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Noodles & Co. (NDLS)
NASDAQ:NDLS
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Noodles & Co (NDLS) AI Stock Analysis

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NDLS

Noodles & Co

(NASDAQ:NDLS)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(1566.67% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/01/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, negative equity, and negative free cash flow). Technicals are a key offset with strong trend and momentum, though signals are overextended. Guidance is constructive with a stated path to EBITDA and free-cash-flow improvement, but leverage/liquidity sensitivity and the reverse-split compliance backdrop keep overall risk elevated.
Positive Factors
Comparable sales acceleration
Sustained comp-sales momentum (7% in 2025, >9% YTD 2026) signals durable demand recovery and improved guest frequency. Over the next 2–6 months this underpins higher restaurant-level volumes, supports franchised royalty growth, and provides a clearer path to converting topline gains into operating leverage.
Negative Factors
Negative equity and sizable debt
Negative equity and a meaningful debt burden materially weaken the balance sheet and reduce financial flexibility. Over the next 2–6 months this raises refinancing and covenant risk, limits ability to invest organically or expand franchising, and makes the company more sensitive to cash-flow hiccups.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Comparable sales acceleration
Sustained comp-sales momentum (7% in 2025, >9% YTD 2026) signals durable demand recovery and improved guest frequency. Over the next 2–6 months this underpins higher restaurant-level volumes, supports franchised royalty growth, and provides a clearer path to converting topline gains into operating leverage.
Read all positive factors

Noodles & Co (NDLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Noodles & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Noodles & Company, a restaurant concept company, develops and operates fast-casual restaurants. It offers cooked-to-order dishes, including noodles and pasta, soups, salads, and appetizers. As of December 28, 2021, the company operated 448 restaur...
How the Company Makes Money
Noodles & Company makes money primarily by selling prepared food and beverages to customers through its company-owned restaurants. Revenue is generated from in-restaurant dine-in and takeout transactions as well as off-premise ordering, including ...

Noodles & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized substantial operational progress and clear top-line acceleration (notably comp sales >9% YTD in 2026), meaningful margin expansion, a large increase in adjusted EBITDA, successful menu and marketing initiatives, and a defined path to being free cash flow positive. Headwinds include a continued net loss (though improved), significant restaurant closures and related non-cash impairments, modest cash on hand vs. a sizable debt load, and higher delivery and other operating costs. Management provided detailed, constructive 2026 guidance and expects continued benefits from portfolio optimization and improved unit economics.
Positive Updates
Strong System-wide Comparable Sales Acceleration
System-wide comparable sales grew nearly 7% in fiscal 2025 and have accelerated to over 9% year-to-date in 2026 (with one week remaining in the quarter). Company comp sales in early 2026 are positive over 9%.
Negative Updates
Continued Net Loss and Non-Cash Impairment
Q4 net loss of $6.8 million (loss per diluted share $1.16). Results included a $5.6 million non-cash impairment charge primarily related to restaurant closures.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong System-wide Comparable Sales Acceleration
System-wide comparable sales grew nearly 7% in fiscal 2025 and have accelerated to over 9% year-to-date in 2026 (with one week remaining in the quarter). Company comp sales in early 2026 are positive over 9%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's 2026 guidance called for comp restaurant sales of roughly 9% (full-year guidance 6%–9%), initial near‑term adjusted EBITDA of $5.7M–$6.3M (noted as more than double prior year), and full‑year targets of total revenue $478M–$493M; restaurant contribution margin of 14.7%–16%; G&A $49M–$52M (including ~$2.5M stock‑based comp); depreciation & amortization $24M–$25M; interest expense $10M–$11M; adjusted EBITDA $30M–$35M; one to two new franchise openings; capital expenditures $9.5M–$10.5M; the company expects to be free‑cash‑flow positive and to have the opportunity to reduce debt by $5M–$10M in 2026.

Noodles & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite ~20% YoY revenue growth in 2025 and stable ~34% gross margin, profitability remains weak (loss-making with negative operating results). Balance-sheet risk is elevated with negative equity in 2024–2025 and sizable debt, while cash generation is constrained by consistently negative free cash flow even with positive but reduced operating cash flow.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue495.09M493.27M503.40M509.48M475.15M
Gross Profit44.03M168.96M84.21M80.17M82.08M
EBITDA21.95M1.29M21.76M22.44M28.15M
Net Income-42.57M-36.21M-9.86M-3.31M3.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets261.67M324.65M368.10M343.84M341.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.26M1.15M3.01M1.52M2.25M
Total Debt268.85M291.50M298.94M264.16M249.78M
Total Liabilities306.98M330.23M340.94M305.48M303.83M
Stockholders Equity-45.30M-5.58M27.16M38.36M37.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.11M-21.21M-24.55M-24.33M17.39M
Operating Cash Flow7.28M7.56M27.50M9.56M36.16M
Investing Cash Flow-12.39M-26.71M-51.80M-32.31M-18.37M
Financing Cash Flow5.23M17.29M25.80M22.02M-23.38M

Noodles & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.72
Price Trends
50DMA
6.47
Positive
100DMA
6.22
Positive
200DMA
6.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.59
Positive
RSI
68.37
Neutral
STOCH
83.53
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NDLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.10, below the 50-day MA of 6.47, and below the 200-day MA of 6.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 68.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NDLS.

Noodles & Co Risk Analysis

Noodles & Co disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Noodles & Co reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Noodles & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$38.80M18.5719.70%1.14%9.37%
65
Neutral
$53.90M17.078.92%1.89%7.29%75.13%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
50
Neutral
$24.27M6.41-29.84%-10.79%-553.31%
49
Neutral
$71.19M-0.76132.11%0.37%-15.63%
48
Neutral
$13.30M17.643.18%-5.16%-53.68%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NDLS
Noodles & Co
12.09
4.09
51.13%
ARKR
Ark Restaurants
6.73
-3.17
-32.02%
BDL
Flanigan's Enterprises
29.00
5.19
21.79%
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants
1.26
-0.68
-35.05%
RAVE
Rave Restaurant Group
2.73
0.25
10.08%

Noodles & Co Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Noodles & Co Announces Reverse Stock Split Implementation
Negative
Feb 13, 2026
Noodles Company shareholders approved a reverse stock split of the company’s Class A common stock at a special meeting held on February 4, 2026, authorizing a ratio range of 1-for-2 to 1-for-15 to be set by the board. The board subsequently...
Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Noodles & Co share split approved to meet Nasdaq
Negative
Feb 4, 2026
On February 4, 2026, stockholders at Noodles Company’s special meeting overwhelmingly authorized a reverse stock split, and the Board promptly set the ratio at 1-for-8 to take effect on February 18, 2026, adjusting outstanding shares and aw...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026