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Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS)
NASDAQ:CPSS
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Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) AI Stock Analysis

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CPSS

Consumer Portfolio Services

(NASDAQ:CPSS)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(9.82% Upside)
The overall stock score of 62 reflects moderate financial performance with strong cash flow management but high leverage. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while valuation metrics indicate potential undervaluation. The earnings call and corporate events provide a positive outlook, highlighting strategic growth and operational efficiencies.

Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Consumer Portfolio Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConsumer Portfolio Services, Inc. operates as a specialty finance company in the United States. It is involved in the purchase and service of retail automobile contracts originated by franchised automobile dealers and select independent dealers in the sale of new and used automobiles, light trucks, and passenger vans. The company, through its automobile contract purchases, offers indirect financing to the customers of dealers with limited credit histories or past credit problems. It serves as an alternative source of financing for dealers, facilitating sales to customers who are not able to obtain financing from commercial banks, credit unions, and the captive finance companies. The company also acquires installment purchase contracts in four merger and acquisition transactions; purchases immaterial amounts of vehicle purchase money loans from non-affiliated lenders. and offers financing directly to sub-prime consumers to facilitate their purchase of a new or used automobile, light truck, or passenger van. It services its automobile contracts through its branches in California, Nevada, Virginia, Florida, and Illinois. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyConsumer Portfolio Services generates revenue primarily through the acquisition and servicing of automotive retail installment contracts. The company purchases these contracts from automotive dealers and then collects payments from the borrowers. CPSS earns interest income from the loans, which is a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, the company may generate fees through servicing activities, late payment fees, and other ancillary services. Key partnerships with automotive dealers and finance companies also enhance CPSS's ability to acquire contracts and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Consumer Portfolio Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 18, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and portfolio growth, record shareholders' equity, and improved credit performance. However, challenges such as flat earnings per share, increased interest expenses, and a lower fair value markup were noted. The company's strategic growth and AI integration in operations show positive momentum.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenues for the first quarter were $106.9 million, a 17% increase over the $91.7 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Record Shareholders' Equity
Shareholders' equity reached a record high of $298.4 million, 7% higher than the $279.1 million last year.
Significant Portfolio Growth
The portfolio of assets under management increased to $3.45 billion, up 24% from $2.79 billion as of March 31, 2024.
Successful Securitization
Completed the second quarter securitization despite market uncertainty, indicating strong operational execution.
Improved Credit Performance
Delinquencies and charge-offs showed a nominal decrease, indicating improved credit performance.
AI Integration in Operations
Launched AI voice agents for collections, improving operational efficiency by reallocating human resources.
Negative Updates
Flat Earnings Per Share
Diluted earnings per share remained flat at $0.19 compared to the first quarter of 2024.
Increased Interest Expenses
Interest expenses rose significantly, driven by higher rates and an increased debt balance.
Lower Fair Value Markup
Fair value markup was $3.5 million, down from $5 million in the first quarter of last year.
Slight Decline in Return on Managed Assets
Return on managed assets was 0.8% in the first quarter, compared to 0.9% in the first quarter of last year.
Company Guidance
During the Consumer Portfolio Services' 2025 first quarter conference call, several key financial metrics were highlighted, indicating a strong start to the fiscal year. Revenues increased by 17% year-over-year, reaching $106.9 million, driven by a fair value portfolio yielding 11.4%. The company's expenses also rose by 17%, primarily due to an increase in interest expenses to $55 million. Despite these higher expenses, pretax earnings grew by 3% to $6.8 million, and net income increased by 2% to $4.7 million, translating to a flat diluted earnings per share of $0.19. The managed portfolio saw significant growth, with assets under management increasing by 24% to $3.45 billion. The company also noted improvements in credit performance, with total delinquencies and charge-offs slightly decreasing. The originations for the quarter totaled $451 million, marking a 31.5% increase from the previous year. Additionally, the company maintained a strong average APR of 20.32% while achieving operational efficiencies, such as reducing operating expenses as a percentage of the managed portfolio from 6% to 5.2%. Looking forward, the company aims to continue its growth trajectory while maintaining strict credit standards amidst economic uncertainties.

Consumer Portfolio Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Consumer Portfolio Services demonstrates moderate financial health with strong cash flow management and improving operational efficiency. However, high leverage and low net profit margins are areas of concern. The company should focus on reducing debt levels and enhancing profitability to strengthen its financial position.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows a moderate revenue growth rate of 3.4% TTM, with a strong gross profit margin of 63%. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 4.6%, indicating potential challenges in controlling costs or increasing profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly compared to previous periods, suggesting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 11.19, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity is modest at 6.6%, reflecting average profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 4.4% TTM, and both operating and free cash flow to net income ratios are strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. This suggests good liquidity and the ability to cover financial obligations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue422.52M393.51M352.01M329.71M267.81M271.16M
Gross Profit266.35M207.56M227.68M270.29M207.16M155.71M
EBITDA87.33M28.29M61.94M117.81M67.42M21.90M
Net Income19.43M19.20M45.34M85.98M47.52M21.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.76B3.49B2.90B2.75B2.16B2.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.77M11.71M6.17M13.49M29.93M13.47M
Total Debt3.39B3.13B2.57B2.47B1.95B1.97B
Total Liabilities3.46B3.20B2.63B2.52B1.99B2.01B
Stockholders Equity303.10M292.77M274.67M228.39M170.21M133.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow266.27M233.32M237.42M213.78M196.22M238.74M
Operating Cash Flow266.09M233.75M237.98M215.93M198.19M238.77M
Investing Cash Flow-812.73M-769.71M-359.53M-713.90M-115.36M93.03M
Financing Cash Flow440.19M547.92M84.19M484.21M-50.44M-328.48M

Consumer Portfolio Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.74
Price Trends
50DMA
8.75
Negative
100DMA
8.96
Negative
200DMA
9.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Positive
RSI
41.19
Neutral
STOCH
41.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPSS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.12, below the 50-day MA of 8.75, and below the 200-day MA of 9.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CPSS.

Consumer Portfolio Services Risk Analysis

Consumer Portfolio Services disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Consumer Portfolio Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Consumer Portfolio Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$250.83M5.9411.25%4.17%15.88%-1.83%
76
Outperform
$500.29M2.8713.64%6.74%12.69%-35.36%
74
Outperform
$429.20M12.359.81%2.74%7.32%38.85%
68
Neutral
$18.06B11.9710.24%3.74%9.75%1.30%
62
Neutral
$164.46M9.236.66%16.13%-28.76%
56
Neutral
$297.06M-1.26%-5.87%94.07%
46
Neutral
$267.07M72.92-95.59%-83.48%-2400.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPSS
Consumer Portfolio Services
7.74
-1.26
-14.00%
MFIN
Medallion Financial
10.71
3.63
51.27%
RM
Regional Management
43.80
14.24
48.17%
YRD
Yiren Digital
5.73
1.51
35.78%
LPRO
Open Lending
2.26
-3.16
-58.30%
OPRT
Oportun Financial
6.75
3.97
142.81%

Consumer Portfolio Services Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Consumer Portfolio Services Updates on AI and Market Position
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

Consumer Portfolio Services released a presentation updating stakeholders on its operations and market position as of June 30, 2025. The presentation highlights the company’s use of AI and machine learning for credit decisions, its strong management team, and its performance in the sub-prime auto financing market, emphasizing its role as a key player in a highly regulated and capital-intensive industry.

Private Placements and Financing
Consumer Portfolio Services Closes $418M Securitization Deal
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. announced the closing of its third term securitization of the year, amounting to $418.33 million in asset-backed notes secured by $433.50 million in automobile receivables. This transaction marks CPS’s 56th senior subordinate securitization since 2011 and the 39th consecutive securitization to receive a triple ‘A’ rating from at least two rating agencies on the senior class of notes. The securitization, conducted through the CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2025-C, involves five classes of notes with varying interest rates and credit enhancements, including overcollateralization and a reserve account. The transaction was a private offering and is significant for CPS as it reinforces its position in the securitization market, providing long-term funding for its automobile receivables.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2025