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Oportun Financial Corp (OPRT)
NASDAQ:OPRT
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Oportun Financial (OPRT) AI Stock Analysis

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OPRT

Oportun Financial

(NASDAQ:OPRT)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(7.44% Upside)
Oportun Financial's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance, particularly in profitability and revenue growth. While the earnings call and corporate events provide some positive outlooks, the technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution. The company's ability to maintain GAAP profitability and improve credit metrics are notable strengths, but the persistent negative net income and declining revenue remain significant concerns.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Oportun Financial reported a return to positive GAAP net income due to improving credit trends and operational cost-saving initiatives, leading to better bottom-line performance.
Growth
4Q originations were up 19% year-over-year as the company begins leaning back into growth.
Negative Factors
Debt Concerns
Ongoing operational and liquidity progress comes at a steep cost, with dilution being a significant concern.
Leadership Uncertainty
The announcement of the CFO's retirement and the search for a replacement might bring uncertainty to the company's financial leadership.

Oportun Financial (OPRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oportun Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOportun Financial Corporation provides financial services. It offers personal loans, auto loans, and credit cards. The company serves customers online and over-the-phone, as well as through retail locations. It operates in 24 states in the United States, which include Arkansas, Delaware, Indiana, Kentucky, Mississippi, Montana, North Dakota, New Hampshire, Oregon, South Carolina, South Dakota, and Virginia. Oportun Financial Corporation was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in San Carlos, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyOportun Financial generates revenue primarily through the interest and fees associated with its personal loans. The core revenue model is based on providing unsecured personal loans to consumers, many of whom may not qualify for traditional credit products due to lack of credit history or low credit scores. Additionally, the company may earn revenue from ancillary products such as credit insurance. Oportun's partnerships with various data providers and financial institutions enhance its lending capabilities, allowing it to assess creditworthiness accurately and expand its customer base. Factors contributing to its earnings include the growing demand for alternative financing solutions, effective risk management practices, and the company's commitment to responsible lending.

Oportun Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with significant achievements in maintaining GAAP profitability, improving credit metrics, and successful cost reduction efforts. However, revenue was slightly below expectations due to higher repayment rates, and the net charge-off rate is expected to be higher than previously guided. These challenges are somewhat balanced by the increased EPS guidance and successful asset-backed securities transaction.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
GAAP Profitability Achieved
Net income reached $6.9 million, marking the third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability. This was driven by a $38 million year-over-year improvement.
Improved Credit Performance
The annualized net charge-off rate improved by 41 basis points to 11.9%, and the 30-plus day delinquency rate improved by 54 basis points to 4.4% year-over-year.
Cost-Reduction Success
Operating expenses were reduced by 13% year-over-year to $94 million, and the company now expects full year 2025 operating expenses to be $380 million, down from a prior expectation of $390 million.
Successful ABS Transaction
Completed a $439 million ABS transaction at a weighted average yield of 5.67%, a 128 basis point improvement from the prior transaction in January, and received a AAA rating on the most senior bonds.
Increased Adjusted EPS Guidance
Increased full year adjusted EPS guidance by 8% at the midpoint, now targeting $1.20 to $1.40 per share, representing growth of 67% to 94% versus last year's adjusted EPS levels.
Negative Updates
Lower Than Expected Revenue
Total revenue of $234 million was modestly below guidance due to higher member repayment rates, leading to a lower loan yield.
Higher Charge-off Rate Expected
The full year annualized net charge-off rate is now expected to be 11.9%, 40 basis points above previous guidance due to a higher percentage of new member originations.
Portfolio Yield Decline
Portfolio yield for the second quarter was 32.8%, a decrease of 106 basis points compared to the prior year quarter, primarily due to a higher rate of loan repayment.
Company Guidance
During the Oportun Financial Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance indicating continued GAAP profitability and projected adjusted EPS growth for the full year 2025. The firm reported Q2 net income of $6.9 million, marking its third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability, with a 7% ROE, up 41 percentage points year-over-year. They highlighted improved credit metrics, with an annualized net charge-off rate of 11.9%, improved by 41 basis points from last year, and a 30-plus day delinquency rate reduced by 54 basis points to 4.4%. Operating expenses were $94 million, down 13% year-over-year, contributing to the expectation of full-year GAAP operating expenses of approximately $380 million. Oportun also successfully completed a $439 million ABS transaction with a weighted average yield of 5.67%, a 128 basis point improvement from a prior transaction. For 2025, the company raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance by 8% at the midpoint, targeting $1.20 to $1.40 per share, reflecting growth of 67% to 94% over the previous year.

Oportun Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oportun Financial shows a mixed financial performance. Despite strong gross margins and effective cash flow management, the company faces significant challenges with declining revenue and persistent negative net income. The reduced debt burden positively impacts leverage, but profitability issues remain a concern.
Income Statement
50
Neutral
Oportun Financial's income statement shows a decline in total revenue from $1,056 million in 2023 to $1,001 million in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2024, indicating a negative revenue growth rate. The gross profit margin is notably high at 100.18%, but the net profit margin is negative at -7.85%, indicating ongoing profitability issues. The EBIT margin, though positive at 36.52%, is offset by a negative net income, highlighting challenges in covering expenses beyond operating income.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 for TTM 2024, indicating low leverage, but this is primarily due to a significant reduction in total debt. The return on equity remains negative, aligning with the net income loss. The equity ratio is 10.97%, reflecting a modest proportion of equity in total assets, which suggests a moderate risk level in terms of financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates a stable operating cash flow of $390 million in TTM 2024, with a free cash flow growth rate of 4.34% year over year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, due to negative net income, but free cash flow is strong, suggesting effective cash management despite profitability challenges.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.00B1.06B640.70M530.40M335.10M
Gross Profit1.00B1.06B640.70M530.40M335.10M
EBITDA-64.02M-198.77M0.0089.90M-37.87M
Net Income-78.68M-179.95M-77.80M47.41M-45.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.23B3.41B3.61B2.95B2.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.97M91.19M98.82M131.00M136.20M
Total Debt2.82B2.94B2.97B2.21B1.46B
Total Liabilities2.87B3.01B3.07B2.34B1.54B
Stockholders Equity353.81M404.40M547.60M603.80M466.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow374.33M361.50M199.00M136.90M126.30M
Operating Cash Flow393.52M392.76M247.90M163.40M152.90M
Investing Cash Flow-193.69M-286.18M-1.17B-884.80M16.40M
Financing Cash Flow-191.22M-104.39M934.50M745.70M-136.80M

Oportun Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.05
Price Trends
50DMA
6.63
Negative
100DMA
6.12
Negative
200DMA
5.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Positive
RSI
44.81
Neutral
STOCH
22.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OPRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.18, below the 50-day MA of 6.63, and above the 200-day MA of 5.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OPRT.

Oportun Financial Risk Analysis

Oportun Financial disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oportun Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oportun Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$233.86M5.7311.25%4.27%15.88%-1.83%
75
Outperform
$352.86M10.399.81%3.22%7.32%38.85%
69
Neutral
$1.71B23.195.50%7.54%70.26%
68
Neutral
$17.46B11.6510.44%3.86%10.36%1.15%
66
Neutral
$177.22M10.236.66%16.13%-28.76%
61
Neutral
$709.42M30.1233.40%276.86%
51
Neutral
$257.90M-1.26%-5.87%94.07%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OPRT
Oportun Financial
6.05
3.03
100.33%
CPSS
Consumer Portfolio Services
8.25
0.03
0.36%
MFIN
Medallion Financial
10.39
2.86
37.98%
RM
Regional Management
37.31
8.67
30.27%
LC
LendingClub
15.46
4.67
43.28%
FOA
Finance of America Companies
29.22
22.00
304.71%

Oportun Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Oportun Financial Amends Agreement with Pathward
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Oportun Financial Corporation announced an amended agreement with Pathward, National Association, effective August 11, 2025, to continue originating personal loans under Oportun’s programs. The agreement includes provisions for loan origination capacity, retention terms, and compliance updates. In its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025, Oportun reported a third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability with a net income of $6.9 million, a significant improvement from the previous year. The company also raised its full-year 2025 outlook, reflecting strong growth in adjusted earnings per share and operational improvements.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPRT) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oportun Financial stock, see the OPRT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Oportun Financial Appoints New Principal Financial Officer
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Oportun Financial Corporation appointed Joseph Schueller as the Principal Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer, succeeding CEO Raul Vazquez in these roles. Schueller, who joined the company on July 21, 2025, brings extensive experience from previous senior finance positions at various financial institutions. Additionally, at the 2025 annual meeting held on July 18, stockholders approved significant amendments to the company’s Certificate of Incorporation, including the elimination of supermajority voting provisions and the declassification of the board of directors, which are expected to impact corporate governance positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPRT) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oportun Financial stock, see the OPRT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Oportun Financial Issues $439M Asset-Backed Notes
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Oportun Financial Corporation announced the issuance of $439 million in two-year asset-backed notes through Oportun Issuance Trust 2025-B, secured by a pool of unsecured and secured installment loans. This transaction, which achieved a AAA rating on the most senior bonds for the first time, reflects the company’s growing recognition in the market and demonstrates robust investor demand, as evidenced by a 5.67% yield that is 1.28% lower than their previous asset-backed securities transaction in January.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPRT) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oportun Financial stock, see the OPRT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025