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Great Southern Bancorp
(NASDAQ:GSBC)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$85.00
â–²(24.47% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/16/26
GSBC scores as a stable, moderately attractive regional bank: solid profitability/cash generation is tempered by slowing revenue and higher leverage. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend and healthy (not overbought) momentum. Valuation adds support via a low P/E and steady dividend yield, while the latest earnings call was mixed due to near-term earnings and balance-sheet contraction despite credible cost-savings plans and strong credit/capital metrics.
Positive Factors
Cash generation & profitability
Consistent free cash flow covering most net income and positive FCF growth provide durable internal funding for dividends, capital needs and buybacks. Reliable cash conversion strengthens resilience to revenue volatility and supports allocation flexibility over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Loan and deposit contraction
Marked loan payoffs and deposit runoff reduce earning asset balances and funding stability. Reliance on FHLB borrowings to replace some brokered funding can compress NIM and makes interest income and balance-sheet growth more volatile over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation & profitability
Consistent free cash flow covering most net income and positive FCF growth provide durable internal funding for dividends, capital needs and buybacks. Reliable cash conversion strengthens resilience to revenue volatility and supports allocation flexibility over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Great Southern Bancorp (GSBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$857.40M
Dividend Yield2.21%
Average Volume (3M)38.85K
Price to Earnings (P/E)12.9
Beta (1Y)0.73
Revenue Growth-8.97%
EPS Growth3.23%
CountryUS
Employees1,075
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryBanks - Regional
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)6.32
Shares Outstanding10,893,203
10 Day Avg. Volume44,382
30 Day Avg. Volume38,848
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.55
Price to Book (P/B)1.10
Price to Sales (P/S)2.04
P/FCF Ratio10.59
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$74.00Price Target Upside8.36% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)5.75
Revenue Forecast (FY)$222.16M
Great Southern Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. functions as the bank holding company for Great Southern Bank, delivering a wide array of financial services across the United States. For depositors, the institution offers various account types, including standard sa...
How the Company Makes Money
GSBC primarily earns money through its banking subsidiary by (1) generating net interest income and (2) collecting noninterest income, while also managing credit costs and operating expenses. Net interest income is typically the largest earnings d...
Great Southern Bancorp Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 15, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: the bank demonstrated resilience with an expanded net interest margin, strong capital ratios and low nonperforming assets, and a robust loan pipeline. However, these positives were offset by meaningful declines in quarterly net income and EPS, sequential and year-to-date loan and deposit reductions, rising noninterest expense (even after excluding one-time items), and a charge-off in the quarter. Management is taking cost actions (branch consolidations, workforce reductions) expected to produce savings beginning Q4 2026, but near-term earnings and balance sheet volatility remain notable.Positive Updates
Net Interest Margin Expansion
Annualized net interest margin expanded to 3.76% in Q2 2026 from 3.68% in Q2 2025 and 3.71% in Q1 2026, reflecting disciplined funding cost management despite headwinds (absence of $2.0M prior swap income).
Negative Updates
Quarterly Net Income and EPS Decline
Preliminary Q2 2026 net income was $15.8 million ($1.43 diluted EPS) versus $19.8 million ($1.72) in Q2 2025 — a decline of ~$4.0 million (~20.2% in net income; EPS down ~16.9% year-over-year). First-half 2026 net income also fell to $33.3 million vs $36.9 million in first-half 2025.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Net Interest Margin Expansion
Annualized net interest margin expanded to 3.76% in Q2 2026 from 3.68% in Q2 2025 and 3.71% in Q1 2026, reflecting disciplined funding cost management despite headwinds (absence of $2.0M prior swap income).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company’s forward-looking guidance focused primarily on cost savings, capital allocation and tax expectations: management expects the planned consolidation of 9 branches and related workforce reductions to generate $4.4–$4.8 million of annual noninterest expense savings beginning in Q4 2026 and roughly $2.3–$2.7 million of annual pretax income improvement (Q4 start), after incurring $2.1 million of one‑time costs in Q2 (a $1.4M valuation allowance, $561K severance and $163K lease expense); core noninterest expense in Q2 was $36.1M (total $38.2M). They reiterated no loan loss provision for the period (provision for unfunded commitments was $8K), an allowance for credit losses of 1.46% of loans, NPAs at $9.4M (0.17% of assets), and a strong liquidity/capital position (total assets ~$5.52B, deposits ~$4.3B with $665M uninsured/15.5%, loan commitments $1.07B including $532M unfunded construction, secured borrowing availability FHLB $1.23B and FRB $320M, cash equivalents $180M, stockholders’ equity $642M or 11.6% of assets, book value $58.95). Management also said it expects a combined federal/state effective tax rate of roughly 18.0%–19.5% going forward and will continue to evaluate capital uses (remaining repurchase authorization ~304K shares) while declining to provide specific loan‑growth guidance given payoff volatility.Great Southern Bancorp Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
73
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
71
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 327.99M | 343.30M | 355.26M | 326.91M | 261.12M | 236.99M |
| Gross Profit | 222.17M | 229.76M | 216.99M | 226.37M | 227.57M | 222.00M |
| EBITDA | 85.85M | 95.81M | 84.45M | 94.66M | 103.88M | 105.50M |
| Net Income | 71.29M | 70.97M | 61.81M | 67.80M | 75.95M | 74.63M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.69B | 5.60B | 5.98B | 5.81B | 5.68B | 5.45B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 101.41M | 661.99M | 729.13M | 689.54M | 659.11M | 1.22B |
| Total Debt | 533.63M | 405.17M | 166.34M | 172.81M | 277.98M | 238.32M |
| Total Liabilities | 5.05B | 4.96B | 5.38B | 5.24B | 5.15B | 4.83B |
| Stockholders Equity | 633.63M | 636.13M | 599.57M | 571.83M | 533.09M | 616.75M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 76.87M | 66.24M | 39.14M | 73.40M | 46.47M | 79.24M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 87.70M | 77.71M | 44.06M | 80.70M | 66.58M | 84.98M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 257.96M | 370.99M | -175.39M | -88.21M | -801.28M | 190.71M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -375.44M | -454.90M | 115.75M | 50.32M | 185.95M | -122.15M |
Great Southern Bancorp Technical Analysis
Positive
68.29
Price Trends
74.14
Positive
69.25
Positive
64.72
Positive
Market Momentum
1.12
Positive
54.38
Neutral
48.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GSBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 68.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.01, below the 50-day MA of 74.14, and above the 200-day MA of 64.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GSBC.
Great Southern Bancorp Risk Analysis
Great Southern Bancorp disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Great Southern Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Great Southern Bancorp Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $893.92M | 15.48 | 6.26% | 2.58% | 17.28% | -22.85% | |
73 Outperform | $973.35M | 15.39 | 9.21% | 3.48% | 6.50% | 28.40% | |
73 Outperform | $1.05B | 15.27 | 15.32% | 2.18% | 19.90% | 38.87% | |
72 Outperform | $816.07M | 12.26 | 11.25% | 1.12% | -1.41% | 23.15% | |
70 Outperform | $857.40M | 12.87 | 11.29% | 2.48% | -8.97% | 3.23% | |
69 Neutral | $1.01B | 10.76 | 10.06% | 2.12% | 9.48% | 15.28% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% |
* Financial Sector Average
GSBC
Great Southern Bancorp
77.79
18.74
31.73%
MPB
Mid Penn Bancorp
34.89
6.74
23.96%
TRST
TrustCo Bank
55.94
21.24
61.22%
HTB
Hometrust Bancshares
48.22
7.82
19.35%
BFST
Business First Bancshares
30.49
4.86
18.97%
FSBC
Five Star
48.37
18.70
63.02%
Great Southern Bancorp Corporate Events
Dividends
Great Southern Bancorp Declares Second-Quarter 2026 Cash Dividend
Positive
Jun 17, 2026
On June 17, 2026, Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. announced that its board of directors declared a second-quarter cash dividend of $0.43 per common share for the calendar year ending December 31, 2026. The dividend, marking the company’s 146th ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Great Southern Bancorp Shareholders Approve Directors and Incentive Plan
Positive
May 15, 2026
At its annual meeting held on May 13, 2026, Great Southern Bancorp shareholders elected four directors—Kevin R. Ausburn, Amelia A. Counts, Steven D. Edwards and Douglas M. Pitt—to three-year terms, with all nominees receiving sufficien...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.