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Guaranty Bancshares (GNTY)
:GNTY
US Market
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Guaranty Bancshares (GNTY) AI Stock Analysis

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GNTY

Guaranty Bancshares

(GNTY)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$56.00
Guaranty Bancshares scores well due to strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The merger with Glacier Bancorp is a significant positive event, enhancing the company's growth prospects. However, challenges in cash flow management and a relatively low dividend yield slightly temper the overall score.

Guaranty Bancshares (GNTY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Guaranty Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuaranty Bancshares, Inc. (GNTY) is a financial holding company based in Texas, primarily engaged in providing a wide range of banking and financial services through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Guaranty Bank & Trust, N.A. The company operates in the banking sector, offering personal banking, commercial banking, and wealth management services. Its core products include savings and checking accounts, loans (commercial, consumer, and mortgage), investment services, and trust services, catering to both individual and business clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyGuaranty Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is derived from the interest earned on loans provided to customers and investments in securities. The bank’s loan portfolio includes commercial loans, consumer loans, and residential mortgages, which collectively contribute a significant portion of their earnings. Non-interest income comes from various sources, including service fees on deposit accounts, wealth management fees, and transaction fees. Additionally, the bank benefits from strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations, enhancing its customer base and driving further revenue growth. Overall, the company’s diversified financial services and focus on community banking help stabilize its revenue streams.

Guaranty Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 21, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong liquidity and a robust loan pipeline, indicating potential future growth. However, challenges such as decreased net loans and increased noninterest expenses were also noted. Despite these issues, the company's strong capital and asset quality, along with improvements in unrealized losses and net interest margin, suggest a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Loan Pipeline
The loan pipeline in Q2 is as strong as it has been in the last three years, indicating potential future growth.
Increase in Total Assets
Total assets increased by $37 million during the first quarter of 2025.
Improvement in Unrealized Losses
Unrealized losses on AFS securities decreased by $6 million from $20.8 million to $14.7 million.
Dividend Increase
The dividend was increased in Q1 2025 to $0.25 per share, up from $0.24 per share in 2024.
Increase in Net Interest Margin
The net interest margin increased to 3.7% in the first quarter, up from 3.54% in the fourth quarter and 3.16% in the same quarter last year.
Strong Liquidity Position
Liquidity ratio increased to 19.8% from 16.5% at year-end, with cash balances increasing by $72 million.
Capital and Asset Quality
Capital, asset quality, and liquidity all stand at very strong levels, positioning the company well for future growth.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Loans
Net loans decreased by $23 million during the first quarter of 2025.
Decrease in Return on Average Assets and Equity
Return on average assets decreased to 1.13% from 1.27% last quarter, and return on average equity decreased to 10.83% from 12.68% in Q4.
Noninterest Income Decline
Noninterest income decreased by $693,000 during the first quarter compared to the fourth quarter.
Increase in Noninterest Expense
Noninterest expense increased by $1.3 million in the first quarter compared to the fourth quarter, primarily due to employee compensation and benefits.
Slight Increase in Nonaccrual Loans
Nonaccrual loans increased to $4.8 million from $3.7 million as of year-end.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. provided detailed guidance highlighting several key metrics. The company reported an increase in total assets by $37 million and a rise in cash by $72 million, while net loans decreased by $23 million. The net interest margin (NIM) improved to 3.7%, up from 3.54% in the previous quarter. Total deposits grew by $12.2 million, with a notable increase in noninterest-bearing deposits, maintaining a 31.3% ratio of total deposits. The return on average assets was 1.13%, and the return on average equity was 10.83%. The company repurchased shares worth $5.2 million and increased the dividend to $0.25 per share. Nonperforming assets remained low at 0.15% of total assets, and the allowance for credit losses was 1.32% of total loans. Guaranty Bancshares indicated strong liquidity with a liquidity ratio of 19.8% and anticipated $116 million in cash flows from maturing securities. The guidance suggests continued resilience and strategic positioning for future growth despite national economic uncertainties.

Guaranty Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Guaranty Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
45.89
Positive
100DMA
43.42
Positive
200DMA
40.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Positive
RSI
57.97
Neutral
STOCH
34.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNTY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.27, equal to the 50-day MA of 45.89, and equal to the 200-day MA of 40.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GNTY.

Guaranty Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
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Overall Rating
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* Sector Average
Performance Comparison

Guaranty Bancshares Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsDividends
Guaranty Bancshares Sets Record Date for Special Dividend
Neutral
Sep 9, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced a merger agreement with Glacier Bancorp, Inc., where Guaranty Bancshares will merge into Glacier Bancorp, subject to certain conditions. On September 9, 2025, the company set September 19, 2025, as the record date for a potential special cash dividend, contingent on meeting specific capital requirements before the merger’s effective date. The merger and dividend are pending shareholder approval and other conditions, with no assurance provided on the dividend’s declaration or amount.

M&A TransactionsLegal ProceedingsShareholder Meetings
Guaranty Bancshares Announces Merger with Glacier Bancorp
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced a merger agreement with Glacier Bancorp, Inc., where Guaranty will merge into Glacier, and Guaranty Bank will merge into Glacier Bank. In response to shareholder demand letters alleging insufficient disclosures in the proxy statement/prospectus, Guaranty and Glacier provided supplemental disclosures, although they deny any legal violations. This decision will not affect the merger consideration or the timing of the shareholder meeting.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Guaranty Bancshares Announces Merger with Glacier Bancorp
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. and its subsidiary Guaranty Bank & Trust entered into a merger agreement with Glacier Bancorp, Inc. and its subsidiary Glacier Bank. Under the agreement, Guaranty Bancshares will merge into Glacier Bancorp, with Glacier Bancorp as the surviving entity. The merger is valued at approximately $476.2 million and is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. The merger aims to consolidate operations and expand market reach, impacting stakeholders by potentially enhancing financial performance and operational efficiency.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Guaranty Bancshares Announces Merger with Glacier Bancorp
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. and Glacier Bancorp, Inc. announced a merger agreement where Guaranty will merge with Glacier in an all-stock transaction valued at $476.2 million. This acquisition, marking Glacier’s 27th since 2000, will expand Glacier’s presence into Texas, with Guaranty Bank & Trust operating as a new division under Glacier Bank. The merger is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. This strategic move aims to leverage Texas’s strong economic profile, providing growth opportunities and enhanced resources for Guaranty’s existing and future customers.

Dividends
Guaranty Bancshares Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 20, 2025, Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced the declaration of a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share of common stock, to be paid on July 9, 2025, to shareholders recorded by June 30, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders and may enhance its attractiveness in the financial market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025