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Brookline Bancorp (BRKL)
NASDAQ:BRKL

Brookline Bancorp (BRKL) AI Stock Analysis

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Brookline Bancorp

(NASDAQ:BRKL)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(3.14%Upside)
Brookline Bancorp's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, supported by stable profitability and a high dividend yield. The company's technical analysis and earnings call reveal mixed signals, with moderate market momentum and some operational challenges. Legal issues related to the merger present potential risks that could impact future growth and stability.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The merger of BHLB and BRKL is expected to positively impact long-term earnings.
Market Presence
The merger will create a strong regional bank presence in New England/NY markets with $24B in assets.
Profitability
The BRKL-BHLB combination significantly enhances profitability and makes for a more attractive combined franchise.
Negative Factors
Execution Risks
The rating for BRKL is lowered to Market Perform due to anticipated execution risks similar to other recent mergers.
Stock Performance
The shares are likely to remain range-bound for the next few quarters due to the merger announcement.

Brookline Bancorp (BRKL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brookline Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrookline Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for the Brookline Bank that provide commercial, business, and retail banking services to corporate, municipal, and retail customers in the United States. Its deposit products include demand checking, NOW, money market, and savings accounts. The company's loan portfolio primarily comprises first mortgage loans secured by commercial, multi-family, and residential real estate properties; loans to business entities comprising commercial lines of credit; loans to condominium associations; loans and leases used to finance equipment for small businesses; financing for construction and development projects; and home equity and other consumer loans. It also provides term loans, letters of credit, foreign exchange, cash management, investment advisory, and online and mobile banking services, as well as invests in debt and equity securities. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 50 full-service banking offices in greater Boston, Massachusetts, and greater Providence, Rhode Island. Brookline Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrookline Bancorp generates revenue primarily through the interest income earned on loans and investment securities. The company offers a variety of loan products, including commercial real estate loans, residential mortgage loans, and commercial and industrial loans. Additionally, the bank earns non-interest income through service charges, fees for various banking services, and commissions from investment advisory and wealth management services. By maintaining a diversified portfolio of loans and securities, and leveraging its localized banking services, Brookline Bancorp effectively manages its revenue streams. The company's financial performance is also supported by its strategic partnerships and community banking model, which enhance its customer base and market presence.

Brookline Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call demonstrated solid operating results with improvements in customer deposits, net interest margin, and progress on the merger with Berkshire Hills Bancorp. However, there were notable challenges, including a contraction in the loan portfolio, a decrease in total assets, and increased provisions for credit losses amid economic uncertainty.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Customer Deposits
Customer deposits increased by $113.8 million, reflecting a positive trend in customer retention and growth.
Net Interest Margin Improvement
The net interest margin improved by 10 basis points to 3.22%, driven by lower funding costs.
Merger Progress with Berkshire Hills Bancorp
The planned merger with Berkshire Hills Bancorp is moving along nicely with regulatory applications filed and stockholder meetings scheduled.
Operating Earnings
Solid core operating earnings for the first quarter were reported at $20 million or $0.22 per share.
Stockholders' Equity Increase
Stockholders' equity rose by $18 million due to retained earnings and lower mark-to-market on the available-for-sale portfolio.
Negative Updates
Loan Portfolio Contraction
The loan portfolio contracted by $130.6 million due to intentional reductions in commercial real estate exposures.
Decrease in Total Assets
Total assets decreased by $385.5 million from the end of the year due to a deliberate decrease in cash equivalents and loan portfolio components.
Increase in Provision for Credit Losses
Provision for credit losses was $6 million, an increase of $2 million from Q4, with $7.6 million in net charge-offs.
Economic Uncertainty
Increased economic uncertainty is affecting market rates and financial planning, impacting net interest margin projections.
Company Guidance
During the Brookline Bancorp Inc. First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on its financial performance and strategic priorities. Operating earnings for the first quarter were reported at $20 million, translating to $0.22 per share, while net income, including merger charges of $971,000, was $19.1 million, or $0.21 per share. The company experienced a planned contraction in its loan portfolio by $130.6 million, primarily in commercial real estate, and an increase in customer deposits by $113.8 million. The net interest margin improved by 10 basis points to 3.22%, with net interest income reaching $85.8 million, an increase of $800,000 from the previous quarter. Noninterest expenses, excluding merger charges, were $59 million, a decrease from the previous quarter due to lower compensation and marketing costs. The company anticipates a modest growth in its loan portfolio for the remainder of 2025, with deposit growth expected at 4% to 5%. Additionally, Brookline Bancorp is progressing with its merger with Berkshire Hills Bancorp, aiming for completion in February, with regulatory applications already filed and stockholder meetings scheduled. The effective tax rate excluding merger costs is expected to be around 24.25%.

Brookline Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brookline Bancorp exhibits strong profitability and cash flow generation, with stable margins and efficient cash conversion. However, slowing revenue growth and potential liquidity constraints pose challenges. The balance sheet is sound with manageable leverage, despite a slight contraction in assets.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Brookline Bancorp exhibits moderate profitability with a stable gross profit margin of around 52% and a consistent net profit margin near 11%. The revenue growth rate is slowing, with a slight decline from 2024 to TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting efficient operations. However, the declining revenue and mixed profit trends indicate potential challenges in sustaining growth.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet is relatively strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of around 0.97 in TTM, indicating manageable leverage. The equity ratio is approximately 10.8%, showing a stable capital structure. Return on equity is healthy, reflecting effective use of equity. However, total assets have decreased slightly, suggesting potential constraints on growth.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust free cash flow growth rate of 1.1% from 2024 to TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income also demonstrates solid cash generation capabilities. While investing cash flow has improved, financing activities have seen significant fluctuations, suggesting variable external financing needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue652.08M654.50M608.88M373.43M338.52M351.46M
Gross Profit338.57M333.56M333.44M319.49M317.20M222.92M
EBITDA111.76M106.33M109.91M146.47M161.26M68.83M
Net Income73.15M68.72M75.00M109.74M115.44M47.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.52B11.91B11.38B9.19B8.60B8.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.24B1.44B1.05B1.04B1.05B1.18B
Total Debt1.20B1.56B1.41B1.45B377.83M844.39M
Total Liabilities10.28B10.68B10.18B8.19B7.61B8.00B
Stockholders Equity1.24B1.22B1.20B992.13M995.34M941.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow101.14M99.97M104.24M113.37M128.42M109.58M
Operating Cash Flow104.13M104.95M116.60M120.76M133.21M112.49M
Investing Cash Flow15.50M-139.60M-665.26M-557.69M131.11M-695.53M
Financing Cash Flow-63.97M445.29M298.74M492.15M-371.51M940.17M

Brookline Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.15
Price Trends
50DMA
10.44
Positive
100DMA
10.71
Negative
200DMA
10.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
53.81
Neutral
STOCH
89.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRKL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.37, above the 50-day MA of 10.44, and above the 200-day MA of 10.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BRKL.

Brookline Bancorp Risk Analysis

Brookline Bancorp disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brookline Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brookline Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BFBFC
76
Outperform
$1.22B18.0710.82%1.46%18.79%-11.25%
73
Outperform
$1.24B13.476.21%2.91%2.27%-2.50%
71
Outperform
$1.06B11.925.51%4.39%1.38%-10.46%
71
Outperform
$973.91M13.366.01%4.94%4.33%-11.14%
70
Outperform
$1.37B12.229.38%3.11%3.01%4.55%
69
Neutral
$919.44M10.5920.78%-1.46%25.24%
58
Neutral
$12.53B5.19-2.71%5.24%5.88%-56.03%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRKL
Brookline Bancorp
11.15
3.12
38.85%
OCFC
Oceanfirst Financial
18.58
3.92
26.74%
TCBK
Trico Bancshares
42.42
5.81
15.87%
WRLD
World Acceptance
173.24
49.48
39.98%
CNOB
ConnectOne Bancorp
24.70
7.02
39.71%
BFC
Bank First National
123.00
46.58
60.95%

Brookline Bancorp Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Brookline Bancorp Approves Merger with Berkshire Hills
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Brookline Bancorp, Inc. held a virtual special meeting of its stockholders to vote on several proposals related to a merger agreement with Berkshire Hills Bancorp, Inc. The proposal to adopt the merger agreement, which involves Brookline merging with Commerce Acquisition Sub, Inc. and subsequently with Berkshire, was approved. However, a non-binding advisory proposal regarding executive compensation in connection with the mergers was not approved. The approval of this compensation proposal was not necessary for the completion of the mergers.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRKL) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brookline Bancorp stock, see the BRKL Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsLegal Proceedings
Brookline Bancorp Faces Legal Challenges in Merger
Negative
May 9, 2025

On December 16, 2024, Brookline Bancorp, Inc. and Berkshire Hills Bancorp, Inc. entered into a merger agreement, with Brookline merging into Berkshire. The merger, which aims to create a strong entity in the northeast markets, has faced legal challenges. Shareholders have filed demand letters and lawsuits alleging omissions in the joint proxy statement/prospectus, seeking to block the merger. Despite these challenges, both companies have issued supplemental disclosures to address the claims and continue to deny any wrongdoing.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Brookline Bancorp Reports Increased Q1 2025 Net Income
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

Brookline Bancorp, Inc. reported a net income of $19.1 million for the first quarter of 2025, showing an increase from the previous quarter and the same quarter in 2024. Despite economic challenges, the company intentionally reduced its commercial real estate exposure while growing deposits and focusing on commercial and industrial markets. Total assets decreased, primarily due to reductions in cash, cash equivalents, and loans, while deposits saw an increase driven by customer deposits. The company also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.135 per share.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025