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Oceanfirst Financial (OCFC)
NASDAQ:OCFC
US Market

Oceanfirst Financial (OCFC) AI Stock Analysis

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OCFC

Oceanfirst Financial

(NASDAQ:OCFC)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(2.74% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/08/26
Overall score reflects moderate financial performance with deteriorating revenue/margins and higher leverage as the main constraint, partly offset by constructive earnings-call guidance (expected NII/NIM improvement and strong asset quality) and supportive valuation via a solid dividend yield and reasonable P/E. Technical signals are mixed and do not materially strengthen the outlook.
Positive Factors
Loan Growth & Originations
Sustained high origination volumes (~$1bn quarterly) and a $474M quarter loan increase provide a durable base for net interest income growth. Persistent loan pipeline and capacity to originate at scale support long-term NII expansion and balance-sheet-driven earnings power across rate cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue & Margin Compression
Multi-year revenue cooling and a sharp net margin decline indicate structural pressure on earnings power and operating leverage. Persistently lower margins reduce ROE and limit reinvestment capacity, making profitability more vulnerable absent sustained NII growth or expense reductions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Loan Growth & Originations
Sustained high origination volumes (~$1bn quarterly) and a $474M quarter loan increase provide a durable base for net interest income growth. Persistent loan pipeline and capacity to originate at scale support long-term NII expansion and balance-sheet-driven earnings power across rate cycles.
Read all positive factors

Oceanfirst Financial (OCFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oceanfirst Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
OceanFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for OceanFirst Bank N.A. that provides community banking services. It accepts money market accounts, savings accounts, interest-bearing checking accounts, non-interest-bearing demand ...
How the Company Makes Money
OceanFirst Financial primarily makes money through traditional banking activities. The largest driver is typically net interest income: the bank earns interest and fees on loans and other interest-earning assets and pays interest on deposits and o...

Oceanfirst Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong organic loan growth, consecutive quarters of net interest income expansion, robust asset quality, improved tangible book value and a strategic merger to expand market scale. Offsetting these positives were modest margin compression, a decline in noninterest income tied to the residential/title outsourcing, transaction-related and restructuring costs, and some isolated deposit repricing events. Management maintained positive forward guidance (mid- to high-single-digit loan and deposit growth and NIM expected to move past 3% during the year) and highlighted capital strength and dividend continuity.
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Reported EPS of $0.23 on a fully diluted GAAP basis and $0.41 on a core basis for Q4 2025.
Negative Updates
Net Interest Margin Compression
Net interest margin declined modestly to 2.87% (a small sequential contraction, noted as roughly 3 basis points), pressured by mix shifts, loan yield moderation and certain deposit repricing.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Reported EPS of $0.23 on a fully diluted GAAP basis and $0.41 on a core basis for Q4 2025.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated its prior full‑year guidance: mid‑ to high‑single‑digit loan and deposit growth with net interest income expected to grow at a high‑single‑digit rate for the year and NIM to expand past 3% (NII to ramp in H2 and margins to improve a few basis points each quarter), other income of $7–9 million per quarter, and core noninterest expenses roughly flat to current run rates (Q1 core operating expense run‑rate $70–71 million); they also noted Q1 has ~2% fewer days (a seasonal NII headwind), an expected effective tax rate of ~23–25% (Q4 was 22%), and that the executed credit risk transfer provided roughly a 50‑basis‑point CET1 benefit at an annual pretax cost of < $4 million (CET1 ~10.7% today).

Oceanfirst Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Moderate fundamentals: consistent profitability and positive free cash flow, but weakening momentum with revenue contracting in 2025, margin/ROE compression, and higher leverage versus 2024.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue655.60M687.95M636.96M485.30M388.84M
Gross Profit357.19M372.12M381.04M423.83M363.92M
EBITDA93.27M145.20M153.17M210.40M157.12M
Net Income70.98M100.06M104.03M146.60M110.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.56B13.42B13.54B13.10B11.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.37B951.12M907.61M625.59M773.20M
Total Debt1.63B1.26B1.05B1.48B349.81M
Total Liabilities12.90B11.72B11.88B11.52B10.22B
Stockholders Equity1.66B1.70B1.66B1.58B1.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow79.51M84.68M116.55M229.55M117.93M
Operating Cash Flow87.21M92.24M124.26M250.45M159.97M
Investing Cash Flow-1.18B106.40M-488.00M-1.32B-1.48B
Financing Cash Flow1.10B-228.75M349.47M1.01B223.99M

Oceanfirst Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.98
Price Trends
50DMA
18.51
Positive
100DMA
18.54
Positive
200DMA
18.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
64.98
Neutral
STOCH
92.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OCFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.91, above the 50-day MA of 18.51, and above the 200-day MA of 18.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OCFC.

Oceanfirst Financial Risk Analysis

Oceanfirst Financial disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oceanfirst Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oceanfirst Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.23B8.289.13%5.30%0.11%-18.63%
72
Outperform
$1.17B9.3311.96%3.44%9.93%17.67%
72
Outperform
$1.71B10.568.28%4.44%3.19%
68
Neutral
$1.12B8.9210.11%1.24%10.42%-18.32%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$1.21B6.4211.20%3.39%9.55%27.32%
60
Neutral
$1.09B14.524.77%4.05%-2.15%-25.32%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OCFC
Oceanfirst Financial
18.98
3.96
26.40%
OSBC
Old Second Bancorp
21.19
5.99
39.44%
PEBO
Peoples Bancorp
34.14
7.51
28.20%
TMP
Tompkins Financial Corporation
84.20
25.94
44.53%
CTBI
Community Bancorp
64.20
17.80
38.37%
FSUN
FirstSun Capital Bancorp
36.65
2.15
6.23%

Oceanfirst Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
OceanFirst Shareholders Advance Flushing Merger, Reject Warburg Exemption
Positive
Apr 7, 2026
At a special meeting held on April 6, 2026, OceanFirst stockholders approved the issuance of OceanFirst common stock and related securities to Flushing shareholders and Warburg Pincus affiliates as required for the pending merger, with 42,020,260 ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
OceanFirst updates investors amid proposed Flushing merger risks
Neutral
Jan 29, 2026
In January 2026, OceanFirst Financial Corp. prepared an investor presentation, tied to its fourth-quarter 2025 results, to be used in meetings with current and prospective investors after January 29, 2026 and to be posted on its website, offering ...
DividendsFinancial Disclosures
OceanFirst Financial Reports Mixed Earnings, Declares Quarterly Dividend
Negative
Jan 22, 2026
On January 22, 2026, OceanFirst Financial Corp. reported that net income available to common stockholders fell to $13.1 million, or $0.23 per diluted share, for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, down from $20.9 million a year earlier and $17.3 ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 08, 2026