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Burke & Herbert Bank & Trust Company (BHRB)
NASDAQ:BHRB
US Market

Burke & Herbert Bank & Company (BHRB) AI Stock Analysis

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BHRB

Burke & Herbert Bank & Company

(NASDAQ:BHRB)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$71.00
â–²(6.18% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by improved 2025 financial performance and an attractive valuation (low P/E with a meaningful dividend). These strengths are moderated by mixed technical signals and cash-flow inconsistency, while corporate events add upside potential but carry execution and approval risk.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability and margins
Sustained high gross and net margins with a mid-teens ROE indicate the bank converts core banking activities into durable profits. This margin profile supports internal capital generation, dividend capacity and reinvestment into relationship lending over the medium term.
Ample capital and liquidity buffers
Capital and large liquidity holdings provide a regulatory cushion and funding flexibility, enabling the bank to support loan growth, absorb credit shocks, and pursue strategic moves without immediate financing stress, which strengthens long-term stability and risk-bearing capacity.
Strategic scale expansion via merger
The announced combination materially increases scale, geographic diversification and branch footprint, improving deposit diversification and lending capacity. If completed, this structural expansion can lower per-unit costs and enhance competitive position in the regional banking market.
Negative Factors
TTM revenue decline
A trailing twelve-month revenue decline signals underlying pressure on top-line growth that could persist absent new drivers. Over a multi-month horizon this may force heavier reliance on margin management, limit reinvestment, and constrain sustainable earnings growth.
Weak operating cash flow conversion
Very low conversion of reported earnings into operating cash suggests earnings include significant non-cash or timing items, reducing cash available for lending, dividends, or acquisitions. This weak cash quality is a structural constraint on financial flexibility over the medium term.
Merger execution and approval risk
The strategic benefits from the LINKBANCORP deal are contingent on regulatory clearances, shareholder votes and smooth integration. Failure or delay could disrupt strategy, impose costs, and create uncertainty around projected scale and diversification benefits over the coming months.

Burke & Herbert Bank & Company (BHRB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Burke & Herbert Bank & Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBurke Herbert Financial Services Corp. is a bank holding company, which engages in the provision of banking products and financial services to small to medium-sized businesses, their owners and employees, professional corporations, non-profits, and individuals. It operates through the following loan portfolio segments: Commercial Real Estate, Owner-Occupied Commercial Real Estate, Acquisition, Construction, and Development, Commercial and Industrial, Single Family Residential (1-4 Units), and Consumer Non-Real Estate and Other. The Commercial Real Estate segment includes leasing of the real estate collateral or income generated from the sale of the collateral. The Owner-Occupied Commercial Real Estate segment focuses on the operations of the business that occupies the property and the value of the collateral. The Acquisition, Construction, and Development segment offers creditworthiness of the borrower, project completion within budget, sale after completion, and the value of the collateral. The Commercial and Industrial segment is involved in the operations of the business and the value of the collateral. The Single Family Residential (1-4 Units) segment provides loans for investment purpose carry risk associated with the continued creditworthiness of the borrower, the value of the collateral, and either the net operating income generated from the lease of the real estate collateral or income generated from the sale of the collateral. The Consumer Non-Real Estate and Other segment covers loans carry risk associated with the creditworthiness of the borrower and the value of the collateral. The company was founded on September 14, 2022 and is headquartered in Alexandria, VA.
How the Company Makes MoneyBurke & Herbert Bank & Company generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income comes from net interest income, which is the difference between the interest earned on loans and investments and the interest paid on deposits and borrowings. The bank offers various loan products, including personal loans, commercial loans, and mortgages, which contribute significantly to this income. Additionally, BHRB earns non-interest income through fees associated with account maintenance, ATM usage, and transaction services. The bank may also engage in wealth management and investment advisory services, adding to its revenue. Partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance its visibility and client base, further supporting its earnings.

Burke & Herbert Bank & Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2025 rebound in revenue and profitability (higher net and EBIT margins) and improved ROE alongside a less levered balance sheet. Offsetting factors are multi-year earnings volatility and uneven cash-flow performance, including a notable free-cash-flow decline in 2025 versus 2024.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability has strengthened meaningfully: 2025 revenue rose to ~$491M (up ~81% vs. 2024) and net income increased to ~$117M with a much higher net margin (~24% vs. ~9% in 2024). Operating profitability also rebounded sharply (EBIT margin ~30% in 2025 vs. ~10% in 2024). Offsetting this, results have been volatile over the period—margins peaked in 2022 and then dropped in 2023–2024 before recovering—suggesting earnings power is not yet consistently stable.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage appears more conservative in the last two years, with debt-to-equity improving to ~0.63 in 2025 (from ~1.73 in 2023 and ~2.51 in 2022), alongside a larger equity base (~$855M in 2025 vs. ~$730M in 2024). Returns on equity improved to ~13.7% in 2025 from ~4.9% in 2024. The key weakness is the historical swing in leverage and equity levels across earlier years, which points to a balance sheet that has not been uniformly steady through the cycle.
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
Cash generation is positive but choppy. Operating cash flow was ~$62.6M in 2025 (down from ~$86.1M in 2024), and free cash flow growth in 2025 was sharply negative (-56.7%). While free cash flow in 2025 roughly matched net income (1.0x), the cash flow profile has not shown consistent momentum year to year, which tempers confidence in the durability of earnings conversion.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue491.11M396.93M162.28M127.48M119.13M
Gross Profit340.51M232.33M108.93M126.00M115.92M
EBITDA144.95M57.30M27.93M55.56M40.44M
Net Income117.32M35.71M22.69M44.01M36.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.92B7.81B3.62B3.56B3.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.67B467.69M550.44M1.42B1.68B
Total Debt537.49M476.88M544.00M686.20M550.00M
Total Liabilities7.07B7.08B3.30B3.29B3.23B
Stockholders Equity854.65M730.16M314.75M273.45M389.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow62.56M81.23M28.26M37.98M53.87M
Operating Cash Flow62.56M86.15M42.51M61.06M54.95M
Investing Cash Flow0.00123.56M-43.17M-127.41M-384.13M
Financing Cash Flow-63.21M-118.54M-5.14M39.29M177.83M

Burke & Herbert Bank & Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price66.87
Price Trends
50DMA
65.36
Positive
100DMA
63.34
Positive
200DMA
61.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Positive
RSI
51.67
Neutral
STOCH
23.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BHRB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 66.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.39, above the 50-day MA of 65.36, and above the 200-day MA of 61.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BHRB.

Burke & Herbert Bank & Company Risk Analysis

Burke & Herbert Bank & Company disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Burke & Herbert Bank & Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Burke & Herbert Bank & Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$892.01M17.7419.19%0.66%17.98%14.35%
74
Outperform
$1.01B10.959.74%2.43%3.54%12.23%
71
Outperform
$979.41M8.4113.70%3.49%53.68%290.47%
70
Outperform
$954.28M10.859.61%2.59%4.49%20.44%
68
Neutral
$1.04B12.229.24%1.24%10.42%-18.32%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
53
Neutral
$947.08M13.768.53%4.59%-4.08%-16.80%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BHRB
Burke & Herbert Bank & Company
64.44
4.27
7.10%
OSBC
Old Second Bancorp
19.63
1.56
8.61%
SBSI
Southside Bancshares
31.32
1.70
5.73%
UVSP
Univest Of Pennsylvania
33.55
3.86
13.00%
FMBH
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares
41.01
3.87
10.42%
ESQ
Esquire Financial Holdings
100.98
24.43
31.91%

Burke & Herbert Bank & Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Burke & Herbert Announces Leadership Transition and New Incentives
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 22, 2026, Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. announced that President and director H. Charles Maddy, III will retire as President and will not stand for re-election to the company’s board at the 2026 annual meeting, with his retirement effective June 30, 2026; the company emphasized that his departure is not due to any disagreements and highlighted his role in the 2024 Summit Financial Group merger and his continued service on the bank subsidiary’s board and as chair of the Burke & Herbert Bank Foundation, with succession plans anticipating that current Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Roy E. Halyama will be appointed President of both the holding company and the bank. Also on January 22, 2026, the board’s Compensation Committee approved a 2026 incentive plan for executive leadership that combines annual cash incentives tied to financial and strategic performance metrics with a redesigned long-term equity program based on time-vested and performance-vested restricted stock units, aligning top executives’ pay with metrics such as earnings per share, return on equity, credit quality and relative total shareholder return, and setting substantial target incentive opportunities for CEO David P. Boyle and anticipated successor president Roy Halyama while excluding Mr. Maddy from new long-term stock awards as he approaches retirement.

The most recent analyst rating on (BHRB) stock is a Buy with a $73.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burke & Herbert Bank & Company stock, see the BHRB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Burke & Herbert Bank Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

On January 22, 2026, Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. reported solid fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, with net income applicable to common shares of $30.0 million, or $1.98 per diluted share, for the quarter and $116.4 million, or $7.72 per diluted share, for the year, supported by a net interest margin above 4%, strong asset quality, and capital ratios well above regulatory “well-capitalized” thresholds. The board also declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.55 per common share, payable March 2, 2026, following a year in which the bank reshaped its loan book toward more relationship-based lending, grew core deposits while trimming higher-cost brokered balances, maintained ample liquidity of $4.8 billion, surpassed $1 million in community donations, and announced a December 18, 2025, all-stock merger agreement with LINKBANCORP that, if completed, would create an approximately $11 billion-asset financial holding company with more than 100 locations and over 1,000 employees across six states, potentially strengthening its competitive positioning and regional footprint.

The most recent analyst rating on (BHRB) stock is a Buy with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burke & Herbert Bank & Company stock, see the BHRB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Burke & Herbert Amends Executive Retirement Plan Trust Structure
Neutral
Dec 23, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Burke & Herbert Bank & Trust Company amended the Supplemental Executive Retirement Plan (SERP) originally established for key executives of Summit Community Bank, Inc., which had merged into Burke & Herbert Bank on May 3, 2024. Following the merger, the SERP benefits fully vested and a “rabbi trust” had been created and funded to pay those obligations; under the newly executed amendment, Burke & Herbert and the participating executives agreed to terminate that trust and waive the requirement that such a trust be maintained specifically in connection with the Summit merger, while leaving all other SERP provisions intact, including full vesting of normal retirement benefits from the merger and the obligation to establish a new “rabbi trust” if Burke & Herbert itself undergoes a future change in control.

The most recent analyst rating on (BHRB) stock is a Buy with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burke & Herbert Bank & Company stock, see the BHRB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Burke & Herbert Announces Merger With LINKBANCORP
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. and Pennsylvania-based LINKBANCORP, Inc. signed a definitive merger agreement under which LINKBANCORP will merge into Burke & Herbert in an all-stock transaction, followed immediately by the merger of LINKBANK into Burke & Herbert Bank & Trust Company, with Burke & Herbert and its bank remaining the surviving entities. Each share of LINKBANCORP common stock will be converted into 0.1350 shares of Burke & Herbert common stock in a transaction structured as a tax-free reorganization, with detailed treatment laid out for LNKB restricted stock, RSUs, options and warrants, including full vesting of most equity awards and the assumption of options and warrants by Burke & Herbert. Governance arrangements will expand Burke & Herbert’s boards to add directors from LINKBANCORP and bring senior LNKB and LINK executives into key roles at the surviving bank, reinforcing continuity and market expertise as Burke & Herbert deepens its footprint, particularly in Pennsylvania. The deal, unanimously approved by both boards, remains subject to shareholder approvals, multiple bank regulatory clearances, effectiveness of a registration statement and other customary closing conditions, and includes reciprocal support agreements from directors of both companies and a $14.2 million termination fee, signaling a strong commitment to completing a strategic combination that could enhance scale and competitive positioning in the regional banking sector. Separately, on December 18, 2025, Burke & Herbert amended and restated its bylaws to fix the board size between five and fifteen directors and to remove legacy provisions tied to its prior merger with Summit Financial Group, further aligning its governance structure with its current and prospective post-transaction profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (BHRB) stock is a Buy with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burke & Herbert Bank & Company stock, see the BHRB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026