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HBT Financial (HBT)
NASDAQ:HBT

HBT Financial (HBT) AI Stock Analysis

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HBT

HBT Financial

(NASDAQ:HBT)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
â–²(15.59% Upside)
HBT Financial's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, supported by positive corporate events such as a share repurchase program and a merger. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, which slightly tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Robust revenue growth indicates effective market penetration and product demand, supporting long-term business expansion and financial stability.
Share Repurchase Program
The share repurchase program demonstrates strong capital management, potentially enhancing shareholder value and EPS over time.
Merger with CNB Bank Shares
The merger is expected to expand HBT's market reach and operational capabilities, strengthening its competitive position in the regional banking sector.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Decline
A decline in free cash flow growth may indicate potential cash flow challenges, affecting the company's ability to fund operations and investments.
Equity Ratio Concerns
A low equity ratio implies higher financial leverage, which could increase risk during economic downturns or financial stress.
Gross Profit Margin Decline
A declining gross profit margin may reflect rising costs or pricing pressures, potentially impacting long-term profitability and competitiveness.

HBT Financial (HBT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HBT Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHBT Financial, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Heartland Bank and Trust Company that provides business, commercial, and retail banking products and services to individuals, businesses, and municipal entities. The company's deposits accounts consist of noninterest-bearing demand deposits, interest-bearing transaction accounts, money market accounts, savings accounts, certificates of deposits, health savings accounts, and individual retirement accounts. Its loan offering comprises owner and non-owner occupied commercial real estate; construction and land development and multi-family; commercial and industrial; agricultural and farmland; and one-to-four family residential loans, as well as municipal, consumer, and other loans. The company also offers wealth management services, including financial planning to consumers, trusts, and estates; trustee and custodial; investment management; corporate retirement plan consulting and administration; and retail brokerage services. In addition, it provides farmland management, farmland sales, and crop insurance services; and treasury management services, as well as originates and sells residential mortgage loans. Further, the company offers digital banking services, such as online and mobile banking, and digital payment services, as well as personal financial management tools. It operates through 57 branch locations in Central and Northeastern Illinois and four locations in Eastern Iowa. The company was formerly known as Heartland Bancorp, Inc. and changed its name to HBT Financial, Inc. in September 2019. HBT Financial, Inc. was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Bloomington, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyHBT Financial generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns interest income from loans provided to customers, including personal loans, mortgages, and commercial loans. In addition to interest income, HBT also generates fee-based revenue from various banking services such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and wealth management services. The bank may also benefit from investment banking activities and asset management fees. Partnerships with other financial institutions and local businesses enhance HBT's service offerings and can contribute to its overall earnings by expanding its customer base and increasing transaction volumes.

HBT Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HBT Financial exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and cash flow management remains efficient despite recent declines in free cash flow growth. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the regional banking sector, with a strong financial foundation and growth trajectory.
Income Statement
HBT Financial demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 18.5%, indicating robust expansion. The gross profit margin remains high at 78.3%, showcasing operational efficiency. Net profit margin is solid at 26.3%, reflecting profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, supporting strong earnings performance. Overall, the income statement reflects a well-managed and growing financial position.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a favorable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity is strong at 13.8%, suggesting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is solid, reflecting a stable financial structure. However, a slight decrease in stockholders' equity over the periods suggests a need for cautious monitoring.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth at -7.6% in the TTM, indicating potential cash flow management challenges. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, suggesting adequate cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 93.2%, reflecting efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue292.82M285.21M263.64M186.72M164.23M156.77M
Gross Profit231.96M219.33M218.14M180.25M166.49M139.77M
EBITDA111.87M103.17M94.36M80.11M80.69M53.75M
Net Income78.34M71.78M65.84M56.46M56.27M36.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.04B5.03B5.07B4.29B4.31B3.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments644.36M189.98M901.22M957.68M1.35B1.24B
Total Debt60.16M134.60M147.33M280.26M138.29M122.62M
Total Liabilities4.44B4.49B4.58B3.91B3.90B3.30B
Stockholders Equity599.13M544.61M489.50M373.63M411.88M363.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow71.22M83.87M62.70M71.54M42.07M29.39M
Operating Cash Flow78.45M89.37M65.83M72.59M43.10M31.25M
Investing Cash Flow-63.46M32.35M132.66M-335.12M-349.61M-380.45M
Financing Cash Flow-39.53M-125.28M-171.40M-32.57M403.33M377.68M

HBT Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.82
Price Trends
50DMA
24.92
Positive
100DMA
25.01
Positive
200DMA
24.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Positive
RSI
63.55
Neutral
STOCH
66.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HBT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.40, above the 50-day MA of 24.92, and above the 200-day MA of 24.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HBT.

HBT Financial Risk Analysis

HBT Financial disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HBT Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HBT Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$864.38M13.1411.65%3.39%1.22%15.97%
78
Outperform
$843.00M10.6913.78%3.21%3.86%12.33%
74
Outperform
$833.64M14.546.43%3.91%8.27%54.96%
74
Outperform
$838.05M13.888.80%0.38%6.48%8.78%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
$872.56M37.792.90%1.34%6.45%8.32%
58
Neutral
$877.35M-4.36-26.60%3.50%-78.64%-913.67%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HBT
HBT Financial
26.82
6.34
30.96%
CPF
Central Pacific Financial
32.22
6.48
25.17%
HFWA
Heritage Financial
24.55
2.23
9.99%
HBNC
Horizon Bancorp
17.13
2.71
18.79%
EQBK
Equity Bancshares
46.69
6.54
16.29%
MCB
Metropolitan Bank Holding
81.38
24.11
42.10%

HBT Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
HBT Financial Authorizes New $30 Million Share Repurchase
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 16, 2025, HBT Financial, Inc. approved a new stock repurchase program that will take effect when its existing buyback plan expires on January 1, 2026, authorizing the repurchase of up to $30 million of its common stock through January 1, 2027. The program allows management to buy shares in the open market or through privately negotiated transactions, subject to market conditions, pricing, trading volume and regulatory requirements, and while it signals ongoing capital management efforts that could support shareholder value and earnings-per-share, the company is not obligated to repurchase any specific amount and may suspend or discontinue the plan at any time without notice.

The most recent analyst rating on (HBT) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HBT Financial stock, see the HBT Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
HBT Financial Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 21, 2025, HBT Financial, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.21 per share on its common stock. The dividend will be payable on November 10, 2025, to shareholders recorded as of November 3, 2025, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HBT) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HBT Financial stock, see the HBT Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
HBT Financial Announces Merger with CNB Bank Shares
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, HBT Financial announced a merger agreement with CNB Bank Shares, Inc., which will result in CNBN becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of HBT. The merger, unanimously approved by both companies’ boards, is expected to enhance HBT’s market presence and operational capabilities. The merger agreement outlines the conversion of CNBN shares into HBT shares or cash, with an expected cash consideration of $33.8 million and stock consideration of 5.5 million HBT shares. The merger is subject to regulatory approvals and shareholder consent. Additionally, HBT Financial reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net income of $19.8 million and a return on average assets of 1.56%. The company maintained strong asset quality and experienced loan growth, contributing to a 3.9% increase in tangible book value per share for the quarter.

The most recent analyst rating on (HBT) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HBT Financial stock, see the HBT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025