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Itau Unibanco Banco Holding (ITUB)
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Itau Unibanco (ITUB) AI Stock Analysis

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ITUB

Itau Unibanco

(NYSE:ITUB)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(13.80% Upside)
Itau Unibanco's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings performance and positive technical indicators. The company's robust ROE and net income growth, along with a reasonable valuation, support a favorable outlook. However, high leverage and negative cash flows present risks that need to be managed.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a solid market position and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
ROE Performance
High ROE reflects efficient use of equity, enhancing shareholder value and indicating strong management performance.
Sustainability Initiatives
Focus on sustainability aligns with global trends, potentially improving brand reputation and long-term viability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term stability.
Negative Cash Flows
Negative cash flows may constrain investment capacity and operational flexibility, affecting future growth prospects.
Underperformance in Payroll Loans
Challenges in payroll loans could impact revenue from this segment, necessitating strategic adjustments to mitigate risks.

Itau Unibanco (ITUB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Itau Unibanco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionItaú Unibanco Holding S.A. is one of the largest financial institutions in Brazil and Latin America, offering a comprehensive range of banking and financial services. The company operates in various segments including retail banking, wholesale banking, asset management, insurance, and investment banking. Its core products and services include personal and commercial loans, credit cards, savings and investment accounts, wealth management, and insurance solutions, catering to both individual and corporate clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyItaú Unibanco generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from interest income derived from loans and credit products, which constitute a significant portion of their earnings. The bank charges interest on various types of loans, including personal loans, mortgages, and business financing. Additionally, Itaú earns fees from services such as credit card transactions, account maintenance, and investment management. The bank also benefits from asset management services, where it charges management fees on funds and portfolios it administers. Furthermore, Itaú Unibanco engages in capital markets activities, including underwriting and advisory services, contributing to its revenue. Significant partnerships, such as those with fintech companies and other financial institutions, enhance its service offerings and customer reach, thereby supporting its overall earnings potential.

Itau Unibanco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance with significant net income and ROE growth, controlled delinquency rates, and successful strategic initiatives like One Itau. However, challenges were noted in specific segments such as payroll loans and advisory & brokerage services, and there was an upward revision in the effective tax rate guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Income Growth
The company delivered net income of BRL 11.5 billion, representing a 3.4% increase over the previous quarter and a 14.3% increase year-over-year.
Robust ROE Performance
Consolidated ROE reached 23.3%, expanding both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. In Brazil, ROE was 24.4%.
NII and NIM Expansion
NII with clients grew 3.1% over the previous quarter and 15.4% year-over-year. NIM expanded to 9.2% on a consolidated basis and 10% in Brazil.
Controlled Delinquency Rates
Consolidated NPL over 90 days stood at 1.9% and 2.0% in Brazil, stable quarter-over-quarter and down year-over-year.
Loan Portfolio Growth
The individual loan book grew 8.0% year-over-year and 0.7% in the quarter, with a notable 1.6% quarterly increase in credit card loans.
Successful One Itau Initiative
Over 10 million clients have migrated to the One Itau platform with a 99.3% conversion rate and an NPS of 80.
Strong Asset Management and Insurance Performance
Asset management revenues increased by 17.5% annually, and insurance, pension, and capitalization businesses grew 8.8% in the quarter and 17.3% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Underperformance in Payroll Loans
Payroll loans underperformed due to multiple factors, including cap on interest rates and process changes in originations.
Decline in Advisory & Brokerage Services
Revenues declined both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, mainly explained by lower DCM activities.
Higher Effective Tax Rate
Due to higher earnings, the effective tax rate guidance was revised upward from 27%-29% to 28.5%-30.5%.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025 earnings call, the bank provided an update on its guidance with several key metrics. The recurring managerial net income increased to BRL 11.5 billion, showing a 3.4% rise from the previous quarter and a 14.3% year-over-year increase. Consequently, the consolidated return on equity (ROE) reached 23.3%, while in Brazil, it was 24.4%. The net interest income (NII) with clients grew by 3.1% quarter-over-quarter and 15.4% year-over-year. The net interest margin (NIM) expanded to 9.2% on a consolidated basis and 10% in Brazil. Delinquency rates were stable, with the non-performing loans (NPL) over 90 days at 1.9% consolidated and 2.0% in Brazil. The common equity Tier 1 ratio increased by 50 basis points quarter-over-quarter, reaching 13.1%. The loan portfolio recorded a 0.4% growth in the quarter, or 1.3% excluding FX impacts. The individual loan book grew 8.0% year-over-year with notable contributions from credit card loans. Despite challenges, sectors like mortgage loans and SMEs showed positive growth. The bank updated its guidance for 2025, increasing the expected growth range for NII with clients from 7.5%-11.5% to 11%-14%, while adjusting the effective tax rate to 28.5%-30.5%.

Itau Unibanco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Itau Unibanco shows strong revenue growth and profitability with a 5.2% increase in TTM revenue and a net profit margin of 12.3%. However, the company faces challenges with high leverage, indicated by a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.5, and negative cash flows, which need to be addressed to maintain financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Itau Unibanco has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a 5.2% increase in TTM, supported by strong net profit margins of 12.3%. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years, indicating potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.5, which suggests significant leverage. However, the return on equity remains robust at 20.7%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, reflecting high reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 135.3%, suggesting that the company is still generating cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue315.91B325.85B306.63B253.12B191.49B173.58B
Gross Profit126.81B129.10B116.82B108.23B108.18B75.57B
EBITDA57.18B54.00B45.35B41.49B46.46B8.96B
Net Income44.35B41.09B33.10B29.21B26.76B18.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.97T2.85T2.54T2.32T2.07T2.02T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments343.56B637.43B615.43B577.22B517.40B570.11B
Total Debt981.74B905.63B814.62B721.40B574.07B577.99B
Total Liabilities2.74T2.63T2.34T2.14T1.90T1.86T
Stockholders Equity214.92B211.09B190.18B167.72B152.86B142.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.79B-98.15B68.30B121.14B51.02B54.18B
Operating Cash Flow7.50B-96.32B77.49B129.63B60.11B59.49B
Investing Cash Flow21.84B6.97B-31.23B-73.27B-4.84B753.00M
Financing Cash Flow-12.03B81.69B-22.45B-31.71B-31.46B-13.55B

Itau Unibanco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.03
Price Trends
50DMA
7.27
Positive
100DMA
6.97
Positive
200DMA
6.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
62.00
Neutral
STOCH
40.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ITUB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.51, below the 50-day MA of 7.27, and above the 200-day MA of 6.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ITUB.

Itau Unibanco Risk Analysis

Itau Unibanco disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Itau Unibanco reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Itau Unibanco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$74.83B10.1819.90%5.91%11.82%3.41%
72
Outperform
$35.64B10.3911.78%1.80%5.89%34.68%
71
Outperform
$18.83B14.7621.29%5.63%-11.64%-8.75%
69
Neutral
$13.55B12.1024.13%4.44%12.43%56.30%
69
Neutral
$35.64B8.9411.78%0.83%5.89%34.01%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$24.04B22.929.34%4.74%1.13%-11.93%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ITUB
Itau Unibanco
7.66
3.15
69.84%
BBD
Banco Bradesco SA
3.68
1.69
84.92%
BCH
Banco De Chile
37.35
15.66
72.20%
BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil
6.43
2.47
62.37%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
29.93
11.73
64.45%
BBDO
Banco Bradesco
3.18
1.40
78.65%

Itau Unibanco Corporate Events

Itaú Unibanco Updates Environmental and Social Responsibility Policy
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced its updated Environmental, Social, and Climate Responsibility Policy, which outlines the principles and guidelines for its operations and stakeholder relationships. This policy emphasizes the bank’s commitment to sustainable development, human rights, and climate change mitigation, aiming to integrate these aspects into its business strategies. The policy is part of Itaú Unibanco’s broader ESG strategy, which includes sustainable finance, climate transition, and diversity and development initiatives. This move is expected to enhance the company’s industry positioning by aligning its operations with global sustainability standards and addressing the expectations of stakeholders.

Itaú Unibanco to Repurchase R$3.6 Billion in Tier 2 Financial Bills
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced its decision to repurchase all of its Tier 2 Subordinated Financial Bills, which were initially issued between November 12 and December 2, 2020, and are set to mature in 2030. This repurchase, totaling R$3.6 billion, is expected to impact the company’s Tier 2 capital ratio by approximately 20 basis points, reflecting a strategic move to optimize its capital structure.

Itaú Unibanco Reports Strong Financial Performance and Innovations in November 2025
Nov 6, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Itaú Unibanco released its condensed financial statements for the first nine months of 2025, highlighting a recurring result of R$33.1 billion and a credit portfolio expansion in Brazil. The bank also introduced new features for business clients, such as a crypto fund management structure and enhanced security measures against fraud, demonstrating its commitment to innovation and client service. Additionally, Itaú Unibanco exercised call options on Tier 1 Subordinated Notes and issued Perpetual Subordinated Financial Bills, impacting its capital structure. The bank received multiple awards, including recognition as the Best Cash Management Bank in Brazil by Euromoney.

Itaú Unibanco Updates 2025 Financial Projections Amid Market Conditions
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Itaú Unibanco released its updated financial projections for the fiscal year 2025, maintaining consistency with the previous year’s outlook. The projections include key indicators such as total loan portfolio, financial margins, and cost of credit. The company emphasizes that these projections are subject to market conditions and economic performance, both domestically and internationally. The announcement underscores Itaú Unibanco’s strategic focus on managing its capital efficiently, with a cost of capital around 15% per year, and highlights the potential impact of various risk factors on its operations.

Itaú Unibanco Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Itaú Unibanco released its Management Discussion & Analysis and Condensed Financial Statements for the third quarter of 2025. The financial results indicate a recurring managerial result of R$11,876 million, reflecting a 11.3% increase from the previous year. The company reported operating revenues of R$46,567 million, driven by strong performance in its financial margin and insurance operations. The nonperforming loans ratio remained stable at 1.9%, and the efficiency ratio improved to 39.5%. These results underscore Itaú Unibanco’s robust financial health and its ability to maintain strong profitability and operational efficiency, which are crucial for its stakeholders and market positioning.

Itaú Unibanco Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Itaú Unibanco released its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a recurring managerial return on equity of 25.4% in Brazil. The bank reported a consolidated credit portfolio of R$1.402 trillion, marking a 6.4% increase compared to the previous year. The results indicate stable credit quality and a robust performance in services and insurance, reinforcing its market leadership in private mortgage credit with a 47% market share. The announcement underscores Itaú Unibanco’s commitment to transparency and its strategic focus on maintaining strong financial health and market leadership.

Itaú Unibanco’s Fiscal Council Confirms Financial Stability in Latest Review
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Itaú Unibanco’s Fiscal Council convened to review the company’s financial statements for the period from January to September 2025. The council, chaired by Gilberto Frussa, unanimously concluded that the financial documents accurately represent the company’s capital structure, financial position, and activities, as confirmed by an unqualified report from PricewaterhouseCoopers. This resolution underscores the company’s stable financial health and transparency, reinforcing its robust position within the financial sector.

Itaú Unibanco Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with R$11.9 Billion Profit
Nov 5, 2025

In the third quarter of 2025, Itaú Unibanco reported a significant profit of R$11.9 billion, marking an 11.3% increase from the previous year. The bank’s loan portfolio reached R$1.4 trillion, with low delinquency rates, underscoring its robust financial health and strategic growth. The adoption of artificial intelligence and digital personalization has enhanced customer experiences and operational efficiency. The bank’s financial margin with clients grew by 11.0% year-over-year, supported by a responsible expansion of the credit portfolio. Additionally, the bank revised its financial margin projection for 2025, anticipating growth due to favorable market dynamics.

Itaú Unibanco Releases Revised 2025 Projections
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced a revised projection for the year 2025, highlighting a cost of capital of around 15.0% per year starting February 2025. The company emphasized that these projections are based on current market conditions and economic performance, indicating that actual results may vary. This announcement reflects Itaú Unibanco’s strategic planning and its adaptability to market dynamics, which is crucial for stakeholders to consider in their investment decisions.

Itaú Unibanco Approves Financial Statements for Q1-Q3 2025
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Itaú Unibanco’s Board of Directors convened to review the financial statements for the period from January to September 2025. The board unanimously approved the financial statements, which had received a favorable opinion from the Supervisory Council and an unqualified report from the Independent Auditors. This approval underscores the company’s financial transparency and commitment to regulatory compliance, as the documents will be submitted to relevant securities commissions and exchanges in Brazil and the U.S.

Itaú Unibanco Reports Strong Capital Management in Q3 2025
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Itaú Unibanco released its third-quarter 2025 Risk and Capital Management report, highlighting its robust risk management processes and capital adequacy. The report, aligned with the Central Bank of Brazil’s regulations, demonstrates Itaú Unibanco’s commitment to maintaining capital levels above minimum requirements, with a Total Capital Ratio of 16.4% as of September 30, 2025. This strategic focus on risk management and capital adequacy underscores the bank’s efforts to ensure financial stability and support business growth, reinforcing its position in the Brazilian financial market.

Itaú Unibanco Announces Executive Changes at Board Meeting
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. held a Board of Directors meeting where significant changes in its executive team were announced. Thales Ferreira Silva and João Filipe Fernandes da Costa Araújo were removed from their positions as officers, with Albano Manoel Almeida and Flavio Ribeiro Iglesias elected as their successors. These changes are part of the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its leadership team, with the new officers’ appointments pending ratification by the Central Bank of Brazil.

Itaú Unibanco Updates Reference Form with SEC
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. submitted a Form 6-K report to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, detailing updates to its reference form. The updates include changes to various sections of the form, reflecting the company’s ongoing compliance with regulatory requirements. This submission underscores Itaú Unibanco’s commitment to transparency and adherence to international financial reporting standards, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and its competitive position in the global financial market.

Itaú Unibanco to Unveil 3Q2025 Results in Interactive Meeting
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced an upcoming interactive meeting to present its third-quarter 2025 financial results. The meeting, scheduled for November 4th, will feature a Q&A session with key executives, including CEO Milton Maluhy and CFO Gabriel Amado de Moura. This event is expected to provide stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor perceptions and market positioning.

Itaú Unibanco Issues R$3 Billion in Perpetual Subordinated Financial Bills
Oct 8, 2025

On October 8, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced the issuance of Perpetual Subordinated Financial Bills totaling R$3 billion, aimed at professional investors. These financial instruments will contribute to the company’s Additional Tier 1 capital, potentially enhancing its Tier 1 capital ratio by 20 basis points, subject to Central Bank of Brazil’s regulations.

Itaú Unibanco Updates Risk Management Policy to Enhance Sustainability
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced its updated Social, Environmental, and Climate Risk Policy, which emphasizes the importance of managing these risks to ensure sustainable development and compliance with regulatory requirements. The policy aims to integrate these risks with traditional financial risks, ensuring that strategic decisions align with sustainability goals. The announcement highlights the bank’s commitment to engaging clients and suppliers in sustainable practices, thus contributing to a broader positive impact on society and the environment.

Itaú Unibanco Executives to Discuss Strategy at Upcoming Itaúsa Event
Sep 26, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced that its executives will participate in a live event organized by Itaúsa S.A. on September 30, 2025. The event, titled ‘Panorama Itaúsa,’ will feature discussions on Itaú Unibanco’s strategy and perspectives, led by CEO Milton Maluhy Filho. This announcement highlights the company’s ongoing efforts to engage with stakeholders and provide insights into its strategic direction.

Itaú Unibanco Announces Significant Related-Party Transaction with ICTi
Sep 9, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced a related-party transaction with the Instituto Itaú de Ciência, Tecnologia e Inovação (ICTi), a private association founded by Itaú Unibanco. The transaction involves a master agreement for ICTi to provide research, innovation, and technology development services to Itaú Unibanco. The agreement, initially disclosed in February 2025, has resulted in an additional billing of R$54.8 million. The transaction follows the company’s policy on related-party transactions and has been approved by the Related Parties Committee, ensuring it was conducted under fair conditions.

Itaú Unibanco Updates Governance Structure in Latest SEC Filing
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. submitted a Form 6-K to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, detailing updates to its Reference Form. The updates include changes to committee compositions and roles within the company, reflecting ongoing adjustments in its governance structure. These updates are part of the company’s efforts to maintain transparency and compliance with regulatory requirements, which could impact its operational strategies and stakeholder relations.

Itaú Unibanco Hosts ‘Itaú Day 2025’ to Highlight Business Developments
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Itaú Unibanco hosted ‘Itaú Day 2025’, an online event where company executives discussed developments in their business and their impact on user experience. The event featured key members of the board and executive committee, highlighting the company’s strategic focus on improving UX, which is anticipated to strengthen its market position and stakeholder engagement.

Itaú Unibanco Announces Changes in Audit Committee Leadership
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Itaú Unibanco’s Board of Directors held a meeting where they unanimously accepted the resignation of Ricardo Baldin from the Audit Committee and appointed Maria Elena Cardoso Figueira as his replacement. Figueira, recognized for her expertise in accounting and auditing, will serve until the next Board meeting following the 2026 Annual General Stockholders’ Meeting. This change is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to maintain strong governance and compliance with regulatory requirements, which is crucial for its operational integrity and stakeholder confidence.

Itaú Unibanco Appoints New Audit Committee Member
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced the election of Maria Elena Cardoso Figueira as the new financial expert member of its Audit Committee, replacing Ricardo Baldin. Her appointment is pending ratification by the Central Bank of Brazil, with Baldin continuing in the role until then. This strategic move is expected to enhance the company’s audit capabilities, given Figueira’s extensive experience in financial and audit roles across various organizations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025