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Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS)
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Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) AI Stock Analysis

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CPSS

Consumer Portfolio Services

(NASDAQ:CPSS)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(2.41% Upside)
The overall stock score of 64 reflects stable financial performance with efficient cash flow management, though challenged by high leverage and low profitability margins. Technical analysis indicates potential short-term weakness, but reasonable valuation provides some support. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Stable revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective business model, supporting long-term sustainability and expansion.
Cash Flow Management
Efficient cash flow management ensures liquidity and supports reinvestment opportunities, enhancing financial resilience and operational flexibility.
Operational Efficiency
High operational efficiency, as indicated by strong EBIT and EBITDA margins, suggests effective cost management and profitability potential.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage can increase financial risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Low Profitability Margins
Low net profit margins may limit reinvestment capabilities and shareholder returns, posing challenges to long-term profitability improvement.
Equity Financing
A low equity ratio indicates reliance on debt, which could constrain financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to interest rate changes.

Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Consumer Portfolio Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConsumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) is a financial services company that specializes in the acquisition and servicing of retail automotive installment contracts. The company operates primarily in the auto finance sector, providing financing solutions to consumers through a network of automotive dealerships. CPSS offers a range of products and services including vehicle financing, loan servicing, and management solutions tailored for individuals with limited credit histories or those seeking subprime auto loans.
How the Company Makes MoneyCPSS generates revenue primarily through the interest income earned on the automotive loans it originates and services. The company purchases retail installment contracts from automotive dealers, which provides it with a portfolio of loans that accrue interest over time. Additionally, CPSS earns revenue from late fees and other ancillary services associated with loan servicing. The company may also engage in securitization of its loan portfolio, which allows it to raise capital while transferring some of the risk associated with the loans. Strategic partnerships with automotive dealers play a crucial role in expanding its customer base, while the ability to offer competitive financing options helps attract consumers who may have difficulty obtaining credit through traditional channels.

Consumer Portfolio Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 19, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and portfolio growth, record shareholders' equity, and improved credit performance. However, challenges such as flat earnings per share, increased interest expenses, and a lower fair value markup were noted. The company's strategic growth and AI integration in operations show positive momentum.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenues for the first quarter were $106.9 million, a 17% increase over the $91.7 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Record Shareholders' Equity
Shareholders' equity reached a record high of $298.4 million, 7% higher than the $279.1 million last year.
Significant Portfolio Growth
The portfolio of assets under management increased to $3.45 billion, up 24% from $2.79 billion as of March 31, 2024.
Successful Securitization
Completed the second quarter securitization despite market uncertainty, indicating strong operational execution.
Improved Credit Performance
Delinquencies and charge-offs showed a nominal decrease, indicating improved credit performance.
AI Integration in Operations
Launched AI voice agents for collections, improving operational efficiency by reallocating human resources.
Negative Updates
Flat Earnings Per Share
Diluted earnings per share remained flat at $0.19 compared to the first quarter of 2024.
Increased Interest Expenses
Interest expenses rose significantly, driven by higher rates and an increased debt balance.
Lower Fair Value Markup
Fair value markup was $3.5 million, down from $5 million in the first quarter of last year.
Slight Decline in Return on Managed Assets
Return on managed assets was 0.8% in the first quarter, compared to 0.9% in the first quarter of last year.
Company Guidance
During the Consumer Portfolio Services' 2025 first quarter conference call, several key financial metrics were highlighted, indicating a strong start to the fiscal year. Revenues increased by 17% year-over-year, reaching $106.9 million, driven by a fair value portfolio yielding 11.4%. The company's expenses also rose by 17%, primarily due to an increase in interest expenses to $55 million. Despite these higher expenses, pretax earnings grew by 3% to $6.8 million, and net income increased by 2% to $4.7 million, translating to a flat diluted earnings per share of $0.19. The managed portfolio saw significant growth, with assets under management increasing by 24% to $3.45 billion. The company also noted improvements in credit performance, with total delinquencies and charge-offs slightly decreasing. The originations for the quarter totaled $451 million, marking a 31.5% increase from the previous year. Additionally, the company maintained a strong average APR of 20.32% while achieving operational efficiencies, such as reducing operating expenses as a percentage of the managed portfolio from 6% to 5.2%. Looking forward, the company aims to continue its growth trajectory while maintaining strict credit standards amidst economic uncertainties.

Consumer Portfolio Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Consumer Portfolio Services demonstrates stable revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. However, the company faces challenges with high leverage and relatively low profitability margins. Continued focus on improving net profit margins and managing debt levels will be crucial for enhancing financial stability and growth prospects.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a stable revenue growth rate of 1.86% in the TTM period, with a strong gross profit margin of 63.04%. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 4.60%, indicating potential profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 20.51% and 20.67%, respectively, suggesting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 11.19, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity is modest at 6.49%, reflecting moderate profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 8.07%, showing a low proportion of equity financing compared to total assets.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a strong free cash flow growth rate of 5.77% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 3.92, suggesting strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is approximately 1.00, indicating efficient conversion of net income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue430.36M393.51M352.01M329.71M267.81M271.16M
Gross Profit208.32M207.56M227.68M270.29M207.16M155.71M
EBITDA29.05M28.29M61.94M117.81M67.42M21.90M
Net Income19.49M19.20M45.34M85.98M47.52M21.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.81B3.50B2.91B2.76B2.16B2.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.89M137.40M125.43M162.79M176.55M144.15M
Total Debt3.46B3.16B2.57B2.48B1.95B1.98B
Total Liabilities3.50B3.21B2.63B2.53B1.99B2.02B
Stockholders Equity307.56M292.77M274.67M228.39M170.21M133.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow281.05M233.32M237.42M213.78M196.22M238.74M
Operating Cash Flow281.25M233.75M237.98M215.93M198.19M238.77M
Investing Cash Flow-725.13M-769.71M-359.53M-713.90M-115.36M93.03M
Financing Cash Flow316.73M547.92M84.19M484.21M-50.44M-328.48M

Consumer Portfolio Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price8.30
Price Trends
50DMA
8.02
Positive
100DMA
8.24
Positive
200DMA
8.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
51.62
Neutral
STOCH
71.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPSS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.31, above the 50-day MA of 8.02, and below the 200-day MA of 8.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CPSS.

Consumer Portfolio Services Risk Analysis

Consumer Portfolio Services disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Consumer Portfolio Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Consumer Portfolio Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$231.40M5.8210.79%4.73%15.52%2.05%
70
Outperform
$388.83M2.2512.53%9.33%10.48%-30.67%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$369.48M9.2211.43%3.15%9.63%77.14%
64
Neutral
$182.53M10.276.58%16.94%-10.46%
64
Neutral
$228.15M7.858.59%-5.29%
42
Neutral
$225.74M-102.53%-82.33%-3365.80%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPSS
Consumer Portfolio Services
8.27
-2.30
-21.76%
MFIN
Medallion Financial
9.94
0.75
8.16%
RM
Regional Management
38.04
8.14
27.22%
YRD
Yiren Digital
4.50
0.21
4.90%
LPRO
Open Lending
1.91
-4.45
-69.97%
OPRT
Oportun Financial
5.17
1.41
37.50%

Consumer Portfolio Services Corporate Events

Consumer Portfolio Services Reports Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Nov 12, 2025

Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. is an independent specialty finance company that provides indirect automobile financing to individuals with past credit problems or limited credit histories, primarily through franchised automobile dealerships. The company operates in the finance sector and is known for its focus on late model used vehicles and, to a lesser extent, new vehicles.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Consumer Portfolio Services Closes Fourth Term Securitization
Positive
Oct 24, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. announced the closing of its fourth term securitization of the year, marking its 57th senior subordinate securitization since 2011. The transaction involved the issuance and sale of $384.6 million in asset-backed notes secured by $392.46 million in automobile receivables. The notes, issued by CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2025-D, were sold to qualified institutional buyers and received high ratings from Standard & Poor’s and DBRS Morningstar. This securitization reflects CPS’s continued ability to leverage its expertise in servicing automobile receivables, enhancing its market position and providing financial stability through structured financing.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPSS) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Consumer Portfolio Services stock, see the CPSS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Consumer Portfolio Services Incurs New Debt Facility
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Consumer Portfolio Services (CPS) incurred approximately $19.6 million of indebtedness under a revolving credit facility. CPS plans to continue incurring debt as it purchases motor vehicle receivables from dealers, indicating ongoing financial activity and strategic positioning in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPSS) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Consumer Portfolio Services stock, see the CPSS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Consumer Portfolio Services Updates on AI and Market Position
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

Consumer Portfolio Services released a presentation updating stakeholders on its operations and market position as of June 30, 2025. The presentation highlights the company’s use of AI and machine learning for credit decisions, its strong management team, and its performance in the sub-prime auto financing market, emphasizing its role as a key player in a highly regulated and capital-intensive industry.

Consumer Portfolio Services’ High Debt Levels Pose Significant Business Risks
Aug 13, 2025

Consumer Portfolio Services faces significant business risks due to its substantial indebtedness, which stood at approximately $3,392.8 million as of June 30, 2025. This high level of debt, primarily consisting of securitization trust debt and warehouse lines of credit, increases the company’s vulnerability to adverse economic conditions and limits its financial flexibility. The need to allocate a large portion of cash flow to debt servicing reduces funds available for other corporate purposes, potentially placing the company at a competitive disadvantage. Despite management’s confidence in servicing the debt, failure to generate sufficient operating profits could impair the company’s ability to meet its debt obligations, posing a material adverse effect.

Consumer Portfolio Services Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 13, 2025

Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. is an independent specialty finance company that provides indirect automobile financing to individuals with past credit problems or limited credit histories, primarily purchasing retail installment sales contracts from franchised automobile dealerships.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025