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Banco Bradesco (BBD)
NYSE:BBD

Banco Bradesco SA (BBD) AI Stock Analysis

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BBD

Banco Bradesco SA

(NYSE:BBD)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(2.04% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/09/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker financial performance quality—especially highly volatile and negative recent operating/free cash flow and the sharp revenue decline—despite ongoing profitability. Offsetting factors include constructive technical momentum, a reasonable value/dividend setup, and an earnings call narrative supporting continued growth and improving efficiency, albeit with cost and capital/regulatory risks.
Positive Factors
Scaled digital platform
Bradesco’s rapid digital scale and AI-driven service (19M digital clients, 90% interactions retained) materially lowers unit costs and boosts distribution reach. Over 2–6 months this supports durable customer acquisition, higher cross-sell capacity and sustainable cost advantages versus branch-heavy peers.
Negative Factors
Severely negative operating cash flow
Repeated and large negative operating and free cash flows signal poor cash conversion and volatile working‑capital dynamics. Over the medium term this can constrain discretionary investment, heighten reliance on wholesale funding or capital actions, and limit flexibility for dividends or buybacks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Scaled digital platform
Bradesco’s rapid digital scale and AI-driven service (19M digital clients, 90% interactions retained) materially lowers unit costs and boosts distribution reach. Over 2–6 months this supports durable customer acquisition, higher cross-sell capacity and sustainable cost advantages versus branch-heavy peers.
Read all positive factors

Banco Bradesco SA (BBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Banco Bradesco SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services to individuals, corporates, and businesses in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through two segment, Banking and Insurance. It provi...
How the Company Makes Money
Bradesco primarily makes money by earning net interest income and fee-based income across its banking and financial services platform. Net interest income is generated from the spread between interest earned on assets—such as consumer, mortgage, a...

Banco Bradesco SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong operational and financial progress story: recurring net income, ROAE, digital adoption, SME share gains, NII and capital markets growth, and a high‑performing insurance business were prominent positives. Management is investing heavily in technology and transformation (22% higher tech spend) which supports medium‑term productivity gains but kept near‑term operating expenses elevated. Capital (CET1) is being actively managed but faces regulatory/prudential headwinds and the bank signaled possible short‑term volatility from elections and market expectations. Overall, the highlights — material earnings growth, improving efficiency, robust digital and SME traction and strong insurance results — meaningfully outweigh the lowlights tied to higher OpEx, capital monitoring and some product‑level tradeoffs.
Positive Updates
Strong recurring net income and ROAE
Recurring net income of BRL 6.5 billion in Q4 (+20.6% YoY) and BRL 24.7 billion for the full year (+26.1% YoY); ROAE reached 15.2% in the quarter, exceeding cost of capital.
Negative Updates
Operating expense growth and near-term cost pressure
Operating expenses increased +8.5% YoY (or +7.2% excl. EloPar and Cielo); drivers include higher technology spending (+22% YoY), increased profit‑sharing/variable compensation and some one‑time marketing/advertising choices, meaning OpEx growth remains above some analysts' expectations.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong recurring net income and ROAE
Recurring net income of BRL 6.5 billion in Q4 (+20.6% YoY) and BRL 24.7 billion for the full year (+26.1% YoY); ROAE reached 15.2% in the quarter, exceeding cost of capital.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated 2026 guidance for continued revenue and balance-sheet growth: expanded loan portfolio growth roughly in the mid-to-high single digits (management cited ranges around ~8.5%–10.5% and referenced ~9.5% as a planning point), operating expenses guided to grow about 8% (with ~3% of that attributable to technology investments and the remainder roughly in line with inflation/personnel), CET1 capital expected to be around 11% through 2026, and interest on equity budgeted above BRL 15 billion. Management expects continued ROAE improvement from the Q4 2025 level of 15.2% and reiterated targets to raise scale and efficiency (efficiency ratio down to ~50% in 2025 with a medium‑term ambition of ~40% by 2028). Other explicit operational targets include growing digital retail from 19 million toward ~40 million clients in 2026, upgrading the affluent base to ~4.7 million (Principal ~800,000 clients and ~50 new offices), further SME penetration after reaching ~16.6% market share, and sustaining strong insurance performance (insurance growth/operations previously guided at ~16.1%, technical provisions ~BRL 446 billion); overall recurring net income in 2025 was BRL 24.7 billion (Q4 BRL 6.5 billion), which management expects to build on in 2026.

Banco Bradesco SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is pressured by a major revenue contraction and weaker margins despite remaining profitable. Balance sheet shows equity growth but volatile leverage. Cash flow is the main risk, with highly inconsistent and often negative operating/free cash flow, including a sharp deterioration in 2025.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue342.23B249.61B254.71B239.65B157.55B
Gross Profit118.43B78.69B68.16B82.50B93.07B
EBITDA-3.56B23.63B16.73B30.28B38.63B
Net Income23.21B17.25B14.25B21.22B23.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.33T2.07T1.93T1.79T1.68T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments278.36B292.77B41.54B28.55B21.28B
Total Debt798.39B689.53B359.49B338.99B284.55B
Total Liabilities2.15T1.90T1.76T1.63T1.53T
Stockholders Equity178.42B168.41B166.33B159.53B149.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-315.80B-93.62B-9.32B32.35B-106.41B
Operating Cash Flow-310.78B-91.33B-177.63M41.77B-102.00B
Investing Cash Flow59.83B-5.01B83.61B-17.78B-19.31B
Financing Cash Flow236.53B117.88B-23.06B21.92B-1.61B

Banco Bradesco SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.43
Price Trends
50DMA
3.86
Negative
100DMA
3.65
Positive
200DMA
3.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
51.56
Neutral
STOCH
77.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BBD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.62, below the 50-day MA of 3.86, and above the 200-day MA of 3.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BBD.

Banco Bradesco SA Risk Analysis

Banco Bradesco SA disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banco Bradesco SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Banco Bradesco SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$20.38B8.4417.70%10.29%-6.79%16.13%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$18.59B14.5621.25%5.56%-11.64%-8.75%
65
Neutral
$5.25B24.804.69%2.37%-55.81%-78.94%
64
Neutral
$37.12B7.9913.55%2.48%5.89%34.68%
57
Neutral
$22.65B9.9711.15%4.98%1.13%-11.93%
56
Neutral
$15.66B12.5821.37%4.29%12.43%56.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BBD
Banco Bradesco SA
3.72
1.79
92.65%
BCH
Banco De Chile
36.87
13.41
57.18%
BMA
Banco Macro SA
76.79
14.52
23.32%
BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil
6.04
1.89
45.54%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
33.24
13.16
65.54%
CIB
Grupo Cibest
72.78
37.57
106.71%

Banco Bradesco SA Corporate Events

Banco Bradesco Shareholders Back Bradseg Spin-Off in March 31, 2026 Meeting
Mar 30, 2026
Banco Bradesco S.A. reported the consolidated summary voting map for its Special Shareholders’ Meeting scheduled for March 31, 2026, where investors voted remotely between February 27 and March 27 on a series of corporate restructuring items...
Banco Bradesco Approves R$3 Billion Interim Interest on Shareholders’ Equity
Mar 26, 2026
On March 25, 2026, Banco Bradesco’s board of directors approved management’s proposal to pay R$3 billion in interim interest on shareholders’ equity, equivalent to R$0.270307744 per common share and R$0.297338519 per preferred sh...
Banco Bradesco Shareholders Approve BRL 6.67 Billion Capital Increase and New Management Profit-Sharing Rules
Mar 19, 2026
On March 10, 2026, Banco Bradesco held a special shareholders’ meeting that approved a BRL 6.67 billion increase in its stock capital, raising it from BRL 87.1 billion to BRL 93.77 billion through the capitalization of legal profit reserves ...
Banco Bradesco Shareholders Approve Capital Increase, 2025 Results and New Board Slate
Mar 19, 2026
At a digitally held special and annual shareholders’ meeting on March 10, 2026, Banco Bradesco’s investors approved a R$6.67 billion increase in stock capital to R$93.77 billion via capitalization of legal profit reserves, without issu...
Banco Bradesco Updates Bylaws After March 10 EGM to Tighten Governance and Capital Rules
Mar 19, 2026
On March 10, 2026, Banco Bradesco’s extraordinary general meeting approved updated corporate bylaws that reaffirm the bank’s governance under B3’s Tier 1 Corporate Governance segment and formalize its indefinite duration and Osas...
Banco Bradesco Shareholders Approve Capital Increase and Governance Proposals at March 2026 Meetings
Mar 12, 2026
At Annual and Special Shareholders’ Meetings held on March 10, 2026, Banco Bradesco shareholders approved a R$6.67 billion increase in stock capital via capitalization of legal profit reserves, raising capital from R$87.1 billion to R$93.77 ...
Banco Bradesco Details February Insider Holdings and Board Change in March 2026 Filing
Mar 11, 2026
Banco Bradesco S.A. reported to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for March 2026 that its controlling shareholder group’s stake in the bank remained unchanged in February 2026, holding roughly 3.81 billion common shares and 121.1 m...
Banco Bradesco Shareholders Approve Capital Increase, 2025 Results and New Board Slate
Mar 11, 2026
On March 10, 2026, Banco Bradesco held combined Annual and Special Shareholders’ Meetings in Osasco, approving a R$6.67 billion capital increase via capitalization of legal profit reserves, without issuing new shares, and related bylaw chang...
Banco Bradesco Shareholders Back Capital Increase and Governance Changes Ahead of March 10 Meetings
Mar 10, 2026
Banco Bradesco has disclosed the consolidated summary voting results from distance ballots ahead of its Annual and Special Shareholders’ Meetings scheduled for March 10, 2026, in Osasco, São Paulo. The disclosure, made under Brazilian s...
Banco Bradesco Files March 2026 Form 6-K With U.S. SEC
Mar 2, 2026
Banco Bradesco S.A., one of Brazil’s leading private banks based in Osasco, São Paulo, filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for the month of March 2026, reaffirming its status as a foreign private issuer rep...
Banco Bradesco Publishes 2026 Calendar for Financial Disclosures and Governance Events
Feb 27, 2026
Banco Bradesco S.A. has released its 2026 annual calendar of corporate events, detailing the timetable for key financial disclosures and governance milestones tied to the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 and the current fiscal year. The complet...
Banco Bradesco Calls March 31 Digital Meeting to Advance Healthcare Business Consolidation via Bradseg Spin-Off
Feb 27, 2026
On February 27, 2026, Banco Bradesco released the manual and call notice for an Extraordinary General Meeting to be held digitally on March 31, 2026, at 4:00 p.m., focused on restructuring its healthcare-related holdings. The agenda centers on app...
Banco Bradesco to Consolidate Healthcare Operations in Odontoprev and Rename It Bradsaúde
Feb 27, 2026
On February 26, 2026, Banco Bradesco and its subsidiaries Bradseg Participações and Bradesco Gestão de Saúde, together with Odontoprev, agreed on a multi-step corporate reorganization to consolidate Bradesco’s healthcare-...
Banco Bradesco Calls March 31 EGM to Approve Healthcare Business Reorganization
Feb 27, 2026
Banco Bradesco has called an Extraordinary General Meeting for March 31, 2026, to be held exclusively in digital format, to vote on a partial spin-off of its subsidiary Bradseg Participações. The spun-off net assets would be absorbed by ...
Banco Bradesco Files February 2026 Form 6-K With U.S. SEC
Feb 19, 2026
Banco Bradesco S.A., one of Brazil’s leading private-sector banks, provides comprehensive retail and corporate banking, credit, insurance and investment services, and maintains an international presence with securities listed for U.S. invest...
Banco Bradesco Clarifies Agribusiness Growth Projections After CVM Inquiry
Feb 13, 2026
On February 13, 2026, Banco Bradesco responded to a request from Brazil’s securities regulator CVM after media reported that the bank projects 15%–20% growth in its direct agribusiness portfolio in 2026, currently estimated at R$120 bi...
Banco Bradesco Sets Fully Digital March 2026 Shareholders’ Meetings With Capital and Governance Votes
Feb 9, 2026
Banco Bradesco has called cumulative Special and Annual Shareholders’ Meetings to be held exclusively digitally on March 10, 2026, reflecting its push toward broader, lower‑cost investor participation in Brazil and overseas. The bank h...
Banco Bradesco Posts 2025 Growth and Boosts Payouts as Tech and Health Partnerships Advance
Feb 6, 2026
On February 4, 2026, Banco Bradesco released its 2025 consolidated financial statements under IFRS, reporting solid balance-sheet growth despite a slowing Brazilian economy in the second half of 2025 amid restrictive monetary policy and global geo...
Banco Bradesco Posts Strong 4Q25 Results as Transformation Plan Lifts Profitability and Loan Growth
Feb 6, 2026
In 2025 Banco Bradesco accelerated the execution of its transformation plan, reporting strong commercial traction across core product lines and an improving risk profile. For the fourth quarter of 2025, the bank posted net income of R$6.5 billion ...
Banco Bradesco Posts Strong 2025 Results and Deepens Transformation, Lifts Sustainable Finance Target for 2026
Feb 6, 2026
Banco Bradesco reported strong results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, highlighting the accelerated execution of its transformation plan and a focus on profitable, controlled growth. In 4Q25, net income reached R$6.5 billion, with a ret...
Banco Bradesco Sets 2026 Growth Guidance with Moderate Expansion Targets
Feb 5, 2026
On February 5, 2026, Banco Bradesco S.A. released its 2026 operational guidance, signaling moderate growth expectations across its core banking and insurance businesses. The bank projects an 8.5% to 10.5% expansion of its loan portfolio, net inter...
Banco Bradesco Confirms R$3 Billion Interim Interest Payment Completed on January 30, 2026
Feb 3, 2026
Banco Bradesco S.A. has informed shareholders that it completed the payment of interim interest on shareholders’ equity totaling R$3 billion on January 30, 2026, as previously announced in a material fact released on June 18, 2025. The bank ...
Banco Bradesco Adjusts Net Shareholder Payouts After Tax Law Change
Jan 23, 2026
On January 23, 2026, Banco Bradesco S.A. announced that, following the publication of Supplementary Law No. 224/25 on December 26, 2025, it has corrected the income tax rate applied to its monthly Interest on Shareholders’ Equity program and...
Banco Bradesco Sets Date for 2026 Annual General Meeting
Jan 15, 2026
Banco Bradesco S.A. announced on January 15, 2026, that its next Annual General Meeting is expected to be held on March 10, 2026, in line with the previously disclosed corporate events calendar. The bank stated that detailed information, including...
Banco Bradesco Renews Related-Party Merchant Services Agreement With Cielo
Jan 12, 2026
On January 12, 2026, Banco Bradesco S.A. announced it has renewed its agreement with related party Cielo S.A. for the provision of intermediation, acquisition, referral and maintenance services for commercial establishments, under which Bradesco a...
Banco Bradesco Discloses Minimal Insider Share Dealings for December 2025
Jan 12, 2026
In a Form 6-K filed for January 2026, Banco Bradesco reported that in December 2025 there were no transactions in securities and derivatives involving its controlling shareholder group and their dependants, and that the group’s holdings in B...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 09, 2026