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M&T Bank Corporation (MTB)
:MTB

M&T Bank (MTB) AI Stock Analysis

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MTB

M&T Bank

(NYSE:MTB)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$223.00
â–²(8.38% Upside)
M&T Bank's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, supported by positive earnings call insights. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances M&T Bank's ability to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends, and reduce debt, supporting long-term stability.
Improved Asset Quality
Improved asset quality reduces risk and potential losses, strengthening M&T Bank's financial health and enhancing its competitive position.
Strategic Expansion
Strategic expansion into new markets can drive revenue growth and enhance M&T Bank's market position, providing a durable competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth indicates challenges in expanding business operations, which could impact long-term profitability and market competitiveness.
Rising Debt Levels
Increased leverage can strain financial flexibility and cash flow, potentially affecting M&T Bank's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Decline in Average Deposits
A decline in deposits can limit M&T Bank's ability to fund loans and generate interest income, impacting its core banking operations and financial performance.

M&T Bank (MTB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

M&T Bank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionM&T Bank Corporation operates as a bank holding company that provides commercial and retail banking services. The company's Business Banking segment offers deposit, lending, cash management, and other financial services to small businesses and professionals. Its Commercial Banking segment provides deposit products, commercial lending and leasing, letters of credit, and cash management services for middle-market and large commercial customers. The company's Commercial Real Estate segment originates, sells, and services commercial real estate loans; and offers deposit services. Its Discretionary Portfolio segment provides deposits; securities, residential real estate loans, and other assets; and short and long term borrowed funds, as well as foreign exchange services. The company's Residential Mortgage Banking segment offers residential real estate loans for consumers and sells those loans in the secondary market; and purchases servicing rights to loans originated by other entities. Its Retail Banking segment offers demand, savings, and time accounts; consumer installment loans, automobile and recreational finance loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, and credit cards; mutual funds and annuities; and other services. The company also provides trust and wealth management; fiduciary and custodial; insurance agency; institutional brokerage and securities; and investment management services. It offers its services through banking offices, business banking centers, telephone and internet banking, and automated teller machines. As of December 31, 2021, the company operates 688 domestic banking offices in New York State, Maryland, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Connecticut, Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia; and a full-service commercial banking office in Ontario, Canada. M&T Bank Corporation was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in Buffalo, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyM&T Bank generates revenue through several key streams primarily related to its banking operations. The largest source of income comes from net interest income, which is the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits. The bank also earns non-interest income through fees for services such as account maintenance, ATM usage, and transaction services. Additionally, M&T Bank engages in investment banking, providing advisory services and capital market solutions to corporate clients, which contributes to its revenue. Significant partnerships with other financial institutions and businesses enhance its offerings and customer base, further supporting its earnings. Economic factors such as interest rates and loan demand, as well as regulatory changes, also influence the bank's financial performance.

M&T Bank Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 16, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, improved asset quality, increased dividends, and progress in sustainability initiatives as positive aspects. However, challenges were noted in declining average deposits, increased net charge-offs, and pressure on CRE balances.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
M&T Bank Corporation reported a net income of $792 million, up from $716 million in the previous quarter. The diluted GAAP earnings per share increased to $4.82 from $4.24. The net interest margin rose to 3.68% with a record fee income level.
Improved Asset Quality
Asset quality continued to improve with a $584 million or 7% reduction in commercial criticized balances and a $61 million or 4% reduction in non-accrual loans.
Increased Dividends and Share Repurchases
M&T Bank Corporation increased its quarterly dividend per share by 11% to $1.50 and executed $409 million in share repurchases.
Sustainability and Community Impact
The bank made significant progress towards sustainability goals, including $5 billion in sustainable lending and investments and over $58 million contributed to nonprofits.
Negative Updates
Decline in Average Deposits
Average total deposits declined by $700 million to $162.7 billion, with noninterest bearing deposits decreasing by $1.1 billion.
Increased Net Charge-offs
Net charge-offs for the quarter were $146 million, or 42 basis points, an increase from 32 basis points in the previous quarter, primarily due to two large C&I credits.
Pressure on CRE Balances
Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loans declined by 4% to $24.3 billion, reflecting a full quarter impact of last quarter's loan sale and continued payoffs and paydowns.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, M&T Bank Corporation delivered strong financial performance, highlighted by operating ROTA and ROTCE of 1.56% and 17.13%, respectively. The net interest margin expanded to 3.68%, driven by well-controlled deposit and funding costs and fixed rate asset repricing. Fee income reached record levels, excluding notable items, and the efficiency ratio improved to 53.6%. Asset quality showed improvement with a 7% reduction in commercial criticized balances and a 4% decrease in non-accrual loans. M&T increased its quarterly dividend by 11% to $1.50 and executed $409 million in share repurchases. The bank also maintained a robust capital position with an estimated CET1 ratio of 10.99%. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, M&T anticipates taxable equivalent net interest income of approximately $1.8 billion, with a net interest margin of 3.7%, and expects continued loan growth, particularly in C&I, residential mortgage, and consumer segments. Noninterest income is projected to remain strong, with full-year expenses anticipated in the top half of the previously forecasted range.

M&T Bank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
M&T Bank demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow generation, with some concerns regarding revenue growth and increasing leverage. The company maintains efficient operations and a stable capital structure, but should focus on improving revenue growth and managing debt levels to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
M&T Bank's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 73.5% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 22.5% from 24.8% in 2022, reflecting some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been negative at -6.65% for TTM, which is a concern, but the company has maintained stable EBIT and EBITDA margins around 29.3% and 32.4%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52 for TTM, which is manageable but has increased from previous years, indicating a rise in leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 9.6%, though slightly down from 10.2% in 2023, suggesting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 13.6%, showing a stable capital structure, but there's room for improvement in reducing debt levels.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust free cash flow growth rate of 37.5% for TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 1.89%, suggesting potential volatility in cash flow relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is solid at 94.7%, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.32B13.40B12.51B8.44B6.08B6.28B
Gross Profit9.06B8.62B8.75B7.50B6.04B5.15B
EBITDA4.00B3.82B4.12B3.05B2.78B2.09B
Net Income2.77B2.59B2.74B1.99B1.86B1.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets211.28B208.10B208.26B200.73B155.11B142.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.95B35.33B40.35B37.35B47.22B30.04B
Total Debt14.99B13.66B13.52B7.52B3.53B4.44B
Total Liabilities182.55B179.08B181.31B175.41B137.20B126.41B
Stockholders Equity28.73B29.03B26.96B25.32B17.90B16.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.07B3.39B3.65B4.36B2.57B616.90M
Operating Cash Flow4.16B3.61B3.90B4.57B2.71B789.19M
Investing Cash Flow-1.24B-550.00M-7.87B16.59B-13.63B-22.02B
Financing Cash Flow-3.73B-2.88B4.18B-20.98B10.70B21.35B

M&T Bank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price205.75
Price Trends
50DMA
186.12
Positive
100DMA
189.58
Positive
200DMA
183.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.57
Negative
RSI
78.21
Negative
STOCH
92.32
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 205.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 190.27, above the 50-day MA of 186.12, and above the 200-day MA of 183.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.21 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.32 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTB.

M&T Bank Risk Analysis

M&T Bank disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. M&T Bank reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

M&T Bank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$27.65B12.3410.37%3.46%5.73%38.39%
79
Outperform
$23.18B11.6311.43%3.76%4.00%28.54%
76
Outperform
$31.45B12.619.60%2.77%-0.81%20.34%
75
Outperform
$24.03B15.696.71%2.95%-3.93%40.62%
71
Outperform
$29.87B13.5111.52%3.12%0.15%11.62%
69
Neutral
$21.84B24.665.82%3.96%3.86%5473.29%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTB
M&T Bank
205.75
11.91
6.14%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
48.39
4.40
10.00%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
17.91
1.30
7.83%
KEY
KeyCorp
20.69
3.33
19.18%
RF
Regions Financial
27.84
3.71
15.38%
CFG
Citizens Financial
58.35
14.36
32.64%

M&T Bank Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
M&T Bank Highlights Strategic Focus in Investor Presentation
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, M&T Bank Corporation released an investor presentation on its website, highlighting its strategic focus on expanding markets in New England and Long Island, optimizing resources, and enhancing risk management capabilities. The bank has received numerous accolades, including ‘Best Bank’ awards across various categories, and has consistently delivered profitability and growth, outperforming peers in key financial metrics.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M&T Bank Completes Series K Preferred Stock Offering
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

On October 29, 2025, M&T Bank Corporation filed a certificate of amendment with the New York State Department of State to establish the rights and preferences of a new series of preferred stock, the Perpetual 6.350% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series K. This move was part of an underwriting agreement with several major financial institutions, leading to the sale of 18,000,000 depositary shares. The Series K Preferred Stock, which ranks senior to common stock and equally with other preferred stocks, allows for noncumulative cash dividends and has specific voting rights. The public offering of these depositary shares was completed on October 31, 2025, marking a strategic financial maneuver for M&T Bank to strengthen its capital structure.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
M&T Bank Highlights Strategic Priorities in Investor Presentation
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, M&T Bank Corporation released an investor presentation highlighting its strategic priorities and achievements. The presentation emphasized M&T’s focus on expanding its market presence in New England and Long Island, optimizing resources, and enhancing risk management capabilities. M&T also showcased its consistent profitability and growth, outperforming peers in key financial metrics over the past two decades. The bank’s commitment to community banking and customer service was recognized with several awards, reinforcing its position as a trusted financial institution.

Financial Disclosures
M&T Bank Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, M&T Bank Corporation announced its third quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a net income of $792 million, or $4.82 per diluted share. The results indicate a strong financial performance with an increase in net interest income and noninterest income compared to previous quarters, reflecting positively on the company’s operational efficiency and market position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 10, 2025