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Opendoor Technologies (OPEN)
NASDAQ:OPEN
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Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) AI Stock Analysis

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OPEN

Opendoor Technologies

(NASDAQ:OPEN)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-14.89% Downside)
Opendoor Technologies faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and ongoing losses, which heavily impact its overall score. While technical indicators show bullish momentum, overbought conditions suggest caution. The company's strategic shifts and new product introductions are promising, but macroeconomic pressures and valuation concerns remain significant hurdles.
Positive Factors
Financial performance
Opendoor Technologies reported solid upside in first-quarter results across the board, exceeding expectations for revenue and EBITDA.
Operational performance
Opendoor sold 2,946 homes, surpassing expectations, and purchased 3,609 homes, also exceeding forecasts.
Product innovation
OPEN's announcement of Cash Plus & Key Connections will allow the company to evolve from a primarily Cash Offer business to a platform with diverse seller solutions & lower risk profile.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic challenges
Macro and housing market challenges continue to worsen, resulting in a more cautious approach and a decline in revenue.
Profitability concerns
The company's business model faces structural challenges, affecting its ability to generate consistent, long-term profits.
Strategic uncertainty
Opendoor Technologies Inc. outlined a strategy pivot to an agent-led distribution model, which adds uncertainty to its future performance.

Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Opendoor Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOpendoor Technologies Inc. operates a digital platform for residential real estate in the United States. The company's platform enables consumers to buy and sell a home online. It also provides title insurance and escrow services. Opendoor Technologies Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyOpendoor Technologies primarily makes money through the buying and selling of residential properties. The company purchases homes directly from sellers, often at a discounted price, then makes necessary refurbishments and improvements before reselling them at a higher price. This 'iBuyer' model allows Opendoor to earn a margin on each transaction. Additionally, Opendoor may generate revenue from ancillary services, such as home repair and maintenance offerings, as well as through partnerships with financial institutions and real estate service providers.

Opendoor Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Homes Purchased and Sold
Homes Purchased and Sold
Tracks the number of homes Opendoor buys and sells, reflecting its market activity, growth trajectory, and ability to scale its business model in the real estate market.
Chart InsightsOpendoor's strategic pivot to a distributed platform is showing promise despite a challenging housing market. Homes sold have declined since 2022, but recent earnings highlight a focus on agent partnerships and new products like Cash Plus, enhancing service offerings and boosting conversion rates. The company achieved its first adjusted EBITDA profitability in three years, indicating operational improvements. However, high mortgage rates and macroeconomic pressures continue to suppress buyer demand, impacting acquisition volumes and margins. Opendoor's strategic shifts could position it well for future growth once market conditions stabilize.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Opendoor Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Opendoor's earnings call highlighted strong strategic shifts and financial progress with the introduction of new products and agent engagement. However, challenging market conditions and expected revenue declines pose significant hurdles.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
First Quarter of Adjusted EBITDA Profitability in 3 Years
Opendoor achieved $1.6 billion in revenue and its first quarter of adjusted EBITDA profitability in three years, indicating significant operating leverage and financial progress.
Strategic Shift to Distributed Platform
Opendoor is transitioning from a single product to a distributed platform with multiple offerings through agents. The early results are promising, with 2x more customers reaching a final underwritten cash offer and listing conversion rates 5x higher.
Introduction of Cash Plus Product
Opendoor launched 'Cash Plus,' a hybrid product for sellers seeking the convenience of a cash offer with market upside potential. This product aims to reduce capital needs and improve risk-adjusted returns.
Strong Agent Engagement
1 in 4 of Opendoor's acquisitions come from agents bringing clients for cash offers, demonstrating strong engagement with the agent community.
Negative Updates
Challenging Housing Market Conditions
The housing market has deteriorated with persistently high mortgage rates suppressing buyer demand, leading to lower acquisition and resale volumes.
Sequential Decline in Revenue Expected
Revenue is expected to decline sequentially in Q4 2025, similar to the decline anticipated in Q3, due to macroeconomic conditions and seasonal patterns.
Contribution Margin Pressure
Contribution margin is pressured by an unfavorable mix of older, lower-margin homes given lower acquisition volumes, likely impacting year-on-year improvement goals.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA Guidance for Q3
The company expects adjusted EBITDA between negative $28 million and negative $21 million for Q3 2025, reflecting ongoing challenges in the housing market.
Company Guidance
During the Opendoor Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the upcoming quarters amidst a challenging housing market. For the third quarter of 2025, Opendoor expects to acquire approximately 1,200 homes and generate revenue between $800 million and $875 million, with a contribution margin of 2.8% to 3.3%. The adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between negative $28 million and negative $21 million, while stock-based compensation expense is anticipated to range from $10 million to $12 million. For the fourth quarter, the company forecasts a sequential revenue decline similar to the percentage decrease expected in the third quarter. Opendoor's strategic shift towards a distributed platform with agent partnerships, including initiatives like the Cash Plus product, is expected to enhance conversion rates and expand high-margin revenue streams, though its impact will be more evident in 2026. Despite the macroeconomic challenges, the company remains focused on optimizing its operations and building a scalable platform to drive long-term growth.

Opendoor Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Opendoor Technologies is facing financial challenges with declining revenues, negative net income, and fluctuating cash flows. Despite some improvements in leverage ratios, the company's financial health is constrained by its inability to generate consistent free cash flow and positive net income.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Opendoor Technologies has experienced significant volatility in its revenue, with a dramatic decline from 2022 to 2024. The gross profit margin and net income remain negative, reflecting operational challenges. While there is a slight improvement in EBIT and EBITDA margins year-over-year, overall profitability remains elusive, impacting the income statement score.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reveals a reduction in total assets and stockholders' equity over the years. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has improved, indicating some deleveraging. The equity ratio is weak, suggesting a high reliance on liabilities to finance assets, which could pose risks if market conditions worsen.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows significant fluctuations in operating cash flow, with a substantial decrease in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024. The negative free cash flow and its poor alignment with net income highlight liquidity constraints. Although financing cash flow was positive in earlier years, recent outflows suggest reduced external funding availability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.18B5.15B6.95B15.57B8.02B2.58B
Gross Profit417.00M433.00M487.00M667.00M730.00M219.80M
EBITDA-116.00M-243.00M-290.00M-761.00M-509.00M-121.00M
Net Income-305.00M-392.00M-275.00M-1.35B-662.00M-253.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.91B3.13B3.57B6.61B9.51B2.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments789.00M679.00M1.07B1.28B2.21B1.46B
Total Debt437.00M2.32B2.53B5.40B7.11B549.13M
Total Liabilities2.28B2.41B2.60B5.52B7.26B623.00M
Stockholders Equity631.00M713.00M967.00M1.09B2.25B1.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow511.00M-620.00M2.31B693.00M-5.83B665.00M
Operating Cash Flow526.00M-595.00M2.34B730.00M-5.79B682.00M
Investing Cash Flow-3.00M28.00M44.00M234.00M-476.00M-22.00M
Financing Cash Flow-249.00M-210.00M-2.64B-1.75B7.34B161.00M

Opendoor Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.70
Price Trends
50DMA
1.96
Positive
100DMA
1.36
Positive
200DMA
1.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.70
Negative
RSI
60.75
Neutral
STOCH
54.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OPEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.03, above the 50-day MA of 1.96, and above the 200-day MA of 1.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OPEN.

Opendoor Technologies Risk Analysis

Opendoor Technologies disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Opendoor Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Opendoor Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$302.76M19.732.21%-5.21%
70
Outperform
$1.07B-31.81%72.57%65.15%
67
Neutral
$1.71B-12.78%1.83%3.55%-36.05%
65
Neutral
$2.09B17.134.00%4.98%3.30%3.57%
55
Neutral
$114.08M-111.30%-30.44%15.55%
55
Neutral
5.11%-29.67%
53
Neutral
$3.46B-41.33%14.07%27.59%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OPEN
Opendoor Technologies
4.02
1.88
87.85%
RMAX
Re/Max Holdings
9.37
-1.97
-17.37%
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
10.77
-1.48
-12.08%
RDFN
Redfin
11.19
0.89
8.64%
OPAD
Offerpad Solutions
3.36
-0.76
-18.45%
REAX
Real Brokerage
5.17
-1.30
-20.09%

Opendoor Technologies Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Opendoor Technologies Appoints Interim CEO Amid Leadership Change
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

On August 15, 2025, Opendoor Technologies announced that Carrie Wheeler stepped down as CEO and board member, with Shrisha Radhakrishna appointed as interim principal executive officer. Wheeler will remain as an advisor to ensure a smooth transition until the end of 2025, while the board searches for a permanent successor. Eric Feder was appointed as Lead Independent Director to assist during the transition. Radhakrishna, previously the Chief Technology & Product Officer, brings experience from LegalZoom and Intuit, enhancing Opendoor’s leadership during this period of change.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Opendoor Technologies Achieves First Adjusted EBITDA Profitability
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Opendoor Technologies reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a revenue of $1.6 billion and achieving its first quarter of Adjusted EBITDA profitability since 2022. Despite challenging housing market conditions, the company sold 4,299 homes and improved its net loss position to $29 million. Opendoor is expanding its agent-led distribution platform to offer more solutions to homeowners, aiming to capture capital-light revenue streams and enhance its operational model.

Delistings and Listing ChangesShareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Opendoor Regains Nasdaq Compliance, Cancels Stockholder Meeting
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Opendoor Technologies Inc. announced it regained compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price requirement, as its stock maintained a closing bid price of at least $1.00 for 12 consecutive business days. Consequently, the company canceled a Special Meeting of Stockholders scheduled for August 27, 2025, which was intended to discuss a reverse stock split, as the Board deemed it unnecessary following the regained compliance.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Opendoor Technologies Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 13, 2025, Opendoor Technologies Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. Stockholders elected Adam Bain and Pueo Keffer as Class II board members for a three-year term and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. Additionally, the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis, reflecting continued shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
Opendoor Faces Nasdaq Delisting Risk Due to Low Stock
Negative
May 30, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Opendoor Technologies Inc. received a notice from Nasdaq indicating that its stock price had fallen below the minimum bid price requirement of $1.00 for 30 consecutive business days, risking delisting from the Nasdaq Global Select Market. The company has until November 24, 2025, to regain compliance by maintaining a closing bid price of at least $1.00 for 10 consecutive business days. If compliance is not achieved, Opendoor may transfer its listing to the Nasdaq Capital Market and potentially implement a reverse stock split to meet requirements. The company is exploring all options to address the issue, but there is no guarantee of success.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025