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Citizens Financial (CFG)
NYSE:CFG
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Citizens Financial (CFG) AI Stock Analysis

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CFG

Citizens Financial

(NYSE:CFG)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$61.00
â–²(11.76% Upside)
Citizens Financial Group's stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and technical indicators, reflecting robust financial performance and positive market momentum. While financial performance shows operational efficiency, challenges in revenue growth and commercial loan pricing present some risks. The stock's reasonable valuation and attractive dividend yield further support its investment appeal.
Positive Factors
EPS Growth
The significant EPS growth indicates strong financial performance and effective management strategies, enhancing shareholder value and supporting future profitability.
Fee Income Growth
Robust fee income growth from Capital Markets and Wealth business suggests a diversified revenue stream, reducing reliance on interest income and enhancing financial stability.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments, debt reduction, and shareholder returns, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Negative revenue growth indicates challenges in market expansion or product competitiveness, potentially impacting long-term profitability and market position.
Commercial Loan Pricing Spreads
Tightening loan pricing spreads can pressure net interest margins, affecting profitability and competitive positioning in the commercial banking sector.
Interest Rate Sensitivity
Sensitivity to interest rate changes can affect net interest margins, influencing earnings stability and financial performance in varying economic conditions.

Citizens Financial (CFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Citizens Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCitizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) is a bank holding company headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island. It operates primarily through its subsidiary, Citizens Bank, providing a wide array of financial services to individuals, businesses, and institutions. The company serves customers in multiple sectors including consumer banking, commercial banking, and wealth management, offering products such as loans, mortgages, credit cards, investment services, and treasury management solutions. Citizens Financial is committed to delivering innovative financial solutions and enhancing customer experience through digital banking initiatives.
How the Company Makes MoneyCitizens Financial generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from interest income and non-interest income. The bulk of its earnings comes from the interest spread between loans it issues and the interest it pays on deposits. This includes personal loans, auto loans, mortgages, and commercial loans. Additionally, Citizens earns non-interest income through fees for various services such as account maintenance, transaction fees, and wealth management services. Significant partnerships with technology firms enhance its digital offerings, while strategic initiatives in commercial banking and investment services also contribute to its earnings. Overall, the company's diversified revenue model and focus on customer service help sustain its profitability.

Citizens Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Chart InsightsCitizens Financial's Consumer Banking segment shows a robust upward trend, reflecting strategic focus and loan growth, while Commercial Banking faces challenges with pricing spreads impacting margins. The earnings call highlights strong EPS and fee income growth, driven by Capital Markets and wealth management, despite non-core runoff pressures. The bank's strategic initiatives and balance sheet strength position it well for continued momentum into 2026, supported by a favorable macro environment and increased dividends.
Data provided by:The Fly

Citizens Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 15, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance, with significant growth in EPS, NII, and deposits. Capital markets and fee income showed robust improvement, and credit trends remained favorable. However, challenges in commercial loan pricing and non-core runoff presented some headwinds. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, suggesting a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
EPS Growth
EPS increased by $0.13 or 14% sequentially, showing strong financial performance.
Net Interest Income (NII) and Net Interest Margin (NIM) Expansion
NII grew by 3.5% sequentially, with NIM expanding by five basis points to 3%.
Deposit and Loan Growth
The private bank deposits reached $12.5 billion, up $3.8 billion, with loans also growing by approximately $1 billion.
Capital Markets Performance
Record third quarter for Capital Markets, with strong M&A results and increased activity in debt underwriting.
Fee Income Growth
Fees increased by 5% sequentially and 18% year over year, driven by strong Capital Markets and Wealth business performance.
Dividend Increase
Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.46, a $0.04 or 9.5% increase.
Credit Trends
Favorable credit trends with net charge-offs decreasing to 46 basis points.
Capital Management
CET1 ratio increased by 10 basis points to 10.7%, with $75 million in stock buybacks executed.
Negative Updates
Commercial Loan Pricing Spreads
Commercial loan pricing spreads have tightened, impacting the NIM outlook.
Interest Rate Sensitivity
Lower back-end curve has impacted the front book back book benefit, adjusting NIM expectations.
Non-Core Loan Runoff
Non-core portfolio runoff of approximately $600 million in the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Citizens Financial Group Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial metrics, highlighted by a 14% sequential increase in EPS to $1.50, driven by a 3.5% growth in net interest income (NII) and net interest margin (NIM) expansion of five basis points to 3%. Loan growth was noted across consumer, private bank, and commercial segments. The company achieved a 5% increase in fee growth, significantly supported by a strong performance in Capital Markets, marking the second-highest quarter ever, alongside growth in wealth fees. Citizens Financial Group maintained a robust balance sheet, reflected in a CET1 ratio increase of 10 basis points to 10.7% and an LDR of 78.3%. The private bank showed impressive progress, with deposit growth of $3.8 billion to $12.5 billion, surpassing the year-end target. The bank continues to focus on strategic initiatives and aims for organic EPS growth and improved returns, while remaining well-positioned to sustain momentum into 2026. The company also declared a quarterly dividend increase of $0.04, reaching $0.46, and executed $75 million in stock buybacks. Overall, Citizens Financial Group is focused on executing its strategic agenda to deliver superior results amid a favorable macro environment.

Citizens Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Citizens Financial demonstrates strong operational efficiency and cash generation capabilities, with healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins. The company has improved its leverage position, though revenue growth challenges persist. Overall, the financial health is stable, with potential for improvement in profitability and revenue growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Citizens Financial shows a strong gross profit margin of 67.29% in TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 15.43% from previous years, reflecting pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been negative at -7.96% TTM, suggesting challenges in maintaining revenue levels. Despite this, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 19.54% and 24.69% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.41 TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage and a more stable financial position. Return on equity is moderate at 6.80%, showing reasonable profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 11.60%, reflecting a solid equity base relative to total assets, though slightly lower than industry norms.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Free cash flow growth is robust at 135.26% TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 89.97%, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, limiting a full assessment of cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.05B12.35B12.19B9.07B6.99B7.68B
Gross Profit7.43B7.11B7.54B7.55B7.06B5.29B
EBITDA2.73B2.39B2.51B3.22B3.60B1.88B
Net Income1.70B1.51B1.61B2.07B2.32B1.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets222.75B217.52B221.96B226.73B188.41B183.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments47.65B43.85B41.70B34.59B34.90B35.43B
Total Debt10.65B12.40B13.97B15.89B7.01B8.59B
Total Liabilities196.92B193.27B197.62B203.04B164.99B160.68B
Stockholders Equity25.83B24.25B24.34B23.69B23.42B22.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.72B1.88B2.79B3.99B2.15B-7.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.85B2.00B2.96B4.12B2.27B111.00M
Investing Cash Flow-2.42B2.99B5.25B-12.64B-10.49B-6.14B
Financing Cash Flow308.00M-6.01B-7.13B9.91B4.64B15.37B

Citizens Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price54.58
Price Trends
50DMA
51.67
Positive
100DMA
50.44
Positive
200DMA
45.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Negative
RSI
65.04
Neutral
STOCH
91.80
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.20, above the 50-day MA of 51.67, and above the 200-day MA of 45.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CFG.

Citizens Financial Risk Analysis

Citizens Financial disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Citizens Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Citizens Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$26.00B11.6210.37%3.91%5.73%38.39%
77
Outperform
$23.44B15.316.71%3.15%-3.93%40.62%
76
Outperform
$22.21B11.1511.43%4.07%4.00%28.54%
74
Outperform
$29.24B11.729.60%2.98%-0.81%20.34%
73
Outperform
$28.93B13.0911.52%3.45%0.15%11.62%
69
Neutral
$20.35B22.985.82%4.40%3.86%5473.29%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CFG
Citizens Financial
54.66
9.78
21.79%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
43.77
-1.43
-3.16%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
16.56
-0.38
-2.24%
KEY
KeyCorp
18.62
0.53
2.93%
MTB
M&T Bank
190.98
-14.66
-7.13%
RF
Regions Financial
25.33
0.13
0.52%

Citizens Financial Corporate Events

Citizens Financial Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 16, 2025

Citizens Financial Group, Inc., headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island, is one of the largest financial institutions in the United States, offering a wide range of retail and commercial banking products and services to individuals, businesses, and institutions. The company operates in the financial services sector, providing tailored solutions through its extensive network of branches and ATMs across 14 states and the District of Columbia.

Citizens Financial Group Reports Strong Q3 Earnings
Oct 16, 2025

The recent earnings call for Citizens Financial Group painted a picture of strong financial performance, with notable growth across several key metrics. The sentiment was overwhelmingly positive, driven by significant improvements in earnings per share (EPS), net interest income (NII), and deposit growth. While there were some challenges, particularly in commercial loan pricing and non-core runoff, the overall outlook remains optimistic, with the highlights far outweighing any concerns.

Financial Disclosures
Citizens Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. reported a net income of $494 million for the third quarter of 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.05. The company experienced a 9% sequential growth in pre-provision net revenue (PPNR) and achieved positive operating leverage of 3%. Key highlights include a 3.5% increase in net interest income, strong fee performance in capital markets and wealth management, and a 1% growth in loans driven by the Private Bank and retail sectors. The company’s liquidity profile remains robust, with a strong CET1 ratio of 10.7% and a spot loan-to-deposit ratio of 78.3%.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFG) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citizens Financial stock, see the CFG Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Citizens Financial Eliminates Series F Preferred Stock
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Citizens Financial Group, Inc. filed a Certificate of Elimination with the Secretary of State of Delaware, effectively eliminating its 5.650% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series F, from its Restated Certificate of Incorporation. This move follows the redemption of all outstanding shares of the Series F Preferred Stock on the same date, and the company also integrated its previously filed Certificate of Designations for the 6.500% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series I.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFG) stock is a Hold with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citizens Financial stock, see the CFG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Citizens Financial Issues New Preferred Stock Series I
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Citizens Financial Group, Inc. issued a 6.500% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series I, with a liquidation preference of $1,000 per share. The issuance imposes restrictions on the company’s ability to declare or pay dividends on junior stocks if dividends on the Series I Preferred Stock are not declared and paid. Additionally, the company filed a Certificate of Designations on July 25, 2025, to establish the rights and limitations of this stock. On July 22, 2025, Citizens Financial entered into an underwriting agreement with several financial institutions for the public offering of 16,000,000 depositary shares, each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of the Series I Preferred Stock. The agreement includes various conditions, indemnification rights, and termination provisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFG) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citizens Financial stock, see the CFG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025