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Tompkins Financial Corporation (TMP)
:TMP
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Tompkins Financial Corporation (TMP) AI Stock Analysis

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TMP

Tompkins Financial Corporation

(TMP)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$106.00
â–²(23.72% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/24/26
TMP scores well primarily on strong and improving profitability plus a healthier leverage profile, supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and a solid dividend yield). Technicals are moderately bullish with an established uptrend but only neutral momentum. The biggest constraint is inconsistent operating cash conversion and a recent slowdown in revenue growth.
Positive Factors
Strong and improving profitability
Sustained high margins (TTM net ~29%, operating ~40%) and strong ROE provide durable earnings power. Margin strength increases buffer for credit losses and funds dividends and capital investment, supporting long-term shareholder returns and strategic flexibility over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Flattening revenue growth
After a strong rebound, top-line growth has stalled, indicating limited organic expansion. If revenue remains flat, the firm may rely on margin expansion and cost cuts to sustain earnings, reducing upside from volume-driven growth and increasing vulnerability if margins compress or loan demand softens.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong and improving profitability
Sustained high margins (TTM net ~29%, operating ~40%) and strong ROE provide durable earnings power. Margin strength increases buffer for credit losses and funds dividends and capital investment, supporting long-term shareholder returns and strategic flexibility over coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Tompkins Financial Corporation (TMP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tompkins Financial Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tompkins Financial Corporation functions as a financial holding entity, offering a comprehensive array of services that include commercial and retail banking, leasing, trust and investment management, financial planning, wealth management, and ins...
How the Company Makes Money
Tompkins Financial Corporation makes money primarily through a mix of bank revenue, wealth management fees, and insurance commissions. Its core banking subsidiary generates net interest income by taking deposits (checking, savings, money market, a...

Tompkins Financial Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is strong with expanding margins (TTM net margin ~29% and operating margin ~40%), and leverage has improved (debt-to-equity down to ~0.60) with solid ROE (~19.5%). The main drag is cash-flow quality: operating cash flow coverage of net income is mixed (TTM ~0.76) despite positive free cash flow, and revenue growth has largely flattened in TTM (~0.2%).
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue578.95M578.94M431.65M303.36M324.74M316.63M
Gross Profit440.85M435.07M288.56M211.18M300.90M301.33M
EBITDA241.88M233.47M103.45M23.86M121.27M126.14M
Net Income167.47M161.07M70.85M9.51M85.03M89.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.70B8.67B8.11B7.82B7.67B7.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.67M1.11B1.37B1.50B1.67B2.11B
Total Debt567.58M660.01M790.25M653.10M347.58M190.79M
Total Liabilities7.75B7.73B7.40B7.15B7.05B7.09B
Stockholders Equity946.74M938.38M713.44M668.52M615.98M727.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow82.71M31.95M88.76M82.24M95.17M116.44M
Operating Cash Flow90.08M38.87M94.97M89.00M103.34M121.18M
Investing Cash Flow-322.81M-300.73M-250.44M-146.30M-8.44M-583.29M
Financing Cash Flow211.12M260.28M210.33M59.00M-80.17M136.76M

Tompkins Financial Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price85.68
Price Trends
50DMA
89.67
Positive
100DMA
84.71
Positive
200DMA
78.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.93
Positive
RSI
52.01
Neutral
STOCH
46.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TMP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 85.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 93.36, below the 50-day MA of 89.67, and above the 200-day MA of 78.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TMP.

Tompkins Financial Corporation Risk Analysis

Tompkins Financial Corporation disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tompkins Financial Corporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tompkins Financial Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.34B7.8919.50%3.39%-12.54%126.82%
77
Outperform
$1.20B13.2110.20%1.24%33.92%-4.91%
74
Outperform
$1.43B11.5314.15%3.49%1.77%119.62%
73
Outperform
$1.35B12.4712.52%3.44%7.78%17.67%
70
Outperform
$1.29B12.399.93%2.43%10.34%14.55%
69
Neutral
$1.90B16.654.22%4.05%2.01%-23.22%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TMP
Tompkins Financial Corporation
92.65
30.65
49.43%
OCFC
Oceanfirst Financial
19.48
2.81
16.86%
OSBC
Old Second Bancorp
23.51
5.85
33.14%
CTBI
Community Bancorp
74.72
20.89
38.81%
FMBH
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares
50.05
12.22
32.32%
BHRB
Burke & Herbert Bank & Company
70.77
10.08
16.61%

Tompkins Financial Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Tompkins Financial boosts dividend after record quarterly earnings
Positive
Jul 24, 2026
Tompkins Financial Corporation reported record earnings for the third consecutive quarter, with diluted earnings per share reaching $2.04 in the second quarter of 2026, a 36% increase from a year earlier and 12.1% higher than the first quarter. Ne...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tompkins Financial Shareholders Back Directors, Pay and Auditor
Positive
May 26, 2026
Tompkins Financial Corporation is a financial services company that operates as a bank holding company, providing a range of banking and related financial services to its shareholders and customers. The company’s common stock is widely held,...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Tompkins Financial Highlights Record Results and Dividend Growth
Positive
May 19, 2026
At its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 19, 2026, Tompkins Financial Corporation highlighted record 2025 results and a strong start to 2026, underscored by consistent profitability since at least 1942 and a well-capitalized balance sheet with...
Executive/Board Changes
Tompkins Financial Announces New Community Bank President Appointment
Neutral
Apr 27, 2026
Tompkins Financial Corporation announced that Phillip M. Quintana has been appointed President of Tompkins Community Bank and Executive Vice President of the parent company, after previously being named President-Elect of the bank on March 16, 202...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Tompkins Financial Posts Record First-Quarter 2026 Earnings
Positive
Apr 24, 2026
Tompkins Financial Corporation reported record first-quarter 2026 results on April 24, 2026, with diluted earnings per share rising 32.8% year over year to $1.82 and net income climbing 32.5% to $26.1 million, driven by higher net interest income,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 24, 2026