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Third Coast Bancshares (TCBX)
NASDAQ:TCBX
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Third Coast Bancshares (TCBX) AI Stock Analysis

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TCBX

Third Coast Bancshares

(NASDAQ:TCBX)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$42.00
▲(7.69%Upside)
Third Coast Bancshares shows strength in financial performance and strategic corporate actions, supporting a positive outlook. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum but caution due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation is reasonable, though the lack of dividends might limit appeal for some investors. Earnings call insights reinforce the company's growth potential, despite noted credit quality challenges.

Third Coast Bancshares (TCBX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Third Coast Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThird Coast Bancshares, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Third Coast Bank, SSB that provides various commercial banking solutions to small and medium-sized businesses, and professionals. The company's deposit products include checking, savings, individual retirement, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. It also offers commercial and industrial loans, such as equipment loans, working capital, auto finance, and commercial finance. In addition, the company provides treasury management consumer and commercial online banking services, mobile applications, safe deposit boxes, and wire transfer services, as well as debit cards. It operates through eleven branches in Greater Houston, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Austin-San Antonio; and one branch in Detroit, Texas. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Humble, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyThird Coast Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from its lending activities. This includes interest earned on loans such as commercial and industrial loans, real estate loans, and consumer loans. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income through fees and services associated with its deposit products, treasury management services, and other financial services. The bank also benefits from strategic partnerships and local market penetration, which enhance its ability to attract deposits and lend to a diversified client base. By maintaining a strong focus on local businesses and individuals, Third Coast Bancshares leverages its community relationships to drive growth and profitability.

Third Coast Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.53%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall, the earnings call highlighted Third Coast Bancshares' strong financial performance, successful securitization strategy, and robust loan growth, positioning it among the top-performing banks. However, challenges were noted in credit quality with increases in nonperforming loans and net charge-offs. The bank remains optimistic about future growth and maintaining credit discipline.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Securitization Deals
Closed two securitization deals this quarter, reducing risk-weighted assets and lowering construction concentrations. Nominated for North American Transaction of the Year and North American Issuer of the Year at the 2025 SCI Risk Sharing Award Ceremony.
Strong Financial Performance
Net income of $15.6 million, up 25% from the first quarter of 2025. Return on assets at 1.38% and return on equity at 14.7%.
Improved Net Interest Margin
Net interest income increased by $6.6 million or 15.4% from the first quarter, with a net interest margin improvement to 4.22%.
Robust Loan Growth
Second quarter loans grew by $91.7 million, with a compound annual growth of 21.1% since public debut. Loan demand remains strong, with loans up $50 million in July.
Enhanced Efficiency Ratio
Improved efficiency ratio to 55.45% in the second quarter, down from 61.39% a year ago.
Negative Updates
Nonperforming Loans Increase
Nonperforming loans increased by $1.5 million from the previous quarter, although $4.3 million less than the same period a year ago.
Net Charge-offs Increase
Net charge-offs to average loans increased by 20 basis points quarter-over-quarter, impacted by a $1.7 million write-off of a factoring client.
Provision Expense Rise
Increase in provision expense by $1.68 million due to credit quality challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Third Coast Bancshares Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call, management provided detailed updates on the company's performance and future outlook. The bank reported a 25% increase in net income to $15.6 million, resulting in a return on assets (ROA) of 1.38% and a return on equity (ROE) of 14.7%. Net interest income rose by 15.4%, attributed in part to two securitization transactions that generated approximately $2 million in fee income. The bank's loan portfolio grew by $91.7 million in the second quarter, with an annualized growth rate of 21.1% since 2021. The net interest margin improved to 4.22%, with projections for the third and fourth quarters ranging from 3.90% to 3.95%. Despite a slight increase in nonperforming loans, asset quality remained strong, with a decline in nonaccrual loans by $3.7 million. The bank's efficiency ratio improved to 55.45%, down from 61.39% a year ago. Looking ahead, Third Coast plans to maintain robust loan growth, optimize net interest margins, and uphold superior credit quality while strategically navigating the financial services landscape.

Third Coast Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Third Coast Bancshares showcases strong financial health with robust revenue growth, solid profitability, and effective cost management. The stable balance sheet and manageable debt levels, alongside reasonable equity capitalization, underpin its strong financial position. However, there is room for improvement in cash flow growth, which slightly tempers the overall financial performance score.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Third Coast Bancshares displays strong financial health with improving revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 50.22%, and the net profit margin is 14.91%. The company achieved a notable revenue growth rate of 24.50% from 2023 to 2024, demonstrating robust operational performance. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 19.27% and 20.66% respectively, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Third Coast Bancshares is stable, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28, highlighting a conservative leverage approach. Return on equity (ROE) is a healthy 10.60%, reflecting strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is 9.80%, which is reasonable, though there might be room for improvement in terms of equity capitalization. Overall, the company maintains a strong financial position with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow management is sound, with operating cash flow covering net income, resulting in an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.71. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.67, indicating effective cash generation from operations. Free cash flow growth has been positive, although not exceedingly high. The company must continue to focus on enhancing free cash flow to ensure long-term financial stability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue338.07M274.08M160.18M103.19M83.55M
Gross Profit164.77M140.74M110.49M83.20M61.64M
EBITDA65.97M45.56M25.72M14.21M15.69M
Net Income47.67M33.40M18.66M11.42M12.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.94B4.40B3.77B2.50B1.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments755.54M475.01M505.93M353.30M226.99M
Total Debt132.53M141.71M129.43M1.00M33.88M
Total Liabilities4.48B3.98B3.39B2.20B1.75B
Stockholders Equity460.72M411.97M381.78M299.01M121.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow33.37M35.64M9.60M-1.04M-5.01M
Operating Cash Flow35.14M39.08M21.79M4.58M-3.65M
Investing Cash Flow-520.93M-529.53M-1.24B-500.06M-500.01M
Financing Cash Flow495.15M570.29M1.22B618.94M611.16M

Third Coast Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.00
Price Trends
50DMA
32.97
Positive
100DMA
32.03
Positive
200DMA
33.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.17
Positive
RSI
65.12
Neutral
STOCH
77.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCBX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.65, above the 50-day MA of 32.97, and above the 200-day MA of 33.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TCBX.

Third Coast Bancshares Risk Analysis

Third Coast Bancshares disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Third Coast Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Third Coast Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$406.19M8.6814.31%2.21%8.45%21.74%
77
Outperform
$513.49M12.7212.21%10.44%62.82%
73
Outperform
$474.19M10.7416.69%2.93%27.34%39.43%
69
Neutral
$452.82M24.414.37%3.67%38.01%-58.08%
60
Neutral
$421.54M16.43-5.24%7.10%-6.64%-233.17%
58
Neutral
HK$92.81B5.77-3.20%4.92%5.50%-56.25%
53
Neutral
$411.11M-8.68%0.20%3.61%65.61%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCBX
Third Coast Bancshares
39.00
15.63
66.88%
FBIZ
First Business Financial
47.77
2.77
6.16%
FFIC
Flushing Financial
12.39
-1.43
-10.35%
NRIM
Northrim Bancorp
85.60
19.40
29.31%
FFWM
First Foundation
4.93
-2.07
-29.57%
COFS
ChoiceOne Financial Services
29.92
3.39
12.78%

Third Coast Bancshares Corporate Events

Dividends
Third Coast Bancshares Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $17.0625 per share on its 6.75% Series A Convertible Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock. The dividend, payable on July 15, 2025, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may impact its financial strategy and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TCBX) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Third Coast Bancshares stock, see the TCBX Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Third Coast Bancshares Announces New Share Repurchase Program
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. announced a new share repurchase program authorized by its Board of Directors, allowing the company to buy back up to $30 million of its common stock by May 22, 2026. The program, which received non-objection from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, offers flexibility in repurchase methods and is subject to various factors, potentially impacting the company’s capital strategy and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TCBX) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Third Coast Bancshares stock, see the TCBX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Third Coast Bancshares Completes $150M Securitization Deal
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Third Coast Bank, a subsidiary of Third Coast Bancshares, Inc., entered into a $150 million securitization transaction involving commercial real estate loans. This transaction, sponsored by EJF Capital LLC, is expected to reduce the Bank’s risk-weighted assets and loan concentration risk, while diversifying its loan portfolio. The transaction highlights the Bank’s strategic efforts to enhance its financial stability and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (TCBX) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Third Coast Bancshares stock, see the TCBX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Third Coast Bancshares Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. The shareholders elected new members to the board of directors across different classes, with terms extending to the 2026, 2027, and 2028 annual meetings, respectively. Additionally, the shareholders ratified the appointment of Whitley Penn LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TCBX) stock is a Hold with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Third Coast Bancshares stock, see the TCBX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025