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Citizens Financial Group (CFG)
:CFG
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Citizens Financial (CFG) AI Stock Analysis

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CFG

Citizens Financial

(NYSE:CFG)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$56.00
â–²(7.20% Upside)
Citizens Financial's overall score reflects a stable financial performance and strong earnings call results, which are the most significant factors. While technical analysis shows mixed signals, the valuation remains attractive. The positive earnings call sentiment and strategic initiatives support a favorable outlook, despite some challenges in revenue growth and loan pricing.
Positive Factors
EPS Growth
The sequential EPS growth indicates effective cost management and revenue generation, enhancing shareholder value and supporting long-term profitability.
Deposit and Loan Growth
Growth in deposits and loans reflects strong customer trust and demand for services, which can drive future interest income and financial stability.
Fee Income Growth
Rising fee income from capital markets and wealth management diversifies revenue streams, reducing reliance on interest income and enhancing resilience.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Declining revenue growth suggests potential difficulties in expanding market share or product offerings, which could impact long-term earnings potential.
Commercial Loan Pricing Spreads
Tightening loan pricing spreads may pressure net interest margins, potentially reducing profitability and affecting competitive positioning.
Non-Core Loan Runoff
The runoff in non-core loans could signal challenges in maintaining asset levels, impacting future interest income and overall financial health.

Citizens Financial (CFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Citizens Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCitizens Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Citizens Bank, National Association that provides retail and commercial banking products and services to individuals, small businesses, middle-market companies, corporations, and institutions in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Consumer Banking and Commercial Banking. The Consumer Banking segment offers deposit products, mortgage and home equity lending products, credit cards, business loans, wealth management, and investment services; and auto, education, and point-of-sale finance loans, as well as digital deposit products. This segment serves its customers through telephone service centers, as well as through its online and mobile platforms. The Commercial Banking segment provides various financial products and solutions, including lending and leasing, deposit and treasury management services, foreign exchange, and interest rate and commodity risk management solutions, as well as syndicated loans, corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions, and debt and equity capital markets services. This segment serves government banking, not-for-profit, healthcare, technology, professionals, oil and gas, asset finance, franchise finance, asset-based lending, commercial real estate, private equity, and sponsor finance industries. It operates approximately 1,200 branches in 14 states and the District of Columbia; 114 retail and commercial non-branch offices in national markets; and approximately 3,300 automated teller machines. The company was formerly known as RBS Citizens Financial Group, Inc. and changed its name to Citizens Financial Group, Inc. in April 2014. Citizens Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1828 and is headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island.
How the Company Makes MoneyCitizens Financial generates revenue through several key streams. A significant portion of its income comes from net interest income, which is derived from the interest earned on loans and securities minus the interest paid on deposits and borrowings. The bank issues various types of loans, including personal loans, mortgages, and commercial loans, which contribute substantially to its revenue. Additionally, Citizens Financial earns non-interest income through service fees, transaction fees, and commissions related to wealth management and investment advisory services. The company has established partnerships with fintech firms and other financial institutions to enhance its service offerings, improve customer experience, and drive growth. These collaborations can lead to new revenue opportunities, particularly in the digital banking space.

Citizens Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Chart InsightsCitizens Financial's Consumer Banking segment shows a robust upward trend, reflecting strategic focus and loan growth, while Commercial Banking faces challenges with pricing spreads impacting margins. The earnings call highlights strong EPS and fee income growth, driven by Capital Markets and wealth management, despite non-core runoff pressures. The bank's strategic initiatives and balance sheet strength position it well for continued momentum into 2026, supported by a favorable macro environment and increased dividends.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Citizens Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 15, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance, with significant growth in EPS, NII, and deposits. Capital markets and fee income showed robust improvement, and credit trends remained favorable. However, challenges in commercial loan pricing and non-core runoff presented some headwinds. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, suggesting a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
EPS Growth
EPS increased by $0.13 or 14% sequentially, showing strong financial performance.
Net Interest Income (NII) and Net Interest Margin (NIM) Expansion
NII grew by 3.5% sequentially, with NIM expanding by five basis points to 3%.
Deposit and Loan Growth
The private bank deposits reached $12.5 billion, up $3.8 billion, with loans also growing by approximately $1 billion.
Capital Markets Performance
Record third quarter for Capital Markets, with strong M&A results and increased activity in debt underwriting.
Fee Income Growth
Fees increased by 5% sequentially and 18% year over year, driven by strong Capital Markets and Wealth business performance.
Dividend Increase
Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.46, a $0.04 or 9.5% increase.
Credit Trends
Favorable credit trends with net charge-offs decreasing to 46 basis points.
Capital Management
CET1 ratio increased by 10 basis points to 10.7%, with $75 million in stock buybacks executed.
Negative Updates
Commercial Loan Pricing Spreads
Commercial loan pricing spreads have tightened, impacting the NIM outlook.
Interest Rate Sensitivity
Lower back-end curve has impacted the front book back book benefit, adjusting NIM expectations.
Non-Core Loan Runoff
Non-core portfolio runoff of approximately $600 million in the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Citizens Financial Group Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial metrics, highlighted by a 14% sequential increase in EPS to $1.50, driven by a 3.5% growth in net interest income (NII) and net interest margin (NIM) expansion of five basis points to 3%. Loan growth was noted across consumer, private bank, and commercial segments. The company achieved a 5% increase in fee growth, significantly supported by a strong performance in Capital Markets, marking the second-highest quarter ever, alongside growth in wealth fees. Citizens Financial Group maintained a robust balance sheet, reflected in a CET1 ratio increase of 10 basis points to 10.7% and an LDR of 78.3%. The private bank showed impressive progress, with deposit growth of $3.8 billion to $12.5 billion, surpassing the year-end target. The bank continues to focus on strategic initiatives and aims for organic EPS growth and improved returns, while remaining well-positioned to sustain momentum into 2026. The company also declared a quarterly dividend increase of $0.04, reaching $0.46, and executed $75 million in stock buybacks. Overall, Citizens Financial Group is focused on executing its strategic agenda to deliver superior results amid a favorable macro environment.

Citizens Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Citizens Financial demonstrates stable financial performance with strong profit margins and a balanced leverage position. However, challenges in revenue growth and cash conversion efficiency are areas of concern.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Citizens Financial shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a slight decline in revenue growth, but the company maintains healthy profit margins. The gross profit margin is strong at approximately 60%, and the net profit margin is stable at around 13%. However, the negative revenue growth rate of -0.965% in the TTM period is a concern, suggesting potential challenges in revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is reasonable at 6.41%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the overall asset base is substantial, supporting stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a stable cash position with a positive free cash flow growth rate of 4.42% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at approximately 90%, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.00B12.35B12.19B9.07B6.99B7.68B
Gross Profit7.20B7.11B7.54B7.55B7.06B5.29B
EBITDA2.50B2.39B2.51B3.22B3.60B1.88B
Net Income1.59B1.51B1.61B2.07B2.32B1.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets218.31B217.52B221.96B226.73B188.41B183.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.21B43.85B41.70B34.59B34.90B35.43B
Total Debt12.78B12.40B13.97B15.89B7.01B8.59B
Total Liabilities193.08B193.27B197.62B203.04B164.99B160.68B
Stockholders Equity25.23B24.25B24.34B23.69B23.42B22.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.16B1.88B2.79B3.99B2.15B-7.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.29B2.00B2.96B4.12B2.27B111.00M
Investing Cash Flow-767.00M2.99B5.25B-12.64B-10.49B-6.14B
Financing Cash Flow-3.74B-6.01B-7.13B9.91B4.64B15.37B

Citizens Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.24
Price Trends
50DMA
51.43
Positive
100DMA
49.38
Positive
200DMA
44.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
57.21
Neutral
STOCH
86.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.76, above the 50-day MA of 51.43, and above the 200-day MA of 44.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CFG.

Citizens Financial Risk Analysis

Citizens Financial disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Citizens Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Citizens Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$24.67B11.0310.37%3.91%5.73%38.39%
76
Outperform
$21.96B11.0211.43%4.05%4.00%28.54%
74
Outperform
$28.93B11.609.60%2.97%-0.81%20.34%
72
Outperform
$28.34B12.8211.52%3.51%4.09%11.62%
71
Outperform
$22.48B14.696.71%3.29%-3.93%40.62%
69
Neutral
$19.80B22.375.82%4.54%3.86%5473.29%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CFG
Citizens Financial
52.24
7.54
16.87%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
42.99
-2.51
-5.52%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
15.82
-1.15
-6.78%
KEY
KeyCorp
18.08
-0.22
-1.20%
MTB
M&T Bank
186.76
-20.56
-9.92%
RF
Regions Financial
25.06
-0.06
-0.24%

Citizens Financial Corporate Events

Citizens Financial Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 16, 2025

Citizens Financial Group, Inc., headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island, is one of the largest financial institutions in the United States, offering a wide range of retail and commercial banking products and services to individuals, businesses, and institutions. The company operates in the financial services sector, providing tailored solutions through its extensive network of branches and ATMs across 14 states and the District of Columbia.

Citizens Financial Group Reports Strong Q3 Earnings
Oct 16, 2025

The recent earnings call for Citizens Financial Group painted a picture of strong financial performance, with notable growth across several key metrics. The sentiment was overwhelmingly positive, driven by significant improvements in earnings per share (EPS), net interest income (NII), and deposit growth. While there were some challenges, particularly in commercial loan pricing and non-core runoff, the overall outlook remains optimistic, with the highlights far outweighing any concerns.

Financial Disclosures
Citizens Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. reported a net income of $494 million for the third quarter of 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.05. The company experienced a 9% sequential growth in pre-provision net revenue (PPNR) and achieved positive operating leverage of 3%. Key highlights include a 3.5% increase in net interest income, strong fee performance in capital markets and wealth management, and a 1% growth in loans driven by the Private Bank and retail sectors. The company’s liquidity profile remains robust, with a strong CET1 ratio of 10.7% and a spot loan-to-deposit ratio of 78.3%.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFG) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citizens Financial stock, see the CFG Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Citizens Financial Eliminates Series F Preferred Stock
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Citizens Financial Group, Inc. filed a Certificate of Elimination with the Secretary of State of Delaware, effectively eliminating its 5.650% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series F, from its Restated Certificate of Incorporation. This move follows the redemption of all outstanding shares of the Series F Preferred Stock on the same date, and the company also integrated its previously filed Certificate of Designations for the 6.500% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series I.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFG) stock is a Hold with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citizens Financial stock, see the CFG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Citizens Financial Issues New Preferred Stock Series I
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Citizens Financial Group, Inc. issued a 6.500% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series I, with a liquidation preference of $1,000 per share. The issuance imposes restrictions on the company’s ability to declare or pay dividends on junior stocks if dividends on the Series I Preferred Stock are not declared and paid. Additionally, the company filed a Certificate of Designations on July 25, 2025, to establish the rights and limitations of this stock. On July 22, 2025, Citizens Financial entered into an underwriting agreement with several financial institutions for the public offering of 16,000,000 depositary shares, each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of the Series I Preferred Stock. The agreement includes various conditions, indemnification rights, and termination provisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFG) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citizens Financial stock, see the CFG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2025