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First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA)
NASDAQ:FCNCA

First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) AI Stock Analysis

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FCNCA

First Citizens BancShares

(NASDAQ:FCNCA)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$2,195.00
â–²(1.24% Upside)
First Citizens BancShares shows a solid overall performance, driven by strong financial health and strategic corporate actions. The robust earnings call and recent corporate events further bolster its position. However, high leverage and potential overbought technical indicators present risks that should be monitored.
Positive Factors
Loan and Deposit Growth
Consistent loan and deposit growth indicates strong demand for the company's services, enhancing its market position and revenue base.
Branch Expansion
Acquiring new branches expands market reach and customer base, supporting long-term growth and competitive positioning.
Capital Structure Enhancement
Issuing preferred stock strengthens capital structure, providing financial flexibility to support strategic initiatives and growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or revenue growth slows, impacting long-term stability.
Increased Net Charge-offs
Rising charge-offs indicate potential credit quality issues, which could pressure profitability and necessitate tighter risk management.
Revenue Growth Challenges
Declining revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining business momentum, which could affect future earnings potential.

First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Citizens BancShares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Citizens BancShares, Inc. operates as the holding company for First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company that provides retail and commercial banking services to individuals, businesses, and professionals. The company's deposit products include checking, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts. Its loan product portfolio comprises commercial construction and land development, commercial mortgage, commercial and industrial, and lease financing loans, as well as small business administration paycheck protection program loans; and consumer loans, such as residential and revolving mortgage, construction and land development, consumer auto, and other consumer loans. The company also offers treasury services products, cardholder and merchant services, wealth management services, and various other products and services; investment products, including annuities, discount brokerage services, and third-party mutual funds, as well as investment management and advisory services; and defined benefit and defined contribution, insurance, private banking, trust, fiduciary, philanthropy, and special asset services. The company provides its products and services through its branch network, as well as through digital banking, telephone banking, and various ATM networks. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 529 branches in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, Maryland, Missouri, North Carolina, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, and West Virginia. First Citizens BancShares, Inc. was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Citizens BancShares generates revenue primarily through net interest income, which is derived from the interest earned on loans and investments minus the interest paid on deposits and other borrowings. Key revenue streams include commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans, alongside fees from various banking services such as account maintenance, transaction services, and wealth management. The company also benefits from its investment portfolio, which contributes to its interest income. Additionally, First Citizens has established partnerships with fintech companies to enhance its digital banking capabilities, driving customer acquisition and retention, which in turn supports its overall earnings growth.

First Citizens BancShares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted robust loan and deposit growth, strategic expansions, and strong capital management. However, it also noted significant charge-offs and a cautious outlook for future growth in certain segments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Loan and Deposit Growth
Achieved 2.5% loan growth over the linked quarter, with deposits up by $3.3 billion or 2% sequentially. This marks the 7th consecutive quarter of deposit growth.
SVB Commercial Performance
Global fund banking loans increased 10% sequentially, driven by increased utilization and strong production in the capital call portfolio.
Shareholder Returns
Returned $900 million to shareholders through share repurchases during the quarter, with a total of $4 billion repurchased since the inception of the plan in July 2024.
Capital and Liquidity Strength
Maintained strong capital ratios, with a CET1 ratio of 11.65%, supporting ongoing growth and strategic initiatives.
Branch Expansion
Announced an agreement to purchase 138 branches from BMO Bank, expected to expand market reach and enhance client offerings.
Negative Updates
Charge-off Related to First Brands Bankruptcy
An $82 million charge-off was incurred due to the First Brands bankruptcy, representing the full exposure to the company.
Increased Net Charge-offs
Net charge-offs increased by $115 million to $234 million for the quarter, driven by certain portfolios experiencing stress.
Cautious Outlook for SVB Commercial
Despite recent growth, there is caution regarding future deposit growth and utilization due to uncertainties in the innovation economy.
Company Guidance
During the First Citizens BancShares Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, key earnings metrics were highlighted, reflecting robust performance across business segments. The company reported an adjusted earnings per share of $44.62, an adjusted return on equity (ROE) of 10.62%, and an adjusted return on assets (ROA) of 1.01%. Loan growth reached 2.5% over the linked quarter, spearheaded by a 10% sequential increase in SVB Commercial's global fund banking loans. Deposits rose by $3.3 billion or 2% sequentially, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of deposit growth. The company returned $900 million to shareholders through share repurchases during the quarter. Looking ahead, First Citizens anticipates loans to be in the range of $143 billion to $146 billion, with a focus on maintaining a strong capital and liquidity position to support strategic initiatives. They also provided guidance on net interest income, expecting it to remain relatively stable in the fourth quarter compared to the third quarter, with full-year guidance tightened to a range of $6.74 billion to $6.84 billion. The company continues to exercise disciplined expense management while investing in areas to drive scalable growth and enhance operational efficiency.

First Citizens BancShares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Citizens BancShares shows strong profitability and cash flow generation, with a healthy net profit margin and solid cash flow growth. However, high leverage and a decline in revenue growth pose potential risks.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The company experienced a decline in revenue growth rate in the TTM period, indicating potential challenges in maintaining revenue momentum. However, the net profit margin remains healthy at 16.02%, and the EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid, reflecting good operational efficiency. The gross profit margin has decreased compared to previous years, which could suggest increased cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage. This could pose risks if interest rates rise or if the company faces revenue challenges. The return on equity has decreased over time, suggesting reduced profitability from shareholders' investments. However, the equity ratio remains stable, indicating a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement is strong, with a notable free cash flow growth rate of 31.67% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting effective conversion of profits into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, which could imply challenges in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.53B14.94B12.64B5.10B1.90B1.92B
Gross Profit8.88B9.30B7.58B3.98B1.88B1.76B
EBITDA3.30B3.72B12.02B1.90B844.00M751.00M
Net Income2.33B2.78B11.47B1.10B547.00M492.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets233.49B223.72B213.76B109.30B58.31B49.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.90B56.09B54.45B14.54B18.66B11.72B
Total Debt39.02B37.41B38.05B7.00B1.78B1.89B
Total Liabilities211.50B201.49B192.50B99.64B53.57B45.73B
Stockholders Equity21.99B22.23B21.25B9.66B4.74B4.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.03B1.45B1.23B1.86B-391.00M243.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.99B2.99B2.66B2.79B-284.00M376.00M
Investing Cash Flow-12.98B-10.15B2.43B75.00M-7.57B-9.91B
Financing Cash Flow10.00B7.07B-4.70B-2.69B7.83B9.52B

First Citizens BancShares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2168.13
Price Trends
50DMA
1879.42
Positive
100DMA
1878.92
Positive
200DMA
1876.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
80.70
Negative
RSI
81.69
Negative
STOCH
94.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCNCA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2168.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2015.49, above the 50-day MA of 1879.42, and above the 200-day MA of 1876.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 80.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.69 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FCNCA.

First Citizens BancShares Risk Analysis

First Citizens BancShares disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Citizens BancShares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Citizens BancShares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$27.92B12.4610.37%3.50%5.73%38.39%
79
Outperform
$24.16B12.1211.43%3.74%4.00%28.54%
75
Outperform
$25.56B16.706.71%2.89%-3.93%40.62%
73
Outperform
$26.61B12.8210.38%0.37%-3.18%-3.10%
70
Outperform
$25.09B7.788.58%2.86%-4.88%4.84%
69
Neutral
$31.75B7.939.99%2.79%-4.64%24.98%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCNCA
First Citizens BancShares
2,168.13
23.80
1.11%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
17.73
1.83
11.51%
KB
Kb Financial Group
87.07
28.75
49.30%
RF
Regions Financial
27.55
4.56
19.83%
SHG
Shinhan Financial Group Co
52.58
18.92
56.21%
CFG
Citizens Financial
59.51
17.23
40.75%

First Citizens BancShares Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
First Citizens BancShares Closes Series D Preferred Stock Offering
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

On November 14, 2025, First Citizens BancShares, Inc. filed a certificate of designation for a new series of preferred stock, the 7.000% Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series D. This filing was part of an underwriting agreement with major financial institutions. The company closed a public offering of 500,000 depositary shares on November 18, 2025, each representing a 1/100th interest in a share of the Series D Preferred Stock. The Series D Preferred Stock offers a 7% annual dividend rate until December 2030 and then adjusts based on the five-year treasury rate plus 3.301%. This move is significant for First Citizens BancShares as it enhances their capital structure and could impact their market positioning by offering attractive returns to investors.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Citizens BancShares Reports Solid Q3 2025 Earnings
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

First Citizens BancShares reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings, highlighting solid return metrics and growth in loans and deposits across all operating segments, particularly led by SVB Commercial. The company announced the acquisition of 138 BMO Bank branches, which is expected to enhance its liquidity and strategic initiatives, with the transaction anticipated to close in mid-2026. Financially, the company saw a slight decrease in net income compared to the previous quarter, but maintained strong capital and liquidity positions, returning $900 million to stockholders through share repurchases. The quarter also saw an increase in net interest income and noninterest income, while noninterest expenses slightly decreased. However, there was a significant increase in provision for credit losses, mainly due to an increase in net charge-offs, including a substantial charge-off on a single client.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Citizens BancShares to Acquire 138 BMO Branches
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, First Citizens Bank announced an agreement to acquire 138 branches from BMO Bank N.A. across the Midwest, Great Plains, and West regions of the U.S. The acquisition involves assuming approximately $5.7 billion in deposit liabilities and acquiring $1.1 billion in loans. This strategic move is expected to enhance First Citizens Bank’s liquidity position and expand its market presence, with the transaction anticipated to close in mid-2026, pending regulatory approvals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025