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Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN)
NASDAQ:CFFN
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Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) AI Stock Analysis

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CFFN

Capitol Federal Financial

(NASDAQ:CFFN)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(12.95% Upside)
Capitol Federal Financial's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and a solid financial performance. The company's valuation is reasonable, with an attractive dividend yield. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio is a potential risk factor that needs careful management. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data did not impact the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Stable revenue growth indicates consistent market demand and the company's ability to maintain its customer base, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Profit Margin Improvement
Improved profit margins reflect enhanced operational efficiency and cost management, contributing to stronger financial health and competitiveness.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and debt reduction, bolstering long-term stability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage could strain financial resources and increase risk, especially in adverse economic conditions, potentially impacting long-term viability.
Liquidity Concerns
Liquidity issues may hinder the company's ability to meet short-term obligations, affecting operational stability and limiting growth investments.
Modest Revenue Growth
Modest revenue growth may indicate challenges in expanding market share or product offerings, potentially limiting future earnings potential.

Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Capitol Federal Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapitol Federal Financial (CFFN) is a savings and loan holding company based in the United States, primarily engaged in the business of providing a range of banking services through its subsidiary, Capitol Federal Savings Bank. The company operates in the financial services sector, focusing on residential and commercial real estate lending, as well as deposit products such as savings accounts, checking accounts, and certificates of deposit. CFFN serves individuals, families, and businesses, emphasizing a commitment to customer service and community involvement.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapitol Federal Financial generates revenue primarily through interest income from its loan portfolio, which consists mainly of mortgage loans, commercial loans, and consumer loans. The interest earned on these loans is a significant source of revenue for the company. Additionally, CFFN earns income from fees associated with its banking services, such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and service charges. The company also benefits from net interest margin, which is the difference between the interest it earns on loans and the interest it pays on deposits. Furthermore, CFFN may engage in investment activities, contributing to its overall earnings. Partnerships with local businesses and community organizations can enhance its market presence and customer base, further driving its revenue streams.

Capitol Federal Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Capitol Federal Financial demonstrates solid profitability and revenue growth, with improved margins and cash flow generation. However, high leverage and liquidity concerns pose potential risks. The company needs to manage its debt levels carefully to maintain financial stability while capitalizing on its profitability improvements.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Capitol Federal Financial shows a stable revenue growth rate of 1.98% in the latest year, with improving profit margins. The gross profit margin increased to 47.3%, and the net profit margin rose to 16.3%, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also improved, reflecting better operational efficiency. However, the growth rate is modest, and the company faced challenges in previous years with negative margins.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity improved to 6.49%, showing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. However, the high leverage remains a concern for financial stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Free cash flow growth is strong at 98.56%, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential issues in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 90.5%, showing good cash profitability. Despite strong growth, the low operating cash flow coverage ratio indicates potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue417.40M379.37M185.64M299.57M278.75M
Gross Profit197.45M163.33M-27.71M217.26M204.08M
EBITDA90.74M62.81M-128.85M117.94M106.98M
Net Income68.03M38.01M-101.66M84.45M76.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.78B9.53B10.18B9.62B9.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments248.70M1.07B1.63B1.61B2.06B
Total Debt1.95B2.18B2.38B2.13B1.58B
Total Liabilities8.73B8.50B9.13B8.53B8.39B
Stockholders Equity1.05B1.03B1.04B1.10B1.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow49.84M24.00M41.25M91.74M65.06M
Operating Cash Flow55.04M31.18M47.53M97.30M74.47M
Investing Cash Flow-206.59M629.11M-329.10M-167.58M-326.67M
Financing Cash Flow186.68M-688.59M477.98M49.18M82.78M

Capitol Federal Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.64
Price Trends
50DMA
6.24
Positive
100DMA
6.17
Positive
200DMA
5.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
63.62
Neutral
STOCH
89.66
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CFFN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.28, above the 50-day MA of 6.24, and above the 200-day MA of 5.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.66 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CFFN.

Capitol Federal Financial Risk Analysis

Capitol Federal Financial disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Capitol Federal Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Capitol Federal Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$898.09M9.0213.88%1.87%4.33%-2.20%
76
Outperform
$871.29M12.656.53%5.14%6.27%79.25%
73
Outperform
$816.66M14.496.43%4.01%8.27%54.96%
69
Neutral
$707.71M10.827.21%1.91%15.37%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$817.70M12.5411.65%3.67%1.22%15.97%
61
Neutral
$878.89M-26.60%3.73%-78.64%-913.67%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CFFN
Capitol Federal Financial
6.64
0.40
6.41%
CPF
Central Pacific Financial
30.48
0.42
1.40%
HFWA
Heritage Financial
24.05
-1.01
-4.03%
HBNC
Horizon Bancorp
17.16
-0.09
-0.52%
AMAL
Amalgamated Bank
30.00
-4.53
-13.12%
AMTB
Amerant Bancorp
19.08
-5.52
-22.44%

Capitol Federal Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Capitol Federal Financial Reports Strong Fiscal Year Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. reported strong financial results for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2025, with net income rising to $68.0 million, driven by strategic operational changes and acquisitions. The company continues to enhance its commercial banking operations through technology investments, product expansion, and a focus on treasury management services, aiming to deliver long-term value to stockholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFFN) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capitol Federal Financial stock, see the CFFN Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Capitol Federal Financial Schedules Annual Meeting
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Capitol Federal Financial announced that its annual meeting of stockholders is scheduled for January 27, 2026, with a voting record date set for December 5, 2025. This announcement sets the stage for shareholder engagement and decision-making, impacting the company’s governance and future strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFFN) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capitol Federal Financial stock, see the CFFN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Capitol Federal Financial Updates Performance Plan Strategy
Neutral
Sep 25, 2025

On September 23, 2025, Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. announced a modification to its Short-Term Performance Plan, effective for the fiscal year 2026. The company will replace the efficiency ratio performance target with the operating expense ratio performance target, aiming to better assess management’s ability to control operating costs by eliminating the impact of interest rates.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFFN) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capitol Federal Financial stock, see the CFFN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 01, 2025