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Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN)
NASDAQ:CFFN
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Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) AI Stock Analysis

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CFFN

Capitol Federal Financial

(NASDAQ:CFFN)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(10.25% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/29/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (rebound in profitability and solid cash generation) but capped by only moderate returns and prior volatility. Technicals add support with a clear uptrend, valuation is favorable with a low P/E and strong yield, and corporate events reinforce positive momentum via margin expansion and shareholder returns.
Positive Factors
Net interest income & margin expansion
Sustained NII and margin expansion over multiple quarters strengthens the bank’s core earnings base, reducing reliance on volatile noninterest items. Durable margin improvement supports predictable interest-driven profitability and cash generation across a 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Negative Factors
Moderate returns on equity
A ~7% TTM ROE is modest given bank leverage, limiting long-term shareholder return potential. Without sustained margin expansion, efficiency gains, or higher-yield assets, ROE may remain constrained, reducing the company’s ability to organically build equity over time.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Net interest income & margin expansion
Sustained NII and margin expansion over multiple quarters strengthens the bank’s core earnings base, reducing reliance on volatile noninterest items. Durable margin improvement supports predictable interest-driven profitability and cash generation across a 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Read all positive factors

Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Capitol Federal Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. operates as the holding company for Capitol Federal Savings Bank that provides various retail banking products and services in the United States. The company accepts a range of deposit products, including savings ac...
How the Company Makes Money
CFFN makes money primarily through its banking subsidiary by earning interest income on loans and investment securities and paying interest on deposits and other funding sources; the difference between these amounts is net interest income, which i...

Capitol Federal Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals reflect a recovery with improving revenue and profitability, plus solid cash conversion (TTM free cash flow ~94% of net income). However, the balance sheet remains a constraint (bank leverage still meaningful) and returns are only moderate (TTM ROE ~7%), with a history of earnings volatility keeping the score mid-range.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue427.14M417.40M379.37M185.64M299.57M278.75M
Gross Profit207.48M197.45M163.33M-27.71M217.26M204.08M
EBITDA96.63M90.74M62.81M-128.85M117.94M106.98M
Net Income72.90M68.03M38.01M-101.66M84.45M76.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.78B9.78B9.53B10.18B9.62B9.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.06B1.12B1.07B1.63B1.61B2.06B
Total Debt1.83B1.95B2.18B2.38B2.13B1.58B
Total Liabilities8.74B8.73B8.50B9.13B8.53B8.39B
Stockholders Equity1.04B1.05B1.03B1.04B1.10B1.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.22M49.84M24.00M41.25M91.74M65.06M
Operating Cash Flow66.88M55.04M31.18M47.53M97.30M74.47M
Investing Cash Flow-160.19M-206.59M629.11M-329.10M-167.58M-326.67M
Financing Cash Flow155.62M186.68M-688.59M477.98M49.18M82.78M

Capitol Federal Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.71
Price Trends
50DMA
7.31
Positive
100DMA
7.05
Positive
200DMA
6.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
67.40
Neutral
STOCH
74.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CFFN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.33, above the 50-day MA of 7.31, and above the 200-day MA of 6.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CFFN.

Capitol Federal Financial Risk Analysis

Capitol Federal Financial disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Capitol Federal Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Capitol Federal Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.21B11.4913.37%1.70%6.23%2.16%
74
Outperform
$903.60M10.7313.43%3.39%6.06%45.81%
73
Outperform
$1.12B13.277.58%3.91%8.28%37.82%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$979.67M10.816.99%4.73%6.92%43.62%
64
Neutral
$920.08M9.686.81%1.79%8.98%
63
Neutral
$917.46M8.07-20.89%3.50%-71.39%-406.48%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CFFN
Capitol Federal Financial
7.68
2.28
42.33%
CPF
Central Pacific Financial
33.28
8.07
32.02%
HFWA
Heritage Financial
27.52
5.40
24.43%
HBNC
Horizon Bancorp
18.10
3.93
27.69%
AMAL
Amalgamated Bank
40.37
12.38
44.21%
AMTB
Amerant Bancorp
22.87
6.32
38.17%

Capitol Federal Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Capitol Federal Highlights Earnings, Dividends and Loan Growth
Positive
Apr 29, 2026
For the quarter ended March 31, 2026, Capitol Federal Financial reported total assets of $9.83 billion, stockholders’ equity of $1.03 billion, and net income of $20.1 million, marking a seventh consecutive quarter of net interest income and ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Capitol Federal Financial Holders Back Leadership and Incentive Plan
Positive
Jan 29, 2026
At its Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on January 27, 2026, Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. stockholders elected Michel’ Philipp Cole and Jeffrey M. Johnson to three-year terms as directors, while the terms of several incumbent directors...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 29, 2026