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Camden National Corp. (CAC)
NASDAQ:CAC

Camden National (CAC) AI Stock Analysis

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CAC

Camden National

(NASDAQ:CAC)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$53.00
â–²(7.75% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/27/26
The score is driven primarily by stable financial performance with strong profitability and improved free-cash-flow metrics, supported by positive technical momentum (price above major moving averages with a positive MACD). Valuation is also supportive given the moderate P/E and solid dividend yield, while earnings call guidance is constructive but tempered by normalization in noninterest income and near-term loan growth/funding sensitivity.
Positive Factors
Margin Strength
Sustained high net and interest margins indicate the bank earns durable spread income from its loan-heavy model. NIM expansion and strong profitability provide recurring earnings power, supporting reinvestment, dividends and buybacks even with modest loan growth.
Capital and Loss-Absorption
Healthy reserves and capital ratios give the bank the capacity to absorb credit shocks and pursue measured growth. Robust coverage (6.4x) and capital above targets support lending flexibility, regulatory compliance and the ability to return capital through dividends/repurchases.
Diversified Fee Growth & Digital Adoption
Meaningful wealth AUA growth and rising digital engagement broaden fee revenue and client relationships beyond traditional lending. Digital product adoption and new offerings increase cross-sell opportunities, customer stickiness and long-term noninterest income diversification.
Negative Factors
Slowing Revenue and Modest Loan Outlook
A declining revenue-growth trend plus guidance for flat-to-low loan growth imply limited top-line expansion ahead. With core lending central to the model, constrained loan growth will cap interest income upside and make earnings improvements more reliant on margins or fee expansion.
Low Operating Cash Conversion
Very low OCF-to-net-income suggests earnings are not converting efficiently into operating cash, raising questions about earnings quality and the durability of free cash flow. That can constrain internal funding for loans, capital returns, or cushion during credit stress.
CRE Office Loan Exposure
A realized CRE office loss highlights exposure to structurally weak office markets. Continued softness could drive further charge-offs or higher reserves, pressuring capital and credit margins, and limiting the bank's appetite for commercial lending in affected sectors.

Camden National (CAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Camden National Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCamden National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Camden National Bank that provides various commercial and consumer banking products and services for consumer, institutional, municipal, non-profit, and commercial customers. The company accepts checking, savings, time, and brokered deposits, as well as deposits with the certificate of deposit account registry system. It also offers non-owner-occupied commercial estate loans, owner-occupied commercial real estate loans, unsecured fully-guaranteed commercial loans backed by the U.S. small business administration, loans secured by one-to four-family properties, and consumer and home equity loans. In addition, the company provides brokerage and insurance services through its financial offerings consisting of college, retirement, estate planning, mutual funds, strategic asset management accounts, and variable and fixed annuities. Further, it offers a range of fiduciary and asset management, wealth management, investment management, financial planning, and trustee services. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 57 branches within Maine; one residential mortgage lending office in Braintree, Massachusetts; two locations in New Hampshire, including a branch in Portsmouth and a commercial loan production office in Manchester; and an online residential mortgage and small commercial digital loan platform, as well as 66 ATMs. Camden National Corporation was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Camden, Maine.
How the Company Makes MoneyCamden National generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans, which includes personal, commercial, and mortgage loans. In addition to interest income, the company earns non-interest income from fees associated with various banking services, including account maintenance, transaction fees, and investment advisory services. The bank's investment management and wealth management services also contribute to its revenue streams. Significant partnerships with local businesses and community organizations help drive customer engagement and loyalty, further enhancing the company's earnings potential. Additionally, Camden National may benefit from economic growth in its operating regions, which can lead to increased loan demand and higher asset quality.

Camden National Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong, record-setting financial results, expanded margin and revenue momentum, high profitability and efficiency, solid capital and reserves, meaningful organic growth in wealth, home equity, and digital engagement, and tangible automation gains. Near-term headwinds include a Q4 loan decline driven by elevated prepayments, a $3 million CRE charge-off (with good recovery), elevated Q4 noninterest expense and seasonally boosted noninterest income that is expected to normalize in 2026, and some sensitivity to funding/yield dynamics and securities yields. On balance, the positives — including record earnings, margin expansion, robust capital and credit metrics, and multiple growth initiatives — significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly and Annual Earnings
Reported Q4 net income of $22.6 million and diluted EPS of $1.33; full-year net income $65.2 million and diluted EPS $3.84. Q4 earnings were up 6% versus the prior quarter, marking a record-setting quarter.
Net Interest Margin and Revenue Expansion
Net interest margin expanded 13 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 3.29%, driving net interest income growth of 5% QoQ and overall revenue growth of 4% QoQ.
Strong Profitability and Efficiency
Return on average assets ~1.28%-1.30% and return on average tangible equity of 19.06%. Reported efficiency ratio was 51.69% (non-GAAP efficiency ratio below 52%). Management expects mid-50s efficiency ratio as a normalized long-run range while reinvesting in the franchise.
Capital Position and Share Repurchase Capacity
Regulatory capital levels above internal targets and management rebuilt capital faster than initial projections following the Northway acquisition. Announced a new repurchase program to buy up to 850,000 shares (~5% of shares outstanding).
Loan Loss Reserve and Credit Coverage
Loan loss reserves totaled $45.3 million, representing 91 basis points of total loans and covering nonperforming loans at 6.4x. Nonperforming assets were 10 basis points of total assets and total past due loans were 16 basis points of total loans.
Deposit Momentum and Strong Savings Growth
Deposits increased 2% since September 30. High-yield savings balances rose 5% in the quarter and 28% organically for the year. Interest checking balances increased 11% QoQ. Management anticipates deposit balances relatively flat with Q4 in early 2026 but expects low- to mid-single-digit growth for the year.
Home Equity and Loan Growth
Home equity lending performed strongly: +6% in the quarter and +18% organic growth for the year. Loans grew organically 2% for the year; management expects loan growth of flat to +2% in the current quarter and mid-single-digits for the year as pipeline converts.
Wealth & Brokerage Outperformance
Wealth and brokerage assets under administration grew 15% organically to $2.4 billion as of 12/31/2025, with focus on advice-led interactions and treasury management expansion.
Digital Product Adoption and Engagement
Launched Family Wallet (no-fee, parent-controlled youth banking). Roundup savings processed nearly 1 million transactions with users saving an average of $103 each. Digital engagement increased 19% year-over-year among customers 45 and under (monthly logins).
Operational Automation and Efficiency Gains
Enterprise automation uses over 143 bots and has processed more than 5 million tasks, freeing capacity for higher-value activities and supporting cost discipline.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Loan Decline and Prepayment Impact
Total loans were down 1% in the fourth quarter; management attributed the decline to higher loan payoffs and prepayments late in the quarter that muted production despite comparable production levels in Q3 and Q4.
Commercial Real Estate Charge-Off
Completed a short sale on a classified commercial office loan, resulting in a $3 million charge-off in Q4. The loan had been classified for nearly two years; the exit produced an 88% recovery but highlights continued office-market softness in some pockets.
Rising Noninterest Expense and Near-Term Expense Guidance
Reported Q4 noninterest expense of $36.9 million (increase versus prior quarter) driven by investments, seasonality (year-end incentive true-ups, healthcare), and other corporate matters. First quarter operating expense guidance is $36M–$37M.
Normalization and Guidance for Noninterest Income
Q4 noninterest income totaled $14.1 million but included seasonally elevated items (Visa bonus $979k and loan-swap fees $594k). Management estimates 2026 noninterest income will normalize to $12M–$13M, implying lower recurring fees versus Q4.
Margin and Funding Sensitivities
While funding costs improved 11 basis points to 1.79% in Q4, management noted potential yield compression and that margin expansion may slow absent additional rate cuts. Guidance implied core NIM gains of only a few basis points in Q1 (funding cost improvement of ~7–10 bps offset by some yield compression).
Securities Yield Gap and Slightly Higher Tax Rate
Analyst commentary noted securities yields appear roughly 150 basis points below market; management also expects the effective tax rate to 'sneak up' roughly one percentage point in 2026 due to nonrecurrence of certain tax credits.
Company Guidance
Management guided that core NIM should expand a couple basis points in Q1 (after Q4 NIM of 3.29%, +13 bps QoQ) with funding costs improving ~7–10 bps from Q4’s 1.79%; they expect Q1 loan growth flat to +2% (mid-single-digit loan growth for the year) and deposit balances roughly flat with Q4 despite seasonality (management also cited low- to mid-single-digit deposit upside), and forecast 2026 noninterest income of $12–13 million (Q4 noninterest income was $14.1M). They guided Q1 operating expenses of $36–37M (Q4 noninterest expense $36.9M) and a normalized efficiency ratio in the mid‑fifties (Q4 efficiency 51.69%), noted Q4 provision was $3M with loan loss reserves of $45.3M (91 bps of loans, 6.4x NPLs), said regulatory capital remains above internal targets, and authorized repurchases up to 850,000 shares (~5% outstanding). Management also highlighted recent results and run-rates that frame the guidance: Q4 net income $22.6M (FY $65.2M), EPS $1.33 Q4 ($3.84 FY), Q4 fair value accretion ~$5.3M (base ~$4.5–4.75M), AUA up 15% to $2.4B, and digital engagement +19% YoY among customers 45 and under.

Camden National Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements reflect solid overall health: strong profitability (net margin 20.63%, EBITDA margin 35.82%), manageable leverage for a bank (debt-to-equity 1.11) and a solid equity base (equity ratio 9.69%). Cash generation improved materially (free cash flow growth 193.17%, FCF-to-net income 80.45%), but revenue growth is declining (-4.71%) and operating cash flow conversion is low (OCF-to-net income 4.78%), which keeps the score from being higher.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Camden National's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 4.71%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a strong net profit margin of 20.63% and a healthy EBITDA margin of 35.82%. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly compared to previous years, indicating potential cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11, which is manageable for a regional bank. The return on equity is 9.16%, showing a slight decline but still reasonable. The equity ratio stands at 9.69%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust free cash flow growth rate of 193.17% in the TTM period, suggesting improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 4.78%, indicating potential inefficiencies in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 80.45%, highlighting effective cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue345.48M289.72M250.32M208.89M193.91M203.94M
Gross Profit207.99M172.11M156.07M179.29M186.05M170.63M
EBITDA78.28M69.33M57.80M81.16M91.00M78.91M
Net Income57.27M53.00M43.38M61.44M69.01M59.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.98B5.81B5.71B5.67B5.50B4.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments988.61M792.76M725.61M771.30M1.73B1.26B
Total Debt810.93M544.95M529.94M309.51M255.94M246.77M
Total Liabilities6.31B5.27B5.22B5.22B4.96B4.37B
Stockholders Equity676.44M531.23M495.06M451.28M541.29M529.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow80.38M55.36M64.89M103.00M140.86M15.30M
Operating Cash Flow86.35M60.93M67.51M105.18M142.72M18.23M
Investing Cash Flow-76.80M30.33M-7.03M-487.72M-649.09M-294.45M
Financing Cash Flow-50.22M23.90M-36.10M237.34M581.23M346.36M

Camden National Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price49.19
Price Trends
50DMA
46.27
Positive
100DMA
42.29
Positive
200DMA
40.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.07
Positive
RSI
56.38
Neutral
STOCH
21.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 49.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.81, above the 50-day MA of 46.27, and above the 200-day MA of 40.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CAC.

Camden National Risk Analysis

Camden National disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Camden National reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Camden National Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$825.51M17.306.26%4.16%8.23%-0.07%
79
Outperform
$751.74M11.1114.51%3.09%4.29%10.56%
76
Outperform
$770.08M13.117.31%2.58%12.09%-15.97%
75
Outperform
$824.62M12.699.49%3.66%24.08%9.83%
70
Outperform
$733.54M9.0014.59%2.93%47.65%101.00%
69
Neutral
$835.15M10.9815.62%3.55%-0.23%10.95%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAC
Camden National
49.19
7.82
18.91%
HTBK
Heritage Commerce
13.30
3.32
33.28%
MPB
Mid Penn Bancorp
33.84
6.12
22.07%
ORRF
Orrstown Financial Services
38.08
6.22
19.53%
IBCP
Independent Bank
36.97
4.67
14.47%
MCBS
MetroCity Bankshares
29.03
0.23
0.81%

Camden National Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Camden National Announces New Common Stock Repurchase Program
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Camden National Corporation announced that its board of directors had authorized a new share repurchase program for up to 850,000 shares of its common stock, representing about 5% of its issued and outstanding shares as of December 31, 2025, with the program becoming effective on January 7, 2026. The repurchases, which may be conducted via open market purchases, accelerated share repurchase transactions, or privately negotiated deals under Rule 10b5-1 plans, are designed to provide the company with flexible capital management options and can be adjusted or suspended depending on market conditions, the company’s capital position, and internal capital generation, potentially affecting share liquidity and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAC) stock is a Buy with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Camden National stock, see the CAC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Camden National Announces Quarterly Dividend Declaration
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Camden National Corporation announced a quarterly dividend of $0.42 per share, resulting in an annualized yield of 3.68% based on the December 15, 2025 stock price. The dividend is set to be paid on January 30, 2026, to shareholders recorded by January 15, 2026, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAC) stock is a Buy with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Camden National stock, see the CAC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Camden National Boosts Presence with Northway Acquisition
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Camden National Corporation recently completed the acquisition of Northway Financial, which closed on January 2, 2025, with systems conversion in March 2025. This strategic move is expected to bolster Camden National’s presence in Northern New England, with anticipated cost savings and earnings per share accretion. The company is also focusing on digital innovation, with significant increases in digital account origination and customer engagement, enhancing operational efficiency and customer service through AI-driven solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAC) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Camden National stock, see the CAC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Camden National Completes Northway Financial Acquisition
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Camden National Corporation recently completed the acquisition of Northway Financial, which was finalized on January 2, 2025, with systems conversion in March 2025. The acquisition is expected to enhance Camden National’s presence in Northern New England, with significant cost savings and increased earnings per share anticipated. The company’s strategic objectives include expanding commercial banking, bolstering wealth management, and leveraging digital innovations to drive growth and operational excellence.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAC) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Camden National stock, see the CAC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026