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California BanCorp (BCAL)
NASDAQ:BCAL
US Market
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California BanCorp (BCAL) AI Stock Analysis

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BCAL

California BanCorp

(NASDAQ:BCAL)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$21.50
▲(8.70% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/29/26
The score is driven primarily by improved profitability and returns, conservative balance-sheet leverage, and strong cash conversion, partially offset by slightly negative TTM revenue growth. Technicals add support with price above key moving averages and a positive MACD, while valuation is reasonable with a modest P/E and a small dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage and capital base
A low debt-to-equity ratio (~0.09) and expanded shareholders’ equity provide durable capital and regulatory cushion. This conservatism supports stable lending capacity, crisis resilience, and gives management flexibility to deploy capital into lending, dividends, or buybacks without immediate funding stress.
Negative Factors
Paused top-line growth
A modest TTM revenue decline (-1.6%) implies the bank is not currently expanding its core lending or fee base fast enough to drive sustained profit growth. Over months, stagnant revenue makes it harder to lift margins or ROE without cost cuts or balance-sheet expansion, raising execution demands on management.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative leverage and capital base
A low debt-to-equity ratio (~0.09) and expanded shareholders’ equity provide durable capital and regulatory cushion. This conservatism supports stable lending capacity, crisis resilience, and gives management flexibility to deploy capital into lending, dividends, or buybacks without immediate funding stress.
Read all positive factors

California BanCorp (BCAL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

California BanCorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Southern California Bancorp operates as the holding company for Bank of Southern California, N.A. that provides various financial products to individuals, professionals, and small-to medium-sized businesses. The company offers checking, personal a...
How the Company Makes Money
California BanCorp makes money primarily through its banking subsidiary by (1) earning net interest income and (2) generating noninterest income. Net interest income is the largest driver for most commercial banks and comes from the spread between...

California BanCorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong rebound in profitability versus 2024 with solid TTM margins and improved ROE (~10.6%), supported by conservative leverage (~0.09 debt/equity) and cash-backed earnings (FCF ~1.0x net income). The main constraint is slightly declining TTM revenue (~-1.6%), which signals paused growth momentum.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue229.27M233.00M184.58M126.90M98.02M71.56M
Gross Profit180.68M184.93M106.07M96.60M86.27M67.00M
EBITDA86.14M87.96M11.90M38.77M23.98M15.91M
Net Income60.00M63.06M5.43M25.91M16.11M10.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.05B4.03B4.03B2.36B2.28B2.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments355.01M286.90M202.47M163.04M172.88M78.00M
Total Debt53.41M71.70M88.03M114.98M78.83M29.41M
Total Liabilities3.47B3.46B3.52B2.07B2.02B2.02B
Stockholders Equity577.84M576.59M511.84M288.15M260.36M246.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow58.36M56.94M49.74M32.80M12.27M17.90M
Operating Cash Flow58.84M57.29M50.29M33.10M13.35M19.65M
Investing Cash Flow-80.04M29.75M524.65M-78.93M-512.70M8.52M
Financing Cash Flow-6.90M-75.29M-273.58M45.86M6.10M301.01M

California BanCorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.78
Price Trends
50DMA
18.41
Positive
100DMA
18.38
Positive
200DMA
18.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
53.95
Neutral
STOCH
70.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCAL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.87, above the 50-day MA of 18.41, and above the 200-day MA of 18.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BCAL.

California BanCorp Risk Analysis

California BanCorp disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. California BanCorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

California BanCorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$612.42M10.3210.59%12.65%304.57%
76
Outperform
$707.33M8.9112.72%3.89%41.30%
74
Outperform
$682.50M10.9810.76%2.66%4.05%26.62%
72
Outperform
$840.26M11.1510.62%4.95%7.00%12.93%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
61
Neutral
$617.92M11.719.79%7.17%25.15%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCAL
California BanCorp
18.98
4.20
28.44%
FMNB
Farmers National Banc Oh
14.18
1.57
12.49%
FISI
Financial Institutions
36.23
11.51
46.57%
SHBI
Shore Bancshares
20.66
6.48
45.71%
WASH
Washington Bancorp
32.57
6.92
27.00%

California BanCorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
California BanCorp Shareholders Approve Equity Plan, Elect Directors
Positive
May 28, 2026
California BanCorp held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 27, 2026, where investors approved the company’s 2026 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan and re-elected ten directors to one-year terms, signaling continued support for curren...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
California BanCorp Resolves Nonaccrual Loans, Reduces Credit Risk
Positive
May 5, 2026
On April 28, 2026, California BanCorp reported that the borrower on two nonaccrual loans, secured by a 123-acre event venue property in the Los Angeles area, was pursuing a cash sale of the underlying collateral. The company later confirmed that t...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
California BanCorp Posts Lower Q1 Earnings After Merger Expansion
Negative
Apr 28, 2026
Following its merger-driven expansion, California BanCorp reported net income of $13.8 million, or $0.42 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2026, down from both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the prior-year period. Management highlighted ...
Dividends
California BanCorp Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
On March 12, 2026, California BanCorp’s board of directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share on the company’s common stock. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on April 15, 2026, to shareholders of record a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 29, 2026