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Univest Corporation Of Pennsylvania (UVSP)
NASDAQ:UVSP

Univest Of Pennsylvania (UVSP) AI Stock Analysis

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UVSP

Univest Of Pennsylvania

(NASDAQ:UVSP)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(5.53% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/24/26
The score is driven primarily by solid fundamentals (profitability and improving leverage) but held back by margin step-down versus prior peaks and cash flow volatility. Valuation is supportive with a modest P/E and dividend yield, while technicals are mixed with only modest near-term momentum. Earnings call guidance was constructive and buybacks are a positive, partially offset by deposit volatility, NIM pressure from excess liquidity, and higher provision outlook.
Positive Factors
Improving leverage and balance sheet resilience
Debt-to-equity falling to ~0.40 with rising equity and asset growth provides durable financial flexibility. Improved leverage supports lending, buybacks and capital buffers, reducing refinancing risk and strengthening the bank's ability to absorb credit or interest-rate shocks over the next several quarters.
Record profitability and earnings power
Record EPS reflects sustained profitability from diversified net interest and noninterest income streams. Strong earnings power supports reinvestment, dividends and buybacks, indicating the business model generates recurring profits that can persist through modest economic cycles.
Active capital return program
Material buybacks and an expanded authorization signal disciplined capital allocation and management confidence. With improving leverage and positive cash generation, returning capital via repurchases enhances EPS and ROE durability while demonstrating shareholder-aligned governance.
Negative Factors
NIM compression from excess liquidity
Excess liquidity-driven NIM compression is a structural headwind: prolonged elevated cash balances and public-fund swings dilute earning asset yields. Over months, this can press net interest margins, constrain net interest income growth and make returns more sensitive to deposit mix and ALM execution.
Deposit volatility and public funds outflows
Significant public-fund volatility forces frequent funding adjustments and creates persistent excess liquidity needing low-yield deployment or costly replacement. This raises funding-cost uncertainty, increases margin volatility and complicates stable loan growth over the coming quarters.
Higher provision and expense outlook
Elevated provision guidance signals a higher expected credit-cost baseline, which combined with rising noninterest expense, reduces net income durability. Higher provisions and expense growth can constrain capital allocation, limiting cushion for loans or buybacks during adverse cycles.

Univest Of Pennsylvania (UVSP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Univest Of Pennsylvania Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnivest Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Univest Bank and Trust Co. that provides banking products and services primarily in Pennsylvania. It operates through three segments: Banking, Wealth Management, and Insurance. The Banking segment provides a range of banking services, such as deposit taking, loan origination and servicing, mortgage banking, other general banking, and equipment lease financing services for individuals, businesses, municipalities, and nonprofit organizations. The Wealth Management segment offers investment advisory, financial planning, and trust and brokerage services for private families and individuals, municipal pension plans, retirement plans, and trusts and guardianships. The Insurance segment provides commercial property and casualty insurance, employee benefits solutions, personal insurance lines, and human resources consulting services. It serves customers primarily in Bucks, Berks, Chester, Cumberland, Dauphin, Delaware, Lancaster, Lehigh, Montgomery, Northampton, Philadelphia, and York counties in Pennsylvania; and Atlantic, Burlington, and Cape May counties in New Jersey through 37 banking offices. The company was formerly known as Univest Corporation of Pennsylvania and changed its name to Univest Financial Corporation in January 2019. Univest Financial Corporation was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in Souderton, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyUnivest generates revenue through multiple streams primarily focused on interest income and non-interest income. Key revenue streams include net interest income from loans and investment securities, which constitutes a significant portion of the company's earnings. Additionally, Univest earns non-interest income through fees for services such as wealth management, trust services, insurance, and retail banking services. The company may also benefit from strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and businesses to enhance its product offerings and reach a broader customer base, contributing to its overall profitability.

Univest Of Pennsylvania Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Income Before Taxes by Segment
Income Before Taxes by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Univest Of Pennsylvania Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated several clear positives: record full-year EPS, strong Q4 loan growth, improved core NIM, stable asset quality metrics, and an active share repurchase program. Offsetting items include Q4 deposit outflows driven by public funds seasonality, reported NIM compression from excess liquidity, elevated provisions guidance for 2026, and some expense and deposit-competition pressures. Management provided detailed 2026 guidance (2%–3% loan growth, 4%–6% NII growth, $11M–$13M provision, 3%–5% expense growth) and actions to deploy liquidity and pursue deposit initiatives, suggesting confidence in execution despite near-term headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record EPS and Strong Q4 Earnings
Q4 net income of $22.7 million, $0.79 diluted EPS, a 21.5% increase versus Q4 2024; record full-year EPS of $3.13 for 2025.
Quarterly Loan Growth Acceleration
Loans grew $129.3 million in Q4 (7.6% annualized); full-year 2025 loan growth was $88.2 million or 1.3%.
Improved Core Margin and NII Base
Core NIM (excluding excess liquidity) rose 4 basis points in Q4 to 3.37%; net interest income for 2025 totaled $240.2 million with guidance for NII growth of ~4%–6% in 2026 assuming modest rate cuts.
Asset Quality Improvements
Nonaccrual loans to total loans declined 20 basis points to 0.2%; nonperforming assets to total assets declined 16 basis points to 0.45%; coverage ratio stable at 1.28% and Q4 net charge-offs were $1.1 million (7 bps annualized).
Active Capital Return via Buybacks
Repurchased ~480,000 shares in Q4 at an average cost of $32.17; repurchased 1.1 million shares in 2025 at $30.75 average (3.9% of shares outstanding as of 12/31/24). Board approved an additional 2 million share authorization; 2.3 million shares available as of 12/31/25 and targeting $10M–$12M of repurchases per quarter in 2026.
Positive Full-Year Deposit Growth
Despite Q4 outflows, total deposits for full-year 2025 grew $328.1 million or 4.9%.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Deposit Outflow and Public Fund Volatility
Deposits decreased $130.8 million in Q4, driven primarily by a $198.8 million decrease in public funds; management expects $100M–$150M per quarter of public fund outflows in Q1 and Q2 2026, creating near-term excess liquidity deployment needs.
Reported NIM Compression Due to Excess Liquidity
Reported NIM declined 7 basis points sequentially to 3.10% (from 3.17%) in Q4 due to increased excess liquidity from seasonal public fund build, creating quarter-to-quarter volatility in reported margins.
Elevated Provision and Credit Expense Outlook
Recorded a $3.1 million provision for credit losses in Q4; management guides provision of $11 million–$13 million for 2026, indicating a higher run-rate than earlier periods.
Expense Growth and Seasonal Compensation Impact
Noninterest expense increased $2.1 million (4.1%) versus Q4 2024 and rose $5.0 million (2.5%) for the full year; variable compensation in Q4 increased by roughly $1.3 million, contributing to higher fourth-quarter expenses.
Competitive Deposit Pricing Environment
Management noted increasing deposit competition and price sensitivity (especially municipal/public funds); the bank must remain competitive on pricing which could pressure funding costs and margins if elevated.
Residential Mortgage Runoff and Mix Shift
Management expects continued runoff of on-balance sheet residential construction/permanent loans and a shift toward commercial loan growth and agency-directed residential product, which may constrain overall loan growth mix and yields compared with prior years.
Company Guidance
Univest’s 2026 guidance expects loan growth of about 2–3% and modest NIM expansion driving net interest income up roughly 4–6% from 2025 NII of $240.2M (assuming two 25‑bp Fed cuts and overall ALM neutrality); provision for credit losses of $11–13M (Q4 provision was $3.1M), noninterest income growth of ~5–7% off an $85.7M base, noninterest expense growth of ~3–5% (2025 noninterest expense $203M), and an effective tax rate of 20–21%; the firm plans share repurchases of $10–12M per quarter (2.3M shares available to repurchase as of 12/31/25 after repurchasing ~480k shares in Q4 at an average $32.17 and 1.1M shares in 2025 at $30.75, equal to 3.9% of shares outstanding as of 12/31/24). Recent Q4 metrics included net income $22.7M ($0.79/sh), record 2025 EPS $3.13, reported NIM 3.10% (down 7 bps from Q3’s 3.17%) and core NIM 3.37% (up 4 bps), Q4 loan growth $129.3M (7.6% annualized; full‑year +$88.2M/+1.3%), Q4 deposit decline $130.8M (full‑year +$328.1M/+4.9%), coverage ratio 1.28%, net charge‑offs $1.1M (7 bps annualized), nonaccrual loans/total loans 0.2% (down 20 bps) and nonperforming assets/total assets 0.45% (down 16 bps).

Univest Of Pennsylvania Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid profitability with renewed revenue growth into 2025 and improving leverage (debt-to-equity trending down), but earnings quality is tempered by materially lower margins versus 2021–2022 and volatile free cash flow with relatively low operating cash flow vs revenue.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Revenue has expanded over the period, accelerating in 2023 and still growing in 2024–2025, while profitability remains solid with healthy operating and net margins in the mid-to-high teens in 2024–2025. That said, margins have come down materially from the 2021–2022 peak, and earnings power appears more cyclical than steadily improving, which tempers the score despite the recent rebound in 2025.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage looks controlled and improving, with debt-to-equity trending down to ~0.40 in 2025 from higher levels in 2022–2023, alongside rising equity and asset growth. Returns on equity are steady in the high-single to ~10% range, indicating consistent profitability. The main drawback is that leverage and returns are not best-in-class for the group, and the balance sheet has shown periods of higher leverage in recent years.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation is positive and improved in 2025, with free cash flow matching net income (strong conversion) and free cash flow rebounding after declines in 2023–2024. However, free cash flow has been volatile year to year, and operating cash flow relative to revenue remains low, suggesting cash generation can fluctuate and is less predictable than the income statement implies.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue518.35M500.41M448.55M330.08M292.95M
Gross Profit316.39M293.29M286.05M283.98M281.74M
EBITDA119.82M102.77M93.33M100.98M117.52M
Net Income90.76M75.93M71.10M78.12M91.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.44B8.13B7.78B7.22B7.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00337.12M601.35M503.06M1.21B
Total Debt380.34M416.93M499.92M473.55M247.43M
Total Liabilities7.49B7.24B6.94B6.45B6.35B
Stockholders Equity943.32M887.30M839.21M776.50M773.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow96.93M72.00M83.02M104.23M96.46M
Operating Cash Flow101.51M75.11M89.74M109.45M102.34M
Investing Cash Flow-83.68M-259.74M-454.44M-897.61M-126.78M
Financing Cash Flow207.04M263.68M461.69M50.81M694.73M

Univest Of Pennsylvania Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.06
Price Trends
50DMA
33.83
Positive
100DMA
32.10
Positive
200DMA
30.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Positive
RSI
55.82
Neutral
STOCH
26.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UVSP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.60, above the 50-day MA of 33.83, and above the 200-day MA of 30.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UVSP.

Univest Of Pennsylvania Risk Analysis

Univest Of Pennsylvania disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Univest Of Pennsylvania reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Univest Of Pennsylvania Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$892.01M17.7419.19%0.66%17.98%14.35%
75
Outperform
$1.01B10.959.74%2.43%3.54%12.23%
70
Outperform
$954.28M10.859.61%2.59%4.49%20.44%
70
Outperform
$947.08M13.768.53%4.59%-4.08%-16.80%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$899.09M10.8819.62%0.04%33.22%38.44%
56
Neutral
$888.86M17.157.21%1.79%15.37%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UVSP
Univest Of Pennsylvania
35.06
5.95
20.45%
NBN
Northeast Bancorp
115.50
16.51
16.68%
SBSI
Southside Bancshares
32.21
3.06
10.50%
FMBH
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares
42.71
6.09
16.65%
ESQ
Esquire Financial Holdings
106.89
30.02
39.06%
AMTB
Amerant Bancorp
22.11
-0.03
-0.13%

Univest Of Pennsylvania Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Univest Extends Exchange Offer for Subordinated Notes
Neutral
Feb 10, 2026

On February 9, 2026, Univest Financial Corporation extended the expiration of its exchange offer for any and all outstanding 6.00% Fixed-to-Floating Subordinated Notes due 2035 that were issued in an unregistered offering on November 6, 2025. The new deadline moves from 5:00 p.m. Eastern on February 9 to 5:00 p.m. Eastern on February 11, 2026, allowing noteholders additional time to tender their old securities for newly registered notes with identical terms.

Univest said all other terms of the exchange offer remain unchanged, with UMB Bank, N.A. continuing to act as exchange agent for the transaction. The move is a procedural step in completing the registration of its subordinated debt, providing greater liquidity and transferability for holders while helping the company align its capital markets liabilities with securities law requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (UVSP) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Univest Of Pennsylvania stock, see the UVSP Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Univest Of Pennsylvania Increases Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Univest Financial Corporation’s Board of Directors approved an increase of 2,000,000 shares for repurchase, representing about 7.1% of the company’s outstanding common stock as of November 30, 2025. This move follows the previous authorization in October 2024, where 1,000,000 additional shares were approved, and approximately 577,000 shares have already been repurchased, leaving 2,423,000 shares available for future repurchase.

The most recent analyst rating on (UVSP) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Univest Of Pennsylvania stock, see the UVSP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 24, 2026