12.5% target), and debt‑to‑equity trending from 6.8x toward a 6x target — midpoints imply roughly 16% adjusted EPS growth and 6% adjusted EBITDA growth versus 2025.

Oportun Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Improving fundamentals are offset by balance-sheet risk. The income statement reflects a meaningful turnaround to TTM profitability and revenue growth, and cash flow is a standout strength with very strong, consistent operating and free cash flow. However, the balance sheet has a history of very high leverage (around ~6–8x debt-to-equity in 2022–2025) and the sharp TTM leverage discontinuity reduces confidence, keeping the overall financial profile only mid-range despite strong cash generation.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
33
Negative
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue616.91M637.34M533.36M460.08M733.70M578.15M
Gross Profit394.81M405.84M295.20M280.67M640.66M530.48M
EBITDA73.86M85.49M-64.02M-198.77M-27.75M89.90M
Net Income17.88M25.25M-78.68M-179.95M-77.74M47.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.17B3.26B3.23B3.41B3.61B2.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments209.90M105.50M59.97M91.19M98.82M130.96M
Total Debt2.72B2.81B2.82B3.23B3.28B2.60B
Total Liabilities2.77B2.87B2.87B3.01B3.07B2.34B
Stockholders Equity396.30M390.10M353.81M404.40M547.60M603.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow402.91M389.08M374.33M361.50M198.98M136.97M
Operating Cash Flow416.17M413.40M393.52M392.76M247.88M163.45M
Investing Cash Flow-306.17M-369.70M-193.69M-286.18M-1.17B-884.79M
Financing Cash Flow-131.11M-59.40M-191.22M-104.39M934.53M745.71M

Oportun Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.88
Price Trends
50DMA
5.32
Negative
100DMA
5.20
Negative
200DMA
5.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
41.28
Neutral
STOCH
24.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OPRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.16, above the 50-day MA of 5.32, and above the 200-day MA of 5.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OPRT.

Oportun Financial Risk Analysis

Oportun Financial disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oportun Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oportun Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$236.11M5.789.85%4.44%9.67%-6.40%
69
Neutral
$334.35M6.8213.16%2.99%10.51%53.17%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
$209.39M10.426.34%12.28%1.64%
60
Neutral
$103.06M6.610.54%10.37%-1.41%-98.13%
59
Neutral
$224.12M13.294.63%-3.81%
50
Neutral
$250.62M-47.00-7.04%405.40%96.15%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OPRT
Oportun Financial
4.90
-2.11
-30.10%
CPSS
Consumer Portfolio Services
9.65
-0.45
-4.46%
MFIN
Medallion Financial
9.90
0.89
9.88%
RM
Regional Management
36.31
8.27
29.48%
YRD
Yiren Digital
1.18
-5.35
-81.94%
LPRO
Open Lending
2.12
-0.04
-1.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026