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Northeast Bancorp (NBN)
NASDAQ:NBN

Northeast Bancorp (NBN) AI Stock Analysis

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NBN

Northeast Bancorp

(NASDAQ:NBN)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$128.00
▲(10.80% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance (growth and profitability with solid ROE), supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and solid yield). Technicals are constructive with a clear uptrend, though momentum looks stretched (high RSI). The latest earnings call was overall positive but flagged meaningful SBA-related and net interest income headwinds that temper the rating.
Positive Factors
High Profitability & ROE
Sustained high net margin and strong ROE indicate efficient core banking operations and profitable loan mix. Over months, this supports internal capital generation, funds growth initiatives, and provides a durable buffer against cyclical revenue swings without relying solely on external financing.
Robust Loan Purchases and Originations
A healthy pipeline of loan purchases and originations expands interest-earning assets and diversifies credit exposure. Consistent loan deployment sustains net interest income over months, supports balance sheet growth, and evidences underwriting capacity and market access in its regional franchise.
New Insured Small Business Loan Product
Introducing an insured SMB loan product creates annuity-style fee and interest streams and differentiates product mix. Over the medium term this can diversify revenue, deepen small-business relationships, and raise recurring noninterest income without materially increasing credit risk.
Negative Factors
Weak Operating Cash Conversion
Very low conversion of reported earnings into operating cash suggests earnings include non-cash items or timing differences. Persistently weak conversion can pressure liquidity, constrain investment flexibility, and raise questions about earnings quality over the coming months.
Decline in SBA Gains (Regulatory)
Regulatory rule changes reduced SBA sale gains materially. As these gains historically supplemented noninterest income, sustained lower SBA proceeds would structurally cut fee revenue, pressuring profitability and requiring offsetting loan or fee growth to maintain earnings.
Pressure on Net Interest Income
A material drop in pre-provision NII reflects lower earning asset balances and transactional revenue. If balances or transaction levels don't recover, core interest income sustainability is at risk, reducing the bank's primary earnings engine and limiting margin resilience over the medium term.

Northeast Bancorp (NBN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Northeast Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNortheast Bank provides banking services to individual and corporate customers in Maine. The company's deposit products include demand deposit, NOW, money market, savings, certificate of deposit, and individual retirement accounts, as well as checking accounts. Its loan portfolio comprises residential mortgage loans; multi-family and other commercial real estate loans; commercial and industrial loans, such as term loans, lines of credit and equipment, and receivables financing; consumer loans comprising mobile home and overdraft, and deposit-secured loans; and small business administration loans. In addition, the company offers telephone banking, online banking and bill payment, mobile banking, cash management, and remote deposit capture services, as well as debit and credit card, ATM, electronic transfer, and check services. It operates a network of nine branches in Western, Central, and Southern Maine. Northeast Bank was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Portland, Maine.
How the Company Makes MoneyNortheast Bancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and fees associated with various banking services. The company's key revenue streams include interest earned on commercial and residential loans, which constitute a significant portion of its income. Additionally, NBN earns fee income from services such as deposit accounts, ATM transactions, and wealth management services. The bank also engages in mortgage banking, which contributes to its earnings through origination fees and servicing rights. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations further enhance its market presence and customer acquisition efforts, positively impacting its overall financial performance.

Northeast Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong quarterly performance with robust loan purchases and a new product launch. However, challenges such as decreased SBA gains and the impact of the government shutdown on SBA operations were noted.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Performance
Net income of $22.5 million, a NIM of 4.59%, return on equity of 17.64%, and diluted earnings per share of $2.67.
Robust Loan Purchases and Originations
Purchased loans with UPB of $152.7 million and originated $134 million in loans, with a strong purchase pipeline expected.
Asset Quality and Capital Strength
Capital remains strong with Tier 1 leverage at 12.21%, and tangible book value just under $60 a share.
Innovative Product Launch
Launch of new insured small business loan product with annuity, with about $10 million closed since October 1.
Negative Updates
Decline in SBA Gains
SBA gains on sales decreased from $8.2 million in the previous quarter to $4.1 million, impacted by rule changes and government shutdown.
Decreased Net Interest Income
Pre-provision net interest income decreased from $59.4 million to $48.2 million due to lower average balances and transactional income.
Government Shutdown Impact
The government shutdown halted new SBA originations, affecting loan closing capabilities.
Company Guidance
During the Northeast Bank First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 earnings call, the bank provided robust financial guidance, highlighting a strong quarter with net income of $22.5 million and a net interest margin (NIM) of 4.59%. The return on equity was reported at 17.64%, return on assets at 2.13%, and diluted earnings per share of $2.67. The tangible book value was noted to be just under $60 per share at $59.98. Loan purchases for the quarter reached $152.7 million in unpaid principal balance (UPB), with an invested amount of $144.6 million, while loan originations totaled $134 million. The bank's Small Business Administration (SBA) activity included $42 million in funding and $53 million in loan sales. Despite the impact of recent SBA rule changes leading to lower gains of $4.1 million in the current quarter compared to $8.2 million in the linked quarter, the bank remained optimistic about its robust purchase and origination pipelines, supported by strong capital and human resources for due diligence.

Northeast Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Northeast Bancorp exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and a balanced capital structure. While cash flow generation is impressive, enhancing operational cash conversion remains a key area for improvement. The company's financial statements reflect a positive outlook with stable profitability and growth potential.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Northeast Bancorp has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 11.53% in the latest year, supported by a solid gross profit margin of 58.14%. The net profit margin of 23.77% indicates robust profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 35.81%, reflecting efficient operations. Overall, the income statement shows a positive growth trajectory and stable profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is strong at 16.88%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio of 11.55% suggests a conservative capital structure. The balance sheet reflects financial stability with manageable leverage.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow has grown significantly by 1653.78%, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.016, suggesting potential challenges in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.99, highlighting efficient cash management. Overall, cash flow performance is strong with room for improvement in operational cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue345.37M351.00M260.51M179.91M109.78M146.89M
Gross Profit198.46M204.09M149.43M119.24M107.13M137.25M
EBITDA128.84M128.84M91.18M68.43M64.15M103.69M
Net Income83.44M83.44M58.23M44.19M42.16M71.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.28B4.28B3.13B2.87B1.58B2.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments428.93M428.93M291.14M251.31M226.99M1.07B
Total Debt339.24M339.24M365.44M584.53M34.45M36.11M
Total Liabilities3.78B3.78B2.76B2.57B1.33B1.94B
Stockholders Equity494.29M494.29M376.63M296.66M248.32M232.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.42M53.42M111.00K57.64M29.44M7.08M
Operating Cash Flow54.13M54.13M2.56M60.11M30.50M8.34M
Investing Cash Flow-919.85M-919.85M-158.25M-1.23B-248.95M27.46M
Financing Cash Flow1.04B1.04B199.94M1.20B-619.96M831.03M

Northeast Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price115.52
Price Trends
50DMA
96.37
Positive
100DMA
98.84
Positive
200DMA
94.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.97
Negative
RSI
70.95
Negative
STOCH
78.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NBN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 115.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 107.41, above the 50-day MA of 96.37, and above the 200-day MA of 94.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.95 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NBN.

Northeast Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$893.66M10.5319.62%0.04%33.22%38.44%
79
Outperform
$900.15M18.4719.19%0.66%17.98%14.35%
78
Outperform
$1.01B10.1613.88%1.70%4.33%-2.20%
76
Outperform
$933.15M10.979.61%2.59%4.49%20.44%
71
Outperform
$880.64M12.826.53%4.73%6.27%79.25%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$844.71M12.917.21%1.79%15.37%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NBN
Northeast Bancorp
115.52
14.66
14.53%
CFFN
Capitol Federal Financial
6.76
1.39
25.84%
UVSP
Univest Of Pennsylvania
33.53
4.70
16.30%
ESQ
Esquire Financial Holdings
107.85
21.67
25.15%
AMAL
Amalgamated Bank
34.79
-0.64
-1.81%
AMTB
Amerant Bancorp
21.00
-0.81
-3.71%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026