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Noodles & Co
(NASDAQ:NDLS)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(2191.67% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/02/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial fundamentals—persistent net losses, negative free cash flow, and a pressured balance sheet with negative equity and material debt. Offsetting this are strong technical momentum and a constructive earnings update featuring raised guidance and improving operating metrics, though liquidity and closure-driven revenue flatness remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Sustained same-store sales growth
Consistent mid-single-digit comp growth over many quarters demonstrates durable consumer demand and brand relevance. Sustained comps drive sales leverage at existing restaurants, improving unit economics, supporting marketing ROI, and reducing the need for risky expansion to grow revenue.
Negative Factors
Pressured balance sheet
Negative shareholders' equity and material outstanding debt create a fragile capital structure that limits financial flexibility. This increases refinancing risk and reduces the company's ability to absorb shocks or pursue opportunistic investments without external funding or asset sales.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained same-store sales growth
Consistent mid-single-digit comp growth over many quarters demonstrates durable consumer demand and brand relevance. Sustained comps drive sales leverage at existing restaurants, improving unit economics, supporting marketing ROI, and reducing the need for risky expansion to grow revenue.
Read all positive factors
Noodles & Co (NDLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$85.38M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)616.47K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.76
Revenue Growth-0.12%
EPS Growth7.25%
CountryUS
Employees7,300
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-6.38
Shares Outstanding5,892,049
10 Day Avg. Volume912,229
30 Day Avg. Volume616,467
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.05
Price to Book (P/B)-0.72
Price to Sales (P/S)0.07
P/FCF Ratio-6.34
Enterprise Value/Market Cap3.88
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.67
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit18.55
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-4.36K
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.72
Revenue Forecast (FY)$478.00M
Noodles & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Noodles & Company is a fast-casual dining enterprise, engaged in both the conceptualization and operation of its eateries. Patrons can choose from an extensive menu of meals prepared fresh to order, featuring a variety of noodle and pasta dishes, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Noodles & Company makes money primarily by selling prepared food and beverages to customers through its restaurant network. The company’s core revenue stream is company-owned restaurant sales, which are generated from in-store dining and off-premi...
Noodles & Co Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational momentum: meaningful comparable sales growth, significant margin expansion, tripling of adjusted EBITDA, improved customer acquisition and raised full-year guidance. These positives are partly offset by a flat total revenue figure (due to closures), a Q1 net loss that included a $2.7M impairment, low quarter-end cash ($1.4M), elevated debt ($106.8M) and planned restaurant closures. Overall, the operational improvements, financial outperformance versus prior year, and upgraded guidance outweigh the challenges, which management positions as strategic and temporary.Positive Updates
Strong Comparable Sales Growth
System-wide comparable restaurant sales increased 9.1% in Q1 (company-owned +9.4%, franchise +8.0%); April comps continued momentum at >9% system-wide and >10% at company-operated restaurants. Company has delivered positive same-store sales for 16 consecutive months.
Negative Updates
Flat Total Revenue
Total revenue in Q1 was relatively flat year-over-year at $123.8 million, with comp sales gains largely offset by restaurant closures taken during portfolio optimization.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Comparable Sales Growth
System-wide comparable restaurant sales increased 9.1% in Q1 (company-owned +9.4%, franchise +8.0%); April comps continued momentum at >9% system-wide and >10% at company-operated restaurants. Company has delivered positive same-store sales for 16 consecutive months.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Noodles & Company raised full‑year 2026 guidance to total revenue of $483–$498 million, with comp restaurant sales growth of 7%–10% and restaurant contribution margin of 15.5%–17%; adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $32.5–$37.5 million. Management forecasts G&A of $50–$53 million (including roughly $2.5 million of stock‑based compensation), depreciation & amortization of $24–$25 million, interest expense of $10–$11 million, and capital expenditures of $9.5–$10.5 million; they project 1–2 new franchise openings and plan to close about 30–35 company‑owned and 5 franchise restaurants. The company expects to be free‑cash‑flow positive and to reduce debt by approximately $10 million in 2026 (including the $3.4 million reduction already realized), having ended Q1 with $1.4 million of available cash and $106.8 million of debt.Noodles & Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
33
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 495.08M | 495.09M | 493.27M | 503.40M | 509.48M | 475.15M |
| Gross Profit | 17.86M | 44.03M | 168.96M | 84.21M | 80.17M | 82.08M |
| EBITDA | -76.00K | -4.54M | 1.29M | 21.76M | 22.44M | 28.15M |
| Net Income | -36.93M | -42.57M | -36.21M | -9.86M | -3.31M | 3.67M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 246.31M | 261.67M | 324.65M | 368.10M | 343.84M | 341.46M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.44M | 1.26M | 1.15M | 3.01M | 1.52M | 2.25M |
| Total Debt | 253.68M | 263.83M | 291.50M | 298.94M | 264.16M | 249.78M |
| Total Liabilities | 294.36M | 306.98M | 330.23M | 340.94M | 305.48M | 303.83M |
| Stockholders Equity | -48.04M | -45.30M | -5.58M | 27.16M | 38.36M | 37.63M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -2.29M | -5.11M | -21.21M | -24.55M | -24.33M | 17.39M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 9.27M | 7.28M | 7.56M | 27.50M | 9.56M | 36.16M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -11.55M | -12.39M | -26.71M | -51.80M | -32.31M | -18.37M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 2.33M | 5.23M | 17.29M | 25.80M | 22.02M | -23.38M |
Noodles & Co Technical Analysis
Positive
0.72
Price Trends
12.79
Positive
9.73
Positive
7.70
Positive
Market Momentum
0.79
Negative
55.40
Neutral
68.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NDLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.08, below the 50-day MA of 12.79, and below the 200-day MA of 7.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NDLS.
Noodles & Co Risk Analysis
Noodles & Co disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Noodles & Co reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Noodles & Co Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $48.46M | 16.55 | 19.21% | ― | 3.20% | 9.92% | |
65 Neutral | $81.22M | 13.86 | 9.04% | 1.89% | 5.74% | 47.36% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
56 Neutral | $85.38M | -2.27 | 90.61% | ― | -0.12% | 7.25% | |
52 Neutral | $15.41M | 8.54 | 3.18% | ― | -5.12% | 73.41% | |
42 Neutral | $21.10M | -3.36 | -29.84% | ― | -11.28% | 36.59% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
NDLS
Noodles & Co
14.49
8.15
128.40%
ARKR
Ark Restaurants
5.85
-3.20
-35.36%
BDL
Flanigan's Enterprises
43.70
14.97
52.10%
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants
1.46
-0.25
-14.62%
RAVE
Rave Restaurant Group
3.41
0.58
20.49%
Noodles & Co Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Noodles & Co Shareholders Back Board Changes, Pay Policies
Positive
May 14, 2026
At its annual meeting of stockholders held on May 13, 2026, Noodles Co shareholders re-elected Joseph Christina and elected Thomas Lynch as Class I directors to serve three-year terms, while Lynch resigned as a Class III director solely to facili...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.