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First Mid-Illinois Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH)
NASDAQ:FMBH
US Market

First Mid-Illinois Bancshares (FMBH) AI Stock Analysis

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FMBH

First Mid-Illinois Bancshares

(NASDAQ:FMBH)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$44.00
â–²(8.80% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (growth, healthy profitability, and strong cash generation) and an attractive valuation (low P/E plus a dividend). Technical signals are weaker near-term (below the 20-day average with low RSI/stochastic), while recent merger approvals provide an incremental positive catalyst.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Two Rivers Financial Group will expand First Mid's regional presence and customer base, enhancing its competitive position in the Midwest.
Profitability
High margins indicate efficient operations and a strong ability to generate profits, supporting long-term financial health and shareholder returns.
Board Expansion
Adding experienced leadership can enhance governance and strategic decision-making, supporting sustainable growth and risk management.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Decline
Declining free cash flow growth may impact the company's ability to reinvest in the business and meet financial obligations, posing long-term risks.
Debt Levels
Rising debt levels could strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially affecting future growth and stability.
Cash Conversion Challenges
Challenges in converting income into cash may limit operational flexibility and ability to fund growth initiatives, impacting long-term performance.

First Mid-Illinois Bancshares (FMBH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Mid-Illinois Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Mid Bancshares, Inc., a financial holding company, provides community banking products and services to commercial, retail, and agricultural customers in the United States. It accepts various deposit products, such as demand deposits, savings accounts, money market deposits, and time deposits. The company's loan products include commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, agricultural and agricultural real estate, residential real estate, and consumer loans; and other loans comprising loans to municipalities to support community projects, such as infrastructure improvements or equipment purchases. It also offers wealth management services, which include estate planning, investment, and farm management and brokerage services for individuals; and employee benefit services for business enterprises. In addition, the company provides property and casualty, senior insurance products, and group medical insurance for businesses; and personal lines insurance to individuals. It operates through a network of 52 banking centers in Illinois and 14 offices in Missouri, as well as a loan production office in Indiana. The company was formerly known as First Mid-Illinois Bancshares, Inc. and changed its name to First Mid Bancshares, Inc. in April 2019. First Mid Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Mattoon, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Mid-Illinois Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments, as well as non-interest income from fees associated with various banking services. Key revenue streams include interest earned on commercial and consumer loans, mortgage loans, and investment securities. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income from service fees, transaction fees, and wealth management services. Significant partnerships with local businesses and community organizations also enhance its ability to attract customers and increase its market share, contributing to overall earnings.

First Mid-Illinois Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with moderate leverage. While cash flow management is generally effective, recent declines in free cash flow growth highlight areas for improvement.
Income Statement
78
Positive
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.35%. The gross profit margin is healthy at 71%, and the net profit margin is robust at 18.6%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, indicating efficient operations. Overall, the company demonstrates strong profitability and growth in the regional banking sector.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is reasonable at 9.71%, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid financial structure. However, the slight increase in debt levels over time warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, but free cash flow has seen a decline of 12.25% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains high at 95.2%, suggesting efficient cash management despite recent declines.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue462.92M447.28M381.63M286.27M249.66M201.37M
Gross Profit304.57M313.00M268.82M249.85M219.25M168.54M
EBITDA132.43M125.17M103.31M106.35M81.24M71.46M
Net Income87.24M78.90M68.94M72.95M51.49M45.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.83B7.52B7.59B6.74B5.99B4.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.38B1.19B1.31B1.37B1.59B1.30B
Total Debt0.00572.58M622.94M816.44M361.63M431.54M
Total Liabilities6.90B6.67B6.79B6.11B5.35B4.16B
Stockholders Equity932.18M846.39M793.20M633.15M633.89M568.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow120.89M119.48M68.78M60.80M65.89M61.08M
Operating Cash Flow126.94M124.42M72.42M65.82M69.60M63.54M
Investing Cash Flow-186.25M-7.51M474.38M-178.69M-482.50M-562.42M
Financing Cash Flow172.20M-138.76M-556.17M96.69M164.22M831.08M

First Mid-Illinois Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.44
Price Trends
50DMA
38.98
Positive
100DMA
38.46
Positive
200DMA
37.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
56.49
Neutral
STOCH
74.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FMBH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.14, above the 50-day MA of 38.98, and above the 200-day MA of 37.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FMBH.

First Mid-Illinois Bancshares Risk Analysis

First Mid-Illinois Bancshares disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Mid-Illinois Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Mid-Illinois Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$900.15M18.4719.19%0.66%17.98%14.35%
77
Outperform
$1.08B13.539.24%1.24%10.42%-18.32%
76
Outperform
$933.15M10.979.61%2.59%4.49%20.44%
75
Outperform
$970.71M11.119.74%2.43%3.54%12.23%
74
Outperform
$957.00M13.828.53%4.59%-4.08%-16.80%
70
Outperform
$1.08B12.6711.20%3.39%9.55%27.32%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FMBH
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares
41.50
5.74
16.05%
OSBC
Old Second Bancorp
20.99
3.05
17.00%
SBSI
Southside Bancshares
32.37
1.82
5.96%
TMP
Tompkins Financial Corporation
76.79
12.37
19.20%
UVSP
Univest Of Pennsylvania
33.53
4.70
16.30%
ESQ
Esquire Financial Holdings
107.85
21.67
25.15%

First Mid-Illinois Bancshares Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares secures approvals for Two Rivers merger
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On October 29, 2025, First Mid Bancshares, Inc. entered into a merger agreement to acquire 100% of the shares of Two Rivers Financial Group, Inc. via a business combination in which Two Rivers will merge into a newly formed, wholly owned Iowa subsidiary of First Mid, with that subsidiary continuing as the surviving company. The company received regulatory approvals for the merger from the Iowa Division of Banking on December 23, 2025, and from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago on December 30, 2025, clearing key hurdles for the transaction and positioning First Mid to expand its regional banking footprint, with closing expected in the first quarter of 2026 subject to customary conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMBH) stock is a Buy with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Mid-Illinois Bancshares stock, see the FMBH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares gains key approval for Iowa acquisition
Positive
Dec 30, 2025

On October 29, 2025, First Mid Bancshares, Inc. entered into a merger agreement to acquire 100% of the shares of Iowa-based Two Rivers Financial Group, Inc. via a business combination in which Two Rivers will merge into a newly formed, wholly owned Iowa subsidiary of First Mid, with that subsidiary remaining as the surviving company. On December 23, 2025, First Mid secured approval for the transaction from the Iowa Division of Banking and is now awaiting approval from the Federal Reserve, with the company expecting, subject to remaining regulatory clearances and customary closing conditions, to complete the deal in the first quarter of 2026, a move that would expand its regional presence and customer base in Iowa and enhance its competitive position among Midwestern community and regional banks.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMBH) stock is a Buy with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Mid-Illinois Bancshares stock, see the FMBH Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares Expands Board with New Director
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On October 28, 2025, First Mid Bancshares, Inc. expanded its board of directors from nine to ten members, appointing Mr. Alex Melvin as a Class I director. Mr. Melvin, who will also serve on the Risk Committee, will officially join the board on November 18, 2025, and will serve until the Class I term expires in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMBH) stock is a Buy with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Mid-Illinois Bancshares stock, see the FMBH Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares Announces Acquisition of Two Rivers
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 29, 2025, First Mid Bancshares, Inc. announced its agreement to acquire Two Rivers Financial Group, Inc. in a 100% stock transaction, expanding its market presence into Iowa. The merger, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, is anticipated to be accretive to First Mid’s earnings per share by 12.3% in 2027 and aims to achieve cost savings of approximately 27% of Two Rivers’ noninterest expense. The merger will result in Two Rivers Bank & Trust becoming part of First Mid Bank & Trust, enhancing First Mid’s geographic diversification and commitment to community banking.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMBH) stock is a Hold with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Mid-Illinois Bancshares stock, see the FMBH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026