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Truist Financial (TFC)
NYSE:TFC

Truist Financial (TFC) AI Stock Analysis

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Truist Financial

(NYSE:TFC)

55Neutral
Truist Financial's overall stock score reflects a company facing mixed financial signals. While there is some recovery in revenue and net income, operational inefficiencies and high leverage present significant challenges. The technical analysis suggests bearish momentum, while the valuation appears attractive due to a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. The earnings call provides a balanced view with growth in loans and deposits but a reduced revenue outlook due to economic uncertainties. Overall, the stock presents a cautious investment opportunity with potential for income generation but requires careful monitoring of operational improvements and market conditions.
Positive Factors
Capital Markets Performance
Capital Markets was a bright spot with revenue increasing by a significant percentage, positioning IB & Trading fees as leaders of fee income growth.
Dividend Yield
The stock is attractively valued, offering a 5.8% dividend yield for investors looking to add exposure to a regional bank stock.
Stock Buybacks
Buybacks are expected to accelerate to $750M, above the previous pace.
Negative Factors
EPS Forecast
There is potential downside risk to the revised EPS forecast if the economic slowdown is worse than expected.
Interest Income
There is a slight downside to '26 consensus estimates on lower NII from smaller NIM expansion expectations.
Revenue Guidance
The stock underperformed peers by over 100 basis points after lowering FY25 revenue guidance.

Truist Financial (TFC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Truist Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTruist Financial Corporation, a holding company, provides banking and trust services in the Southeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States. The company operates through three segments: Consumer Banking and Wealth, Corporate and Commercial Banking, and Insurance Holdings. Its deposit products include noninterest-bearing checking, interest-bearing checking, savings, and money market deposit accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts. The company also provides funding; asset management; automobile lending; bankcard lending; consumer finance; home equity and mortgage lending; insurance, such as property and casualty, life, health, employee benefits, workers compensation and professional liability, surety coverage, title, and other insurance products; investment brokerage; mobile/online banking; and payment, lease financing, small business lending, and wealth management/private banking services. In addition, it offers association, capital market, institutional trust, insurance premium and commercial finance, international banking, leasing, merchant, commercial deposit and treasury, government finance, commercial middle market lending, small business and student lending, floor plan and commercial mortgage lending, mortgage warehouse lending, private equity investment, real estate lending, and supply chain financing services. Further, the company provides corporate and investment banking, retail and wholesale brokerage, securities underwriting, and investment advisory services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated through 2,517 banking offices. The company was formerly known as BB&T Corporation and changed its name to Truist Financial Corporation in December 2019. Truist Financial Corporation was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyTruist Financial Corporation makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes several key streams. The primary source of income is through interest income, which is earned from loans and advances made to individuals, businesses, and other entities. Additionally, the company generates revenue from non-interest income sources such as fees and commissions from asset management, investment banking, insurance services, and transaction-based services. Truist also earns money from wealth management services, providing financial advisory and investment solutions to high-net-worth individuals. The company benefits from strategic partnerships and a strong regional presence, which enhances its ability to cross-sell products and services, thereby driving additional revenue. Economic factors, interest rate environments, and regulatory changes also play significant roles in influencing Truist's earnings.

Truist Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Management
Assets Under Management
Reflects the total value of assets managed, indicating the company's success in attracting and retaining clients and its potential for earning management fees.
Chart InsightsTruist Financial's Assets Under Management (AUM) have shown a declining trend since late 2023, reflecting economic uncertainty and market volatility. Despite this, the company remains confident, as highlighted in their earnings call, by focusing on strategic growth areas like premier banking and digital innovation. The planned share buybacks and strong capital position indicate management's confidence in long-term stability, even as they navigate challenges in investment banking and trading revenue.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Truist Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Truist Financial's financial health shows mixed signals. Revenue and net income have shown some recovery, but operational inefficiencies and high leverage pose challenges. The stable cash flow indicates ongoing cash generation capability, but improvements in operational margins and debt management are needed.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reflects volatility with a notable turnaround in net income for 2024 after a negative figure in 2023. Revenue growth has been positive, with a 3.69% increase from 2023 to 2024. However, negative EBIT and EBITDA margins in recent periods raise concerns about operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet portrays a stable equity base with a slight increase in stockholders' equity. The debt-to-equity ratio remains relatively high at approximately 1.01, signaling significant leverage. The equity ratio is around 12%, indicating moderate financial stability but potential vulnerability to debt-related risks.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in operating cash flow in 2024 but a positive free cash flow, which suggests ongoing cash generation capability. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting efficient cash utilization relative to profitability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
13.28B23.39B23.04B22.30B22.70B
Gross Profit
-10.97B23.39B23.04B22.30B22.70B
EBIT
-481.00M-185.00M7.67B7.99B5.47B
EBITDA
-481.00M1.03B9.04B9.38B7.08B
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.82B-1.09B6.26B6.44B4.48B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
0.0033.40B24.37B22.93B21.15B
Total Assets
531.18B535.35B555.25B541.24B509.23B
Total Debt
64.16B62.12B65.07B40.89B45.30B
Net Debt
12.82B31.48B43.65B20.59B26.44B
Total Liabilities
467.50B476.10B494.72B471.97B438.32B
Stockholders Equity
63.68B59.10B60.51B69.27B70.81B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.16B8.63B10.52B7.45B6.62B
Operating Cash Flow
2.16B8.63B11.08B7.89B7.44B
Investing Cash Flow
18.60B22.86B-29.97B-32.06B-43.65B
Financing Cash Flow
-11.64B-22.27B20.02B25.59B36.02B

Truist Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.01
Price Trends
50DMA
38.89
Positive
100DMA
41.76
Negative
200DMA
42.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
55.82
Neutral
STOCH
53.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.20, above the 50-day MA of 38.89, and below the 200-day MA of 42.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TFC.

Truist Financial Risk Analysis

Truist Financial disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Truist Financial reported the most risks in the “Macro & Political” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Truist Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PNPNC
77
Outperform
$65.51B11.6911.15%3.90%3.07%19.01%
RFRF
74
Outperform
$18.75B10.2011.33%4.65%1.05%12.14%
73
Outperform
$24.47B11.8411.71%3.98%6.12%0.68%
MTMTB
72
Outperform
$27.70B11.759.39%3.04%1.41%1.12%
USUSB
71
Outperform
$63.85B10.2611.50%4.72%2.19%34.00%
64
Neutral
$12.54B9.797.92%16985.69%12.58%-6.07%
TFTFC
55
Neutral
$51.69B11.630.10%5.26%-27.31%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TFC
Truist Financial
39.01
1.40
3.72%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
37.35
-0.03
-0.08%
MTB
M&T Bank
177.15
28.04
18.80%
PNC
PNC Financial
166.44
14.50
9.54%
RF
Regions Financial
21.16
2.17
11.43%
USB
US Bancorp
42.02
2.04
5.10%

Truist Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 17, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook with strong loan and deposit growth, digital advancements, and shareholder returns countered by a reduced revenue outlook due to challenges in investment banking and economic uncertainty.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Continued Loan and Deposit Growth
Average loans and deposits increased, with consumer and small business loan balances rising by 1.3% linked quarter. Residential mortgage, indirect auto, and service finance production were up 47% year-over-year.
Strong Capital Position and Shareholder Returns
Truist returned $1.2 billion of capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in Q1. They completed $500 million in share repurchases in Q2 and plan to target an additional $250 million.
Digital Growth and Innovation
Truist opened 195,000 new digital accounts, a 13% increase year-over-year. Over 60% of new digital clients are Millennials and Gen Z. The AI tool Truist Assist supported over 1 million conversations, with 80% requiring no further interaction.
Positive Momentum in Premier Banking
Net new checking account growth was positive, adding more than 39,000 new consumer and business accounts, a 40% increase over the previous year.
Negative Updates
Reduced Revenue Outlook
Revenue outlook reduced due to flat year-over-year investment banking and trading revenue and slightly lower net interest income due to lower medium-term interest rates.
Investment Banking and Trading Challenges
Investment banking activity slowed materially, with lower M&A and equity capital markets activity. The revenue from this segment is expected to remain flat year-over-year.
Impact of Economic Uncertainty
Market volatility and economic uncertainty have increased, affecting the operating environment. There is a change in the view of investment banking and trading activity and a shift in the yield curve.
Company Guidance
During Truist Financial Corporation's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance for the year, reflecting adjustments due to market volatility and economic uncertainty. Truist now anticipates a 1.5% to 2.5% increase in revenue compared to 2024, a downward revision from the previous forecast of 3% to 3.5% growth. This reduction is primarily driven by a revised outlook for flat year-over-year investment banking and trading revenue, alongside slightly lower net interest income due to lower medium-term interest rates. Despite these challenges, Truist expects net interest income to rise by about 3% for the year, supported by low-single-digit loan growth and expected rate cuts. The company also plans to maintain expense discipline with a revised forecast of a 1% increase in adjusted expenses for 2025, slightly down from the previous 1.5% estimate. Furthermore, Truist is capitalizing on its strong capital position by planning to buy back up to $750 million in shares during the second quarter, having already completed $500 million in repurchases, reflecting confidence in its financial health. The company's strategic focus remains on driving growth through premier banking, wealth, payments, and middle-market banking, while also investing in talent and technology to enhance client experiences.

Truist Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Truist Financial COO Resignation Impacts Leadership Structure
Negative
Jan 13, 2025

Hugh S. ‘Beau’ Cummins III, Vice Chair and COO of Truist Financial, has resigned due to significant changes in his responsibilities following strategic initiatives he played a key role in, such as the sale of Truist Insurance Holdings. His resignation for ‘Good Reason’ entitles him to specific benefits, and his responsibilities will transition to other senior executives, impacting the company’s operational leadership.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.