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Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN)
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Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) AI Stock Analysis

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Opendoor Technologies

(NASDAQ:OPEN)

Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-9.09%Downside)
Opendoor Technologies faces significant financial and operational challenges, reflected in its poor financial performance and unattractive valuation. The technical analysis shows volatility and overbought conditions, while corporate events highlight potential risks. The earnings call provides some positive signs with cost efficiencies and strategic shifts, but the overall outlook remains cautious.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Opendoor Technologies reported solid upside in first-quarter results across the board, exceeding expectations for revenue and EBITDA.
Revenue Diversification
The new seller referral program pilot is expected to improve conversion rates and provide asset-light revenue diversification.
Sales Performance
Opendoor sold 2,946 homes, surpassing expectations, and purchased 3,609 homes, also exceeding forecasts.
Negative Factors
Financing and Dilution Risk
The company's ATM equity program indicates financing challenges and increases dilution risk, further pressuring the stock.
Market Challenges
Macro and housing market challenges continue to worsen, resulting in a more cautious approach and a decline in revenue.
Profitability Concerns
The lack of visibility on return to EBITDA profitability or reaching positive net income results in a Neutral rating.

Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Opendoor Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOpendoor Technologies Inc. operates a digital platform for residential real estate in the United States. The company's platform enables consumers to buy and sell a home online. It also provides title insurance and escrow services. Opendoor Technologies Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyOpendoor Technologies primarily makes money through the buying and selling of residential properties. The company purchases homes directly from sellers, often at a discounted price, then makes necessary refurbishments and improvements before reselling them at a higher price. This 'iBuyer' model allows Opendoor to earn a margin on each transaction. Additionally, Opendoor may generate revenue from ancillary services, such as home repair and maintenance offerings, as well as through partnerships with financial institutions and real estate service providers.

Opendoor Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Homes Purchased and Sold
Homes Purchased and Sold
Tracks the number of homes Opendoor buys and sells, reflecting its market activity, growth trajectory, and ability to scale its business model in the real estate market.
Chart InsightsOpendoor Technologies is navigating a challenging housing market with high mortgage rates affecting buyer demand. Despite this, the company increased home acquisitions by 4% year-over-year in Q1 2025 and improved cost efficiencies, reducing its adjusted EBITDA loss. The strategic shift towards agent partnerships aims to enhance conversion rates and generate asset-light revenue. However, older inventory is impacting margins, and a revenue decline is expected in the latter half of 2025 due to slowed acquisitions. The focus remains on maintaining pricing discipline and achieving positive EBITDA in Q2 2025.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Opendoor Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 135.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Opendoor's earnings call reflects a challenging macroeconomic environment with high mortgage rates impacting buyer demand. Despite these challenges, the company has made significant strides in cost efficiency and is expanding its agent partnerships, which could drive future asset-light revenue. The outlook for Q2 is positive, with expectations of returning to positive EBITDA. However, the company remains cautious due to ongoing market uncertainties, resulting in a balanced sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Home Acquisitions
Opendoor delivered $1.2 billion of revenue in Q1 2025, roughly in line with Q1 2024, and acquired 3,609 homes, up 4% from the same quarter last year.
Cost Efficiency Improvements
Fixed operating expenses in Q1 were $19 million lower, or down 33% versus a year ago, contributing to an adjusted EBITDA loss reduction from $50 million in Q1 2024 to $30 million in Q1 2025.
Expansion of Agent Partnerships
Opendoor is piloting an agent partnership program in 11 markets, encouraging early indicators of improved conversion and asset-light revenue opportunities.
Positive Outlook for Q2 2025
Revenue is expected to be between $1.45 and $1.525 billion, with a return to positive quarterly adjusted EBITDA for the first time in three years.
Negative Updates
Challenging Housing Market Conditions
High mortgage rates continue to suppress buyer demand, with clearance rates down nearly 25% year-over-year and delistings up over 30%.
Older Inventory Impacting Contribution Margins
Older inventory with lower margins is a larger share of homes sold in Q2, negatively affecting contribution margins.
Reduction in Marketing Spend
Marketing spend in Q2 is expected to be meaningfully lower than in Q1, reflecting a cautious approach due to the uncertain housing market.
Expected Revenue Decline in Second Half of 2025
Opendoor anticipates a revenue decline in Q3 and Q4 due to slowed acquisition pace and current market dynamics.
Company Guidance
During the Opendoor Technologies First Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Opendoor reported $1.2 billion in revenue, with 2,946 homes sold and 3,609 homes acquired, marking a 4% increase in acquisitions year-over-year. The company achieved a contribution profit of $54 million, reflecting a contribution margin of 4.7%, and reduced its adjusted EBITDA loss to $30 million, down from $50 million in Q1 2024. Opendoor ended the quarter with $559 million in unrestricted cash and $2.4 billion in net inventory. For Q2 2025, Opendoor expects revenue between $1.45 and $1.525 billion, a contribution profit between $65 and $75 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $10 and $20 million, indicating a return to positive adjusted EBITDA quarterly for the first time in three years. The company also highlighted its strategic shift towards enhancing agent partnerships to drive conversion and asset-light revenue, with a focus on cost efficiencies and maintaining pricing discipline amid a challenging housing market environment.

Opendoor Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Opendoor Technologies is facing significant financial challenges, characterized by declining revenues, negative net income, and inconsistent cash flows. Despite some improvement in leverage ratios, the lack of positive net income and free cash flow constrains its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Opendoor Technologies has experienced significant volatility in its revenue, with a dramatic decline from 2022 to 2024. The gross profit margin and net income remain negative, reflecting operational challenges. While there is a slight improvement in EBIT and EBITDA margins year-over-year, overall profitability remains elusive, impacting the income statement score.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reveals a reduction in total assets and stockholders' equity over the years. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has improved, indicating some deleveraging. The equity ratio is weak, suggesting a high reliance on liabilities to finance assets, which could pose risks if market conditions worsen.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows significant fluctuations in operating cash flow, with a substantial decrease in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024. The negative free cash flow and its poor alignment with net income highlight liquidity constraints. Although financing cash flow was positive in earlier years, recent outflows suggest reduced external funding availability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.15B6.95B15.57B8.02B2.58B
Gross Profit433.00M487.00M667.00M730.00M219.80M
EBITDA-243.00M-290.00M-761.00M-463.00M-122.00M
Net Income-392.00M-275.00M-1.35B-662.00M-286.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.13B3.57B6.61B9.51B2.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments679.00M1.07B1.28B2.21B1.46B
Total Debt2.32B2.53B5.40B7.11B549.13M
Total Liabilities2.41B2.60B5.52B7.26B575.58M
Stockholders Equity713.00M967.00M1.09B2.25B1.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-620.00M2.31B693.00M-5.83B664.57M
Operating Cash Flow-595.00M2.34B730.00M-5.79B681.91M
Investing Cash Flow28.00M44.00M234.00M-476.00M-21.87M
Financing Cash Flow-210.00M-2.64B-1.75B7.34B160.66M

Opendoor Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.65
Price Trends
50DMA
0.70
Positive
100DMA
0.89
Positive
200DMA
1.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
86.07
Negative
STOCH
87.39
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OPEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.75, above the 50-day MA of 0.70, and above the 200-day MA of 1.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 86.07 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OPEN.

Opendoor Technologies Risk Analysis

Opendoor Technologies disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Opendoor Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Opendoor Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$820.68M-52.95%83.50%8.45%
67
Neutral
$1.57B-6.44%1.94%6.69%-137.52%
66
Neutral
$324.71M18.942.01%-4.61%
55
Neutral
$64.29M-97.62%-19.80%21.22%
54
Neutral
$1.18B3.560.13%6.38%-2.13%-128.06%
46
Neutral
$1.09B-47.67%2.36%-23.60%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OPEN
Opendoor Technologies
1.65
-0.80
-32.65%
RMAX
Re/Max Holdings
8.21
-1.09
-11.72%
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
10.19
-3.47
-25.40%
OPAD
Offerpad Solutions
2.23
-2.26
-50.33%
REAX
Real Brokerage
3.95
-1.83
-31.66%

Opendoor Technologies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Opendoor Technologies Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 13, 2025, Opendoor Technologies Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. Stockholders elected Adam Bain and Pueo Keffer as Class II board members for a three-year term and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. Additionally, the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis, reflecting continued shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPEN) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opendoor Technologies stock, see the OPEN Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
Opendoor Faces Nasdaq Delisting Risk Due to Low Stock
Negative
May 30, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Opendoor Technologies Inc. received a notice from Nasdaq indicating that its stock price had fallen below the minimum bid price requirement of $1.00 for 30 consecutive business days, risking delisting from the Nasdaq Global Select Market. The company has until November 24, 2025, to regain compliance by maintaining a closing bid price of at least $1.00 for 10 consecutive business days. If compliance is not achieved, Opendoor may transfer its listing to the Nasdaq Capital Market and potentially implement a reverse stock split to meet requirements. The company is exploring all options to address the issue, but there is no guarantee of success.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPEN) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opendoor Technologies stock, see the OPEN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Opendoor Technologies Issues $325M Convertible Senior Notes
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Opendoor Technologies completed a significant financial transaction involving the issuance of $325 million in 7.000% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030. This transaction included exchanging $245.8 million of existing 2026 Notes and raising $79.2 million in cash, reflecting strong investor support. The move aims to bolster Opendoor’s financial position and support its mission to innovate the U.S. residential real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPEN) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opendoor Technologies stock, see the OPEN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Opendoor Technologies Issues New Convertible Senior Notes
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Opendoor Technologies Inc. entered into agreements with holders of its 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 and new investors to issue $325 million of 7.000% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030. This transaction involves exchanging $245.8 million of 2026 Notes for 2030 Notes and issuing $79.2 million of 2030 Notes for cash. The 2030 Notes, which mature on May 15, 2030, are senior, unsecured obligations with a 7.000% interest rate. The company expects to use the net proceeds from the cash issuance for general corporate purposes. J. Wood Capital Advisors LLC plans to purchase shares and notes, potentially impacting the market price of the company’s stock and notes.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Opendoor Technologies Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Opendoor Technologies reported its first-quarter financial results for the period ending March 31, 2025, highlighting a revenue of $1.2 billion and a net loss of $85 million. The company showed improvement in adjusted EBITDA and reduced net losses, reflecting disciplined execution towards profitability. Despite a slight decline in revenue and homes sold compared to the previous year, Opendoor increased its inventory and home purchases, indicating strategic investments in its platform and future growth. The company also provided a positive outlook for the second quarter of 2025, projecting increased revenue and improved financial metrics.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2025