tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Opendoor Technologies (OPEN)
NASDAQ:OPEN

Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
9,139 Followers

Top Page

OPEN

Opendoor Technologies

(NASDAQ:OPEN)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(12.61% Upside)
Opendoor Technologies is navigating a challenging financial landscape with declining revenues and persistent net losses. Despite improvements in cash flow and leverage management, the technical indicators suggest bearish momentum. The company's strategic pivot and focus on operational efficiency and product innovation provide a more optimistic outlook, but achieving profitability remains a critical challenge.
Positive Factors
Improving cash generation
Sustained improvement to positive free cash flow and a stronger operating cash flow to net income ratio materially increases Opendoor's financial flexibility. Over the next 2-6 months this reduces refinancing risk, funds working capital for inventory turn, and supports investments in product and acquisitions while losses persist.
Lower financial leverage
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio strengthens the balance sheet and reduces interest burden, giving Opendoor more runway to execute its strategy. Improved leverage enhances resilience to housing-cycle volatility and makes capital deployment (acquisitions, product development) less constrained by debt servicing.
Operational transformation & product innovation
Introducing AI-driven scoping, automated title/escrow, Opendoor Checkout and major headcount reductions in sales contract processing creates durable unit-economics improvements. These structural efficiency gains should raise throughput, lower per-transaction costs and support scaled acquisitions with better margins.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
Consecutive periods of declining revenue reduce scale benefits and make it harder to leverage fixed costs. Over the medium term this weakens unit economics, strains margin recovery plans and increases the reliance on higher acquisition volumes or new revenue streams to reach the company’s profitability targets.
Persistent losses & thin margins
Ongoing net losses and very low contribution margins indicate the core iBuying operations remain fragile. Structural margin pressure—compounded by prior inventory choices—means profitability depends on sustained acquisition scale, faster resale velocity and product-driven margin expansion, any slip delays breakeven timelines.
Reliance on equity & capital actions
Large equity registration and warrant distribution are structural capital actions that signal continued reliance on equity financing. Over the medium term this can dilute existing shareholders and suggests internal cash generation is still being supplemented by external capital to refinance notes and support operations.

Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Opendoor Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOpendoor Technologies Inc. operates a digital platform for residential real estate in the United States. The company's platform enables consumers to buy and sell a home online. It also provides title insurance and escrow services. Opendoor Technologies Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyOpendoor generates revenue primarily through its home buying and selling operations. The company makes money by purchasing homes at a discounted price, making necessary repairs or improvements, and then reselling them at a higher price. This business model, known as iBuying, allows Opendoor to take advantage of market fluctuations. Additionally, Opendoor earns revenue from transaction fees charged to sellers when they sell their homes through the platform and from buyers when they purchase properties. The company also seeks to expand its revenue through partnerships with real estate agents and mortgage lenders, enhancing its service offerings and potentially increasing its market reach.

Opendoor Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Homes Purchased and Sold
Homes Purchased and Sold
Tracks the number of homes Opendoor buys and sells, reflecting its market activity, growth trajectory, and ability to scale its business model in the real estate market.
Chart InsightsOpendoor's strategic pivot to a distributed platform is showing promise despite a challenging housing market. Homes sold have declined since 2022, but recent earnings highlight a focus on agent partnerships and new products like Cash Plus, enhancing service offerings and boosting conversion rates. The company achieved its first adjusted EBITDA profitability in three years, indicating operational improvements. However, high mortgage rates and macroeconomic pressures continue to suppress buyer demand, impacting acquisition volumes and margins. Opendoor's strategic shifts could position it well for future growth once market conditions stabilize.
Data provided by:The Fly

Opendoor Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a transformative period for Opendoor, with significant strides in operational efficiency, product innovation, and capital restructuring. However, the company faces challenges with declining revenue and increased losses due to old inventory and previous strategic decisions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Doubling Speed of Acquisition
Opendoor increased its speed of home acquisitions from 120 homes per week in mid-September to 230 homes by the last week of October.
Introduction of New Products
Launched over a dozen new products and features, including AI-powered home scoping, automated title and escrow processes, and the Opendoor Checkout for seamless home buying.
Increased Operating Efficiency
Reduced the number of employees involved in the sales contract process from 11 to 1, significantly decreasing operational expenses.
Improved SEO and Organic Traffic
Significant improvements in SEO products, leading to increased organic traffic.
Capital Structure Improvement
Raised nearly $200 million through ATM equity program and refinanced a substantial portion of the 2030 notes, providing enhanced financial flexibility.
Launch of Dividend Warrants
Issued dividend warrants to shareholders with exercise prices at $9, $13, and $17 to align with shareholder interests.
Negative Updates
Decreased Revenue and Margins
Q3 revenue was $915 million, with a GAAP gross profit of $66 million and a contribution margin of 2.2%, down from the previous year's 3.8%.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for Q3 was $90 million, compared to a loss of $78 million in Q3 2024.
Challenges with Old Inventory
Faced challenges with older homes selected under the previous strategy, leading to pressured margins and reduced acquisition volumes.
Company Guidance
In the recent Opendoor earnings call, significant guidance was provided, highlighting a transformative shift in the company's strategy. The company aims to achieve adjusted net income profitability by the end of 2026, with a focus on scaling high-quality acquisitions, improving unit economics, and building operating leverage. Notably, Opendoor plans to increase fourth-quarter 2025 acquisitions by at least 35% from Q3, emphasizing a shift from their previous risk-averse approach. The company reported purchasing 1,169 homes in Q3, with a revenue of $915 million, surpassing guidance expectations. However, the net loss stood at $90 million, with adjusted net loss at $61 million, reflecting prior strategic decisions. Opendoor's new direction includes leveraging AI for efficiency, launching numerous products and services like Opendoor Checkout, and reducing operational costs, aiming for a leaner, more aggressive operational model. The company also declared a pro rata warrant dividend to align with shareholders' interests.

Opendoor Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Opendoor Technologies is facing challenges with declining revenues and persistent net losses. However, improvements in cash flow and leverage management provide a more optimistic outlook. The company needs to focus on achieving profitability and sustaining revenue growth to enhance its financial position.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Opendoor Technologies has experienced declining revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -8.92% in the TTM period. The company is facing challenges with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. Despite a slight improvement in gross profit margin over the years, the overall income statement reflects ongoing struggles with achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in the TTM period, dropping to 0.54 from previous high levels, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity remains negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a moderate level of financial stability despite past high leverage.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Opendoor Technologies shows a strong improvement in cash flow metrics, with a substantial increase in free cash flow growth and a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio. The company has managed to generate positive free cash flow, which is a positive indicator of financial health despite ongoing net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.72B5.15B6.95B15.57B8.02B2.58B
Gross Profit378.00M433.00M487.00M667.00M730.00M220.00M
EBITDA-134.00M-243.00M9.00M-876.00M-509.00M-122.00M
Net Income-317.00M-392.00M-275.00M-1.35B-662.00M-253.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.70B3.13B3.57B6.61B9.51B2.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments962.00M679.00M1.07B1.28B2.21B1.46B
Total Debt1.79B2.32B2.53B5.40B7.11B550.00M
Total Liabilities1.89B2.41B2.60B5.52B7.26B623.00M
Stockholders Equity811.00M713.00M967.00M1.09B2.25B1.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow887.00M-620.00M2.31B693.00M-5.83B665.00M
Operating Cash Flow899.00M-595.00M2.34B730.00M-5.79B682.00M
Investing Cash Flow-12.00M28.00M44.00M234.00M-476.00M-22.00M
Financing Cash Flow-489.00M-210.00M-2.64B-1.75B7.34B161.00M

Opendoor Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.44
Price Trends
50DMA
6.05
Negative
100DMA
6.87
Negative
200DMA
4.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Positive
RSI
31.65
Neutral
STOCH
11.75
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OPEN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.28, below the 50-day MA of 6.05, and below the 200-day MA of 4.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OPEN.

Opendoor Technologies Risk Analysis

Opendoor Technologies disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Opendoor Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Opendoor Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$2.99B13.5112.21%6.77%150.72%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
62
Neutral
$20.48B42.554.91%2.26%25.33%-15.12%
60
Neutral
$226.35M11.302.87%-6.06%
54
Neutral
$1.20B-59.83-8.09%2.09%5.08%41.21%
53
Neutral
$4.24B-10.19-39.33%-4.45%18.95%
49
Neutral
$38.00M-0.41-104.99%-36.25%11.92%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OPEN
Opendoor Technologies
4.33
2.79
181.17%
RMAX
Re/Max Holdings
6.85
-3.62
-34.57%
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
7.50
-3.63
-32.60%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
12.33
-0.69
-5.30%
BEKE
KE Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A
17.18
-2.48
-12.64%
OPAD
Offerpad Solutions
0.77
-1.65
-68.26%

Opendoor Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Opendoor Updates CEO Social Media Channels for Disclosures
Neutral
Jan 26, 2026

Opendoor Technologies announced on September 17, 2025, that it uses a range of digital channels—including its website, press releases, regulatory filings, blogs, community hub and corporate and CEO social media accounts—as primary outlets for sharing material information and meeting its disclosure obligations under U.S. securities regulations. The company emphasized that its CEO Kaz Nejatian’s previous X handle is no longer in use for such disclosures, and that investors should now monitor his new @Nejatian handle alongside @Opendoor and other official channels, underscoring the growing role of social platforms in corporate communications and the need for stakeholders to track these outlets to stay informed about potentially market-moving updates.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPEN) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opendoor Technologies stock, see the OPEN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Opendoor Technologies Appoints New President and CFO
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Opendoor Technologies announced the appointment of Lucas Matheson as President, effective December 22, 2025, and Christy Schwartz as Chief Financial Officer, effective January 1, 2026. Matheson, previously CEO of Coinbase Canada, will oversee corporate development and strategic initiatives, including blockchain exploration, while Schwartz, who served as interim CFO, was chosen for her deep understanding of the company. These leadership changes aim to accelerate Opendoor’s growth and innovation in the real estate sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPEN) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opendoor Technologies stock, see the OPEN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Opendoor Technologies Issues Warrants as Special Dividend
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

Opendoor Technologies Inc. announced the distribution of warrants to its shareholders and certain convertible noteholders as a special dividend on November 21, 2025. This move, described by CEO Kaz Nejatian as a demonstration of confidence in the company’s long-term value, aims to realign shareholder interests. The warrants, which are exercisable for cash, are set to trade on Nasdaq under the tickers OPENW, OPENL, and OPENZ, with expiration dates set for November 20, 2026, unless early expiration conditions are met. This distribution is part of Opendoor’s strategy to strengthen its relationship with shareholders, reflecting a structural commitment to their interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPEN) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opendoor Technologies stock, see the OPEN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Opendoor Technologies Registers 180M Shares for Sale
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Opendoor Technologies Inc. filed a prospectus supplement with the SEC to register the issuance and sale of 180,580,200 shares of common stock at $6.56 per share. This filing, supported by a legal opinion from Latham & Watkins LLP, is part of the company’s strategy to leverage its effective shelf registration statement to raise capital, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPEN) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opendoor Technologies stock, see the OPEN Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsPrivate Placements and Financing
Opendoor Technologies Announces Special Dividend Distribution
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Opendoor Technologies announced a special dividend distribution of warrants to its common stockholders, aiming to align shareholder and management interests. The distribution will provide three series of warrants—Series K, A, and Z—per thirty shares held, with exercise prices set at $9, $13, and $17 respectively. Additionally, Opendoor entered into share purchase agreements to issue 180,580,200 shares at $6.56 each, using proceeds to repurchase $264 million of its 2030 Convertible Notes. This move is designed to strengthen the balance sheet without materially impacting cash position, though it may affect stock trading prices.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPEN) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opendoor Technologies stock, see the OPEN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Opendoor Technologies Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Opendoor Technologies announced its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, with a focus on transitioning into a software and AI-driven company under new CEO Kaz Nejatian. The company aims to achieve profitability by enhancing transaction volumes, improving unit economics, and maintaining operational efficiency. Despite reporting a net loss of $90 million for the quarter, Opendoor is committed to reaching breakeven adjusted net income by the end of the next year through strategic initiatives such as scaling acquisitions, improving resale speed, and leveraging its existing cost structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPEN) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opendoor Technologies stock, see the OPEN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025