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Offerpad Solutions Inc. (OPAD)
:OPAD
US Market
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Offerpad Solutions (OPAD) AI Stock Analysis

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OPAD

Offerpad Solutions

(NYSE:OPAD)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-33.99% Downside)
Offerpad Solutions' overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and leverage. Technical indicators are bearish, and the valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings. While the earnings call provided some optimism regarding strategic growth and efficiency, the company's conservative revenue forecast and market challenges weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
The use of AI and smart technology improves operational efficiency, reducing costs and enhancing scalability, which can drive long-term profitability.
Leadership Strengthening
The addition of an experienced COO can enhance strategic execution and operational efficiency, supporting long-term growth and stability.
Asset-Light Services Growth
Growth in asset-light services diversifies revenue streams and can improve margins, providing a more sustainable business model.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A forecasted revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact long-term financial health.
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially affecting long-term stability and growth opportunities.
Market Challenges
Ongoing market challenges, such as affordability issues, can hinder growth and profitability in the real estate sector over time.

Offerpad Solutions (OPAD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Offerpad Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOfferpad Solutions (OPAD) is a technology-driven real estate company that provides a streamlined platform for buying and selling homes. Operating primarily in the residential real estate sector, Offerpad enables homeowners to sell their properties quickly and efficiently through its online platform, which offers instant cash offers and flexible closing options. The company focuses on enhancing the home selling experience by minimizing the hassles typically associated with traditional real estate transactions.
How the Company Makes MoneyOfferpad generates revenue primarily through its home buying and selling operations. The company purchases homes directly from sellers, often at a discounted price, and then resells these properties after making necessary renovations or improvements, capturing the value added through these enhancements. Additionally, Offerpad earns revenue through transaction fees associated with the buying and selling process. The company may also engage in partnerships with real estate agents and service providers, which can provide further revenue opportunities through referral fees and service commissions. The overall model is designed to leverage technology to reduce transaction costs and increase efficiency, ultimately driving profitability.

Offerpad Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Offerpad is showing signs of improvement and strategic growth, particularly in operational efficiency and asset-light services. However, the company is still facing challenges in achieving profitability and dealing with a transitioning housing market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Margin Improvement
Offerpad reported third-quarter revenue of $133 million, with a gross margin of 7%, resulting in a $9.3 million gross profit. Operating expenses, excluding property costs, were reduced by 37% year-over-year.
Efficiency and Scalability Enhancements
The company has improved its adjusted EBITDA sequentially by 4% to a loss of $4.6 million, indicating progress in operational improvements. Offerpad is leveraging AI for picture recognition and smart scoping technology to enhance efficiency and scalability.
Leadership Strengthening
Chris Carpenter joined Offerpad as Chief Operating Officer. With over 20 years of experience, he is expected to help drive efficiency and execution at scale.
Asset-Light Services Growth
Offerpad is expanding its asset-light services like HomePro, Renovate, and Direct+, which are expected to represent a larger share of revenue and margin in the future.
Negative Updates
Operating Loss
Despite improvements, the adjusted EBITDA remains at a loss of $4.6 million.
Conservative Revenue Forecast
For the fourth quarter, Offerpad expects revenue to decrease, guiding between $100 million and $125 million, with homes sold ranging from 300 to 350.
Market Challenges
The housing market remains in transition, with affordability challenges and limited mobility affecting performance.
Company Guidance
During Offerpad's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the guidance provided emphasized a strategic focus on growth and efficiency amid evolving market conditions. Offerpad highlighted its intention to ramp up towards 1,000 transactions per quarter as a near-term profitability goal, with a current mix of about 1/3 asset-light services like HomePro and Direct+ and 2/3 Cash Offers, expecting this to shift towards a 50-50 balance. The company reported Q3 revenue of $133 million with 367 homes sold, a gross margin of 7%, and operating expenses reduced by 37% year-over-year. Offerpad anticipates Q4 revenue between $100 million and $125 million, with homes sold ranging from 300 to 350. The company is focusing on leveraging technology and AI to improve operational efficiency, such as AI-driven picture recognition to enhance the home inspection process. The guidance also included an optimistic outlook for market stabilization, with easing mortgage rates and increased sales activity, positioning Offerpad to capitalize on these trends with disciplined acquisition and inventory management strategies.

Offerpad Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Offerpad Solutions is facing significant financial challenges, particularly in terms of profitability and leverage. While cash flow has shown improvement, the company needs to address its revenue decline and high debt levels to enhance financial stability and shareholder value.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Offerpad Solutions has experienced declining revenue over recent periods, with a negative revenue growth rate of -11.43% in the TTM. The company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. However, the gross profit margin has shown slight improvement in the TTM compared to previous periods.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's balance sheet reveals high leverage, with a significant debt-to-equity ratio in recent periods, although it has improved slightly in the TTM. The return on equity is negative, indicating challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Offerpad Solutions has shown a remarkable improvement in free cash flow growth in the TTM, with a significant increase of 1837.94%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some ability to generate cash from operations despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue627.97M918.82M1.31B3.95B2.07B1.06B
Gross Profit44.62M72.19M70.18M182.42M207.81M87.78M
EBITDA-38.97M-42.83M-97.47M-101.24M23.00M-12.49M
Net Income-54.89M-62.16M-117.22M-148.61M6.46M-23.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets223.46M313.05M379.69M825.07M1.35B235.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.96M43.02M75.97M97.24M169.82M43.94M
Total Debt0.00252.41M259.50M668.33M1.03B181.68M
Total Liabilities183.61M265.40M277.92M703.19M1.10B379.13M
Stockholders Equity39.85M47.65M101.78M121.88M257.57M-143.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow44.30M15.42M261.50M304.33M-935.61M152.01M
Operating Cash Flow49.54M20.83M261.63M305.40M-921.92M154.86M
Investing Cash Flow-5.19M-5.33M1.99M-1.07M-11.65M-2.86M
Financing Cash Flow-69.14M-21.82M-323.98M-358.47M1.08B-131.15M

Offerpad Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.03
Price Trends
50DMA
2.89
Negative
100DMA
2.74
Negative
200DMA
2.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Negative
RSI
41.64
Neutral
STOCH
59.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OPAD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.95, above the 50-day MA of 2.89, and above the 200-day MA of 2.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OPAD.

Offerpad Solutions Risk Analysis

Offerpad Solutions disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Offerpad Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Offerpad Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$273.00M13.632.87%-6.06%
54
Neutral
$7.42B-39.33%-4.45%18.95%
52
Neutral
$235.37M-41.11%6.62%30.94%
45
Neutral
$41.78M-43.75%32.78%36.50%
45
Neutral
$19.64M
44
Neutral
$70.77M-104.99%-36.25%11.92%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OPAD
Offerpad Solutions
1.93
-2.75
-58.76%
RMAX
Re/Max Holdings
8.22
-5.08
-38.20%
FTHM
Fathom Holdings
1.29
-0.74
-36.45%
OPEN
Opendoor Technologies
7.70
5.57
261.50%
DOUG
Douglas Elliman Inc.
2.65
0.25
10.42%
OMH
Ohmyhome Limited
0.85
-2.95
-77.63%

Offerpad Solutions Corporate Events

Offerpad Solutions Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 5, 2025

Offerpad Solutions Inc. Shows Strategic Growth Amid Market Challenges

Offerpad Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 4, 2025

Offerpad Solutions Inc., a prominent real estate technology company, focuses on simplifying the home buying and selling process through its advanced platform and asset-light services. In its latest earnings report for the third quarter of 2025, Offerpad announced a revenue of $132.7 million, with 367 homes sold during the period. The company emphasized its operational discipline and expansion in asset-light services, which are expected to drive long-term growth and platform scalability.

Financial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Offerpad Solutions Secures $15 Million Loan Agreement
Neutral
Oct 20, 2025

In October 2025, Offerpad Solutions Inc. secured an 18-month loan agreement worth $15 million, enhancing its financial flexibility with a mix of committed and uncommitted borrowing capacity. The company announced preliminary financial results for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, reporting $132.7 million in revenue, a net loss of $11.6 million, and an Adjusted EBITDA of $4.6 million, highlighting ongoing financial challenges and operational metrics such as the sale of 367 homes.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPAD) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Offerpad Solutions stock, see the OPAD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Offerpad Solutions Enters $100M Stock Sale Agreement
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Offerpad Solutions Inc. entered into an Open Market Sale Agreement with Jefferies LLC to offer and sell up to $100 million of its Class A common stock. This agreement allows for the sale of shares through various methods, including block transactions and market offerings, with Jefferies LLC acting as the sales agent. The proceeds from these sales are intended for general corporate purposes, including working capital and capital expenditures, potentially impacting the company’s operational flexibility and financial strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPAD) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Offerpad Solutions stock, see the OPAD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025