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Oportun Financial Corp (OPRT)
NASDAQ:OPRT
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Oportun Financial (OPRT) AI Stock Analysis

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OPRT

Oportun Financial

(NASDAQ:OPRT)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(6.61% Upside)
Oportun Financial's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including negative profitability and declining revenue. While the earnings call provided some positive sentiment with profitability improvements, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics highlight concerns due to the negative P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
Profitability Improvement
Achieving GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters indicates effective cost management and operational efficiency, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Expense Reduction
Reducing operating expenses improves the company's cost structure, potentially leading to better margins and increased profitability over time.
Growth in Secured Personal Loans
Growth in secured personal loans diversifies revenue streams and reduces risk, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
A decline in revenue indicates challenges in market demand or competitive positioning, potentially impacting future growth prospects.
Negative Profit Margin
A negative profit margin suggests ongoing profitability issues, which could hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities.
Higher Delinquency Rates
Higher delinquency rates can lead to increased credit losses, affecting the company's financial health and risk management strategies.

Oportun Financial (OPRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oportun Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOportun Financial Corporation provides financial services. It offers personal loans, auto loans, and credit cards. The company serves customers online and over-the-phone, as well as through retail locations. It operates in 24 states in the United States, which include Arkansas, Delaware, Indiana, Kentucky, Mississippi, Montana, North Dakota, New Hampshire, Oregon, South Carolina, South Dakota, and Virginia. Oportun Financial Corporation was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in San Carlos, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyOportun Financial generates revenue primarily through the interest and fees associated with its personal loans. The core revenue model is based on providing unsecured personal loans to consumers, many of whom may not qualify for traditional credit products due to lack of credit history or low credit scores. Additionally, the company may earn revenue from ancillary products such as credit insurance. Oportun's partnerships with various data providers and financial institutions enhance its lending capabilities, allowing it to assess creditworthiness accurately and expand its customer base. Factors contributing to its earnings include the growing demand for alternative financing solutions, effective risk management practices, and the company's commitment to responsible lending.

Oportun Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall with continued profitability, improved credit performance, and effective cost management. However, challenges such as slightly lower originations and higher than expected delinquency rates were acknowledged.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Fourth Consecutive Quarter of GAAP Profitability
Oportun Financial reported GAAP profitability for the fourth consecutive quarter with a net income of $5.2 million, reflecting a $35 million year-over-year improvement.
Improved Credit Performance
The annualized net charge-off rate improved slightly to 11.8% from 11.9% in the prior year period, with a year-over-year improvement in 30-plus day delinquency rate by 44 basis points to 4.7%.
Expense Reduction
Operating expenses were reduced by 11% year-over-year to $91 million, marking the second lowest quarterly expense level since going public in 2019.
Enhanced Capital Structure
The debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 7.1x from 8.7x the previous year, with new ABS financings at weighted average yields below 6% and expanded warehouse financing capacity.
Growth in Secured Personal Loans
Secured personal loan originations increased 22% year-over-year, and the secured portfolio grew 48% year-over-year to $209 million.
Negative Updates
Slightly Lower Originations
Q3 originations were $512 million, up 7% year-over-year but slightly below prior expectations due to credit tightening actions.
Higher Than Expected Delinquency Rate
The 30-plus day delinquency rate, while improved year-over-year, was at the higher end of internal expectations.
Temporary Increase in Net Charge-off Rate Expected
The net charge-off rate is expected to temporarily increase, with a full year 2025 annualized net charge-off rate midpoint guidance raised by 20 basis points to 12.1%.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Oportun Financial demonstrated strong performance, marking its fourth consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability with a net income of $5.2 million, reflecting a $35 million improvement year-over-year. The company's return on equity (ROE) reached 5%, an increase of 40 percentage points from the previous year. Key performance highlights included an annualized net charge-off rate of 11.8%, a slight improvement from 11.9% in the prior year, and a 30-plus day delinquency rate improvement of 44 basis points to 4.7%. Operating expenses were reduced by 11% year-over-year to $91 million, with full-year 2025 projections set at approximately $370 million, a $10 million improvement from prior guidance. Originations grew 7% year-over-year to $512 million, driven by a focus on returning members, who accounted for 70% of Q3 originations. The company's adjusted EPS guidance for 2025 was raised to a range of $1.30 to $1.40 per share, with expectations for continued adjusted EPS growth in 2026.

Oportun Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oportun Financial faces challenges in profitability with a negative net profit margin and declining revenue. However, strong gross margins and effective cash flow management, along with a significant reduction in debt, positively impact its financial stability.
Income Statement
50
Neutral
Oportun Financial's income statement shows a decline in total revenue from $1,056 million in 2023 to $1,001 million in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2024, indicating a negative revenue growth rate. The gross profit margin is notably high at 100.18%, but the net profit margin is negative at -7.85%, indicating ongoing profitability issues. The EBIT margin, though positive at 36.52%, is offset by a negative net income, highlighting challenges in covering expenses beyond operating income.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 for TTM 2024, indicating low leverage, but this is primarily due to a significant reduction in total debt. The return on equity remains negative, aligning with the net income loss. The equity ratio is 10.97%, reflecting a modest proportion of equity in total assets, which suggests a moderate risk level in terms of financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates a stable operating cash flow of $390 million in TTM 2024, with a free cash flow growth rate of 4.34% year over year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, due to negative net income, but free cash flow is strong, suggesting effective cash management despite profitability challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue733.10M533.36M1.06B859.50M578.15M525.37M
Gross Profit303.77M295.20M877.50M859.50M530.40M525.37M
EBITDA60.44M-64.02M-198.77M-27.75M89.90M-37.87M
Net Income30.58M-78.68M-179.95M-77.80M47.41M-45.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.19B3.23B3.41B3.61B2.95B2.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments104.61M59.97M91.19M98.82M131.00M136.20M
Total Debt13.29M2.82B2.94B2.97B2.21B1.71B
Total Liabilities2.80B2.87B3.01B3.07B2.34B1.54B
Stockholders Equity383.85M353.81M404.40M547.60M603.80M466.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow389.93M374.33M361.50M199.00M136.90M126.30M
Operating Cash Flow395.99M393.52M392.76M247.90M163.40M152.90M
Investing Cash Flow-236.92M-193.69M-286.18M-1.17B-884.80M16.40M
Financing Cash Flow-163.65M-191.22M-104.39M934.50M745.70M-136.80M

Oportun Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.69
Price Trends
50DMA
5.93
Negative
100DMA
6.20
Negative
200DMA
6.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Positive
RSI
32.86
Neutral
STOCH
14.63
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OPRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.32, below the 50-day MA of 5.93, and below the 200-day MA of 6.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.63 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OPRT.

Oportun Financial Risk Analysis

Oportun Financial disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oportun Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oportun Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$230.23M5.7910.79%4.56%15.52%2.05%
75
Outperform
$453.63M2.5613.64%8.37%12.69%-35.36%
74
Outperform
$400.49M9.9011.43%3.04%9.63%77.14%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$188.68M10.576.66%16.13%-28.76%
51
Neutral
$206.97M7.198.59%-5.29%
38
Underperform
$207.98M-95.59%-83.48%-2400.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OPRT
Oportun Financial
4.74
1.66
53.90%
CPSS
Consumer Portfolio Services
8.67
-2.32
-21.11%
MFIN
Medallion Financial
9.88
0.60
6.47%
RM
Regional Management
37.01
7.13
23.86%
YRD
Yiren Digital
5.30
-0.37
-6.53%
LPRO
Open Lending
1.45
-4.45
-75.42%

Oportun Financial Corporate Events

Oportun Financial Corp. Reports Steady Growth and Expansion
Nov 5, 2025

Oportun Financial Corp. is a financial services company that specializes in providing affordable loans and financial services to underserved communities, primarily focusing on the personal lending sector.

Business Operations and Strategy
Oportun Financial Amends Agreement with Pathward
Neutral
Oct 2, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Oportun Financial Corporation announced an amendment to its agreement with Pathward, National Association, which will simplify their partnership by ceasing Pathward’s retention of Oportun loans by February 2026. Effective October 1, 2025, Oportun will purchase all loans originated by Pathward, with the initial purchase scheduled for October 3, 2025, involving approximately $115 million in loans. This strategic move is expected to eliminate derivative accounting and streamline operations, potentially impacting stakeholders by altering financial structures and obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPRT) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oportun Financial stock, see the OPRT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Oportun Financial Issues $538M Asset-Backed Notes
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

On August 21, 2025, Oportun Financial Corporation announced the issuance of approximately $538 million in two-year revolving fixed rate asset-backed notes, secured by a pool of unsecured and secured installment loans. This transaction, which included five classes of fixed rate notes, was rated by Fitch with the most senior bonds receiving a AAA rating. The issuance reflects strong demand for Oportun’s asset-backed securities, allowing the company to lower funding costs and strengthen its balance sheet by paying down $10 million of higher-cost corporate debt.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPRT) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oportun Financial stock, see the OPRT Stock Forecast page.

Oportun Financial’s Earnings Call Highlights Profitability and Growth
Aug 8, 2025

Oportun Financial Corp. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment with notable achievements in maintaining GAAP profitability and improving credit metrics. The company successfully reduced costs and completed a significant asset-backed securities transaction. However, challenges such as slightly lower-than-expected revenue and a higher net charge-off rate were also discussed. Despite these hurdles, the increased EPS guidance provided a positive outlook.

Oportun Financial Corp. Reports Strong Earnings and Raises Outlook
Aug 7, 2025

Oportun Financial Corporation is a mission-driven financial services company that provides responsible and affordable credit, focusing on empowering its members to achieve their financial goals. The company operates in the financial services sector, offering intelligent borrowing, savings, and budgeting capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Oportun Financial Amends Agreement with Pathward
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Oportun Financial Corporation announced an amended agreement with Pathward, National Association, effective August 11, 2025, to continue originating personal loans under Oportun’s programs. The agreement includes provisions for loan origination capacity, retention terms, and compliance updates. In its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025, Oportun reported a third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability with a net income of $6.9 million, a significant improvement from the previous year. The company also raised its full-year 2025 outlook, reflecting strong growth in adjusted earnings per share and operational improvements.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPRT) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oportun Financial stock, see the OPRT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025