tiprankstipranks
Banco Bradesco (BBDO)
NYSE:BBDO

Banco Bradesco (BBDO) AI Stock Analysis

75 Followers

Top Page

BBDO

Banco Bradesco

(NYSE:BBDO)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
â–²(16.28% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is driven primarily by improving but still mixed financial performance (recovery in 2025 tempered by higher leverage and historically volatile cash flow). Valuation is a clear positive with a low P/E and strong dividend yield, while technicals are a near-term headwind given weak momentum and price below key moving averages. Earnings-call commentary supports a constructive outlook, though higher costs and capital/regulatory uncertainty constrain the upside.
Positive Factors
Diversified universal-bank model
Bradesco's broad universal-bank model creates multiple durable revenue streams—net interest income, fees, insurance and treasury—reducing reliance on any single cycle. This breadth supports cross‑sell, diversified earnings and resilience to isolated shocks over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Materially higher leverage
A sharp rise in leverage increases sensitivity to credit cycles, funding stresses and interest-rate moves. Higher debt-to-equity narrows buffer for losses and raises the cost of capital, making capital management and CET1 volatility a sustained constraint on strategic flexibility over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified universal-bank model
Bradesco's broad universal-bank model creates multiple durable revenue streams—net interest income, fees, insurance and treasury—reducing reliance on any single cycle. This breadth supports cross‑sell, diversified earnings and resilience to isolated shocks over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Banco Bradesco (BBDO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Banco Bradesco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services to individuals, corporates, and businesses in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through two segment, Banking and Insurance. It provi...
How the Company Makes Money
Bradesco generates revenue primarily from (1) net interest income and (2) fee and commission income, supplemented by (3) insurance-related earnings, (4) trading/treasury results, and (5) other financial income. 1) Net interest income (spread-base...

Banco Bradesco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive tone driven by strong recurring net income growth (Q4 and full year), ROAE surpassing cost of capital, significant digital and SME progress, robust NII and fee trends, capital markets and insurance outperformance, and continued high technology investment and AI adoption. Management acknowledged near‑term tradeoffs—higher operating expenses driven by technology and restructuring, regulatory/capital timing risks (CET1 and DTAs), some revenue detractors (checking/collections) and conservative guidance that tempered market expectations—but characterized these as controlled or temporary and part of a multi‑year transformation aimed at sustainable ROAE improvement.
Positive Updates
Strong recurring net income and annual growth
Recurring net income of BRL 6.5 billion in Q4 2025, up 20.6% year‑over‑year; full year recurring net income BRL 24.7 billion, up 26.1% YoY.
Negative Updates
Operating expenses growth
Operating expenses increased by 8.5% in 2025; even excluding certain affiliates (EloPar and Cielo) OpEx grew ~7.2%, above inflation in parts and driven by higher technology spending, profit sharing and some advertising/marketing investments.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong recurring net income and annual growth
Recurring net income of BRL 6.5 billion in Q4 2025, up 20.6% year‑over‑year; full year recurring net income BRL 24.7 billion, up 26.1% YoY.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The management guided to continued profitable growth in 2026 with expanded loan‑book growth targeted roughly 8.5%–10.5% (management cited ~9.5% as a baseline), CET1 around 11%, and recurring net income momentum off 2025’s BRL 6.5bn Q4 / BRL 24.7bn full year (ROAE 15.2%) expected to keep improving; top‑line growth is guided to be close to 10% next year while operating expenses are guided to rise about 8% (with roughly 3% attributable to continued technology investment and ~5% to personnel/HR), technology spend having risen 22% in 2025 and contributing ~3% of the 2026 growth assumption. Other guideposts: IOE planned above BRL 15bn (vs. BRL 14.5bn in 2025), insurance operations growth already +16.1% (insurance ROE ~24.3%), an efficiency ratio around ~50% today with a 40% target by 2028, continued capital discipline with DTAs expected to be stable in 2026 and decline thereafter, and digital/SME targets (19m fully digital clients at year‑end to ~40m target, SME market share rising from 14.3% to 16.6% by Sept‑25) underpinning the revenue and ROAE outlook.

Banco Bradesco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
2025 shows a clear rebound (revenue +23.4% YoY) and improved profitability, but margins remain well below 2021–2022 levels. Balance-sheet risk is elevated with materially higher leverage (debt-to-equity ~4.45), and cash flow has been inconsistent across prior years despite the strong 2025 rebound.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue349.09B249.61B254.71B239.65B157.55B
Gross Profit120.81B78.69B68.16B82.50B93.07B
EBITDA21.31B23.63B16.73B30.28B38.63B
Net Income23.67B17.25B14.25B21.22B23.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.33T2.07T1.93T1.79T1.68T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments254.98B476.88B522.98B367.61B394.23B
Total Debt793.84B689.53B631.89B571.92B238.94B
Total Liabilities2.15T1.90T1.76T1.63T1.53T
Stockholders Equity178.42B168.41B166.33B159.53B149.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow258.03B-93.62B-9.32B40.36B-106.41B
Operating Cash Flow263.05B-91.33B-177.63M49.77B-102.00B
Investing Cash Flow-437.05B-5.01B83.61B-17.78B-19.31B
Financing Cash Flow161.17B117.88B-23.06B21.92B-1.61B

Banco Bradesco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.01
Price Trends
50DMA
3.45
Negative
100DMA
3.23
Positive
200DMA
2.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
54.08
Neutral
STOCH
84.98
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BBDO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.25, below the 50-day MA of 3.45, and above the 200-day MA of 2.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BBDO.

Banco Bradesco Risk Analysis

Banco Bradesco disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banco Bradesco reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Banco Bradesco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$34.81B8.029.81%2.79%-4.64%24.98%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$18.59B14.5621.25%5.56%-11.64%-8.75%
65
Neutral
$28.48B18.468.70%2.86%-4.88%4.84%
61
Neutral
$37.12B8.1313.55%2.80%5.89%34.01%
57
Neutral
$22.65B9.9711.15%4.98%1.13%-11.93%
56
Neutral
$15.66B12.5821.37%4.29%12.43%56.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BBDO
Banco Bradesco
3.38
1.51
80.65%
BCH
Banco De Chile
36.87
12.95
54.14%
BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil
6.04
1.80
42.29%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
33.24
13.05
64.64%
KB
Kb Financial Group
99.97
50.11
100.50%
SHG
Shinhan Financial Group Co
62.76
32.03
104.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026