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ConnectOne Bancorp (CNOB)
NASDAQ:CNOB
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ConnectOne Bancorp (CNOB) AI Stock Analysis

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CNOB

ConnectOne Bancorp

(NASDAQ:CNOB)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
â–²(1.80% Upside)
ConnectOne Bancorp's overall stock score reflects a strong financial performance and positive corporate events, particularly the successful merger and leadership enhancements. However, the stock's valuation appears stretched, and technical indicators suggest limited momentum. Earnings call insights highlight growth potential but also underline credit-related risks that need careful management.

ConnectOne Bancorp (CNOB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ConnectOne Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for ConnectOne Bank that provides commercial banking products and services for small and mid-sized businesses, local professionals, and individuals in the Northern New Jersey and New York Metropolitan area, and South Florida market. The company offers personal and business checking, retirement, money market, and time and savings accounts. It also provides consumer and commercial business loans on a secured and unsecured basis; revolving lines of credit; commercial mortgage loans; residential mortgages on primary and secondary residences; home equity loans; bridge loans; other personal purpose loans; and commercial construction and real estate loans. In addition, the company offers check cards, ATM cards, credit cards, wire transfers, access to automated teller services, Internet banking, treasury direct, automated clearing house origination, mobile banking by phone, safe deposit boxes, and remote deposit capture services. It operates through a network of eight banking offices in Bergen County, five banking offices in Union County, one banking office in Morris County, one office in Essex County, one office in Hudson County, one office in Monmouth County, one banking office in Manhattan in New York City, one office in Nassau County on Long Island, one in Astoria, and five branches in the Hudson Valley, as well as one financial center in West Palm Beach in Palm Beach County. The company was formerly known as Center Bancorp, Inc. and changed its name to ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. in July 2014. ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyConnectOne Bancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans, which includes commercial real estate loans, construction loans, and consumer loans. Additionally, the bank earns non-interest income from service fees on deposit accounts, wealth management services, and other financial products. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the spread between the interest earned on its loan portfolio and the interest paid on deposits. Significant partnerships with businesses and community organizations enhance the bank's footprint, facilitating customer acquisition and retention, which in turn contributes to its overall earnings.

ConnectOne Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a primarily positive outlook with successful merger execution, robust deposit growth, and improved credit quality metrics. However, challenges such as elevated provisions for credit losses and merger-related charges were also noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Merger and Integration
The successful completion of the merger with First of Long Island Bank, enhancing scale and accelerating growth across markets especially on Long Island.
Strong Deposit and Funding Trends
Noninterest-bearing demand deposits increased by more than $100 million since March 31, reflecting a 15% annualized growth, and total deposits were up an annualized 8%.
Loan-to-Deposit Ratio Improvement
Loan-to-deposit ratio improved from 106% to below 100%, supported by strong deposit growth.
Improved Credit Quality Metrics
Significant improvement in credit quality metrics with nonperforming asset ratio decreasing to 0.28% from 0.51% a year ago.
Projected Earnings Accretion
Substantial projected earnings accretion from the merger, estimated at $9.8 million per quarter for 2025.
Positive Margin Expansion Outlook
Net interest margin is projected to increase to about 3.25% by the end of the year, with further expansion expected in 2026.
Negative Updates
Elevated Provision for Credit Losses
Provision for credit losses was higher than usual at $35.7 million, largely due to adjustments in quantitative loss factors from the merger.
Merger-Related Charges
Recognized $40 million in merger charges with expectations to record up to an additional $10 million in the next quarter or two.
Flat Loan Portfolio Growth
Organic loan portfolio growth remained relatively flat due to elevated payoffs, despite strong loan demand.
Company Guidance
During the ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, significant guidance was provided, emphasizing the successful integration of the First of Long Island Bank merger, which increased the company's assets to nearly $14 billion, with $11.2 billion in loans and $11.3 billion in deposits. The merger contributed to a record organic growth in client deposits, improving the loan-to-deposit ratio from 106% in March to 99% by the end of the second quarter. The company's market capitalization now exceeds $1.2 billion. In terms of financial performance, noninterest-bearing demand deposits increased by over $100 million since March 31, with total deposits rising at an 8% annualized rate. The merger also introduced a $250 million total loan mark, with a provision for credit losses amounting to $35.7 million. Cost savings are on track with projected quarterly expenses of $55 million for 2025. The net interest margin is expected to grow to 3.25% by the end of the year, assuming one rate cut. The company anticipates maintaining a strong return on assets (ROA) of 1.2% and a return on tangible common equity of 15% as it enters 2026.

ConnectOne Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ConnectOne Bancorp shows robust financial health with consistent revenue growth and stable profitability. However, attention is needed on leverage levels and cost efficiency to enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The income statement shows steady revenue growth, with a notable increase in total revenue for the TTM period. The gross profit margin has decreased, but the net profit margin is relatively stable. There is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins, suggesting potential cost management issues. Overall, the company displays consistent earnings with potential for improved profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a healthy equity base with a stable debt-to-equity ratio, but total liabilities remain significant. The equity ratio suggests adequate capitalization, but the high debt level could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity has shown slight fluctuation over the years but remains generally positive.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow metrics are strong, with positive operating and free cash flow, indicating good liquidity management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, and the company shows effective conversion of income to cash. However, there is a slight decrease in free cash flow growth, which could impact future cash reserves if not addressed.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue530.40M534.62M504.07M386.99M316.75M322.60M
Gross Profit256.82M250.26M260.91M297.61M283.39M211.39M
EBITDA108.34M104.12M122.90M176.77M180.79M97.19M
Net Income76.83M73.79M87.00M125.21M130.35M71.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.76B9.88B9.86B9.64B8.13B7.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments706.12M360.70M859.88M903.20M800.04M791.71M
Total Debt707.86M783.51M1.03B1.02B633.56M646.63M
Total Liabilities8.51B8.64B8.64B8.47B7.01B6.63B
Stockholders Equity1.25B1.24B1.22B1.18B1.12B915.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow51.15M56.91M85.46M173.48M199.49M78.93M
Operating Cash Flow55.07M60.70M92.89M176.78M202.27M81.13M
Investing Cash Flow81.25M55.15M-248.04M-1.54B-689.86M-323.37M
Financing Cash Flow-121.30M-2.08M129.55M1.37B449.37M344.51M

ConnectOne Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.54
Price Trends
50DMA
23.91
Positive
100DMA
23.23
Positive
200DMA
23.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Negative
RSI
63.37
Neutral
STOCH
86.66
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNOB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.90, above the 50-day MA of 23.91, and above the 200-day MA of 23.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.66 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNOB.

ConnectOne Bancorp Risk Analysis

ConnectOne Bancorp disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ConnectOne Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ConnectOne Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.06B11.5711.99%3.21%10.85%17.66%
76
Outperform
$893.94M8.8714.78%1.82%6.94%3.96%
74
Outperform
$996.19M12.706.43%4.90%2.23%2.59%
74
Outperform
$937.90M11.0710.65%4.59%3.54%4.47%
72
Outperform
$1.02B12.6811.06%3.53%31.82%460.57%
68
Neutral
$17.89B12.0310.28%3.73%9.80%1.66%
68
Neutral
$1.28B29.552.75%2.82%3.58%-52.78%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNOB
ConnectOne Bancorp
25.54
1.23
5.06%
BRKL
Brookline Bancorp
11.02
1.27
13.03%
SBSI
Southside Bancshares
31.36
-1.32
-4.04%
TMP
Tompkins Financial Corporation
70.25
11.15
18.87%
CTBI
Community Bancorp
58.62
9.92
20.37%
AMAL
Amalgamated Bank
29.11
-3.32
-10.24%

ConnectOne Bancorp Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
ConnectOne Bancorp to Announce Q2 Results on July 29
Neutral
Jul 10, 2025

On July 10, 2025, ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. announced plans to release its second-quarter financial results on July 29, 2025, before the market opens. The company will host a conference call and audio webcast on the same day to discuss its financial performance and operating results, led by Chairman and CEO Frank Sorrentino III and CFO William S. Burns. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNOB) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConnectOne Bancorp stock, see the CNOB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ConnectOne Bancorp Appoints New General Counsel
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

On June 1, 2025, ConnectOne Bancorp appointed Robert A. Schwartz as General Counsel, enhancing its executive leadership as the company continues its growth trajectory following a merger with First of Long Island Corporation. Schwartz, a seasoned expert in banking law and mergers, has been integral to ConnectOne since its inception and will now advise on legal and regulatory matters as the company approaches $14 billion in assets. His appointment is seen as a strategic move to strengthen ConnectOne’s leadership and capitalize on opportunities in the evolving banking landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNOB) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConnectOne Bancorp stock, see the CNOB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
ConnectOne Bancorp Completes Merger with First of Long Island
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. announced the completion of its merger with The First of Long Island Corporation, resulting in a combined entity with approximately $14 billion in total assets. The merger enhances ConnectOne’s scale and capabilities, expanding its retail network to over 60 branches across New York, New Jersey, and Southeast Florida. The merger also led to an expansion of ConnectOne’s Board of Directors, with key appointments from The First of Long Island Corporation, positioning the company for accelerated growth and enhanced service offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNOB) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConnectOne Bancorp stock, see the CNOB Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
ConnectOne Bancorp Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 20, 2025, ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where several key proposals were voted on and approved. These included the election of twelve directors for one-year terms, the adoption of a non-binding resolution on executive compensation, and the ratification of Crowe LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. The meeting saw participation from a significant majority of shareholders, indicating strong engagement and support for the company’s governance and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNOB) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConnectOne Bancorp stock, see the CNOB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
ConnectOne Bancorp Raises $196.5 Million from Note Sale
Positive
May 20, 2025

On May 15, 2025, ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement for the issuance and sale of $200 million in subordinated notes due 2035, with an 8.125% fixed-to-floating interest rate. The sale, which closed on May 20, 2025, raised approximately $196.5 million after expenses. The company plans to use the proceeds to redeem existing notes, contribute to regulatory capital, and support growth and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNOB) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConnectOne Bancorp stock, see the CNOB Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ConnectOne Bancorp Merger Receives Final Approval
Positive
May 15, 2025

On September 4, 2024, ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. announced a merger agreement with The First of Long Island Corporation, with the merger expected to close on June 1, 2025. The merger received all necessary regulatory approvals, including from the New Jersey Department of Banking and Insurance on May 12, 2025, positioning ConnectOne as the surviving entity and potentially strengthening its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNOB) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConnectOne Bancorp stock, see the CNOB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025