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Rave Restaurant Group (RAVE)
NASDAQ:RAVE
US Market

Rave Restaurant Group (RAVE) AI Stock Analysis

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RAVE

Rave Restaurant Group

(NASDAQ:RAVE)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(6.71% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, low leverage, and robust free cash flow), supported by a moderately bullish technical trend (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation is reasonable at a mid-teens P/E, though the absence of dividend yield and the risk of uneven revenue growth/non-recurring profitability effects temper the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Strong Profit Margins
High and improving profit margins indicate effective cost management and pricing strategies, enhancing long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Debt Management
Significant reduction in debt enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing for better resource allocation and investment in growth opportunities.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation relative to net income supports ongoing operations and provides a buffer for future investments and potential downturns.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Revenue Growth
Inconsistent revenue growth can hinder long-term strategic planning and investment, potentially affecting market position and competitive edge.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth may limit the company's ability to fund new projects or expansions, impacting long-term growth prospects.
Small Workforce
A small workforce may limit the company's ability to scale operations and manage growth effectively, potentially impacting long-term expansion plans.

Rave Restaurant Group (RAVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rave Restaurant Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRave Restaurant Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates and franchises pizza buffet, delivery/carry-out (delco), and express restaurants under the Pizza Inn trademark in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Pizza Inn Franchising, Pie Five Franchising, and Company-Owned Restaurants. The company's buffet restaurants are located in free standing buildings or strip centers in retail developments that offer dine-in, carryout, and catering services, as well as delivery services. Its delco restaurants provide delivery and carryout services and are located in shopping centers or other in-line retail developments. The company's Express restaurants serve customers through various non-traditional points of sale and are located in convenience stores, food courts, college campuses, airport terminals, travel plazas, athletic facilities, or other commercial facilities. In addition, it operates and franchises fast casual restaurants under the Pie Five Pizza Company or Pie Five trademarks. As of June 27, 2021, the company had 33 franchised Pie Five Units, 156 franchised Pizza Inn restaurants, and 11 licensed Pizza Inn Express, or PIE, kiosks. The company was formerly known as Pizza Inn Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Rave Restaurant Group, Inc. in January 2015. Rave Restaurant Group, Inc. was founded in 1958 and is based in The Colony, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyRave Restaurant Group generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of food and beverages in its restaurants. The company operates both company-owned and franchised locations, with franchise fees and royalties contributing significantly to its earnings. Additionally, RAVE engages in promotional partnerships and collaborations that enhance brand visibility and attract customers. The company also benefits from economies of scale in procurement and supply chain management, allowing it to maintain competitive pricing and improve margins. Overall, the combination of direct sales from its restaurants and fees from franchisees constitutes the core of RAVE's revenue model.

Rave Restaurant Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by high profitability (TTM gross margin ~71%, EBIT margin ~30%, EBITDA margin ~34%, net margin ~23%), very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.03), and solid cash generation (TTM free cash flow ~$3.4M with near 1.0x conversion vs net income). Key risks are inconsistent revenue growth and signs that 2022 profitability may have been boosted by non-recurring items, making trend quality less clean.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show solid profitability with high gross margin (~71%) and strong operating profitability (EBIT margin ~30%, EBITDA margin ~34%) alongside a healthy net margin (~23%). Earnings power has improved versus 2023–2024 as margins expanded and net income rose. The main drawback is choppy top-line performance: the latest annual period showed slightly negative revenue growth, and the extremely high 2022 net margin appears unusual versus surrounding years, suggesting results may be influenced by one-time items and are less “clean” to trend.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned: leverage is very low in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with debt-to-equity around 0.03 and total debt under $0.5M, a major improvement from earlier years (notably 2021). Equity has grown over time, and returns on equity are strong (about 19–20% in the last two periods), indicating efficient use of capital. The primary risk is less about leverage and more about consistency—returns were unusually elevated in 2022, reinforcing that profitability may have had non-recurring support that year.
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong and supports earnings quality: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is ~$3.5M and free cash flow is ~$3.4M, with free cash flow closely matching net income (near 1.0x). Cash flow relative to debt service looks comfortable (operating cash flow is over 2x interest expense in TTM). A watch-out is volatility in growth rates (including very large swings in free cash flow growth across years), which suggests cash flow can be uneven even though recent performance is robust.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.20M12.04M12.15M11.89M10.69M8.59M
Gross Profit8.72M8.64M8.49M7.93M7.41M5.93M
EBITDA4.11M3.80M3.57M2.81M3.03M2.32M
Net Income2.82M2.70M2.47M1.61M8.02M1.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.00M16.56M15.82M14.24M18.52M13.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.56M9.88M7.83M5.33M7.72M8.33M
Total Debt485.00K576.00K957.00K1.42M1.94M4.20M
Total Liabilities2.17M2.40M3.12M3.85M5.10M7.61M
Stockholders Equity14.84M14.15M12.70M10.39M13.41M5.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.40M3.34M2.66M2.40M1.22M1.20M
Operating Cash Flow3.48M3.40M2.74M2.63M1.38M1.49M
Investing Cash Flow-2.08M-2.04M-4.87M-15.00K338.00K-238.00K
Financing Cash Flow-1.39M-1.39M-311.00K-5.01M-2.33M3.88M

Rave Restaurant Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.28
Price Trends
50DMA
3.08
Positive
100DMA
3.05
Positive
200DMA
2.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
60.37
Neutral
STOCH
87.96
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RAVE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.21, above the 50-day MA of 3.08, and above the 200-day MA of 2.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RAVE.

Rave Restaurant Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$47.47M17.0720.05%0.35%9.25%
62
Neutral
$60.45M12.017.97%1.89%8.99%49.97%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
46
Neutral
$12.25M12.133.85%1.84%12.10%
44
Neutral
$30.92M-0.67-0.35%-37.02%
42
Neutral
$6.85M-0.02760.71%-5.26%-44.78%
40
Underperform
$23.66M-2.06-29.84%-9.70%-194.23%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RAVE
Rave Restaurant Group
3.34
0.94
39.17%
ARKR
Ark Restaurants
6.56
-5.71
-46.54%
BDL
Flanigan's Enterprises
32.53
8.32
34.37%
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants
1.16
-1.34
-53.60%
NDLS
Noodles & Co
0.66
-0.98
-59.70%
FAT
Fat Brands
0.29
-3.69
-92.66%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026