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Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS)
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Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) AI Stock Analysis

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CPSS

Consumer Portfolio Services

(NASDAQ:CPSS)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(15.02% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by moderate financial performance, characterized by strong cash flow management but offset by high leverage and low net profit margins. The technical analysis indicates short-term positive momentum, but longer-term trends remain bearish. The valuation suggests the stock is reasonably priced, contributing positively to the score.

Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Consumer Portfolio Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConsumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) is a leading provider of automotive financing solutions in the United States. The company specializes in purchasing and servicing retail automotive installment contracts, primarily focusing on subprime and near-prime borrowers. CPSS operates within the automotive finance sector, offering a range of services that include loan origination, servicing, and collections, aimed at facilitating vehicle ownership for consumers who may have limited access to traditional financing options.
How the Company Makes MoneyConsumer Portfolio Services generates revenue primarily through the acquisition and servicing of automotive retail installment contracts. The company purchases these contracts from automotive dealers and then collects payments from the borrowers. CPSS earns interest income from the loans, which is a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, the company may generate fees through servicing activities, late payment fees, and other ancillary services. Key partnerships with automotive dealers and finance companies also enhance CPSS's ability to acquire contracts and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Consumer Portfolio Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and portfolio growth, record shareholders' equity, and improved credit performance. However, challenges such as flat earnings per share, increased interest expenses, and a lower fair value markup were noted. The company's strategic growth and AI integration in operations show positive momentum.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenues for the first quarter were $106.9 million, a 17% increase over the $91.7 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Record Shareholders' Equity
Shareholders' equity reached a record high of $298.4 million, 7% higher than the $279.1 million last year.
Significant Portfolio Growth
The portfolio of assets under management increased to $3.45 billion, up 24% from $2.79 billion as of March 31, 2024.
Successful Securitization
Completed the second quarter securitization despite market uncertainty, indicating strong operational execution.
Improved Credit Performance
Delinquencies and charge-offs showed a nominal decrease, indicating improved credit performance.
AI Integration in Operations
Launched AI voice agents for collections, improving operational efficiency by reallocating human resources.
Negative Updates
Flat Earnings Per Share
Diluted earnings per share remained flat at $0.19 compared to the first quarter of 2024.
Increased Interest Expenses
Interest expenses rose significantly, driven by higher rates and an increased debt balance.
Lower Fair Value Markup
Fair value markup was $3.5 million, down from $5 million in the first quarter of last year.
Slight Decline in Return on Managed Assets
Return on managed assets was 0.8% in the first quarter, compared to 0.9% in the first quarter of last year.
Company Guidance
During the Consumer Portfolio Services' 2025 first quarter conference call, several key financial metrics were highlighted, indicating a strong start to the fiscal year. Revenues increased by 17% year-over-year, reaching $106.9 million, driven by a fair value portfolio yielding 11.4%. The company's expenses also rose by 17%, primarily due to an increase in interest expenses to $55 million. Despite these higher expenses, pretax earnings grew by 3% to $6.8 million, and net income increased by 2% to $4.7 million, translating to a flat diluted earnings per share of $0.19. The managed portfolio saw significant growth, with assets under management increasing by 24% to $3.45 billion. The company also noted improvements in credit performance, with total delinquencies and charge-offs slightly decreasing. The originations for the quarter totaled $451 million, marking a 31.5% increase from the previous year. Additionally, the company maintained a strong average APR of 20.32% while achieving operational efficiencies, such as reducing operating expenses as a percentage of the managed portfolio from 6% to 5.2%. Looking forward, the company aims to continue its growth trajectory while maintaining strict credit standards amidst economic uncertainties.

Consumer Portfolio Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Consumer Portfolio Services demonstrates moderate financial health with strong cash flow management and improving operational efficiency. However, high leverage and low net profit margins are areas of concern. The company should focus on reducing debt levels and enhancing profitability to strengthen its financial position.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows a moderate revenue growth rate of 3.4% TTM, with a strong gross profit margin of 63%. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 4.6%, indicating potential challenges in controlling costs or increasing profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly compared to previous periods, suggesting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 11.19, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity is modest at 6.6%, reflecting average profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 4.4% TTM, and both operating and free cash flow to net income ratios are strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. This suggests good liquidity and the ability to cover financial obligations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue422.52M393.51M352.01M329.71M267.81M271.16M
Gross Profit266.35M207.56M227.68M270.29M207.16M155.71M
EBITDA87.58M28.29M61.94M117.81M67.42M21.90M
Net Income19.43M19.20M45.34M85.98M47.52M21.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.76B3.49B2.90B2.75B2.16B2.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.77M11.71M6.17M13.49M29.93M13.47M
Total Debt3.39B3.13B2.57B2.47B1.95B1.97B
Total Liabilities3.46B3.20B2.63B2.52B1.99B2.01B
Stockholders Equity303.10M292.77M274.67M228.39M170.21M133.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow266.27M233.32M237.42M213.78M196.22M238.74M
Operating Cash Flow266.09M233.75M237.98M215.93M198.19M238.77M
Investing Cash Flow-812.73M-769.71M-359.53M-713.90M-115.36M93.03M
Financing Cash Flow440.19M547.92M84.19M484.21M-50.44M-328.48M

Consumer Portfolio Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.39
Price Trends
50DMA
7.98
Positive
100DMA
8.47
Positive
200DMA
9.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
60.83
Neutral
STOCH
89.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPSS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.05, below the 50-day MA of 7.98, and below the 200-day MA of 9.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CPSS.

Consumer Portfolio Services Risk Analysis

Consumer Portfolio Services disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Consumer Portfolio Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Consumer Portfolio Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$230.23M5.7910.79%4.56%15.52%2.05%
75
Outperform
$453.63M2.5613.64%8.30%12.69%-35.36%
74
Outperform
$400.49M9.9011.43%3.04%9.63%77.14%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$188.46M10.816.66%16.13%-28.76%
51
Neutral
$206.97M7.198.59%-5.29%
38
Underperform
$207.98M-95.59%-83.48%-2400.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPSS
Consumer Portfolio Services
8.67
-1.88
-17.82%
MFIN
Medallion Financial
9.88
0.44
4.66%
RM
Regional Management
37.01
7.77
26.57%
YRD
Yiren Digital
5.30
-0.50
-8.62%
LPRO
Open Lending
1.45
-4.91
-77.20%
OPRT
Oportun Financial
4.74
1.54
48.13%

Consumer Portfolio Services Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Consumer Portfolio Services Closes Fourth Term Securitization
Positive
Oct 24, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. announced the closing of its fourth term securitization of the year, marking its 57th senior subordinate securitization since 2011. The transaction involved the issuance and sale of $384.6 million in asset-backed notes secured by $392.46 million in automobile receivables. The notes, issued by CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2025-D, were sold to qualified institutional buyers and received high ratings from Standard & Poor’s and DBRS Morningstar. This securitization reflects CPS’s continued ability to leverage its expertise in servicing automobile receivables, enhancing its market position and providing financial stability through structured financing.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPSS) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Consumer Portfolio Services stock, see the CPSS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Consumer Portfolio Services Incurs New Debt Facility
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Consumer Portfolio Services (CPS) incurred approximately $19.6 million of indebtedness under a revolving credit facility. CPS plans to continue incurring debt as it purchases motor vehicle receivables from dealers, indicating ongoing financial activity and strategic positioning in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPSS) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Consumer Portfolio Services stock, see the CPSS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Consumer Portfolio Services Updates on AI and Market Position
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

Consumer Portfolio Services released a presentation updating stakeholders on its operations and market position as of June 30, 2025. The presentation highlights the company’s use of AI and machine learning for credit decisions, its strong management team, and its performance in the sub-prime auto financing market, emphasizing its role as a key player in a highly regulated and capital-intensive industry.

Consumer Portfolio Services’ High Debt Levels Pose Significant Business Risks
Aug 13, 2025

Consumer Portfolio Services faces significant business risks due to its substantial indebtedness, which stood at approximately $3,392.8 million as of June 30, 2025. This high level of debt, primarily consisting of securitization trust debt and warehouse lines of credit, increases the company’s vulnerability to adverse economic conditions and limits its financial flexibility. The need to allocate a large portion of cash flow to debt servicing reduces funds available for other corporate purposes, potentially placing the company at a competitive disadvantage. Despite management’s confidence in servicing the debt, failure to generate sufficient operating profits could impair the company’s ability to meet its debt obligations, posing a material adverse effect.

Consumer Portfolio Services Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 13, 2025

Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. is an independent specialty finance company that provides indirect automobile financing to individuals with past credit problems or limited credit histories, primarily purchasing retail installment sales contracts from franchised automobile dealerships.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025