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Medallion Financial (MFIN)
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Medallion Financial (MFIN) AI Stock Analysis

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MFIN

Medallion Financial

(NASDAQ:MFIN)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(15.35% Upside)
Medallion Financial's overall stock score of 76 reflects a strong valuation and positive earnings call sentiment, supported by robust financial performance. The company's stable financial position and attractive valuation metrics are key strengths. However, technical indicators suggest a neutral outlook, and challenges such as increased operating costs and rising delinquencies temper the score.
Positive Factors
Loan Portfolio Expansion
The expansion of the loan portfolio indicates strong demand and effective market penetration, supporting long-term revenue growth and stability.
Strategic Partnership Growth
Consistent growth in strategic partnerships enhances market reach and diversification, contributing to sustainable business development.
Leadership Transition
The planned leadership transition ensures continuity and strategic focus, potentially improving operational efficiency and shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Rising Delinquencies
Increasing delinquencies could strain financial resources and impact profitability, posing a risk to long-term financial health.
Increased Operating Costs
Rising operating costs may pressure profit margins, requiring improved cost management to maintain financial performance.
Decline in Home Improvement Loans
A decline in home improvement loans suggests potential challenges in maintaining growth across all lending segments, impacting diversification.

Medallion Financial (MFIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Medallion Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMedallion Financial Corp. (MFIN) is a financial services company primarily operating in the niche sector of providing loans to taxi and other transportation-related businesses. The company is involved in the origination, acquisition, and service of loans, particularly focusing on medallion loans, which are secured by taxi medallions—licenses that permit the operation of taxis in specific markets. Medallion Financial also offers financing solutions for commercial and consumer purposes, catering to a diverse clientele within the transportation industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyMedallion Financial generates revenue primarily through interest income from its loan portfolio, which includes medallion loans, commercial loans, and consumer loans. The company earns interest on the principal amount of loans it disburses, and its revenue is significantly affected by the volume of loans it originates and the prevailing interest rates. Additionally, Medallion Financial may earn fees related to loan origination, servicing, and other transactional activities. The company's revenue can also be bolstered by partnerships with various financial institutions and organizations that facilitate access to capital or enhance its service offerings, although specific partnerships and their financial impact are not detailed.

Medallion Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment overall, with strong growth in net income and loan portfolio, expansion of the strategic partnership program, and improved net interest margin. However, challenges include flat recreation loan originations, a decrease in the home improvement loan book, increased operating costs, and rising delinquencies.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Income Growth
Net income was $7.8 million, or $11.3 million when excluding a nonrecurring $3.5 million charge related to the redemption of preferred stock, supported by a 6% increase in net interest income to $55.7 million.
Loan Portfolio Expansion
Total loans reached $2.559 billion, with loan originations increasing to $427 million for the period, reflecting growth in recreational, home improvement, and commercial lending.
Strategic Partnership Program Growth
The strategic partnership program had its fourth straight quarter of over $120 million of originations, reaching a record level of $208.4 million.
Improved Net Interest Margin
Net interest margin was 8.21%, up 10 basis points from a year ago, with a total interest yield increase of 17 basis points to 11.92%.
Strong Performance in Consumer Lending
Consumer lending interest income was $74.1 million for the quarter, growing 5% compared to the same period last year.
Negative Updates
Recreation Loan Book Flat
Recreation loan originations were flat year-over-year due to raised credit standards and cautious capital management.
Home Improvement Loan Book Decrease
The home improvement loan book decreased modestly to $804 million, with originations down to $59.7 million from $96.5 million last year.
Increased Operating Costs
Operating costs totaled $20.7 million during the quarter, up from $19 million in the prior year quarter, due to technological initiatives and higher employee costs.
Rising Delinquencies
Delinquencies of 90-plus days in the recreation loan book increased, and the allowance for credit losses rose to 5.1% from 4.53% a year ago.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Medallion Financial Corp. reported a net income of $7.8 million, or $11.3 million excluding a one-time $3.5 million charge related to the redemption of preferred stock at Medallion Bank. The company saw a 6% increase in net interest income to $55.7 million, supported by a rise in total loans to $2.559 billion and loan originations reaching $427 million. The net interest margin improved to 8.21%, with a total interest yield of 11.92%. Consumer lending, particularly recreational loans, showed resilience with a 3% growth to $1.603 billion, accounting for 63% of total loans. Despite a decline in home improvement loan originations to $59.7 million from $96.5 million a year ago, the allowance for credit losses across segments increased, reflecting economic dynamics. The strategic partnership program achieved record originations of $208.4 million, marking its fourth consecutive quarter of growth. Medallion also highlighted a commitment to shareholder returns, maintaining a quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share, and announced plans to enhance its strategic growth with new partnerships and potential share repurchases.

Medallion Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Medallion Financial exhibits a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. While profitability margins have slightly declined, the company remains profitable with effective leverage management. The financial statements suggest a stable company with potential for growth, though attention to improving profit margins could enhance financial performance further.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Medallion Financial has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.52%. The company maintains a healthy net profit margin of 12.47% in the TTM, indicating profitability. However, there has been a decline in gross profit margin from previous years, which could be a concern if it continues. Overall, the income statement reflects a stable financial performance with room for improvement in cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has remained relatively stable, currently at 0.75, which is manageable. Return on equity is at 10.66% for the TTM, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing. The balance sheet indicates a balanced approach to leveraging and equity utilization.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Medallion Financial has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth of 48.96% in the TTM, indicating robust cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, suggesting efficient conversion of income to cash. The company maintains a consistent free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0, reflecting solid cash flow management. Overall, the cash flow statement is a strong point for the company.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue327.23M291.79M254.51M198.43M179.21M151.36M
Gross Profit146.85M127.12M153.76M132.19M143.44M47.39M
EBITDA85.77M69.15M91.28M73.08M88.39M-29.27M
Net Income44.50M35.88M55.08M43.84M54.11M-34.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.90B2.87B2.59B2.26B1.87B1.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments74.87M101.17M106.87M81.66M106.25M98.53M
Total Debt301.71M288.59M253.06M229.93M231.23M254.07M
Total Liabilities2.40B2.43B2.18B1.89B1.52B1.34B
Stockholders Equity397.45M370.17M342.99M301.74M287.04M231.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow120.88M115.51M113.76M108.74M78.73M78.71M
Operating Cash Flow120.88M115.51M113.76M108.74M78.73M78.71M
Investing Cash Flow-173.84M-335.78M-340.70M-449.00M-238.32M-170.96M
Financing Cash Flow16.01M239.99M271.18M321.38M172.04M136.47M

Medallion Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.97
Price Trends
50DMA
9.82
Positive
100DMA
9.92
Positive
200DMA
9.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
55.04
Neutral
STOCH
81.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MFIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.74, above the 50-day MA of 9.82, and above the 200-day MA of 9.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MFIN.

Medallion Financial Risk Analysis

Medallion Financial disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Medallion Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Medallion Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$232.10M5.8410.79%4.71%15.52%2.05%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$369.48M9.2211.43%3.15%9.63%77.14%
64
Neutral
$182.53M10.276.58%16.94%-10.46%
64
Neutral
$228.15M7.858.59%-5.29%
62
Neutral
$207.84M10.56-20.35%-19.68%-1055.59%
42
Neutral
$226.92M-102.53%-82.33%-3365.80%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MFIN
Medallion Financial
9.94
0.75
8.16%
CPSS
Consumer Portfolio Services
8.27
-2.30
-21.76%
RM
Regional Management
38.04
8.14
27.22%
LPRO
Open Lending
1.91
-4.45
-69.97%
SUIG
Sui Group Holdings
2.00
0.00
0.00%
OPRT
Oportun Financial
5.17
1.41
37.50%

Medallion Financial Corporate Events

Medallion Financial’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Nov 1, 2025

Medallion Financial’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, buoyed by robust growth in net income and an expanding loan portfolio. The company also highlighted the success of its strategic partnership program and an improved net interest margin. However, the call did not shy away from addressing challenges such as stagnant recreation loan originations, a decline in the home improvement loan book, increased operating costs, and rising delinquencies.

Medallion Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Medallion Financial Corp. is a specialty finance company that provides loan origination and servicing in consumer and commercial sectors, with a focus on fintech partnerships. Headquartered in New York City, the company operates primarily through its subsidiary, Medallion Bank, based in Salt Lake City, Utah.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Medallion Financial Announces Leadership Transition
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Medallion Financial Corp. announced a leadership transition effective January 31, 2026, with Andrew Murstein appointed as Chief Executive Officer while continuing his roles as President and Chief Operating Officer. Alvin Murstein will transition to Executive Chairman, a move designed to ensure continuity and strategic growth. This transition is expected to enhance shareholder value and leverage technology and data-driven insights to expand the company’s lending platform and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (MFIN) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medallion Financial stock, see the MFIN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025