Citizens Financial (CFG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $20.83B
• Dividend Yield: 3.47%
• Average Volume (3M): 5.09M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.7
• Beta (1Y): 1.38
• Revenue Growth: -3.68%
• EPS Growth: 25.31%
• Country: US
• Employees: 17,315
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 67
• Industry: Banks - Regional
• EPS (TTM): 0.92
• Shares Outstanding: 431,349,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 3,859,627
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 5,088,232
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.24
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.14
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.64
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 10.58
• 1Y Price Target: $55.77
• Price Target Upside: 15.25% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 14

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: $56.00 ▲(15.73% Upside)

Citizens Financial demonstrates strong financial performance with robust profitability and efficient operations. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, while a reasonable P/E ratio and solid dividend yield enhance its valuation appeal. Recent earnings call and corporate events reflect strategic growth and confidence, despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

Positive Factors

Earnings Performance

Stock outperformed peers after 2Q25 EPS of $0.92 beat consensus driven by stronger fee revenues.

Franchise Investments

Franchise investments over the last few years offer idiosyncratic opportunities to drive growth.

Loan Growth

Loan growth of +1% linked quarter was a positive surprise, supported by continued expansion of the private bank.

Negative Factors

Capital Markets Outlook

The main driver of the estimate revision is a dampened capital markets outlook and slower loan growth recovery.

Macro Uncertainty

Macro uncertainty may continue to suppress customer activity.

Recession Risk

There is a higher recession risk, leading to a reduced one-year-out target multiple to about 8.5x.

Citizens Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) is a prominent American bank headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island. It operates primarily in the financial services sector, offering a wide range of banking products and services for consumers, businesses, and institutions. The company provides personal banking services, including checking and savings accounts, mortgages, and auto loans, as well as commercial banking services such as lending, treasury management, and investment banking. Citizens Financial also offers wealth management and investment advisory services, catering to both individual and institutional clients.

How the Company Makes Money

Citizens Financial generates revenue through several key streams. A significant portion of its income comes from net interest income, which is derived from the interest earned on loans and securities minus the interest paid on deposits and borrowings. The bank issues various types of loans, including personal loans, mortgages, and commercial loans, which contribute substantially to its revenue. Additionally, Citizens Financial earns non-interest income through service fees, transaction fees, and commissions related to wealth management and investment advisory services. The company has established partnerships with fintech firms and other financial institutions to enhance its service offerings, improve customer experience, and drive growth. These collaborations can lead to new revenue opportunities, particularly in the digital banking space.

Citizens Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Citizens Financial maintains strong profitability with robust operational efficiency, evidenced by solid net profit margins and effective use of shareholders' funds. However, declining revenue and free cash flow growth present potential challenges, requiring strategic adjustments.

Income Statement

Citizens Financial has demonstrated stable performance in its income statement, with a consistent gross profit margin over time. The TTM shows a slight decline in total revenue compared to the previous periods, but the net profit margin remains strong at 20.12%. EBIT and EBITDA margins also indicate robust operational efficiency, although there has been a decrease in revenue compared to 2023, which may be a concern if this trend continues.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet exhibits a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50 in the TTM, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting good asset management. However, the declining stockholders' equity over the past few periods may pose a risk if not addressed. Return on equity is solid at 4.73%, indicating effective use of shareholders' funds.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, with a negative trend from previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.23, indicating a healthy cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, pointing to potential challenges in maintaining cash reserves if this continues.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	12.35B	12.19B	9.07B	6.99B	7.68B
Gross Profit	7.11B	7.54B	7.55B	7.06B	5.29B
EBITDA	2.39B	2.51B	3.22B	3.60B	1.88B
Net Income	1.51B	1.61B	2.07B	2.32B	1.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	217.52B	221.96B	226.73B	188.41B	183.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	43.85B	41.70B	34.59B	34.90B	35.43B
Total Debt	12.40B	13.97B	15.89B	7.01B	8.59B
Total Liabilities	193.27B	197.62B	203.04B	164.99B	160.68B
Stockholders Equity	24.25B	24.34B	23.69B	23.42B	22.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.88B	2.79B	3.99B	2.15B	-7.00M
Operating Cash Flow	2.00B	2.96B	4.12B	2.27B	111.00M
Investing Cash Flow	2.99B	5.25B	-12.64B	-10.49B	-6.14B
Financing Cash Flow	-6.01B	-7.13B	9.91B	4.64B	15.37B

Citizens Financial Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 48.39
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 48.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.08, above the 50-day MA of 45.95, and above the 200-day MA of 42.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CFG.

Citizens Financial Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CFG	77 Outperform	$20.83B	14.72	6.48%	3.47%	-3.68%	25.31%
RF	77 Outperform	$22.84B	11.93	11.59%	3.89%	2.94%	20.85%
FCNCA	75 Outperform	$23.96B	11.04	10.70%	0.39%	-2.09%	-6.84%
HBAN	73 Outperform	$24.45B	12.42	10.43%	3.73%	6.06%	28.03%
KEY	69 Neutral	$19.78B	1,663.64	1.02%	4.52%	-12.30%	-108.78%
KB	67 Neutral	$29.64B	7.73	10.14%	3.02%	-3.11%	28.74%
Sector *	65 Neutral	£5.44B	9.20	9.66%	5.04%	10.06%	-14.95%

Citizens Financial Corporate Events

Citizens Financial Issues New Preferred Stock Series I

On July 31, 2025, Citizens Financial Group, Inc. issued a 6.500% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series I, with a liquidation preference of $1,000 per share. The issuance imposes restrictions on the company’s ability to declare or pay dividends on junior stocks if dividends on the Series I Preferred Stock are not declared and paid. Additionally, the company filed a Certificate of Designations on July 25, 2025, to establish the rights and limitations of this stock. On July 22, 2025, Citizens Financial entered into an underwriting agreement with several financial institutions for the public offering of 16,000,000 depositary shares, each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of the Series I Preferred Stock. The agreement includes various conditions, indemnification rights, and termination provisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFG) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citizens Financial stock, see the CFG Stock Forecast page.

Citizens Financial Launches New Preferred Stock Offering

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. announced its second quarter 2025 earnings on July 17, 2025, highlighting strong revenue performance and disciplined expense management. The company reported an EPS of $0.92, up $0.15 from the previous quarter, with significant contributions from its Private Bank. Additionally, Citizens Financial launched a proposed public offering of a new series of Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series I, on July 22, 2025. The proceeds from this offering, if successful, are intended to redeem some or all outstanding shares of its Series F Preferred Stock, subject to market conditions. The outcome of this offering could impact the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFG) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citizens Financial stock, see the CFG Stock Forecast page.

Citizens Financial Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. reported a net income of $436 million for the second quarter of 2025, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.92. The company experienced a sequential net interest income (NII) growth of 3%, fee growth of 10%, and positive operating leverage of approximately 5%. The quarter also saw strong revenue performance and disciplined expense management, with notable contributions from the Private Bank. Loans and deposits both increased by 1% quarter-over-quarter, and the company maintained a strong liquidity profile with a loan-to-deposit ratio of 79.6%.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFG) stock is a Hold with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citizens Financial stock, see the CFG Stock Forecast page.

Citizens Financial Expands Share Repurchase Program by $1.2B

On June 13, 2025, Citizens Financial Group announced an increase in its common share repurchase program to $1.5 billion, a significant rise of $1.2 billion from the previous authorization. This move reflects the company’s confidence in its financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, aiming to deliver attractive capital returns to shareholders. The repurchases will be subject to various factors, including market conditions and regulatory considerations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CFG) stock is a Hold with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citizens Financial stock, see the CFG Stock Forecast page.