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Truist Financial (TFC)
NYSE:TFC

Truist Financial (TFC) AI Stock Analysis

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TFC

Truist Financial

(NYSE:TFC)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$56.00
▲(9.12% Upside)
Score is driven by constructive earnings-call guidance (revenue/NII growth, operating leverage, and sizable buybacks) and a supportive technical setup (price above major moving averages with positive MACD). These positives are tempered by mixed financial performance—especially weak cash flow conversion and sharply negative free cash flow growth—despite a stable balance sheet and reasonable valuation with a strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Capital Return Program
A $10B repurchase authorization plus ~$4B targeted repurchases in 2026 materially boosts capital returns and demonstrates management confidence. Sustained buybacks can raise ROTCE, support per-share earnings growth, and signal disciplined capital allocation over multiple years.
Loan Growth and NII Momentum
Consistent loan growth—driven by consumer, card, and commercial lending—supports durable net interest income expansion. Coupled with mgmt guidance for higher average NIM, underlying loan growth provides a structural revenue base less reliant on volatile markets and supports medium-term NII stability.
Stable Capital Structure
A sub-1.0 debt-to-equity ratio and rising ROE indicate a resilient capital structure. This stability gives the bank flexibility for lending, liquidity management, and shareholder returns while reducing refinancing risk and supporting multi-quarter strategic investments and growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Flow Conversion
Severely depressed free cash flow growth and low OCF-to-net-income suggest earnings are not converting efficiently to cash. Over months this constrains loan funding, investment capacity, and sustainable dividend or buyback funding unless cash conversion improves or capital actions are adjusted.
Revenue Decline
Negative TTM revenue growth indicates headwinds in fee and interest businesses that could persist absent structural fixes. Continued revenue pressure reduces ability to fund margins and investment, making achievement of 2026–27 ROTCE targets and long-term earnings growth more challenging.
GAAP Expense Volatility from Legal/Severance
One-off legal and severance accruals have raised GAAP noninterest expense and obscure trend-line operating performance. If such items recur or litigation risk persists, they can erode reported profitability, complicate expense discipline and distract management focus over the next several quarters.

Truist Financial (TFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Truist Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTruist Financial Corporation, a holding company, provides banking and trust services in the Southeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States. The company operates through three segments: Consumer Banking and Wealth, Corporate and Commercial Banking, and Insurance Holdings. Its deposit products include noninterest-bearing checking, interest-bearing checking, savings, and money market deposit accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts. The company also provides funding; asset management; automobile lending; bankcard lending; consumer finance; home equity and mortgage lending; insurance, such as property and casualty, life, health, employee benefits, workers compensation and professional liability, surety coverage, title, and other insurance products; investment brokerage; mobile/online banking; and payment, lease financing, small business lending, and wealth management/private banking services. In addition, it offers association, capital market, institutional trust, insurance premium and commercial finance, international banking, leasing, merchant, commercial deposit and treasury, government finance, commercial middle market lending, small business and student lending, floor plan and commercial mortgage lending, mortgage warehouse lending, private equity investment, real estate lending, and supply chain financing services. Further, the company provides corporate and investment banking, retail and wholesale brokerage, securities underwriting, and investment advisory services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated through 2,517 banking offices. The company was formerly known as BB&T Corporation and changed its name to Truist Financial Corporation in December 2019. Truist Financial Corporation was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyTruist Financial generates revenue primarily through interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is derived from loans, including personal, commercial, and mortgage loans, where the bank earns interest on the money it lends. Non-interest income comes from fees related to services such as account maintenance, asset management, investment banking, and insurance services. Additionally, Truist benefits from wealth management services, which involve advising and managing investments for clients, thus earning management fees. The company has strategic partnerships for certain financial products and technology solutions, enhancing its service offerings and increasing revenue potential. Factors contributing to earnings include market conditions, interest rate fluctuations, and the overall economic environment, which can impact loan demand and investment performance.

Truist Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Breaks down revenue into different streams, highlighting the diversity and stability of income sources, and indicating which areas drive growth or face challenges.
Chart InsightsTruist Financial's net interest income shows a stable trend with slight fluctuations, while noninterest income experienced significant volatility, notably a sharp drop in mid-2024. The latest earnings call highlights a recovery in noninterest income, driven by investment banking and wealth management, marking the best quarter since a major divestiture. Despite challenges like deposit declines and increased non-performing loans, Truist's strategic investments in new branches and digital enhancements aim to sustain growth, supported by a robust capital return strategy.
Data provided by:The Fly

Truist Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 21, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed clear momentum across core businesses: profitable Q4 and full‑year results, broad‑based loan growth, improving net interest margin and deposit costs, strong digital and Premier outcomes, stable asset quality, and an aggressive capital return plan (including a $10B repurchase authorization and ~$4B repurchase target for 2026). Near‑term headwinds include a Q4 legal accrual and severance that raised GAAP expenses, a modest YoY decline in noninterest income, and a small linked‑quarter uptick in net charge‑offs. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance (revenue +4%–5%, NII +3%–4%, modest expense growth) and a clear path to a 15% ROTCE in 2027. Overall, the positives (improving revenue drivers, capital returns, margin momentum, and stable credit) materially outweigh the limited near‑term negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Quarterly and Full-Year Earnings
Reported Q4 2025 net income available to common shareholders of $1.3 billion ($1.00 per diluted share) and full‑year 2025 net income of $5.0 billion ($3.82 per diluted share). Results reflect continued profitability and momentum into 2026.
Loan Growth and Composition
Average loans held for investment increased $4.3 billion (1.3% linked quarter) to $325 billion. Full‑year average loans rose 3.6% to $316 billion, driven by 5.4% growth in consumer and card loans and 2.4% growth in commercial loans. Wholesale average loans grew 3% for 2025 with Q4 average wholesale loans up 8% vs. Q4 2024.
Net Interest Income and Margin Improvement
Taxable-equivalent net interest income increased 1.9% linked quarter ($69 million). Net interest margin rose 6 basis points linked quarter to 3.07%. Management expects NII growth of 3%–4% in 2026 and an average 2026 net interest margin above the 2025 average of 3.03%, with expectation to exit 2026 in the low-3.1x range.
Deposit Cost and Beta Improvements
Average interest-bearing deposit cost declined 27 basis points to 2.23% and total cost of deposits declined 20 basis points to 1.64%. Cumulative interest-bearing deposit beta improved from 38% to 45% and total deposit beta improved from 24% to 30% linked quarter, reflecting better deposit mix and lower funding costs.
Strong Capital Return Actions
Returned $5.2 billion of capital to shareholders in 2025 (dividends and $2.5 billion repurchases). Repurchased $750 million in Q4 and announced a new repurchase authorization up to $10 billion with no expiration. Management is targeting approximately $4 billion of share repurchases in 2026.
Positive Operating Leverage and Expense Discipline
Management reported 100 basis points of positive adjusted operating leverage for 2025 and guides GAAP noninterest expense growth of 1.25%–2.25% in 2026, implying approximately 275 basis points of positive operating leverage on GAAP basis (or ~165 bps excluding the Q4 legal accrual).
Digital, Premier and Product Momentum
Added 77,000 digital new-to-bank clients (up 10% year over year for the quarter) and digital production up 9% for 2025. Premier Banking production increased (deposits +22%, lending +32%, financial plans +12%). Truist Assist enhancements drove a 97% increase in digital chat engagement in 2025.
Asset Quality Remains Stable
Nonperforming loans held for investment remained stable at 48 bps of total loans. Allowance for loan and lease losses declined one basis point to 1.53% of total loans. Full‑year net charge-offs declined 5 bps to 54 bps for 2025; management expects net charge-offs of roughly 55 bps in 2026.
Clear 2027 ROTCE Target and Growth Outlook
Management reaffirmed a target of 15% return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) in 2027 (14% target for 2026), with an explicit strategy to double 2025 revenue growth rate in 2026, deepen client relationships, and accelerate capital returns.
Negative Updates
Legal Accrual and Severance Charges Impacting Results
Q4 results included a $130 million after‑tax incremental accrual related to a settlement (Bickerstaff v. SunTrust) equal to $0.08 per share, plus roughly $0.04 per share of severance-related charges. These items increased GAAP noninterest expense and reduced adjusted metrics for the quarter.
Quarterly Expense Spike on GAAP Basis
GAAP noninterest expense increased 5.2% linked quarter primarily due to the legal accrual and higher personnel expenses (incentives and severance). Even though ex-items expense was roughly flat (-0.3% linked quarter), the GAAP increase is a near-term headwind.
Modest Decline in Noninterest Income
Noninterest income decreased $12 million (0.8%) versus 2025, reflecting modest declines across several fee categories despite strength in investment banking and trading (Q4 trading/investment banking up 3.7% linked quarter to $335 million).
Short-Term Credit Metric Movement
Net charge-offs increased 9 basis points linked quarter to 57 bps (seasonal consumer and C&I effects), even though full-year net charge-offs improved; management expects net charge-offs roughly stable at ~55 bps in 2026.
CET1 Ratio Linked-Quarter Change
Reported CET1 capital ratio declined 20 basis points to 10.8% linked quarter (management continues to target operating capital levels near a 10% CET1 operating target while funding buybacks).
Full-Year Investment Banking / Trading Pressure
Investment banking and trading revenue declined 6% for full-year 2025 vs. 2024 due to first-half market volatility, though activity rebounded in H2 with Q4 revenues up 28% versus 2024.
Company Guidance
Truist guided 2026 revenue to grow 4–5% vs. 2025 revenue of $20.5B—driven by net interest income growth of 3–4% (backed by 3–4% average loan growth and low‑single‑digit end‑period deposit growth) and mid‑to‑high single‑digit noninterest income growth—while GAAP noninterest expense is expected to rise 1.25–2.25% (2025 noninterest expense $12.1B), implying roughly 275 basis points of positive operating leverage (≈165 bps excluding the Q4’25 legal accrual); management expects net charge‑offs around 55 bps (vs. 54 bps in 2025), an effective tax rate near 16.5% (≈18.5% taxable‑equivalent), full‑year average NIM above 2025’s 3.03% despite modest Q1 compression, and plans about $4.0B of share repurchases for 2026 (≈$1.0B targeted in Q1), all built on a ~10% CET1 framework and a path to 15% ROTCE in 2027.

Truist Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: improved EBIT/EBITDA margins and stable leverage (debt-to-equity 0.94) with higher ROE (7.84%), but revenue is shrinking (-2.18% TTM) and cash generation is pressured (free cash flow growth -75.16%, low operating cash flow to net income of 0.24).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Truist Financial's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is healthy at 47.08%, but the net profit margin has decreased to 17.46% from 19.87% in the previous year. Revenue growth is negative at -2.18%, indicating a decline in sales. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly from negative figures in 2024 to 16.01% and 18.51% respectively in the TTM, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.94, showing a slight improvement from 0.98 in 2024. Return on equity has increased to 7.84% in the TTM, indicating better profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -75.16% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.24, suggesting potential issues in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains stable at 1.0, indicating that the company is generating enough free cash flow to cover its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.43B24.25B29.95B22.29B23.06B24.43B
Gross Profit18.28B11.41B17.91B19.20B23.11B20.37B
EBITDA7.21B378.00M450.00M8.39B9.38B7.08B
Net Income5.23B4.82B-1.09B6.26B6.44B4.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets543.85B531.18B535.35B555.25B541.24B509.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.35B44.32B97.60B93.22B173.42B139.66B
Total Debt71.11B62.27B62.12B65.07B40.89B45.30B
Total Liabilities478.20B467.50B476.10B494.72B471.97B438.32B
Stockholders Equity65.65B63.68B59.10B60.51B69.27B70.81B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.93B2.16B8.63B10.52B7.45B6.62B
Operating Cash Flow3.93B2.16B8.63B11.08B7.89B7.44B
Investing Cash Flow-20.93B18.60B22.86B-29.97B-32.06B-43.65B
Financing Cash Flow14.21B-11.64B-22.27B20.02B25.59B36.02B

Truist Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price51.32
Price Trends
50DMA
48.87
Positive
100DMA
46.52
Positive
200DMA
43.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Positive
RSI
60.33
Neutral
STOCH
88.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 51.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.22, above the 50-day MA of 48.87, and above the 200-day MA of 43.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TFC.

Truist Financial Risk Analysis

Truist Financial disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Truist Financial reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Truist Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$86.64B12.0612.18%3.77%2.91%33.77%
77
Outperform
$33.34B12.769.78%2.76%-0.81%20.34%
75
Outperform
$26.87B12.2710.03%3.50%5.73%38.39%
75
Outperform
$86.34B13.3411.99%3.11%1.79%30.93%
74
Outperform
$32.85B14.0612.20%3.14%0.15%11.62%
72
Outperform
$64.36B13.178.24%4.12%22.02%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TFC
Truist Financial
51.32
5.94
13.10%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
49.79
6.68
15.49%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
17.29
0.73
4.43%
MTB
M&T Bank
221.44
26.12
13.37%
PNC
PNC Financial
224.46
30.57
15.77%
USB
US Bancorp
56.33
10.13
21.92%

Truist Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Truist Financial raises $2.85 billion in new notes
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

On January 27, 2026, Truist Financial Corporation issued and sold $1.25 billion of 4.597% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Medium-Term Notes, Series I (Senior), due January 27, 2032, under an existing shelf registration with U.S. securities regulators. On the same date, its banking subsidiary, Truist Bank, concurrently raised additional funding by issuing and selling $1.25 billion of 4.144% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Senior Bank Notes, Series I, due January 27, 2029, and $350 million of Floating Rate Senior Bank Notes, Series I, also due January 27, 2029, bolstering the group’s long-term and medium-term funding profile and supporting its balance-sheet and liquidity management strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TFC) stock is a Sell with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Truist Financial stock, see the TFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Truist Financial furnishes supplemental historical financial information
Neutral
Jan 12, 2026

Effective December 31, 2025, Truist Financial Corporation implemented changes and reclassifications to the presentation of its consolidated statements of income to better align its external financial reporting with how management oversees the business. On January 12, 2026, the bank furnished unaudited supplemental historical financial information applying the new presentation retrospectively to prior periods, emphasizing that these figures are illustrative only and do not revise or restate its previously reported consolidated financial results, and that the furnished information is not deemed filed for Securities Exchange Act purposes.

The most recent analyst rating on (TFC) stock is a Sell with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Truist Financial stock, see the TFC Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Truist Financial Announces $10 Billion Share Buyback
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Truist Financial Corporation announced that its Board of Directors authorized a new share-repurchase program of up to $10 billion of its outstanding common stock, effective immediately and with no expiration date. This new program replaces the previous share-repurchase program announced on June 28, 2024, which was terminated on the same date.

The most recent analyst rating on (TFC) stock is a Hold with a $52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Truist Financial stock, see the TFC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Truist Financial Director Steven Voorhees Announces Retirement
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

Steven C. Voorhees, a member of the Board of Directors at Truist Financial Corporation, has announced his retirement effective December 31, 2025, citing personal reasons. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company, and Truist’s management has expressed gratitude for his significant contributions during his tenure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TFC) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Truist Financial stock, see the TFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Truist Financial to Redeem Series P Preferred Stock
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Truist Financial Corporation announced its decision to redeem all outstanding depositary shares of its Series P Preferred Stock on November 13, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its capital structure and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TFC) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Truist Financial stock, see the TFC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026