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M&T Bank (MTB)
NYSE:MTB
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M&T Bank (MTB) AI Stock Analysis

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MTB

M&T Bank

(NYSE:MTB)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$210.00
â–²(14.29% Upside)
M&T Bank's strong financial performance and earnings call insights lead the positive outlook. The bank's strategic initiatives and attractive valuation further support its position, while technical indicators suggest cautious short-term sentiment.
Positive Factors
Capital Return
MTB's improved stress test results support a significant amount of buybacks and a higher dividend, which should drive a higher valuation.
Financial Strength
MTB's excess capital position increased significantly, which indicates financial strength and stability.
Loan Growth
End-of-period loan growth was stronger than expected, and credit metrics were solid, leading to a lower provision.
Negative Factors
Guidance Update
The guidance update included a tweak to the low end of the NII range, indicating a need for improvement.
Net Interest Income
Net interest income (NII) came in softer than expected on a margin miss, which will likely be a focal point.
NII and NIM Performance
M&T surprised negatively on both NII and NIM in 2Q25.

M&T Bank (MTB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

M&T Bank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionM&T Bank Corporation operates as a bank holding company that provides commercial and retail banking services. The company's Business Banking segment offers deposit, lending, cash management, and other financial services to small businesses and professionals. Its Commercial Banking segment provides deposit products, commercial lending and leasing, letters of credit, and cash management services for middle-market and large commercial customers. The company's Commercial Real Estate segment originates, sells, and services commercial real estate loans; and offers deposit services. Its Discretionary Portfolio segment provides deposits; securities, residential real estate loans, and other assets; and short and long term borrowed funds, as well as foreign exchange services. The company's Residential Mortgage Banking segment offers residential real estate loans for consumers and sells those loans in the secondary market; and purchases servicing rights to loans originated by other entities. Its Retail Banking segment offers demand, savings, and time accounts; consumer installment loans, automobile and recreational finance loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, and credit cards; mutual funds and annuities; and other services. The company also provides trust and wealth management; fiduciary and custodial; insurance agency; institutional brokerage and securities; and investment management services. It offers its services through banking offices, business banking centers, telephone and internet banking, and automated teller machines. As of December 31, 2021, the company operates 688 domestic banking offices in New York State, Maryland, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Connecticut, Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia; and a full-service commercial banking office in Ontario, Canada. M&T Bank Corporation was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in Buffalo, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyM&T Bank makes money primarily through interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is generated from the interest earned on loans and advances provided to customers, including personal loans, mortgages, and commercial loans. The bank also invests in securities and earns interest on these investments. Non-interest income is derived from fees and service charges related to deposit accounts, wealth management, and investment advisory services. Additionally, the company earns revenue from transaction fees, credit card fees, and other banking services. M&T Bank's earnings are also influenced by economic factors, interest rate environments, and regulatory conditions. Significant partnerships with financial service providers and technology platforms enhance its service offerings and contribute to its revenue streams.

M&T Bank Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 16, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.86%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
M&T Bank Corporation's second quarter earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with improved asset quality and robust fee income growth. However, challenges remain in net interest margin and commercial real estate loans. The bank's successful capital management and positive stress test results contribute to an overall favorable outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
M&T Bank Corporation reported diluted GAAP earnings per share of $4.24, up from $3.32 in the prior quarter. Net operating income was $724 million compared to $594 million in the linked quarter.
Improved Asset Quality
Asset quality continued to improve with a $1 billion or 11% reduction in commercial criticized balances. Net charge-offs were 32 basis points, below full-year expectations.
Robust Fee Income Growth
Fee income grew 11% since the second quarter of 2024, with strong performance across mortgage banking, trust income, and treasury management revenues.
Successful Capital Management
M&T executed $1.1 billion in share repurchases and increased tangible book value per share by 1%.
Positive Stress Test Results
The stress capital buffer (SCB) declined from 3.8% to 2.7%, reflecting the resiliency and strength of the bank's earnings power.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Interest Margin
The net interest margin decreased by four basis points to 3.62%, primarily due to higher cost of interest-bearing deposits and long-term debt.
Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Loan Challenges
CRE loans declined 4% to $25.3 billion, reflecting continued payoffs and paydowns, although there is a noted build-up in the CRE pipeline.
Higher Liability Costs
Interest-bearing deposit costs increased by one basis point to 2.38%, with growth in high-cost deposits contributing to the increase.
Provision for Credit Losses
A provision for credit losses of $125 million was reported, including a $20 million provision for unfunded credit commitments.
Company Guidance
During the M&T Bank Corporation's second quarter 2025 earnings call, guidance highlighted several key metrics reflecting the bank's ongoing momentum and strategic efforts. The stress capital buffer (SCB) decreased from 3.8% to 2.7%, showcasing improved earnings resilience and risk management. M&T executed $1.1 billion in share repurchases and grew tangible book value per share by 1%. The bank's fee income, excluding certain gains and losses, increased by 11% year-over-year, while non-interest expenses were effectively managed, resulting in an efficiency ratio of 55.2%. Asset quality exhibited improvement with an 11% reduction in criticized commercial balances, and net charge-offs were recorded at 32 basis points, below full-year expectations. The guidance for net interest income was adjusted to a range of $7 billion to $7.15 billion, with expectations for average loan growth between $135 billion and $137 billion and average deposit balances between $162 billion and $164 billion. The bank also anticipates full-year net charge-offs to remain under 40 basis points.

M&T Bank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
M&T Bank exhibits a strong financial position with consistent profitability and effective cash flow management. Its balance sheet indicates a prudent approach to leverage, although the liabilities require close monitoring. The company demonstrates resilience in maintaining stable margins and generating cash, positioning it well for future growth opportunities.
Income Statement
80
Positive
M&T Bank shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 60% over the years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a gross profit margin of 66% and a net profit margin of 19.89%, reflecting solid cost management and profitability. However, revenue growth has been volatile, with a significant spike in 2023, which was not sustained in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, suggesting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 in the TTM, indicating manageable leverage. The equity ratio stands at 13.78%, reflecting a sound financial structure. Return on equity is strong at 9.11%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the total liabilities present a potential risk if not managed well.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights healthy free cash flow generation, with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of 1.09%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.38, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 1.30, supporting the bank's capacity to reinvest and manage its capital expenditures without relying heavily on debt.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.40B12.51B8.44B6.08B6.28B
Gross Profit8.62B8.75B7.50B6.04B5.15B
EBITDA3.82B4.12B3.05B2.78B2.09B
Net Income2.59B2.74B1.99B1.86B1.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets208.10B208.26B200.73B155.11B142.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.33B40.35B37.35B47.22B30.04B
Total Debt13.66B13.52B7.52B3.53B4.44B
Total Liabilities179.08B181.31B175.41B137.20B126.41B
Stockholders Equity29.03B26.96B25.32B17.90B16.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.39B3.65B4.36B2.57B616.90M
Operating Cash Flow3.61B3.90B4.57B2.71B789.19M
Investing Cash Flow-550.00M-7.87B16.59B-13.63B-22.02B
Financing Cash Flow-2.88B4.18B-20.98B10.70B21.35B

M&T Bank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price183.74
Price Trends
50DMA
190.21
Negative
100DMA
181.02
Positive
200DMA
187.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.81
Positive
RSI
35.62
Neutral
STOCH
22.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 183.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 193.06, below the 50-day MA of 190.21, and below the 200-day MA of 187.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MTB.

M&T Bank Risk Analysis

M&T Bank disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. M&T Bank reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
The development and use of AI, including by third parties, presents risks and challenges that may adversely impact M&T. Q4, 2024
2.
The Company is routinely subject to examinations from various governmental taxing authorities that may result in challenges to the Company's tax return treatment. Q4, 2024

M&T Bank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$27.59B12.8711.58%3.59%2.08%2.87%
77
Outperform
$22.25B11.6211.59%4.06%2.83%20.85%
77
Outperform
$20.24B14.316.48%3.60%-4.07%25.31%
77
Outperform
$28.99B12.029.47%2.94%0.62%14.75%
73
Outperform
$23.51B11.9410.43%3.91%5.28%28.03%
70
Outperform
$19.18B1,663.641.02%4.71%-12.21%-108.48%
67
Neutral
$17.02B11.609.79%3.95%10.61%2.06%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTB
M&T Bank
183.74
26.07
16.53%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
41.17
2.92
7.63%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
15.87
2.80
21.42%
KEY
KeyCorp
17.41
3.49
25.07%
RF
Regions Financial
24.64
4.77
24.01%
CFG
Citizens Financial
46.64
8.55
22.45%

M&T Bank Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
M&T Bank Closes $750M Subordinated Notes Offering
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, M&T Bank Corporation successfully closed a public offering of $750 million in 5.400% Fixed Rate Reset Subordinated Notes, Series B, due in 2035. This move is part of M&T’s strategic financial operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (MTB) stock is a Buy with a $210.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M&T Bank stock, see the MTB Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
M&T Bank Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, M&T Bank Corporation announced its second quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a net income of $716 million, equating to $4.24 per diluted share. This performance reflects a notable improvement from the previous quarter, driven by increased taxable-equivalent net interest income and favorable asset repricing, which positively impacts the company’s financial standing and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (MTB) stock is a Buy with a $210.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M&T Bank stock, see the MTB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
M&T Bank Closes $750M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, M&T Bank Corporation successfully closed a public offering of $750 million in Senior Medium-Term Notes with a fixed/floating rate due in 2031. This move is part of M&T’s strategic financial management, potentially enhancing its liquidity and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (MTB) stock is a Buy with a $210.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M&T Bank stock, see the MTB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
M&T Bank Highlights Strategic Priorities in Presentation
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, M&T Bank Corporation released an investor presentation on its website, highlighting its strategic priorities and financial performance. The presentation emphasized M&T’s consistent profitability and growth compared to peers, with a focus on optimizing resources, enhancing risk management capabilities, and expanding in specific markets. The bank’s performance metrics, such as net interest margin and efficiency ratio, demonstrated a competitive advantage, contributing to its strong industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (MTB) stock is a Buy with a $210.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M&T Bank stock, see the MTB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
M&T Bank Highlights Strategic Priorities in Investor Presentation
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, M&T Bank Corporation released an investor presentation on its website, highlighting its financial performance and strategic priorities. The presentation emphasized M&T’s commitment to community banking, its strong balance sheet, and superior profitability compared to peers. The bank aims to expand in New England and Long Island, optimize resources, and enhance risk management capabilities, which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025