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Financial Institutions Inc (FISI)
NASDAQ:FISI
US Market

Financial Institutions (FISI) AI Stock Analysis

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FISI

Financial Institutions

(NASDAQ:FISI)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(8.66% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/10/26
The score is driven by a solid but uneven financial profile (strong 2025 rebound but historically volatile earnings/cash flow) and attractive valuation (low P/E and ~4% dividend). These positives are partially offset by weak near-term technicals (negative MACD and price below key moving averages), while the latest earnings call guidance was supportive overall.
Positive Factors
Earnings rebound (2025)
A material recovery in 2025 with +41.7% revenue and return to profitability demonstrates the franchise can generate healthy earnings when market conditions normalize. This improves sustainable earnings capacity, supports dividends and capital rebuilding over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generation
Material year-to-year swings in operating and free cash flow reduce predictability for reinvestment, dividends and buybacks. A 21.7% FCF decline in 2025 highlights execution sensitivity and could constrain capital deployment if volatility persists across economic cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Earnings rebound (2025)
A material recovery in 2025 with +41.7% revenue and return to profitability demonstrates the franchise can generate healthy earnings when market conditions normalize. This improves sustainable earnings capacity, supports dividends and capital rebuilding over multiple quarters.
Read all positive factors

Financial Institutions (FISI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Financial Institutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Financial Institutions, Inc. operates as a holding company for the Five Star Bank, a chartered bank that provides banking and financial services to individuals, municipalities, and businesses in New York. The company offers checking and savings ac...
How the Company Makes Money
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Financial Institutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a majority of positive operating and financial developments — solid profitability, year-over-year margin expansion, loan and AUM growth, disciplined capital actions, and constructive 2026 guidance (higher ROA target, NIM expansion and efficiency goals). Offsetting items include short-term margin sensitivity to rate/timing effects, intentional runoff in the indirect auto portfolio, deposit seasonality and BaaS wind-down, and expected higher personnel/medical costs in 2026. On balance, the company’s fundamentals, improved capital position, and upward guidance outweigh the headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong Profitability
Net income available to common shareholders of $19.6 million in Q4 (EPS $0.96) and $73.4 million for FY2025 (EPS $3.61). Return on average assets of 120 bps and return on average equity of 12.38%, both above annual guidance.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Margin Compression and Rate Sensitivity
Quarterly NIM was down 3 bps Q/Q and average loan yields decreased ~9 bps vs Q3 due in part to timing of the October rate cut and sub-debt activity. Management notes margin guidance excludes potential future rate cuts.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Profitability
Net income available to common shareholders of $19.6 million in Q4 (EPS $0.96) and $73.4 million for FY2025 (EPS $3.61). Return on average assets of 120 bps and return on average equity of 12.38%, both above annual guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to a strong 2026 performance, targeting return on average assets of at least 122 basis points and return on average equity above 11.9%, with an efficiency ratio below 58% and a full‑year NIM in the mid‑3.60s; they expect about 5% loan growth (driven by commercial), low single‑digit deposit growth, and low single‑digit noninterest expense growth (with mid‑single‑digit salary & benefit increases). Key 2025 metrics cited as context include net income available to common of $19.6 million ($0.96 diluted) in Q4 and $73.4 million ($3.61) for the year, ROA of 120 bps, ROE of 12.38%, NII of $200 million, noninterest income of $45 million, full‑year margin of 3.53% (Q4 3.62%), total loans of $4.66 billion (up 1.5% Q/Q and 4% YoY), period‑end deposits of $5.21 billion (down 2.8% Q/Q, up 2% YoY), ACL/total loans of 102 bps, net charge‑offs budgeted at 25–35 bps (24 bps in 2025), CET1 at ~11.1% with an expected 40–50 bps build, $80 million of five‑year sub‑debt issued at 6.5%, Q4 buybacks of ~1.7% of shares (~$11 million; ~337k shares), AUM of $3.6 billion (up $500.4 million, 16%), COLI income expected to normalize to ~$10.5 million, and swap fees guided to $1–2 million.

Financial Institutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
2025 showed a strong rebound (sharp revenue growth and a return to solid profitability), and leverage looks reasonable with improving capital metrics. However, results and cash generation have been notably volatile across years, and 2025 free cash flow declined versus 2024, which tempers confidence in consistency.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue377.94M264.17M332.59M241.09M212.03M
Gross Profit233.31M88.03M197.29M198.25M207.89M
EBITDA91.35M-60.47M71.14M79.08M105.27M
Net Income74.87M-41.65M50.26M56.57M77.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.27B6.12B6.16B5.80B5.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.07B87.33M1.01B1.08B1.26B
Total Debt334.23M256.61M343.32M312.45M103.91M
Total Liabilities5.65B5.55B5.71B5.39B5.02B
Stockholders Equity628.85M568.98M454.80M405.61M505.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.60M72.15M7.90M125.20M63.56M
Operating Cash Flow18.80M77.13M10.89M133.57M72.96M
Investing Cash Flow-140.04M-8.23M-310.09M-325.16M-633.42M
Financing Cash Flow142.67M-106.02M293.17M242.94M545.69M

Financial Institutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.05
Price Trends
50DMA
32.22
Positive
100DMA
31.55
Positive
200DMA
28.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.62
Negative
RSI
70.59
Negative
STOCH
90.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FISI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.71, above the 50-day MA of 32.22, and above the 200-day MA of 28.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.59 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FISI.

Financial Institutions Risk Analysis

Financial Institutions disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Financial Institutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Financial Institutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$559.62M8.9517.76%1.08%11.38%36.10%
71
Outperform
$679.54M7.9113.12%9.12%45.83%
70
Outperform
$516.80M8.1314.79%1.53%24.90%28.06%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$823.99M9.1812.01%4.95%3.93%17.48%
66
Neutral
$668.54M8.37-4.98%3.89%-28.00%-174.60%
62
Neutral
$587.82M14.047.42%3.92%4.26%-16.52%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FISI
Financial Institutions
34.05
13.10
62.56%
BHB
Bar Harbor Bankshares
35.11
8.51
32.00%
FMNB
Farmers National Banc Oh
13.89
2.49
21.79%
UNTY
Unity Bancorp
55.87
16.51
41.95%
CBNK
Capital Bancorp
31.57
5.47
20.96%
TCBX
Third Coast Bancshares
41.22
13.18
47.00%

Financial Institutions Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Financial Institutions Announces Planned Retirement of Longtime Director
Neutral
Mar 10, 2026
On March 4, 2026, Financial Institutions, Inc. announced that longtime director Donald K. Boswell will retire from the boards of both the company and its wholly owned subsidiary, Five Star Bank, after nine years of service, effective immediately f...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Financial Institutions Increases Quarterly Dividend, Signals Earnings Confidence
Positive
Feb 12, 2026
Financial Institutions, Inc., parent of Five Star Bank and Courier Capital, reported on February 12, 2026, that its board approved a 3.2% increase in the quarterly common stock dividend to $0.32 per share, citing strong 2025 profitability, a solid...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Financial Institutions Posts Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Turnaround
Positive
Jan 29, 2026
On January 29, 2026, Financial Institutions, Inc. reported that net income available to common shareholders reached $19.6 million, or $0.96 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2025 and $73.4 million, or $3.61 per diluted share, for full-y...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026