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Opendoor Technologies (OPEN)
NASDAQ:OPEN
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Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) AI Stock Analysis

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OPEN

Opendoor Technologies

(NASDAQ:OPEN)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(4.90% Upside)
Opendoor Technologies is navigating a challenging financial landscape with declining revenues and persistent net losses. However, improvements in cash flow, leverage management, and strategic initiatives such as product expansion and leadership changes provide a more optimistic outlook. The company's technical indicators and valuation remain weak, but the transformative strategy and positive corporate events offer potential for future growth.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Streamlining operations by reducing staff in key processes enhances efficiency and lowers costs, supporting long-term profitability goals.
Product Innovation
New product launches, especially those leveraging AI, can drive future growth by enhancing customer experience and operational capabilities.
Financial Flexibility
Improved capital structure through refinancing and equity raises provides financial flexibility for strategic investments and growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue and margins indicate challenges in maintaining market position and profitability, impacting long-term financial health.
Increased Net Loss
Rising net losses suggest ongoing struggles with cost management and profitability, which could hinder future growth and investment capacity.
Old Inventory Challenges
Issues with old inventory reflect strategic missteps that continue to affect margins and operational efficiency, impacting long-term competitiveness.

Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Opendoor Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOpendoor Technologies Inc. is a technology-driven real estate company that simplifies the process of buying and selling homes. Founded in 2014, the company operates in the residential real estate sector, leveraging technology and data analytics to offer a seamless experience for home sellers and buyers. Opendoor's core services include instant home offers, where homeowners can receive a competitive cash offer for their homes, and a platform for purchasing homes directly from sellers, thereby streamlining transactions and reducing the time and costs associated with traditional real estate processes.
How the Company Makes MoneyOpendoor generates revenue primarily through its home buying and selling operations. The company makes money by purchasing homes at a discounted price, making necessary repairs or improvements, and then reselling them at a higher price. This business model, known as iBuying, allows Opendoor to take advantage of market fluctuations. Additionally, Opendoor earns revenue from transaction fees charged to sellers when they sell their homes through the platform and from buyers when they purchase properties. The company also seeks to expand its revenue through partnerships with real estate agents and mortgage lenders, enhancing its service offerings and potentially increasing its market reach.

Opendoor Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Homes Purchased and Sold
Homes Purchased and Sold
Tracks the number of homes Opendoor buys and sells, reflecting its market activity, growth trajectory, and ability to scale its business model in the real estate market.
Chart InsightsOpendoor's strategic pivot to a distributed platform is showing promise despite a challenging housing market. Homes sold have declined since 2022, but recent earnings highlight a focus on agent partnerships and new products like Cash Plus, enhancing service offerings and boosting conversion rates. The company achieved its first adjusted EBITDA profitability in three years, indicating operational improvements. However, high mortgage rates and macroeconomic pressures continue to suppress buyer demand, impacting acquisition volumes and margins. Opendoor's strategic shifts could position it well for future growth once market conditions stabilize.
Data provided by:The Fly

Opendoor Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a transformative period for Opendoor, with significant strides in operational efficiency, product innovation, and capital restructuring. However, the company faces challenges with declining revenue and increased losses due to old inventory and previous strategic decisions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Doubling Speed of Acquisition
Opendoor increased its speed of home acquisitions from 120 homes per week in mid-September to 230 homes by the last week of October.
Introduction of New Products
Launched over a dozen new products and features, including AI-powered home scoping, automated title and escrow processes, and the Opendoor Checkout for seamless home buying.
Increased Operating Efficiency
Reduced the number of employees involved in the sales contract process from 11 to 1, significantly decreasing operational expenses.
Improved SEO and Organic Traffic
Significant improvements in SEO products, leading to increased organic traffic.
Capital Structure Improvement
Raised nearly $200 million through ATM equity program and refinanced a substantial portion of the 2030 notes, providing enhanced financial flexibility.
Launch of Dividend Warrants
Issued dividend warrants to shareholders with exercise prices at $9, $13, and $17 to align with shareholder interests.
Negative Updates
Decreased Revenue and Margins
Q3 revenue was $915 million, with a GAAP gross profit of $66 million and a contribution margin of 2.2%, down from the previous year's 3.8%.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for Q3 was $90 million, compared to a loss of $78 million in Q3 2024.
Challenges with Old Inventory
Faced challenges with older homes selected under the previous strategy, leading to pressured margins and reduced acquisition volumes.
Company Guidance
In the recent Opendoor earnings call, significant guidance was provided, highlighting a transformative shift in the company's strategy. The company aims to achieve adjusted net income profitability by the end of 2026, with a focus on scaling high-quality acquisitions, improving unit economics, and building operating leverage. Notably, Opendoor plans to increase fourth-quarter 2025 acquisitions by at least 35% from Q3, emphasizing a shift from their previous risk-averse approach. The company reported purchasing 1,169 homes in Q3, with a revenue of $915 million, surpassing guidance expectations. However, the net loss stood at $90 million, with adjusted net loss at $61 million, reflecting prior strategic decisions. Opendoor's new direction includes leveraging AI for efficiency, launching numerous products and services like Opendoor Checkout, and reducing operational costs, aiming for a leaner, more aggressive operational model. The company also declared a pro rata warrant dividend to align with shareholders' interests.

Opendoor Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Opendoor Technologies is facing challenges with declining revenues and persistent net losses. However, improvements in cash flow and leverage management provide a more optimistic outlook. The company needs to focus on achieving profitability and sustaining revenue growth to enhance its financial position.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Opendoor Technologies has experienced declining revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -8.92% in the TTM period. The company is facing challenges with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. Despite a slight improvement in gross profit margin over the years, the overall income statement reflects ongoing struggles with achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in the TTM period, dropping to 0.54 from previous high levels, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity remains negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a moderate level of financial stability despite past high leverage.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Opendoor Technologies shows a strong improvement in cash flow metrics, with a substantial increase in free cash flow growth and a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio. The company has managed to generate positive free cash flow, which is a positive indicator of financial health despite ongoing net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.72B5.15B6.95B15.57B8.02B2.58B
Gross Profit378.00M433.00M487.00M667.00M730.00M220.00M
EBITDA-134.00M-243.00M9.00M-876.00M-509.00M-122.00M
Net Income-317.00M-392.00M-275.00M-1.35B-662.00M-253.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.70B3.13B3.57B6.61B9.51B2.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments962.00M679.00M1.07B1.28B2.21B1.46B
Total Debt439.00M2.32B2.53B5.40B7.11B550.00M
Total Liabilities1.89B2.41B2.60B5.52B7.26B623.00M
Stockholders Equity811.00M713.00M967.00M1.09B2.25B1.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow887.00M-620.00M2.31B693.00M-5.83B665.00M
Operating Cash Flow899.00M-595.00M2.34B730.00M-5.79B682.00M
Investing Cash Flow-12.00M28.00M44.00M234.00M-476.00M-22.00M
Financing Cash Flow-489.00M-210.00M-2.64B-1.75B7.34B161.00M

Opendoor Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7.15
Price Trends
50DMA
7.65
Negative
100DMA
6.17
Positive
200DMA
3.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
47.48
Neutral
STOCH
43.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OPEN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.54, below the 50-day MA of 7.65, and above the 200-day MA of 3.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OPEN.

Opendoor Technologies Risk Analysis

Opendoor Technologies disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Opendoor Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Opendoor Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
16.5312.21%6.77%150.72%
67
Neutral
$263.86M13.182.87%-6.06%
67
Neutral
$1.74B-8.09%1.83%5.08%41.21%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
62
Neutral
$19.87B43.174.74%2.10%21.68%-18.57%
59
Neutral
$6.82B-39.33%-4.45%18.95%
44
Neutral
$67.45M-0.94-104.99%-36.25%11.92%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OPEN
Opendoor Technologies
7.15
4.97
227.98%
RMAX
Re/Max Holdings
8.09
-4.34
-34.92%
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
10.94
-1.85
-14.46%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
15.77
0.57
3.75%
BEKE
KE Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A
17.18
-3.47
-16.80%
OPAD
Offerpad Solutions
1.83
-1.99
-52.09%

Opendoor Technologies Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Opendoor Technologies Issues Warrants as Special Dividend
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

Opendoor Technologies Inc. announced the distribution of warrants to its shareholders and certain convertible noteholders as a special dividend on November 21, 2025. This move, described by CEO Kaz Nejatian as a demonstration of confidence in the company’s long-term value, aims to realign shareholder interests. The warrants, which are exercisable for cash, are set to trade on Nasdaq under the tickers OPENW, OPENL, and OPENZ, with expiration dates set for November 20, 2026, unless early expiration conditions are met. This distribution is part of Opendoor’s strategy to strengthen its relationship with shareholders, reflecting a structural commitment to their interests.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Opendoor Technologies Registers 180M Shares for Sale
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Opendoor Technologies Inc. filed a prospectus supplement with the SEC to register the issuance and sale of 180,580,200 shares of common stock at $6.56 per share. This filing, supported by a legal opinion from Latham & Watkins LLP, is part of the company’s strategy to leverage its effective shelf registration statement to raise capital, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Private Placements and FinancingStock BuybackDividends
Opendoor Technologies Announces Special Dividend Distribution
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Opendoor Technologies announced a special dividend distribution of warrants to its common stockholders, aiming to align shareholder and management interests. The distribution will provide three series of warrants—Series K, A, and Z—per thirty shares held, with exercise prices set at $9, $13, and $17 respectively. Additionally, Opendoor entered into share purchase agreements to issue 180,580,200 shares at $6.56 each, using proceeds to repurchase $264 million of its 2030 Convertible Notes. This move is designed to strengthen the balance sheet without materially impacting cash position, though it may affect stock trading prices.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Opendoor Technologies Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Opendoor Technologies announced its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, with a focus on transitioning into a software and AI-driven company under new CEO Kaz Nejatian. The company aims to achieve profitability by enhancing transaction volumes, improving unit economics, and maintaining operational efficiency. Despite reporting a net loss of $90 million for the quarter, Opendoor is committed to reaching breakeven adjusted net income by the end of the next year through strategic initiatives such as scaling acquisitions, improving resale speed, and leveraging its existing cost structure.

Legal Proceedings
Opendoor Technologies Settlement Gains Preliminary Approval
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

On September 11, 2025, the U.S. District Court for the District of Arizona granted preliminary approval for a settlement in a derivative action involving Opendoor Technologies Inc. This settlement, which includes related litigation in Delaware, involves Opendoor adopting corporate governance reforms in exchange for a full release of claims. The settlement follows a global mediation held on February 7, 2025, and aims to resolve multiple shareholder derivative actions against the company and its executives.

Executive/Board Changes
Opendoor Technologies Appoints Interim CFO Christy Schwartz
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

Opendoor Technologies Inc. announced the appointment of Christy Schwartz as interim Chief Financial Officer effective September 30, 2025, following the departure of Selim Freiha on September 19, 2025. Schwartz, who has previously served in various roles within the company, including interim CFO and Chief Accounting Officer, will hold the interim position until May 15, 2026, or until a new CFO is appointed. Her compensation package includes a base salary of $1,200,000 and 400,641 restricted stock units, with specific terms for vesting and severance.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Opendoor Technologies Expands Nationwide Product Offerings
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

Opendoor Technologies Inc. announced its intention to expand its product offerings to cover the entire continental United States in the coming weeks. This expansion will involve utilizing direct cash offers, cash plus options, or working with partner agents to provide listing services, potentially enhancing its market reach and operational capabilities.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Opendoor Technologies Announces Leadership Changes and Investment
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Opendoor Technologies announced significant leadership changes and a $40 million investment through private equity financing. Kaz Nejatian, formerly of Shopify, was appointed as the new CEO, while co-founders Keith Rabois and Eric Wu returned to the board, with Rabois becoming Chairman. These changes are aimed at leveraging AI to enhance Opendoor’s operations and market positioning as an AI-first company, with the investment from Khosla Ventures and Wu intended to accelerate growth and innovation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025