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Great Southern Bancorp (GSBC)
NASDAQ:GSBC
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Great Southern Bancorp (GSBC) AI Stock Analysis

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GSBC

Great Southern Bancorp

(NASDAQ:GSBC)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$67.00
▲(13.23% Upside)
Great Southern Bancorp's strong financial performance and reasonable valuation are the primary drivers of its score. The company's effective cash flow management and stable balance sheet support its growth potential. While technical indicators show a mild upward trend, potential bearish momentum and challenges highlighted in the earnings call, such as declining deposits and future margin pressures, temper the overall score.

Great Southern Bancorp (GSBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Great Southern Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreat Southern Bancorp (GSBC) is a financial services holding company based in the United States, primarily engaged in providing a range of banking services through its subsidiary, Great Southern Bank. The company operates in the banking sector, offering services such as personal and commercial banking, mortgage lending, and investment services. GSBC focuses on serving individuals, small businesses, and corporations within its regional markets, emphasizing customer service and community involvement.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreat Southern Bancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income from its loan portfolio, which includes residential and commercial mortgages, consumer loans, and business loans. The company also earns non-interest income through service fees, account maintenance fees, and investment advisory services. Additionally, GSBC benefits from net interest margin, which is the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits. Partnerships with local businesses for loan syndications and community investment initiatives further contribute to its earnings, helping the bank to expand its customer base and increase its market presence.

Great Southern Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 16, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment overall, with improved net income, a strong net interest margin, solid asset quality, effective expense management, and a robust capital position. However, challenges include a contraction in the loan portfolio, a decrease in total deposits, and a decline in noninterest income.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Net Income
Net income for the quarter was $19.8 million or $1.72 per common share, up from $17 million and $1.45 per share in the same quarter a year ago, driven by higher net interest income and unusually large tax credit partnership income.
Increase in Net Interest Margin
The annualized net interest margin improved to 3.68%, which is 25 basis points above the level from a year ago and 11 basis points higher than the first quarter of 2025.
Strong Asset Quality
Nonperforming assets were $8.1 million, representing 0.14% of total assets, a $1.5 million decrease from March 31, 2025, with no provision for credit losses on outstanding loans in the second quarter.
Effective Expense Management
Noninterest expenses for the second quarter of 2025 were $35 million, down $1.4 million from the $36.4 million in the year ago quarter, despite continued investments in infrastructure and personnel.
Strong Capital Position
Total stockholders' equity increased to $622.4 million, representing 10.6% of total assets, with a book value of $54.61 per common share.
Negative Updates
Loan Portfolio Contraction
Gross loans totaled $4.6 billion, a decline of $157 million or 3.3% from the $4.76 billion at the end of the year, partially due to large loan payoffs.
Decrease in Total Deposits
Total deposits decreased by $73.9 million or 1.6% from the end of the first quarter of 2025 to $4.68 billion, mainly due to a $62.1 million reduction in broker deposits.
Decline in Noninterest Income
Noninterest income for the quarter totaled $8.2 million, a decrease of $1.6 million or 16.5% compared to the second quarter last year, impacted by unusual items in both 2024 and 2025.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. reported solid financial performance with net income rising to $19.8 million, translating to $1.72 per common share, compared to $17 million or $1.45 per share in the same quarter of the previous year. The improvement was attributed to higher net interest income, which climbed to $51 million, marking an 8.9% increase from $46.8 million a year ago, driven by stable loan and investment yields and reduced funding costs. The annualized net interest margin improved to 3.68%, rising 25 basis points year-over-year. Additionally, nonperforming assets decreased to $8.1 million, representing 0.14% of total assets, a $1.5 million decrease from the previous quarter, underscoring the company's strong credit quality. Despite a challenging operating environment, the bank maintained robust expense management, with noninterest expenses decreasing to $35 million from $36.4 million in the prior year quarter. The efficiency ratio improved to 59.16%, reflecting disciplined cost control. Total deposits saw a reduction of $73.9 million from the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to a decline in broker deposits, while total assets stood at $5.85 billion at the end of the quarter. The bank emphasized a commitment to prudent risk management and maintaining strong capital levels, with stockholders' equity increasing to $622.4 million, representing 10.6% of total assets.

Great Southern Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Great Southern Bancorp demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and effective cash flow management. The low leverage and stable balance sheet position the company well for future growth, although modest growth in stockholders' equity may limit leverage opportunities.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Great Southern Bancorp has shown consistent revenue growth with a notable increase of 2.3% in the TTM compared to the previous annual period. The gross profit margin is robust at approximately 62.1%, indicating effective cost management. Net profit margin stands at 18.3%, reflecting strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 22.5% and 24.8%, respectively, highlighting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, which suggests prudent financial leverage. The equity ratio is 10.2%, indicating a stable capital structure. ROE is solid at 10.7%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, stockholders' equity has seen modest growth, which may limit future leverage opportunities.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Free cash flow has grown significantly by 104.3% in the TTM, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.31, indicating effective conversion of earnings to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.22, demonstrating robust free cash flow generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue357.90M355.26M326.91M261.12M236.99M252.75M
Gross Profit222.27M216.99M226.37M227.57M222.00M196.32M
EBITDA88.94M84.45M94.66M103.88M105.50M85.17M
Net Income65.56M61.81M67.80M75.95M74.63M59.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.99B5.98B5.81B5.68B5.45B5.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments642.25M195.76M689.54M659.11M1.22B978.66M
Total Debt176.95M166.34M172.81M189.64M101.60M175.69M
Total Liabilities5.38B5.38B5.24B5.15B4.83B4.90B
Stockholders Equity613.29M599.57M571.83M533.09M616.75M629.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow79.95M39.14M73.40M46.47M79.24M37.70M
Operating Cash Flow86.00M44.06M80.70M66.58M84.98M46.05M
Investing Cash Flow-179.55M-175.39M-88.21M-801.28M190.71M-131.35M
Financing Cash Flow139.28M115.75M50.32M185.95M-122.15M428.87M

Great Southern Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price59.17
Price Trends
50DMA
58.64
Positive
100DMA
56.83
Positive
200DMA
58.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
55.68
Neutral
STOCH
80.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GSBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 59.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58.33, above the 50-day MA of 58.64, and above the 200-day MA of 58.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GSBC.

Great Southern Bancorp Risk Analysis

Great Southern Bancorp disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Great Southern Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Great Southern Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$670.30M10.0911.48%2.70%4.55%16.84%
78
Outperform
$661.81M13.626.92%0.39%17.31%251.27%
71
Outperform
$703.36M13.556.84%4.01%7.86%170.93%
70
Outperform
$655.15M12.278.47%4.34%22.21%6.20%
69
Neutral
$638.89M10.0514.39%3.25%3.17%-1.53%
68
Neutral
$17.56B11.6310.45%3.85%9.69%1.92%
52
Neutral
$547.55M-2.63%3.66%-2.45%15.35%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GSBC
Great Southern Bancorp
59.69
4.19
7.55%
CAC
Camden National
38.72
2.20
6.02%
EGBN
Eagle Bancorp
18.03
-1.87
-9.40%
HBNC
Horizon Bancorp
16.02
1.60
11.10%
IBCP
Independent Bank
31.38
-0.20
-0.63%
NBBK
NB Bancorp, Inc.
18.13
0.14
0.78%

Great Southern Bancorp Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Great Southern Bancorp Reports Q2 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Jul 17, 2025

Great Southern Bancorp reported preliminary second-quarter 2025 earnings of $1.72 per diluted common share, reflecting a net income of $19.8 million, up from $1.45 per share and $17.0 million in the same period last year. The company saw an 8.9% increase in net interest income due to lower interest expenses, alongside a decrease in non-performing assets and strong capital and liquidity positions, which supported strategic growth opportunities and shareholder value returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (GSBC) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Southern Bancorp stock, see the GSBC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Great Southern Bancorp Reports Diverse Loan Portfolio
Neutral
Jul 16, 2025

As of June 30, 2025, Great Southern Bancorp reported a diverse loan portfolio totaling $4.61 billion, with significant allocations in multi-family and commercial real estate sectors. The company’s strategic regional presence, particularly in St. Louis and Texas, highlights its focus on expanding its market share in key areas, which could impact its competitive positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GSBC) stock is a Hold with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Southern Bancorp stock, see the GSBC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Great Southern Bancorp Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. announced a quarterly dividend of $0.40 per common share for the second quarter of 2025, marking the 142nd consecutive quarterly dividend. This dividend will be payable on July 15, 2025, to stockholders of record as of June 30, 2025, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GSBC) stock is a Hold with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Southern Bancorp stock, see the GSBC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Great Southern Bancorp Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders where a quorum was present. The meeting resulted in the election of three directors for a three-year term, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of Forvis Mazars, LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GSBC) stock is a Hold with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Southern Bancorp stock, see the GSBC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025