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Lloyds Banking Group (LYG)
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Lloyds Banking (LYG) AI Stock Analysis

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LYG

Lloyds Banking

(NYSE:LYG)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(11.61% Upside)
Lloyds Banking's overall score reflects a solid financial foundation with strong profitability and strategic growth initiatives. However, liquidity challenges and revenue growth decline pose risks. The positive earnings call and attractive valuation support a favorable outlook, while technical indicators suggest a stable market position.

Lloyds Banking (LYG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lloyds Banking Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLloyds Banking Group plc is a leading British financial services organization, headquartered in London. The company operates primarily in the UK and provides a wide range of banking and financial services, including retail and commercial banking, insurance, and wealth management. Its core products include current accounts, savings accounts, mortgages, personal loans, and credit cards, catering to both individual and business customers under well-known brands such as Lloyds Bank, Bank of Scotland, Halifax, and Scottish Widows.
How the Company Makes MoneyLloyds Banking Group generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and mortgages, as well as fees and commissions from various banking services. Key revenue streams include net interest income, which is derived from the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits. The bank also earns fees from account maintenance, transaction services, and investment products. Additionally, Lloyds has a substantial insurance and asset management division, contributing to its earnings through premiums and management fees. Strategic partnerships with financial service providers enhance its offerings and customer reach, further driving revenue growth.

Lloyds Banking Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Interest Income by Segment
Net Interest Income by Segment
Shows how much income is generated from interest across different business segments, highlighting which areas are most profitable and sensitive to interest rate changes.
Chart InsightsLloyds Banking's Retail segment shows a recovery in 2025 after a dip in 2024, indicating resilience amid economic challenges. Commercial Banking is stabilizing post-2024 declines, suggesting cautious optimism. However, the Insurance, Pensions, and Investments segment continues to struggle with persistent losses, highlighting ongoing challenges. Meanwhile, Equity Investments & Central Items have seen significant gains since late 2023, possibly reflecting strategic asset management or favorable market conditions. Investors should monitor these shifts for potential impacts on overall profitability and strategic direction.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Lloyds Banking Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive financial performance with strong revenue growth, increased dividends, and strategic initiative success. However, there are concerns about mortgage margin pressures, asset quality, and legal uncertainties in Motor Finance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Lloyds Banking Group reported a statutory profit after tax of GBP 2.5 billion for the first half of 2025, with a return on tangible equity of 14.1%. Net income grew by 6% to GBP 8.9 billion.
Dividend Increase
The ordinary dividend was increased by 15% at the interim stage, reflecting continued improvement in shareholder distributions.
Growth in Strategic Initiatives
The group has delivered over GBP 1 billion in additional revenues from strategic initiatives on an annualized basis, with a target of GBP 1.5 billion by 2026.
Record Deposit Growth
Deposits increased by GBP 11.2 billion or 2% in the first half, reaching GBP 494 billion.
Operational Efficiency
Achieved GBP 300 million of gross cost savings in the first half, with a total of circa GBP 1.5 billion since 2021.
Negative Updates
Mortgage Margin Pressure
Completion margins in the mortgage book averaged around 70 basis points in Q2, slightly tighter than the previous quarter, with maturity margins higher at over 90 basis points.
Asset Quality Concerns
While asset quality remains robust, the H1 impairment charge was GBP 442 million, equating to an asset quality ratio of 19 basis points.
Uncertainty in Motor Finance
Ongoing legal uncertainties surrounding the Supreme Court ruling on Motor Finance and its potential implications for financial outcomes.
Structural Hedge Maturity
The structural hedge contribution is expected to fluctuate, with potential impacts on income growth.
Company Guidance
During Lloyds Banking Group's 2025 Half Year Results Call, the company reaffirmed its guidance for 2025, expressing confidence in meeting its 2026 commitments. The key financial metrics highlighted included a 15% increase in the interim ordinary dividend, a return on tangible equity of 14.1%, and capital generation of 86 basis points in the first half. The bank maintained its forecast for a cost-to-income ratio below 50% and capital generation of over 200 basis points by 2026. Net income increased by 6%, driven by a 9% rise in other operating income and continued momentum in net interest income, with the net interest margin improving to 304 basis points. The bank also reported GBP 8 billion in lending to first-time buyers and over GBP 1 billion in funding to the social housing sector, underpinning its strategic focus on sustainable growth areas such as housing, infrastructure, and pensions.

Lloyds Banking Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lloyds Banking shows strong profitability margins but faces challenges with declining revenue growth and liquidity issues. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt, but cash flow metrics indicate potential risks due to negative free cash flow and inefficiencies in cash conversion.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Lloyds Banking showed a mixed income performance. The gross and net profit margins for 2024 were strong at 25.15% and 3.52% respectively, indicating efficiency in cost management. However, a revenue growth decline of 4.58% compared to 2023 suggests challenges in maintaining top-line growth. The EBIT margin remained robust at 100% due to the nature of banking revenue recognition. Nonetheless, the lack of EBITDA data limits comprehensive profitability analysis.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable structure with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.77 in 2024, showing manageable leverage. The equity ratio at 5.04% and a return on equity of 9.67% suggest a cautious but steady approach to capital utilization. Cash reserves decreased significantly, impacting liquidity positions, but overall, the company maintains a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow metrics highlight some concerns. The free cash flow turned negative in 2024, indicating cash management challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was negative, showcasing inefficiencies in converting income into cash. Free cash flow to net income ratio was also negative, further emphasizing liquidity strains. This signals potential risks if cash flow management does not improve.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.01B37.61B18.41B14.53B17.13B18.69B
Gross Profit46.84B18.60B18.41B16.05B16.32B15.13B
EBITDA6.15B9.40B10.41B7.17B9.72B3.96B
Net Income4.53B4.42B5.46B3.83B5.78B1.32B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets919.28B906.70B881.45B877.83B886.52B871.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.22B62.68B79.02B91.63B76.57B73.56B
Total Debt85.44B80.92B93.67B58.48B84.66B79.87B
Total Liabilities872.41B860.81B834.09B830.31B833.37B821.86B
Stockholders Equity46.72B45.72B47.16B43.67B52.92B49.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-8.76B1.35B18.16B3.39B24.27B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-4.39B6.81B22.01B6.62B27.17B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-7.69B-9.82B510.00M-2.54B-4.00B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-5.93B-8.46B-6.61B-3.23B-5.32B

Lloyds Banking Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.48
Price Trends
50DMA
4.51
Positive
100DMA
4.37
Positive
200DMA
3.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
66.23
Neutral
STOCH
87.53
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LYG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.57, below the 50-day MA of 4.51, and above the 200-day MA of 3.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LYG.

Lloyds Banking Risk Analysis

Lloyds Banking disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lloyds Banking reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lloyds Banking Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$71.63B11.7811.31%3.62%1.94%30.93%
$76.00B10.5920.49%6.13%5.44%2.81%
$72.55B10.6711.71%4.33%2.95%33.77%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$69.22B15.767.85%3.58%-20.94%-18.71%
$56.57B11.867.98%4.74%22.02%
$82.91B14.298.69%1.41%-2.22%24.37%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LYG
Lloyds Banking
4.74
2.02
74.26%
TFC
Truist Financial
44.22
3.88
9.62%
ITUB
Itau Unibanco
7.47
2.17
40.94%
MFG
Mizuho Financial
6.75
2.37
54.11%
PNC
PNC Financial
182.74
0.68
0.37%
USB
US Bancorp
46.62
1.06
2.33%

Lloyds Banking Corporate Events

Lloyds Banking Group Reports Strong 2025 Half-Year Results
Jul 25, 2025

Lloyds Banking Group is a leading UK-based financial services group providing a wide range of banking and financial services, including retail and commercial banking, insurance, pensions, and investments. The company is known for its strong digital capabilities and commitment to helping Britain prosper.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025