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First Community Bancshares (FCBC)
NASDAQ:FCBC
US Market

First Community Bancshares (FCBC) AI Stock Analysis

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FCBC

First Community Bancshares

(NASDAQ:FCBC)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$42.00
â–²(15.80% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (healthy margins and a very strong balance sheet) and supported by attractive shareholder return metrics (high dividend yield and a moderate P/E). Technicals are mildly positive but capped by trading below the 200-day average and elevated stochastic readings, while recent merger-related events add a favorable strategic and capital-return tailwind.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Very low leverage and a healthy equity ratio give the bank durable financial flexibility: supports lending growth, cushions credit losses, funds dividends or opportunistic acquisitions without stressing capital ratios, and reduces refinancing risk over the medium term.
Profitability / Margins
Sustained ~30% net margin and solid EBIT indicate efficient operations and pricing power in core banking lines. Durable margins support cash returns and reinvestment, and provide buffer against cyclical NIM pressure or modest credit cost increases over the next several quarters.
Merger Adds Scale & Core Deposits
The Hometown deal materially increases scale and low-cost core deposits, strengthening funding stability and lending capacity in the Parkersburg-Marietta-Vienna region. Expanded footprint and product reach create durable cross-sell and efficiency opportunities over 2-6 months and beyond.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Trend
A recent decline in revenue growth poses a structural risk if it persists: slower top-line expansion can erode long-term earnings power, limit reinvestment and dividend sustainability, and reduce the ability to fund growth initiatives or absorb adverse credit cycles.
Weak Operating Cash Flow Coverage
Lower operating cash flow coverage versus net income signals weaker cash conversion. Over months this can constrain liquidity for lending, capital returns, or unexpected expenses; it may reflect timing, reserve builds, or collection issues that merit monitoring for sustainability.
Merger Integration & Contingent Liabilities
Assuming unvested SARs and complex stock-for-stock settlements creates contingent cash/dilution and adds integration execution risk. Integration costs, benefit realization delays, or payout obligations could weigh on capital and management focus during the multi-quarter integration phase.

First Community Bancshares (FCBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Community Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Community Bancshares (FCBC) is a financial holding company headquartered in Bluefield, West Virginia. The company operates through its wholly-owned banking subsidiary, First Community Bank, and provides a range of banking and financial services to individuals and businesses. FCBC's core offerings include personal and commercial banking, mortgage lending, and wealth management services, primarily serving customers in West Virginia, Virginia, and Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Community Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments, as well as non-interest income from service fees and other financial services. The company's key revenue streams include interest earned on various loan products such as personal, commercial, and mortgage loans, which typically account for a significant portion of its earnings. Non-interest income is derived from fees associated with checking and savings accounts, credit and debit card services, and wealth management services. Additionally, FCBC benefits from strategic partnerships, including collaborations with local businesses and organizations that enhance its service offerings and customer base. The bank also invests in securities, which contribute to its interest income, and actively manages its cost of funds to optimize profitability.

First Community Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by solid profitability and a robust, low-leverage balance sheet. Key watchouts are the recent negative revenue growth trend and weaker operating cash flow coverage in the TTM period.
Income Statement
75
Positive
First Community Bancshares shows strong profitability with a consistent net profit margin around 30% and a healthy EBIT margin. However, the recent TTM data indicates a slight decline in revenue growth, which could be a concern if it continues. Overall, the company maintains solid margins, but the negative revenue growth trend needs monitoring.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company has a very low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating minimal leverage and strong financial stability. Return on equity is solid, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is also healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet is robust with low risk from debt.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow metrics are generally positive, with free cash flow showing growth in the latest period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, indicating good cash conversion. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low in the TTM period, which could suggest some cash flow management issues. Overall, cash flow is strong but requires careful monitoring.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue174.49M175.89M165.71M142.24M133.29M138.20M
Gross Profit154.27M152.62M148.24M134.01M138.92M120.07M
EBITDA69.42M72.17M67.66M65.76M72.44M52.02M
Net Income49.37M51.60M48.02M46.66M51.17M35.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.19B3.26B3.27B3.14B3.19B3.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments184.02M216.72M360.07M365.56M126.69M144.16M
Total Debt1.43M906.00K1.12M1.87M1.54M964.00K
Total Liabilities2.68B2.73B2.77B2.71B2.77B2.58B
Stockholders Equity510.73M526.39M503.29M421.99M427.77M426.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow55.35M54.93M59.06M57.86M45.18M42.65M
Operating Cash Flow57.30M57.74M61.83M59.02M48.22M45.84M
Investing Cash Flow145.00M263.91M288.66M-536.78M35.35M17.80M
Financing Cash Flow-89.93M-60.62M-404.92M-28.84M137.31M175.91M

First Community Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.27
Price Trends
50DMA
33.82
Positive
100DMA
33.15
Positive
200DMA
34.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.54
Negative
RSI
78.56
Negative
STOCH
97.04
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.19, above the 50-day MA of 33.82, and above the 200-day MA of 34.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.56 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FCBC.

First Community Bancshares Risk Analysis

First Community Bancshares disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Community Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Community Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$760.02M11.2314.51%3.09%4.29%10.56%
75
Outperform
$861.51M13.269.49%3.66%24.08%9.83%
74
Outperform
$728.20M15.009.57%9.26%-0.40%-1.43%
73
Outperform
$952.44M16.687.84%0.67%14.04%337.54%
70
Outperform
$758.89M9.3114.59%2.93%47.65%101.00%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
61
Neutral
$833.08M-6.44-10.24%2.40%-8.51%-185.08%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCBC
First Community Bancshares
40.90
0.36
0.89%
CAC
Camden National
50.00
5.37
12.04%
EGBN
Eagle Bancorp
27.15
0.90
3.42%
ORRF
Orrstown Financial Services
39.32
5.77
17.19%
IBCP
Independent Bank
36.58
0.73
2.04%
NBBK
NB Bancorp, Inc.
22.18
2.91
15.08%

First Community Bancshares Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
First Community Bancshares Completes Merger With Hometown Bancshares
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 23, 2026, First Community Bankshares, Inc. completed its previously announced merger with West Virginia-based Hometown Bancshares, Inc., with Hometown being absorbed into First Community and its subsidiary Union Bank, Inc. merged into First Community Bank; Hometown’s eight West Virginia branches converted to First Community Bank locations on January 26, 2026. Under the stock-for-stock transaction, each Hometown share was converted into the right to receive 11.706 shares of First Community common stock, with associated stock appreciation and dividend equivalent rights largely vesting and being settled in cash, while certain unvested stock appreciation rights were assumed by First Community. The deal, first announced on July 19, 2025, added roughly $415 million in assets, $172 million in loans, and $376 million in deposits as of December 2025 to First Community’s balance sheet and is intended to accelerate growth in low-cost core deposits and strengthen the company’s presence in the Parkersburg-Marietta-Vienna metropolitan area, while offering Union Bank customers greater scale, higher lending limits, and expanded product and technology offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCBC) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Community Bancshares stock, see the FCBC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
First Community Bancshares Secures Final Approval for Merger
Positive
Dec 31, 2025

On December 30, 2025, First Community Bankshares, Inc. received final regulatory approval from the Virginia Bureau of Financial Institutions to merge Union Bank, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Hometown Bancshares, Inc., into First Community Bank in connection with the previously announced merger of Hometown into First Community Bankshares. The approval clears the last regulatory hurdle for the transaction, leaving only customary closing conditions before completion, which is expected in the first quarter of 2026 and will expand First Community Bankshares’ banking footprint and consolidate its regional presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCBC) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Community Bancshares stock, see the FCBC Stock Forecast page.

DividendsM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
First Community Bancshares shareholders approve Hometown merger plan
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Hometown Bancshares, Inc. informed its shareholders that they had overwhelmingly approved the merger of Hometown with and into First Community Bankshares, Inc., following an affirmative vote held on December 2, 2025, and prior Federal Reserve approval on November 6, 2025. The companies indicated that the merger remains subject to approval by the Virginia Bureau of Financial Institutions and other customary closing conditions, with closing targeted for January 23, 2026 and expected in the first quarter of 2026; Hometown shareholders were advised about forthcoming instructions to exchange their Hometown shares for First Community stock, the payment of a special dividend in January 2026 in lieu of Hometown’s regular quarterly dividend, and the filing of a short-year 2026 tax return, after which tax basis information for shareholders will be provided.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCBC) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Community Bancshares stock, see the FCBC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
First Community Bancshares Announces Special Cash Dividend
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, First Community Bankshares announced a special cash dividend of $1.00 per common share, payable on January 16, 2026, based on the company’s performance in the first three quarters of 2025. The Board of Directors determined that the company has sufficient surplus capital to support future growth opportunities even after the special dividend payment, which totals approximately $18.32 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCBC) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Community Bancshares stock, see the FCBC Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
First Community Bancshares Merger Approved by Shareholders
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Hometown Bancshares, Inc. shareholders approved a merger with First Community Bankshares, Inc. The merger, initially agreed upon on July 19, 2025, awaits approval from the Virginia State Corporation Commission Bureau of Financial Institutions and is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCBC) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Community Bancshares stock, see the FCBC Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
First Community Bancshares Gains Federal Approval for Merger
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

First Community Bankshares, Inc. received regulatory approval from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond on November 6, 2025, to merge Union Bank, a subsidiary of Hometown Bancshares, with First Community Bank. This approval is part of a larger merger agreement between First Community and Hometown, initially announced on July 19, 2025. The merger still requires approval from the Virginia State Corporation Commission Bureau of Financial Institutions and Hometown’s shareholders. Additionally, First Community amended its proxy statement to correct an error regarding the valuation of Hometown by Institution A, which was initially reported higher than First Community’s offer but was actually lower.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCBC) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Community Bancshares stock, see the FCBC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026