The score is held down primarily by pressured financial performance (declining revenue, very thin margins, and elevated leverage) and weak technical trend signals. A modest valuation (P/E ~12.5) and earnings-call indicators of early Q1 same-store sales improvement and easing input costs provide partial offsets, but Q4 profitability deterioration limits upside.
Operating two distinct concepts (full-service Bad Daddy’s and quick-service Good Times) provides structural diversification of formats, customer occasions and channels (dine-in, takeout, drive-thru). This mix smooths revenue volatility across traffic cycles and supports cross-brand learnings and scale.
Positive trailing cash generation
Positive operating and free cash flow over the trailing twelve months indicates the business generates internal liquidity to fund working capital, modest reinvestment and debt service. While modest relative to debt, sustained positive cash flow is a durable source of flexibility versus persistent cash burn.
Management-led operational fixes and product pipeline
Management is executing structural initiatives—retraining, scheduling, cook-to-order rollout and focused promotions—that address service, speed and menu clarity. If sustained, these operational improvements can raise throughput, improve labor productivity and embed repeatable margin and guest-experience gains.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage relative to equity
High debt-to-equity in a low-margin restaurant model increases financial risk and constrains strategic flexibility. Elevated leverage raises the cost of distress and limits the company's ability to invest in remodels, marketing or new unit growth if cash flows dip, making downside scenarios more severe.
Very thin and compressed margins
Margins are razor-thin and have meaningfully compressed year-over-year, leaving little buffer against input-cost or labor inflation. Low operating and net margins reduce reinvestment capacity and magnify the impact of sales volatility on solvency and long-term returns.
Persistent same-store sales declines and traffic weakness
Sustained comps weakness and reduced foot traffic materially impair unit economics and economies of scale. Store closures and traffic declines drive deleverage across the P&L, prolong recovery timelines and increase reliance on pricing or cost cuts to restore profitability.
Good Times Restaurants (GTIM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$12.67M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)18.76K
Price to Earnings (P/E)12.3
Beta (1Y)0.92
Revenue Growth1.84%
EPS Growth12.10%
CountryUS
Employees2,110
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.02
Shares Outstanding10,557,896
10 Day Avg. Volume25,342
30 Day Avg. Volume18,756
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.47
Price to Book (P/B)0.52
Price to Sales (P/S)0.12
P/FCF Ratio-11.90
Enterprise Value/Market Cap3.88
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.36
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.58
Enterprise Value/Ebitda10.86
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Good Times Restaurants Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionGood Times Restaurants Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the restaurant business in the United States. The company operates and franchises Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard, an upscale quick-service drive-through dining restaurant; and owns, operates, franchises, and licenses Bad Daddy's Burger Bar, a full-service upscale casual dining restaurant. As of December 15, 2021, it operated, franchised, or licensed 42 Bad Daddy's Burger Bar restaurants; and 32 Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard restaurants. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Golden, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyGood Times Restaurants generates revenue through various streams primarily centered around food and beverage sales at its restaurant locations. The company earns income from both dine-in and take-out services, with a focus on high-margin items like gourmet burgers, frozen custard, and unique sides. Additionally, GTIM benefits from franchise fees and royalties from its franchise operations, contributing to its overall revenue. Key partnerships with suppliers for quality ingredients and promotional collaborations also enhance its brand visibility and sales. Seasonal promotions, loyalty programs, and catering services further add to its revenue, making the company's earnings model diverse and resilient.
Good Times Restaurants Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
The call reflects a company facing meaningful near-term challenges: Q4 showed declining same-store sales, margin compression from record input costs, higher labor and operating expenses, a swing to negative adjusted EBITDA, and a near-breakeven net result. Management described several clear operational fixes (training, cook-to-order, GM scheduling), early sequential improvement in comps through the first 11 weeks of Q1, successful product promotions, modest pricing actions, and improving input costs into Q1. While these initiatives and early trends are encouraging, the negative financial outcomes in Q4 (declines in sales and restaurant-level profit, negative adjusted EBITDA) outweigh the positive operational momentum at present.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Same-Store Sales Improvement
Good Times same-store sales declined 6.6% in Q4 but represented a 240 basis point sequential improvement from Q3; through the first 11 weeks of Q1 Good Times comps improved to down ~3.6% year-over-year. Bad Daddy's same-store sales were down 4.6% in Q4 but have improved sequentially into Q1 and are down ~1.6% through the first 11 weeks.
Operational Improvements Underway
Management implemented targeted operational changes — GM schedule realignment, improved restaurant-level training, and a rollout plan for cook-to-order for burgers — intended to improve execution, speed of service, and guest experience.
Successful Product Promotions and Menu Pipeline
Bad Daddy's promotions (giant Bavarian pretzel, in-house chocolate cookie cheesecake) performed well with potential to join the core menu; plan to move to a burger-of-the-month platform to simplify messaging and focus execution.
Modest Menu Pricing and Pricing Discipline
Company has taken limited menu price increases (approximately 1% since Jan 2024 system-wide references; Bad Daddy's blended YoY price increase <1% in Q4) and expects an average year-over-year price increase of ~1.7% for Q1 2026, signaling measured pricing to address value perceptions.
Full-Year Revenue Nearly Flat
Total fiscal year revenue was $141.6 million, a decline of only ~0.5% versus the prior-year all-time record, indicating annual resilience despite a weak Q4.
Improved Cost Trends into Q1
Management reported that record-high input costs (notably ground beef) have decreased into the first quarter and expect food and beverage costs as a percent of sales to improve quarter-over-quarter.
Conservative Balance Sheet Metrics
Company finished Q4 with $2.6 million in cash and $2.3 million of long-term debt, and reduced combined G&A to 7% of revenues (down 70 basis points), with guidance for 6%–7% G&A in fiscal 2026.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline
Total revenues decreased ~5.1% in Q4 to $34.0 million versus the prior-year quarter.
Same-Store Sales Pressure
Bad Daddy's same-store sales decreased 4.6% in Q4 (38 restaurants in comp base) and Good Times comps decreased 6.6% in Q4 (27 restaurants in comp base), driving deleverage across the P&L.
Adjusted EBITDA Turned Negative
Adjusted EBITDA was negative $74,000 for the quarter versus $1.3 million in the prior-year quarter, reflecting compressed profitability.
Net Income Swing to Loss
Net loss to common shareholders for the quarter was $3,000 ($0.00 per share) versus net income of $200,000 ($0.02 per share) in the prior-year quarter.
Restaurant-Level Profitability Declined
Bad Daddy's restaurant-level operating profit fell to ~$2.4 million (9.9% of sales) from $3.4 million (13.2%) a year ago. Good Times restaurant-level operating profit declined $400,000 to $800,000 (8% of sales), a 420 basis point drop year-over-year.
Material Input Cost Inflation
Food and packaging costs were elevated: Bad Daddy's 31.6% (up 40 basis points) and Good Times 32.1% (up 120 basis points) year-over-year in Q4, driven primarily by record-high ground beef and higher protein, bacon, and egg prices.
Rising Labor and Other Operating Costs
Labor costs increased to 35.7% (+140 bps) at Bad Daddy's and 35.9% (+200 bps) at Good Times due to lower productivity and wage inflation (including Colorado minimum wage increases). Occupancy, repair & maintenance, utilities, delivery and technology costs also increased (several line items up 10–110 basis points).
Traffic Decline and Restaurant Closure Impact
Sales decreases were driven primarily by reduced customer traffic and the closure of the Longmont, CO Bad Daddy's restaurant in 2024, contributing to the Q4 sales shortfall.
Company Guidance
The company guided to modest improvement in 2026 after a difficult Q4, noting Q4 total revenues fell ~5.1% to $34.0M (FY revenues down ~0.5% to $141.6M) and adjusted EBITDA was negative $74k vs. $1.3M a year ago, but said same-store sales trends are improving into Q1 (Good Times Q4 comp -6.6% — a 240 bps sequential improvement from Q3 and down ~3.6% through the first 11 weeks; Bad Daddy’s Q4 comp -4.6% with 38 restaurants in the comp base and down ~1.6% through the first 11 weeks), and expects Q1 average price realization of ~1.7% (blended Y/Y price increase <1% overall; company has taken ~1% menu price since Jan 2024). Input-costs peaked in Q4 (Bad Daddy F&B 31.6%, +40 bps; Good Times food & packaging 32.1%, +120 bps) but have eased into Q1 and are expected to improve Q/Q, while labor ran high (Bad Daddy 35.7%, +140 bps; Good Times 35.9%, +200 bps) with Colorado minimum wage rising to $15.16 (+2.4%) and tipped to $12.14 (+3%); restaurant-level operating profit was ~$2.4M (9.9%) at Bad Daddy’s vs $3.4M (13.2%) last year and $0.8M (8%, down 420 bps) at Good Times, combined G&A was $2.4M (7%, expect 6–7% in FY26), net loss to common was $3k ($0.00) for the quarter, cash was $2.6M, and long-term debt $2.3M.
Good Times Restaurants Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financial fundamentals are mixed: TTM revenue declined (-2.6%) and margins are very thin, with meaningful margin compression versus FY2024. Leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.14 TTM; ~2.27 FY2025), limiting flexibility. Offsetting this, TTM operating cash flow (~$3.6M) and free cash flow (~$1.7M) are positive, though cash conversion vs. debt and earnings is only modest and results have been volatile historically.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined (-2.6%) and profitability is thin, with low operating and net margins (about 0.4% and 0.8%, respectively). Compared with FY2024, margins compressed meaningfully (gross margin ~9.9% vs ~11.1% and net margin ~0.8% vs ~1.1%), pointing to higher costs and limited pricing leverage. While the company is profitable in the latest periods, results have been volatile historically (including a loss in FY2022 and unusually high profits in FY2021–FY2023), which reduces confidence in earnings durability.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Leverage is elevated: total debt is substantial versus equity (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.14; FY2025 debt-to-equity ~2.27), which increases financial risk in a low-margin restaurant model. Equity is positive and return on equity is modest but positive in the most recent periods (~3% TTM), suggesting the business is generating profits, but at a limited rate relative to its capital base. Overall, the balance sheet is workable, yet debt levels constrain flexibility if operating performance weakens.
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
TTM cash generation is positive (operating cash flow ~$3.6M and free cash flow ~$1.7M), which is a constructive sign versus FY2025 when free cash flow was negative. However, cash conversion is not especially strong: operating cash flow covers only a modest portion of debt (TTM ~0.24), and free cash flow relative to net income is below 1x in the TTM period, indicating profits are not fully translating into surplus cash. Free cash flow growth is also sharply negative on a reported basis, reflecting year-to-year volatility.
Breakdown
TTM
Sep 2025
Sep 2024
Sep 2023
Sep 2022
Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue
138.00M
141.63M
142.38M
138.16M
138.20M
123.95M
Gross Profit
13.71M
13.54M
15.86M
15.42M
15.96M
18.38M
EBITDA
4.53M
4.52M
5.23M
4.71M
3.18M
26.18M
Net Income
1.04M
1.02M
1.61M
11.09M
-2.64M
16.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
82.51M
83.81M
87.12M
91.09M
86.39M
93.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.32M
2.60M
3.85M
4.18M
8.91M
8.86M
Total Debt
39.79M
41.83M
44.43M
48.87M
50.97M
54.66M
Total Liabilities
48.49M
50.00M
54.03M
58.09M
58.60M
62.81M
Stockholders Equity
33.25M
33.06M
32.37M
32.57M
26.48M
29.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
1.71M
-1.45M
1.99M
3.19M
2.65M
5.95M
Operating Cash Flow
3.55M
1.61M
5.13M
7.96M
5.29M
9.14M
Investing Cash Flow
-2.19M
-3.84M
-3.66M
-10.44M
-2.62M
-3.19M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.07M
983.00K
-1.80M
-2.25M
-2.62M
-8.56M
Good Times Restaurants Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.16
Price Trends
50DMA
1.20
Negative
100DMA
1.31
Negative
200DMA
1.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
48.85
Neutral
STOCH
24.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GTIM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.20, below the 50-day MA of 1.20, and below the 200-day MA of 1.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GTIM.
Good Times Restaurants Risk Analysis
Good Times Restaurants disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Good Times Restaurants reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026