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Guaranty Bancshares Inc (GNTY)
NYSE:GNTY
US Market

Guaranty Bancshares (GNTY) AI Stock Analysis

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Guaranty Bancshares

(NYSE:GNTY)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$48.00
â–²(2.11%Upside)
Guaranty Bancshares scores well due to its solid financial performance and positive technical indicators. The impending merger with Glacier Bancorp is a major strategic move that is likely to enhance future growth prospects. The valuation is fair, and the earnings call highlights a strong financial position, despite some challenges.

Guaranty Bancshares (GNTY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Guaranty Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuaranty Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Guaranty Bank & Trust, N.A. that provides a range of commercial and consumer banking products and services for small- and medium-sized businesses, professionals, and individuals. The company offers checking and savings, money market, and business accounts, as well as certificates of deposit; and commercial and industrial, construction and development, 1-4 family residential, commercial real estate, farmland and agricultural, multi-family residential, and consumer loans. It also provides trustee, custodial and escrow, investment management, retirement plan, ATM, night depository, direct deposit, and cashier's check services, as well as online, mobile, and telephone banking services; debit cards; letters of credit; and treasury management services, including wire transfer, positive pay, remote deposit capture, and automated clearinghouse services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 32 full-service banking locations in East Texas, Central Texas, the Dallas/Fort Worth metropolitan statistical area (MSA) and the Houston MSA. The company was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Addison, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyGuaranty Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income derived from its lending activities. The bank earns interest by providing various types of loans, including commercial, residential mortgage, and consumer loans. In addition to interest income, Guaranty Bancshares also earns non-interest income through service charges on deposit accounts, fees from wealth management and investment services, and income from mortgage loan sales. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations, which help expand its customer base and enhance its service offerings. Guaranty Bancshares' earnings are influenced by interest rate fluctuations, economic conditions, and regulatory factors that impact the banking industry.

Guaranty Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 21, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 20.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with strong asset growth, improved net interest margin, and increased dividends, demonstrating financial resilience. Although there are some challenges with decreases in net loans and noninterest income, as well as increased expenses, the overall financial position remains robust.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Total Assets
Total assets increased by $37 million during the first quarter, with cash up nearly $72 million due to loan and securities-related cash flows.
Improvement in Net Interest Margin
Net interest margin increased to 3.7% in the first quarter from 3.54% in the fourth quarter and 3.16% during the same quarter last year.
Improvement in Unrealized Losses
Unrealized losses on AFS securities pretax decreased from $20.8 million to $14.7 million, an improvement of about $6 million.
Increased Dividend
Dividend increased to $0.25 per share from $0.24 per share for each quarter in 2024.
Strong Liquidity Position
Liquidity ratio stands at 19.8% compared to 16.5% at year-end, with significant cash balances and contingent liquidity available.
Low Nonperforming Assets
Nonperforming assets remain at low levels with NPAs to total assets at 0.15% at March 31st.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Loans
Net loans decreased by $23 million during the first quarter.
Noninterest Income Decrease
Noninterest income decreased by $693,000 during the first quarter compared to the fourth quarter.
Increased Noninterest Expense
Noninterest expense increased by $1.3 million in the first quarter compared to the fourth quarter.
Decreased Return on Average Assets and Equity
Return on average assets decreased to 1.13% from 1.27% last quarter, and return on average equity decreased to 10.83% from 12.68%.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. experienced a net interest margin increase to 3.7%, up from 3.54% in the fourth quarter of 2024 and 3.16% in the same quarter last year, driven by the repricing of loan securities and deposits. Total assets grew by $37 million, with cash increasing by $72 million and deposits rising by $12.2 million. Despite a $23 million decrease in net loans and a $7.2 million drop in the securities portfolio, the bank's solid loan pipeline suggests potential growth. Net income stood at $8.6 million, contributing to a $6.7 million equity increase. The bank maintained a return on average assets of 1.13% and a return on average equity of 10.83%. The efficiency ratio was reported at 66.78%, and the allowance for credit losses was 1.32% of total loans. Guaranty Bancshares also executed a share repurchase of 127,537 shares and declared a $0.25 per share dividend, highlighting its strong capital position and strategic growth opportunities.

Guaranty Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Guaranty Bancshares demonstrates financial resilience with a strong balance sheet, effective cash flow management, and profitability despite inconsistent revenue. The absence of debt in 2024 enhances its financial stability, positioning it well for future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The company experienced significant revenue fluctuation, with a notable decrease in total revenue from 2021 to 2022, but rebounded in 2023. Despite the revenue volatility, net income has been relatively stable, and the company maintained a positive net profit margin. However, the lack of current revenue data for 2024 limits the ability to assess the most recent performance.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects strong financial stability with no debt reported in 2024, and a solid equity base. The equity ratio is favorable, indicating a healthy financial structure. The company's stockholders' equity has shown resilience over the years, and the absence of liabilities in 2024 suggests prudent financial management.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow statements indicate consistent operating cash flow, with a positive free cash flow throughout the years. The company has managed its cash flow effectively, despite fluctuations in financing activities and investment cash flows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue180.05M180.89M176.10M146.69M127.13M119.09M
Gross Profit120.62M117.81M116.59M129.16M121.83M92.83M
EBITDA46.52M43.98M41.91M54.19M54.07M38.76M
Net Income33.49M31.54M30.04M40.45M39.81M27.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.15B3.12B3.18B3.35B3.09B2.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments417.08M110.78M249.14M248.12M409.84M513.76M
Total Debt89.65M72.99M215.46M346.37M86.46M156.54M
Total Liabilities2.83B2.80B2.88B3.06B2.78B2.47B
Stockholders Equity325.25M318.50M303.30M294.98M302.21M272.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow56.49M44.11M32.43M33.16M40.65M36.62M
Operating Cash Flow59.02M47.42M39.21M38.85M43.54M42.52M
Investing Cash Flow98.26M107.71M144.03M-684.96M-202.68M-165.77M
Financing Cash Flow-12.56M-98.69M-200.18M252.98M306.95M384.32M

Guaranty Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price47.01
Price Trends
50DMA
41.09
Positive
100DMA
40.23
Positive
200DMA
37.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.16
Negative
RSI
76.77
Negative
STOCH
97.74
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNTY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 47.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.97, above the 50-day MA of 41.09, and above the 200-day MA of 37.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.77 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.74 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GNTY.

Guaranty Bancshares Risk Analysis

Guaranty Bancshares disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Guaranty Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Guaranty Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (72)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$512.11M10.478.83%2.95%8.67%-1.65%
75
Outperform
$533.35M16.1210.62%2.13%0.13%19.68%
74
Outperform
$495.83M12.1411.31%2.52%14.10%12.00%
74
Outperform
$588.53M14.2912.19%1.15%18.85%6.74%
BHBHB
72
Outperform
$493.82M11.329.67%3.97%6.33%3.44%
72
Outperform
14.86B17.1515.69%4.05%8.25%25.93%
58
Neutral
$551.41M8.52-5.18%4.52%-23.31%-169.87%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GNTY
Guaranty Bancshares
47.01
17.86
61.27%
BHB
Bar Harbor Bankshares
32.23
7.37
29.65%
CCNE
Cnb Financial
24.41
5.47
28.88%
EBTC
Enterprise Bancorp
39.64
16.92
74.47%
FISI
Financial Institutions
27.42
9.36
51.83%
CBNK
Capital Bancorp
35.53
15.79
79.99%

Guaranty Bancshares Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Guaranty Bancshares Announces Merger with Glacier Bancorp
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. and its subsidiary Guaranty Bank & Trust entered into a merger agreement with Glacier Bancorp, Inc. and its subsidiary Glacier Bank. Under the agreement, Guaranty Bancshares will merge into Glacier Bancorp, with Glacier Bancorp as the surviving entity. The merger is valued at approximately $476.2 million and is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. The merger aims to consolidate operations and expand market reach, impacting stakeholders by potentially enhancing financial performance and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNTY) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guaranty Bancshares stock, see the GNTY Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Guaranty Bancshares Announces Merger with Glacier Bancorp
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. and Glacier Bancorp, Inc. announced a merger agreement where Guaranty will merge with Glacier in an all-stock transaction valued at $476.2 million. This acquisition, marking Glacier’s 27th since 2000, will expand Glacier’s presence into Texas, with Guaranty Bank & Trust operating as a new division under Glacier Bank. The merger is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. This strategic move aims to leverage Texas’s strong economic profile, providing growth opportunities and enhanced resources for Guaranty’s existing and future customers.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNTY) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guaranty Bancshares stock, see the GNTY Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Guaranty Bancshares Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 20, 2025, Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced the declaration of a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share of common stock, to be paid on July 9, 2025, to shareholders recorded by June 30, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders and may enhance its attractiveness in the financial market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNTY) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guaranty Bancshares stock, see the GNTY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Guaranty Bancshares Shareholders Approve Key Amendments
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where several key decisions were made. The shareholders approved an amendment to the 2015 Equity Incentive Plan, extending the term for granting stock options to 2035, eliminating the evergreen mechanism, and making other administrative changes. Additionally, the election of Class I directors was confirmed, executive compensation was approved on an advisory basis, and Whitley Penn LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNTY) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guaranty Bancshares stock, see the GNTY Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Guaranty Bancshares Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 21, 2025

Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a net income of $8.6 million, a decrease from the previous quarter but an increase from the same quarter last year. The company experienced a decrease in earnings compared to the fourth quarter of 2024 due to higher noninterest expenses and lower noninterest income, but saw an increase from the first quarter of 2024 due to improved net interest income. The company’s net interest margin improved to 3.70% from 3.16% in the previous year, driven by a decrease in deposit costs and an increase in earning asset yields. Guaranty Bancshares maintained strong asset quality, with nonperforming assets at 0.15% of total assets, and continued to enhance shareholder value through stock repurchases and dividend increases. Despite market volatility, the company reported no significant negative impacts on its projections for the year.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025