tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS)
NASDAQ:CPSS
Advertisement

Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
181 Followers

Top Page

CPSS

Consumer Portfolio Services

(NASDAQ:CPSS)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(18.60% Upside)
Consumer Portfolio Services shows moderate financial performance with strong cash flow management and operational efficiency. The recent securitization deal and AI initiatives are positive, but high leverage and low net profit margins remain concerns. The stock is reasonably valued, though technical analysis insights are limited.

Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Consumer Portfolio Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConsumer Portfolio Services, Inc. operates as a specialty finance company in the United States. It is involved in the purchase and service of retail automobile contracts originated by franchised automobile dealers and select independent dealers in the sale of new and used automobiles, light trucks, and passenger vans. The company, through its automobile contract purchases, offers indirect financing to the customers of dealers with limited credit histories or past credit problems. It serves as an alternative source of financing for dealers, facilitating sales to customers who are not able to obtain financing from commercial banks, credit unions, and the captive finance companies. The company also acquires installment purchase contracts in four merger and acquisition transactions; purchases immaterial amounts of vehicle purchase money loans from non-affiliated lenders. and offers financing directly to sub-prime consumers to facilitate their purchase of a new or used automobile, light truck, or passenger van. It services its automobile contracts through its branches in California, Nevada, Virginia, Florida, and Illinois. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyConsumer Portfolio Services generates revenue primarily through the acquisition and servicing of automotive retail installment contracts. The company purchases these contracts from automotive dealers and then collects payments from the borrowers. CPSS earns interest income from the loans, which is a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, the company may generate fees through servicing activities, late payment fees, and other ancillary services. Key partnerships with automotive dealers and finance companies also enhance CPSS's ability to acquire contracts and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Consumer Portfolio Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.55%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to the fiscal year with significant revenue and portfolio growth, improved delinquency and charge-off rates, and record shareholders' equity. However, challenges included flat earnings per share, increased interest expenses, and a decline in fair value markup. Despite these challenges, the company maintained a positive outlook, expecting further growth and improvement in credit performance.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenues increased by 17% to $106.9 million compared to $91.7 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Increase in Portfolio Size
Finance receivables at fair value increased by 24% to $3.45 billion compared to $2.79 billion as of March 31, 2024.
Record Shareholders' Equity
Shareholders' equity reached a record high of $298.4 million, a 7% increase over the previous year.
Originations Growth
Originations grew by 31.5% year-over-year with $451 million in new contracts compared to $346 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Improved Delinquency and Charge-off Rates
Total delinquency declined slightly to 12.35% from 12.39% year-over-year, and annualized net charge-offs improved to 7.5% from 7.84%.
Negative Updates
Flat Earnings Per Share
Diluted earnings per share remained flat at $0.19 compared to the first quarter of 2024.
Increased Interest Expenses
Interest expenses increased significantly to $55 million from $42 million, driven by higher rates and debt balance.
Decline in Fair Value Markup
Fair value markup decreased to $3.5 million from $5 million in the first quarter of the previous year.
Stable but Low Return on Managed Assets
Return on managed assets slightly decreased to 0.8% from 0.9% year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During the Consumer Portfolio Services 2025 First Quarter Operating Results Conference Call, management provided optimistic guidance, highlighting a strong start to the fiscal year with originations exceeding $100 million. Revenues for the first quarter reached $106.9 million, marking a 17% increase from the previous year, driven by interest on a $3.6 billion fair value portfolio yielding 11.4%. Expenses also rose by 17% to $100.1 million, primarily due to a higher interest expense of $55 million. Despite these increases, pretax earnings grew by 3% to $6.8 million, and net income increased by 2% to $4.7 million, translating to a flat diluted earnings per share of $0.19. The company reported a 24% growth in finance receivables at fair value to $3.45 billion and a 20% increase in securitization debt to $2.74 billion. Shareholders' equity reached a record high of $298.4 million, up 7% year-over-year. The net interest margin improved by 4% to $52 million, while core operating expenses rose by 3% to $46.1 million, accounting for 5.2% of the managed portfolio, a reduction from 6% last year. The return on managed assets was slightly lower at 0.8% compared to 0.9% in 2024. The company also noted operational efficiencies, with a consistent employee base of approximately 950, and highlighted a robust credit profile with average APR at 20.32%, loan-to-value ratios at 117-118%, and an average payment of $535. Total delinquencies and charge-offs showed slight year-over-year improvements, with annualized net charge-offs at 7.5%. The company emphasized strategic growth through experienced sales hires and partnerships, maintaining a focus on credit quality and operational efficiency amid macroeconomic uncertainties.

Consumer Portfolio Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CPSS shows moderate revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. However, declining profit margins and high leverage indicate financial risks. Operational efficiency and improved debt management are necessary for future stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
CPSS has shown moderate revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 3.85% compared to the previous year. However, both gross profit and net profit margins have seen a decline over time, indicating potential pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively stable, but lower than previous highs, suggesting operational efficiency could be improved.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high, indicating higher leverage and potential financial risk. However, there is a positive trajectory in stockholders' equity over the years, and the equity ratio remains stable. Return on equity has declined, reflecting lower profitability on shareholders' investments.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
CPSS exhibits strong operational cash flow generation, with a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio. Free cash flow growth is evident, demonstrating effective cash management. However, the negative investing cash flow may indicate substantial capital expenditures or investments, which could affect liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue422.52M393.51M352.01M329.71M267.81M271.16M
Gross Profit266.35M207.56M227.68M270.29M207.16M155.71M
EBITDA87.33M28.29M61.94M117.81M67.42M21.90M
Net Income19.43M19.20M45.34M85.98M47.52M21.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.76B3.49B2.90B2.75B2.16B2.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.77M11.71M6.17M13.49M29.93M13.47M
Total Debt3.39B3.13B2.57B2.47B1.95B1.97B
Total Liabilities3.46B3.20B2.63B2.52B1.99B2.01B
Stockholders Equity303.10M292.77M274.67M228.39M170.21M133.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow266.27M233.32M237.42M213.78M196.22M238.74M
Operating Cash Flow266.09M233.75M237.98M215.93M198.19M238.77M
Investing Cash Flow-812.73M-769.71M-359.53M-713.90M-115.36M93.03M
Financing Cash Flow440.19M547.92M84.19M484.21M-50.44M-328.48M

Consumer Portfolio Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.01
Price Trends
50DMA
9.23
Negative
100DMA
9.08
Negative
200DMA
9.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Negative
RSI
39.00
Neutral
STOCH
60.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPSS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.43, below the 50-day MA of 9.23, and below the 200-day MA of 9.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CPSS.

Consumer Portfolio Services Risk Analysis

Consumer Portfolio Services disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Consumer Portfolio Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Consumer Portfolio Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$241.53M5.9111.25%4.44%15.88%-1.83%
75
Outperform
$368.64M10.859.81%3.19%7.32%38.85%
74
Outperform
$508.93M2.7614.69%6.62%12.45%-36.64%
68
Neutral
$17.53B11.7810.43%3.83%9.94%1.31%
62
Neutral
$178.02M9.996.66%16.13%-28.76%
51
Neutral
$272.42M-1.26%-5.87%94.07%
44
Neutral
$244.62M72.92-95.59%-83.48%-2400.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPSS
Consumer Portfolio Services
8.01
-0.70
-8.04%
MFIN
Medallion Financial
10.13
2.57
33.99%
RM
Regional Management
37.62
6.16
19.58%
YRD
Yiren Digital
5.89
1.28
27.77%
LPRO
Open Lending
2.06
-3.49
-62.88%
OPRT
Oportun Financial
6.05
2.94
94.53%

Consumer Portfolio Services Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Consumer Portfolio Services Closes $418M Securitization Deal
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. announced the closing of its third term securitization of the year, amounting to $418.33 million in asset-backed notes secured by $433.50 million in automobile receivables. This transaction marks CPS’s 56th senior subordinate securitization since 2011 and the 39th consecutive securitization to receive a triple ‘A’ rating from at least two rating agencies on the senior class of notes. The securitization, conducted through the CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2025-C, involves five classes of notes with varying interest rates and credit enhancements, including overcollateralization and a reserve account. The transaction was a private offering and is significant for CPS as it reinforces its position in the securitization market, providing long-term funding for its automobile receivables.

Business Operations and Strategy
Consumer Portfolio Services Highlights AI in Loan Management
Positive
May 19, 2025

Consumer Portfolio Services has released an updated investor presentation as of March 2025, highlighting its strategic use of machine learning and artificial intelligence to enhance loan quality and risk management. The company emphasizes its strong market position with a 54-quarter profitability streak and a significant presence in the sub-prime auto financing sector, indicating robust demand for its lending programs and a solid operational framework.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025