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Itau Unibanco Banco Holding Sa (ITUB)
NYSE:ITUB
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Itau Unibanco (ITUB) AI Stock Analysis

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ITUB

Itau Unibanco

(NYSE:ITUB)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(2.32% Upside)
Itau Unibanco's strong earnings performance and attractive valuation are the most significant factors contributing to the score. Despite high leverage and negative cash flows, the company's robust profitability and strategic initiatives provide a positive outlook. Technical indicators support a bullish trend, enhancing the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a robust business model and effective market strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
ROE Performance
Strong ROE reflects efficient use of equity to generate profits, indicating effective management and competitive positioning.
Loan Portfolio Growth
Growth in the loan portfolio suggests increased customer demand and successful lending strategies, enhancing future revenue potential.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage can increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially impacting long-term stability and growth.
Negative Cash Flows
Negative cash flows can strain liquidity and operational capacity, posing challenges to sustaining growth and meeting obligations.
Underperformance in Payroll Loans
Challenges in payroll loans highlight potential weaknesses in product offerings and regulatory impacts, affecting revenue streams.

Itau Unibanco (ITUB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Itau Unibanco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionItaú Unibanco Holding S.A. offers a range of financial products and services to individuals and corporate customers in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, and Activities with the Market and Corporation. It offers various deposit products, as well as loans and credit cards; investment and commercial banking services; real estate lending services; financing and investment services; and leasing and foreign exchange services. The company also provides property and casualty insurance products covering loss, damage, or liabilities for assets or persons, as well as life insurance products covering death and personal accident; and reinsurance products. It serves retail customers, account and non-account holders, individuals and legal entities, high income clients, microenterprises, and small companies. The company was formerly known as Itaú Unibanco Banco Múltiplo S.A. and changed its name to Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. in April 2009. The company was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. is a subsidiary of IUPAR - Itaú Unibanco Participações S.A.
How the Company Makes MoneyItaú Unibanco generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from interest income derived from loans and credit products, which constitute a significant portion of their earnings. The bank charges interest on various types of loans, including personal loans, mortgages, and business financing. Additionally, Itaú earns fees from services such as credit card transactions, account maintenance, and investment management. The bank also benefits from asset management services, where it charges management fees on funds and portfolios it administers. Furthermore, Itaú Unibanco engages in capital markets activities, including underwriting and advisory services, contributing to its revenue. Significant partnerships, such as those with fintech companies and other financial institutions, enhance its service offerings and customer reach, thereby supporting its overall earnings potential.

Itau Unibanco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance with significant net income and ROE growth, controlled delinquency rates, and successful strategic initiatives like One Itau. However, challenges were noted in specific segments such as payroll loans and advisory & brokerage services, and there was an upward revision in the effective tax rate guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Income Growth
The company delivered net income of BRL 11.5 billion, representing a 3.4% increase over the previous quarter and a 14.3% increase year-over-year.
Robust ROE Performance
Consolidated ROE reached 23.3%, expanding both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. In Brazil, ROE was 24.4%.
NII and NIM Expansion
NII with clients grew 3.1% over the previous quarter and 15.4% year-over-year. NIM expanded to 9.2% on a consolidated basis and 10% in Brazil.
Controlled Delinquency Rates
Consolidated NPL over 90 days stood at 1.9% and 2.0% in Brazil, stable quarter-over-quarter and down year-over-year.
Loan Portfolio Growth
The individual loan book grew 8.0% year-over-year and 0.7% in the quarter, with a notable 1.6% quarterly increase in credit card loans.
Successful One Itau Initiative
Over 10 million clients have migrated to the One Itau platform with a 99.3% conversion rate and an NPS of 80.
Strong Asset Management and Insurance Performance
Asset management revenues increased by 17.5% annually, and insurance, pension, and capitalization businesses grew 8.8% in the quarter and 17.3% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Underperformance in Payroll Loans
Payroll loans underperformed due to multiple factors, including cap on interest rates and process changes in originations.
Decline in Advisory & Brokerage Services
Revenues declined both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, mainly explained by lower DCM activities.
Higher Effective Tax Rate
Due to higher earnings, the effective tax rate guidance was revised upward from 27%-29% to 28.5%-30.5%.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025 earnings call, the bank provided an update on its guidance with several key metrics. The recurring managerial net income increased to BRL 11.5 billion, showing a 3.4% rise from the previous quarter and a 14.3% year-over-year increase. Consequently, the consolidated return on equity (ROE) reached 23.3%, while in Brazil, it was 24.4%. The net interest income (NII) with clients grew by 3.1% quarter-over-quarter and 15.4% year-over-year. The net interest margin (NIM) expanded to 9.2% on a consolidated basis and 10% in Brazil. Delinquency rates were stable, with the non-performing loans (NPL) over 90 days at 1.9% consolidated and 2.0% in Brazil. The common equity Tier 1 ratio increased by 50 basis points quarter-over-quarter, reaching 13.1%. The loan portfolio recorded a 0.4% growth in the quarter, or 1.3% excluding FX impacts. The individual loan book grew 8.0% year-over-year with notable contributions from credit card loans. Despite challenges, sectors like mortgage loans and SMEs showed positive growth. The bank updated its guidance for 2025, increasing the expected growth range for NII with clients from 7.5%-11.5% to 11%-14%, while adjusting the effective tax rate to 28.5%-30.5%.

Itau Unibanco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Itau Unibanco has demonstrated strong revenue growth and improved profitability with a solid net profit margin and shareholder returns. However, the negative cash flow in 2024 poses a risk to long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Itau Unibanco demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a significant increase from 2023 to 2024. The net profit margin improved alongside a healthy EBIT margin, indicating efficient cost management. However, the absence of EBITDA in 2024 limits a full analysis of operational performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved, showing a decrease in leverage compared to previous years. The equity ratio remains stable, and return on equity has shown positive trends, reflecting strong shareholder value creation. However, the substantial total debt remains a point of concern.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow analysis indicates a challenging year with negative free cash flow in 2024 and a significant drop in operating cash flow. Despite this, the historical trend shows strong cash generation capabilities, which may help in future recovery.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue338.83B325.85B306.63B253.12B191.49B173.58B
Gross Profit127.74B129.10B116.82B108.23B108.18B75.57B
EBITDA54.79B54.00B45.35B41.49B46.46B8.96B
Net Income41.78B41.09B33.10B29.21B26.76B18.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.80T2.85T2.54T2.32T2.07T2.02T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments285.73B637.43B615.43B577.22B517.40B570.11B
Total Debt905.31B905.63B814.62B721.40B574.07B577.99B
Total Liabilities2.59T2.63T2.34T2.14T1.90T1.86T
Stockholders Equity201.14B211.09B190.18B167.72B152.86B142.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-42.22B-98.15B68.30B121.47B51.02B54.18B
Operating Cash Flow-34.55B-96.32B77.49B129.97B60.11B59.49B
Investing Cash Flow-52.70B6.97B-31.23B-73.60B-4.84B753.00M
Financing Cash Flow60.39B81.69B57.47B-31.71B-31.46B288.39B

Itau Unibanco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.33
Price Trends
50DMA
6.72
Positive
100DMA
6.60
Positive
200DMA
5.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
65.77
Neutral
STOCH
77.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ITUB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.05, above the 50-day MA of 6.72, and above the 200-day MA of 5.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ITUB.

Itau Unibanco Risk Analysis

Itau Unibanco disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Itau Unibanco reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Itau Unibanco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
12.21B10.7716.23%5.20%12.43%56.30%
74
Outperform
32.71B8.3611.89%1.60%-4.58%38.70%
73
Outperform
15.07B11.5619.19%7.17%-13.16%-8.10%
73
Outperform
$74.21B10.3920.49%6.49%5.44%2.81%
71
Outperform
32.71B9.7510.24%1.84%-4.58%39.03%
70
Outperform
20.47B20.080.00%5.58%-3.77%-10.59%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ITUB
Itau Unibanco
7.33
1.86
34.00%
BBD
Banco Bradesco SA
3.33
0.92
38.17%
BCH
Banco De Chile
29.34
6.05
25.98%
BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil
5.51
0.52
10.42%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
25.59
6.12
31.43%
BBDO
Banco Bradesco
2.88
0.68
30.91%

Itau Unibanco Corporate Events

Itaú Unibanco Announces Significant Related-Party Transaction with ICTi
Sep 9, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced a related-party transaction with the Instituto Itaú de Ciência, Tecnologia e Inovação (ICTi), a private association founded by Itaú Unibanco. The transaction involves a master agreement for ICTi to provide research, innovation, and technology development services to Itaú Unibanco. The agreement, initially disclosed in February 2025, has resulted in an additional billing of R$54.8 million. The transaction follows the company’s policy on related-party transactions and has been approved by the Related Parties Committee, ensuring it was conducted under fair conditions.

Itaú Unibanco Updates Governance Structure in Latest SEC Filing
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. submitted a Form 6-K to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, detailing updates to its Reference Form. The updates include changes to committee compositions and roles within the company, reflecting ongoing adjustments in its governance structure. These updates are part of the company’s efforts to maintain transparency and compliance with regulatory requirements, which could impact its operational strategies and stakeholder relations.

Itaú Unibanco Hosts ‘Itaú Day 2025’ to Highlight Business Developments
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Itaú Unibanco hosted ‘Itaú Day 2025’, an online event where company executives discussed developments in their business and their impact on user experience. The event featured key members of the board and executive committee, highlighting the company’s strategic focus on improving UX, which is anticipated to strengthen its market position and stakeholder engagement.

Itaú Unibanco Announces Changes in Audit Committee Leadership
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Itaú Unibanco’s Board of Directors held a meeting where they unanimously accepted the resignation of Ricardo Baldin from the Audit Committee and appointed Maria Elena Cardoso Figueira as his replacement. Figueira, recognized for her expertise in accounting and auditing, will serve until the next Board meeting following the 2026 Annual General Stockholders’ Meeting. This change is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to maintain strong governance and compliance with regulatory requirements, which is crucial for its operational integrity and stakeholder confidence.

Itaú Unibanco Appoints New Audit Committee Member
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced the election of Maria Elena Cardoso Figueira as the new financial expert member of its Audit Committee, replacing Ricardo Baldin. Her appointment is pending ratification by the Central Bank of Brazil, with Baldin continuing in the role until then. This strategic move is expected to enhance the company’s audit capabilities, given Figueira’s extensive experience in financial and audit roles across various organizations.

Itaú Unibanco Reports Legal Proceedings with Significant Financial Implications
Aug 15, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. submitted a Form 6-K report to the Securities and Exchange Commission, detailing updates to its Reference Form as of December 31, 2024. The report highlights ongoing legal proceedings with significant financial implications, including a civil case involving a potential liability of R$13.8 billion. Despite the substantial amounts in dispute, the company maintains that the risk of adverse outcomes is remote and has made provisions to cover probable losses. These legal challenges underscore the complexities Itaú Unibanco faces in managing its financial and operational risks.

Itaú Unibanco Announces Itaú Day 2025 Digital Event
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced its upcoming digital event, Itaú Day 2025, scheduled for September 2nd. This event will feature the company’s executives discussing recent business developments and their impact on user experience. The announcement highlights Itaú Unibanco’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement, potentially influencing its market positioning and investor relations.

Itaú Unibanco Releases June 2025 Financial Statements
Aug 7, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. released its Management Discussion & Analysis and Condensed Financial Statements for June 2025. This release is part of the company’s ongoing transparency and compliance with the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The report, signed by Investor Relations Officer Gustavo Lopes Rodrigues, provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and market positioning.

Itaú Unibanco Releases Q2 2025 Risk and Capital Management Report
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Itaú Unibanco released its Risk and Capital Management report for the second quarter of 2025. This report highlights the bank’s focus on maintaining robust risk management practices and capital adequacy, which are crucial for its operational stability and regulatory compliance. The announcement underscores the bank’s commitment to transparency and effective governance, which are vital for its stakeholders and market position.

Itaú Unibanco Releases June 2025 Financial Statement
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. released its condensed financial statement for June 2025, prepared in accordance with IFRS. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and performance, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Itaú Unibanco Announces Interest on Capital Payment
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced the payment of interest on capital, a move that reflects the company’s commitment to delivering value to its shareholders. This announcement is part of Itaú Unibanco’s ongoing strategy to maintain a strong financial position and enhance shareholder returns, reinforcing its industry positioning and potentially impacting investor sentiment positively.

Itaú Unibanco Board Meeting Insights from August 5, 2025
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Itaú Unibanco’s Board of Directors convened to discuss various strategic matters pertinent to the company’s operations. The meeting’s outcomes, as summarized in the minutes, are expected to influence Itaú Unibanco’s strategic direction and potentially impact its market positioning, although specific details of the discussions were not disclosed in the release.

Itaú Unibanco Fiscal Council Meeting Highlights Governance Efforts
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. held a meeting of its Fiscal Council, as documented in the summarized minutes. This meeting is part of the company’s ongoing governance processes, which are crucial for maintaining transparency and accountability in its operations. The outcomes of such meetings can impact the company’s strategic decisions and its positioning within the financial industry.

Itaú Unibanco Strengthens Capital with New Tier 1 Subordinated Notes
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. announced the issuance of Tier 1 Subordinated Notes. This strategic move is expected to strengthen the company’s capital structure, enhancing its financial stability and supporting its growth initiatives. The issuance of these notes is likely to have a positive impact on Itaú Unibanco’s market positioning, signaling confidence in its financial health and commitment to maintaining robust capital reserves.

Itaú Unibanco Announces 2025 Financial Projections
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced its financial projections for the year 2025. This announcement is a significant step for the company as it outlines its strategic plans and financial expectations, potentially impacting its market positioning and providing insights for investors and stakeholders.

Itaú Unibanco Files Form 6-K for August 2025
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. submitted a Form 6-K report to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The report, signed by Investor Relations Officer Gustavo Lopes Rodrigues, is part of the company’s regulatory compliance under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This submission indicates Itaú Unibanco’s ongoing commitment to transparency and adherence to international financial reporting standards, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and its strong market position.

Itaú Unibanco Announces New Stockholder Remuneration Policy
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. announced its Stockholder Remuneration Policy, which includes details on dividends and interest on capital. This policy is significant for stakeholders as it outlines the company’s approach to distributing profits to shareholders, potentially impacting investor confidence and the company’s financial strategy.

Itaú Unibanco Files Form 6-K for August 2025
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. submitted a Form 6-K report to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This filing, signed by Investor Relations Officer Gustavo Lopes Rodrigues, reflects the company’s ongoing compliance with international financial reporting standards, which is crucial for maintaining transparency and investor confidence.

Itaú Unibanco Releases Brazilian Corporate Governance Code Report
Jul 29, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Itaú Unibanco released a report on its compliance with the Brazilian Corporate Governance Code. The report highlights the company’s capital structure, which includes both common and preferred shares, and the governance measures in place following the merger between Itaú and Unibanco in 2009. The company emphasizes its commitment to maintaining a robust governance framework, including a significant proportion of independent board members and mechanisms to prevent conflicts of interest. The report also discusses the company’s policies on shareholder agreements, tender offers, and risk management, aiming to ensure transparency and equitable treatment for all stakeholders.

Itaú Unibanco Announces New Remuneration Policy for Administrators
Jul 25, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. announced a new remuneration policy for its administrators in Brazil. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance governance and align the interests of its administrators with those of its stakeholders, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market competitiveness.

Itaú Unibanco Announces Interactive Meeting for Q2 2025
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced an interactive meeting for the second quarter of 2025, aiming to engage with stakeholders and provide insights into its financial performance and strategic direction. This initiative reflects the company’s commitment to transparency and effective communication with investors, which could enhance its market position and stakeholder trust.

Itaú Unibanco Updates Board Nomination and Succession Policy
Jul 10, 2025

On July 8, 2025, Itaú Unibanco announced its updated policy for the nomination and succession of its board members and officers, emphasizing compliance with regulations, diversity, and strategic alignment. This policy aims to ensure continuity in corporate governance and enhance the company’s adaptability and strategic vision, reflecting its commitment to inclusive practices and long-term value preservation.

Itaú Unibanco Enhances Transparency with New Disclosure Policy
Jun 30, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. announced its policy for the disclosure of material acts or facts, which is a significant step in enhancing transparency and regulatory compliance. This move is expected to strengthen the company’s operational integrity and improve stakeholder trust, positioning Itaú Unibanco as a leader in corporate governance within the financial sector.

Itaú Unibanco Files Form 6-K with SEC
Jun 25, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. submitted a Form 6-K to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, signed by Gustavo Lopes Rodrigues, the Investor Relations Officer. This filing is part of the company’s regulatory compliance, ensuring transparency and communication with stakeholders, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and adhering to international financial reporting standards.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025