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Independent Bank (IBCP)
NASDAQ:IBCP
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Independent Bank (IBCP) AI Stock Analysis

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IBCP

Independent Bank

(NASDAQ:IBCP)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(11.80% Upside)
Independent Bank's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The technical analysis suggests bullish momentum, although caution is warranted due to overbought signals. The valuation is attractive, offering a reasonable P/E ratio and a solid dividend yield. These factors combined indicate a favorable outlook for the stock.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent growth in loans and deposits indicates strong demand for the bank's services, supporting long-term revenue expansion and market position.
Balance Sheet Health
A low debt-to-equity ratio reflects prudent financial management, providing stability and flexibility for future growth and investment opportunities.
Cash Generation
Strong free cash flow growth enhances the bank's ability to invest in new opportunities, pay dividends, and manage debt, supporting long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Nonperforming Assets
Rising nonperforming assets could indicate potential credit quality issues, which may impact profitability and require increased provisions.
Net Interest Margin Decline
A declining net interest margin can pressure profitability, as it reduces the spread between interest income and expenses, affecting long-term earnings.
Operational Cash Flow
Challenges in converting accounting profits into cash flow may hinder the bank's ability to fund operations and growth without relying on external financing.

Independent Bank (IBCP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Independent Bank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndependent Bank Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Independent Bank that provides various banking services to individuals and businesses. The company offers checking and savings accounts, commercial lending, direct and indirect consumer financing, mortgage lending, and safe deposit box services, as well as automatic teller machine, and Internet and mobile banking services. It also provides title insurance, insurance brokerage, and investment services. The company offers its services through approximately 59 branches, two drive-thru facilities, and seven loan production offices in Michigan; and two loan production offices in Ohio. Independent Bank Corporation was founded in 1864 and is based in Grand Rapids, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyIndependent Bank generates revenue primarily through interest income from its loan portfolio, which includes personal loans, business loans, and mortgages. The bank earns interest on loans issued to customers while paying lower interest rates on deposits, creating a net interest margin. Additionally, IBCP earns income from fees associated with account services, ATM transactions, and other banking services. The bank may also engage in investment activities and financial advisory services to diversify its revenue streams. Significant partnerships with local businesses and municipalities enhance its lending portfolio while community engagement fosters customer loyalty, further contributing to its earnings.

Independent Bank Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, driven by strong loan growth, expanding net interest margins, and robust credit metrics. Technological advancements further bolstered operational efficiency. However, challenges were noted in the decline of noninterest income and core deposits, and a decrease in mortgage loan servicing revenue.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Loan Growth
Total loans grew by $91.7 million or 9% annualized. Commercial loan generation was strong with $75.8 million of quarterly growth, marking a 15.3% annualized increase.
Net Interest Margin Expansion
The net interest margin increased by 9 basis points from the prior quarter to 3.58%, with net interest income rising by $3.3 million from the previous year.
Strong Credit Metrics
Nonperforming loans were low at 20 basis points of total loans, with past due loans at 16 basis points. Net charge-offs were minimal at 2 basis points of average loans.
Technological Enhancements
Rolled out new technologies, including AI chat functions, improving customer interaction and operational efficiency.
Negative Updates
Decline in Noninterest Income
Noninterest income totaled $11.3 million, down from $15.2 million in the year-ago quarter, impacted by a lack of gains on equity securities compared to the previous year's gain.
Decrease in Mortgage Loan Servicing Revenue
A decline in mortgage loan servicing revenue due to the sale of approximately $931 million of mortgage servicing rights earlier in the year.
Core Deposit Decline
Core deposits decreased by $15.7 million during the second quarter, with retail deposits down by $13.8 million due to seasonality.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Independent Bank Corporation reported net income of $16.9 million, or $0.81 per diluted share, a decrease from $18.5 million, or $0.88 per diluted share, in the prior year period. Notable metrics include a 9% annualized increase in overall loans, with commercial loans growing by 15.3% annualized, and a 1.4% annualized decline in core deposits due to seasonality. The bank achieved a 9 basis point expansion in net interest margin from the previous quarter, reaching 3.58%. Credit metrics remained strong with nonperforming assets at 16 basis points of total assets and net charge-offs at 2 basis points of average loans. The allowance for credit losses stood at 1.47% of total loans. The company's tangible common equity per share grew by 10.8% compared to the prior year quarter, with a return on average assets of 1.27% and a return on average equity of 14.66%. Total deposits as of June 30, 2025, were reported at $4.7 billion. The bank also repurchased 251,183 shares of common stock for $7.3 million during the quarter.

Independent Bank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Independent Bank demonstrates solid profitability and effective financial management, with strong margins and a reasonable debt profile. While revenue growth has been a concern recently, the bank's ability to maintain profitability and manage debt effectively positions it well in the regional banking sector. Cash flow conversion remains an area for improvement to ensure sustainable financial health.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Independent Bank shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 67-68% and a net profit margin above 20% in recent years. However, the revenue growth rate has been negative in the TTM period, indicating a potential challenge in maintaining growth momentum. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The bank maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which has improved over the years, indicating prudent financial management. Return on equity is strong, consistently above 14%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow metrics reveal a positive trend in free cash flow growth in the TTM period, although previous years showed declines. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains robust, reflecting good cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue314.98M316.33M283.83M224.23M207.12M214.19M
Gross Profit215.66M211.68M193.83M198.79M199.52M185.25M
EBITDA93.75M93.05M83.69M88.61M89.44M78.64M
Net Income68.43M66.79M59.07M63.35M62.90M56.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.49B5.34B5.26B5.00B4.70B4.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments392.62M145.27M849.13M853.72M1.52B1.19B
Total Debt41.85M124.39M129.26M226.10M108.96M108.82M
Total Liabilities5.00B4.88B4.86B4.65B4.31B3.81B
Stockholders Equity490.74M454.69M404.45M347.60M398.48M389.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow76.17M55.20M69.56M88.95M104.32M54.30M
Operating Cash Flow85.24M63.15M75.59M94.63M110.15M58.68M
Investing Cash Flow-162.16M-118.16M-162.94M-424.59M-563.06M-553.91M
Financing Cash Flow164.05M5.11M182.77M294.86M443.68M548.63M

Independent Bank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.99
Price Trends
50DMA
31.09
Positive
100DMA
31.45
Positive
200DMA
31.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Negative
RSI
68.76
Neutral
STOCH
89.55
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IBCP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.19, above the 50-day MA of 31.09, and above the 200-day MA of 31.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.55 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IBCP.

Independent Bank Risk Analysis

Independent Bank disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Independent Bank reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Independent Bank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$685.94M10.1914.51%3.06%4.29%10.56%
76
Outperform
$660.02M15.326.26%4.68%8.23%-0.07%
73
Outperform
$642.21M10.4211.54%1.64%9.34%25.21%
72
Outperform
$614.47M12.529.57%9.79%-0.40%-1.43%
72
Outperform
$616.93M10.8312.97%1.60%5.87%37.99%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
52
Neutral
$603.48M-10.24%2.43%-8.51%-185.08%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IBCP
Independent Bank
33.99
-3.02
-8.16%
EGBN
Eagle Bancorp
20.74
-7.99
-27.81%
FCBC
First Community Bancshares
33.80
-8.70
-20.47%
HTBK
Heritage Commerce
11.36
1.38
13.83%
SMBC
Southern Missouri Bancorp
58.64
-5.86
-9.09%
SPFI
South Plains Financial
38.71
0.52
1.36%

Independent Bank Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Independent Bank to Discuss Strategies at November Conferences
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Independent Bank Corporation announced that its executives will meet with institutional investors and analysts at two financial services conferences in November 2025 to discuss the company’s strategies and recent financial performance. The meetings aim to reinforce the bank’s market position and communicate its growth strategies, which include digital advancements and team investments, to stakeholders. The bank’s consistent growth and profitability, highlighted by 12 consecutive years of dividend increases, underscore its strong market positioning and commitment to shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (IBCP) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independent Bank stock, see the IBCP Stock Forecast page.

Independent Bank Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 29, 2025

Independent Bank Corporation, a Michigan-based bank holding company, operates a branch network across Michigan’s Lower Peninsula providing a full range of financial services including commercial banking, mortgage lending, consumer banking, investments, and insurance. In its third quarter of 2025, Independent Bank Corporation reported a net income of $17.5 million, or $0.84 per diluted share, marking a significant increase from the previous year’s $13.8 million, or $0.65 per diluted share. The bank also saw a 1.7% increase in net interest income over the second quarter of 2025, alongside a 20% annualized increase in tangible common equity per share. Key financial metrics for the quarter included a 3.2% annualized growth in loan balances and a 13% annualized increase in total deposits, excluding brokered time deposits. The bank’s net interest margin was stable at 3.54%, despite a slight decline from the previous quarter due to specific debt-related costs. Non-interest income rose to $11.9 million, driven by mortgage banking revenues, while non-interest expenses increased to $34.1 million. Looking ahead, Independent Bank Corporation remains optimistic about its growth prospects, with management expressing confidence in finishing 2025 strong and expanding its customer base and earnings in 2026.

Independent Bank Corp Reports Strong Q3 Growth
Oct 29, 2025

Independent Bank Corporation’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, underscored by strong financial performance and significant growth in net income, loans, and deposits. Despite minor challenges such as a rise in nonperforming assets and a slight decline in the net interest margin, the overall outlook remains optimistic due to the bank’s robust growth and efficiency improvements.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025