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Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB)
NASDAQ:MPB
US Market
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Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) AI Stock Analysis

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MPB

Mid Penn Bancorp

(NASDAQ:MPB)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$43.00
â–²(15.68% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/07/26
MPB scores well primarily on solid financial performance (steady growth, healthy margins, conservative current leverage, and strong FCF-to-earnings quality) and strong technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation is reasonable (mid-teens P/E with a ~2.45% dividend yield), and recent corporate actions (dividend hike and buybacks) add support, partially offset by below-2022 profitability levels, softer recent FCF growth, and historical leverage volatility.
Positive Factors
Scale & revenue diversification from acquisitions
Acquisitions and the addition of AUM/fee businesses materially enlarge scale and diversify revenue beyond net interest income. A larger loan book and deposits broaden core earning assets, while fee businesses (AUM) smooth earnings and reduce reliance on interest-rate cycles, improving durable resilience.
Negative Factors
Profitability normalized below 2022 peak
Margins have compressed materially from 2022 highs, implying that prior peak profitability included transient advantages or one-offs. Sustaining growth will require persistent NIM improvement, cost discipline, or material fee income growth; otherwise earnings power may remain structurally lower.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Scale & revenue diversification from acquisitions
Acquisitions and the addition of AUM/fee businesses materially enlarge scale and diversify revenue beyond net interest income. A larger loan book and deposits broaden core earning assets, while fee businesses (AUM) smooth earnings and reduce reliance on interest-rate cycles, improving durable resilience.
Read all positive factors

Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mid Penn Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. functions as the parent entity for Mid Penn Bank, offering a comprehensive suite of commercial banking services to a diverse client base, including individuals, business partnerships, non-profit organizations, and corporate ...
How the Company Makes Money
Mid Penn Bancorp primarily makes money through its banking subsidiary by generating net interest income and noninterest income. Net interest income is earned from the spread between interest income on loans and investment securities and interest e...

Mid Penn Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid: revenue has grown steadily (2021–TTM) and TTM profitability remains healthy (~18.4% net margin; ~24.1% EBIT margin). Balance sheet leverage is currently conservative (debt-to-equity ~0.17) with improving ROE (~8.0%), and free cash flow is strong relative to earnings (~95.7% of net income). Offsets include margins/returns still below the 2022 peak, recent FCF growth turning slightly negative (-5.5% TTM), and prior leverage volatility (debt-to-equity peaked ~0.66 in 2023).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue371.10M326.93M306.71M254.38M187.25M143.83M
Gross Profit245.70M200.96M174.66M161.72M165.18M126.13M
EBITDA95.77M77.41M66.86M51.55M73.82M40.73M
Net Income68.14M56.25M49.44M37.40M54.81M29.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.06B6.13B5.47B5.29B4.50B4.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments964.61M52.14M311.97M303.66M296.08M250.49M
Total Debt156.68M59.38M79.44M356.17M71.08M166.91M
Total Liabilities6.16B5.32B4.82B4.75B3.99B4.20B
Stockholders Equity901.91M814.06M655.02M542.35M512.10M490.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow82.62M71.80M44.47M49.57M55.74M62.40M
Operating Cash Flow86.37M80.03M51.39M52.34M59.99M65.90M
Investing Cash Flow-152.69M83.17M-208.74M-408.93M-704.71M169.37M
Financing Cash Flow-183.88M-134.85M131.16M392.47M-208.15M374.76M

Mid Penn Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price37.17
Price Trends
50DMA
35.69
Positive
100DMA
34.11
Positive
200DMA
32.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.65
Positive
RSI
49.26
Neutral
STOCH
48.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MPB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 37.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.86, above the 50-day MA of 35.69, and above the 200-day MA of 32.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MPB.

Mid Penn Bancorp Risk Analysis

Mid Penn Bancorp disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mid Penn Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mid Penn Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$849.53M8.9614.46%2.68%-0.52%98.41%
77
Outperform
$964.51M12.518.02%2.45%20.29%19.48%
76
Outperform
$1.14B13.3315.92%1.92%18.89%38.49%
74
Outperform
$971.81M11.0413.02%2.83%8.25%36.33%
74
Outperform
$1.04B11.019.85%1.87%8.88%11.73%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$870.93M13.0010.58%2.17%-8.87%3.26%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MPB
Mid Penn Bancorp
37.02
9.35
33.79%
THFF
First Financial Indiana
78.82
25.17
46.90%
GSBC
Great Southern Bancorp
78.53
19.75
33.60%
ORRF
Orrstown Financial Services
41.76
9.63
29.97%
BFST
Business First Bancshares
31.05
7.63
32.56%
FSBC
Five Star
45.18
14.49
47.20%

Mid Penn Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Mid Penn Bancorp Highlights Q3 2026 Investor Strategy
Positive
Jul 28, 2026
Mid Penn Bancorp disclosed an updated investor presentation to be used in meetings with investors and analysts during the third quarter of 2026, outlining its financial condition and strategic positioning as of June 30, 2026. The materials highlig...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Mid Penn Bancorp Posts Strong Q2 Earnings, Hikes Dividend
Positive
Jul 22, 2026
Mid Penn Bancorp reported a sharp improvement in performance for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with net income available to common shareholders rising to $21.7 million, or $0.85 per diluted share, from $4.8 million, or $0.22 per share, a year e...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Mid Penn Shareholders Reelect Directors and Approve Governance Items
Positive
May 12, 2026
On May 12, 2026, Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, with 20,120,398 of 25,339,110 eligible shares represented in person or by proxy. Shareholders elected five individuals as Class A directors to three-year terms, reaff...
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Mid Penn Bancorp Holds 2026 Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 12, 2026
On May 12, 2026, Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. plans to hold its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where formal business will include the election of five Class A directors for three-year terms and the introduction of the company’s board and senior m...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2026