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First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA)
NASDAQ:FCNCA
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First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) AI Stock Analysis

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FCNCA

First Citizens BancShares

(NASDAQ:FCNCA)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$2,172.00
â–²(14.23% Upside)
First Citizens BancShares demonstrates strong financial health and strategic capital management, as evidenced by its robust financial performance and new share repurchase program. However, mixed technical indicators and moderate valuation metrics suggest cautious optimism. The earnings call provided a balanced view with both strengths and challenges, contributing to a solid overall score.
Positive Factors
Interest Rate Environment
A stronger jobs report and a 'hawkish cut' have led to increased bank exposure, benefiting FCNCA's stock performance.
Net Interest Income
Analysts expect a positive reaction in FCNCA's stock due to the potential for nearly 5% net interest income upside based on current rate expectations.
Stock Rating
Analysts have assigned an Outperform rating for FCNCA, reflecting confidence in its future performance.
Negative Factors
Earnings Estimates
Earnings estimates for 4Q24E have been adjusted downward due to modestly lower net interest income and higher expenses.
Stock Price Movement
FCNCA's stock experienced a 7% pullback, which may concern investors about short-term performance.

First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Citizens BancShares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) is a bank holding company based in Raleigh, North Carolina, primarily engaged in providing a wide range of banking and financial services through its subsidiary, First Citizens Bank. The company operates in various sectors, including retail banking, commercial banking, and wealth management. Core products and services offered by First Citizens include personal and business loans, mortgages, deposit accounts, investment services, and treasury management solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Citizens BancShares generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income is net interest income, which arises from the interest earned on loans and securities minus the interest paid on deposits and other borrowings. Additionally, the bank earns non-interest income from service fees, transaction fees, and wealth management services, which provide a diversified revenue base. The company may also benefit from partnerships with financial technology firms and other financial institutions to enhance its service offerings and reach more customers. Economic factors, such as interest rate changes and loan demand, also play a significant role in influencing the bank's earnings.

First Citizens BancShares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 25, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -10.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, with notable achievements in net income, capital management, and specific business segments like the rail business. However, challenges such as loan declines, competitive pressures, and cautious outlooks in certain business areas balanced the positive aspects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted net income was $607 million, exceeding expectations, with tangible book value per share increasing by 10.4% year-over-year and 2.7% sequentially.
Capital and Liquidity Strength
Strong capital and liquidity positions allowed for $613 million in share repurchases during Q2, with a new $4 billion share repurchase plan approved.
Improvement in Net Interest Income
Net interest income grew by 2% sequentially, marking the first increase after three quarters of decline.
Rail Business Performance
Adjusted rental income in the rail business increased by $5 million sequentially with utilization remaining high at 96.9%.
Deposit Growth
Deposits increased by $610 million or 0.4% sequentially, with significant growth in the Direct Bank channel.
Negative Updates
Loan Decline
Loans declined by $89 million or 0.1% sequentially, impacted by idiosyncratic paydowns in industry verticals.
Challenges in Tech and Healthcare Banking
Loan outstandings in tech and healthcare banking were down approximately $300 million due to the challenging environment.
Cautious Outlook for SVB
Caution around SVB business growth due to economic uncertainty and a challenging IPO environment.
Competitive Pressures
Increased competition leading to pressure on deposit pricing and loan origination, particularly in the branch network.
Company Guidance
During the First Citizens BancShares Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided forward-looking guidance for the remainder of the year. They forecast third-quarter loans to range between $141 billion and $144 billion, driven by growth in their general, commercial, and SVB commercial banks. For the full year, they adjusted their loan guidance to $143 billion to $146 billion, reflecting cautious optimism. Deposits are expected to be between $159 billion and $162 billion in Q3, with a full-year target of $161 billion to $166 billion. The net interest income for the full year was revised to a range of $6.68 billion to $6.88 billion, considering the current interest rate environment. Adjusted noninterest income is projected to be $480 million to $510 million in Q3, with a full-year range of $1.97 billion to $2.05 billion. Noninterest expenses are anticipated to stay within $1.28 billion to $1.32 billion per quarter for the rest of the year, with a full-year expectation of $5.1 billion to $5.2 billion. The company also plans to continue share repurchases, guided by their newly approved $4 billion plan, and expects the CET1 ratio to manage down to their target range of 10.5% to 11% over time.

First Citizens BancShares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Citizens BancShares exhibits solid financial health with strong profitability and a stable balance sheet. The company demonstrates effective cash management and maintains a healthy equity ratio with moderate leverage. Despite a slight decline in revenue growth, the company remains well-positioned in the regional banking industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The income statement demonstrates robust profitability with a strong net profit margin of 17.2% TTM. However, revenue growth has slowed recently, declining by approximately 1.6% from the previous year. The gross profit margin remains solid at 61.2% TTM, supporting the company's ability to generate profit efficiently.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity ratio of 9.74% TTM, indicating a stable financial structure. The debt-to-equity ratio has slightly increased to 1.74, suggesting moderate leverage with manageable risk. Return on equity is strong at 11.34% TTM, reflecting effective use of shareholder equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis highlights a positive free cash flow, although declining by 24.2% year-over-year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.04, suggesting strong cash generation relative to accounting profits. The company maintains positive free cash flow to net income ratio at 0.44, indicating efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.70B14.94B12.64B5.10B1.90B1.92B
Gross Profit9.01B9.30B7.58B3.98B1.88B1.76B
EBITDA3.47B3.72B12.02B1.90B844.00M751.00M
Net Income2.53B2.78B11.47B1.10B547.00M492.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets228.82B223.72B213.76B109.30B58.31B49.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.06B56.09B54.45B14.54B18.66B11.72B
Total Debt38.75B37.41B38.05B7.00B1.78B1.89B
Total Liabilities206.53B201.49B192.50B99.64B53.57B45.73B
Stockholders Equity22.30B22.23B21.25B9.66B4.74B4.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.10B1.45B1.23B1.86B-391.00M243.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.63B2.99B2.66B2.79B-284.00M376.00M
Investing Cash Flow-10.74B-10.15B2.43B75.00M-7.57B-9.91B
Financing Cash Flow8.23B7.07B-4.70B-2.69B7.83B9.52B

First Citizens BancShares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1901.42
Price Trends
50DMA
1970.66
Negative
100DMA
1883.54
Positive
200DMA
1985.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-33.30
Positive
RSI
44.59
Neutral
STOCH
73.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCNCA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1901.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1944.20, below the 50-day MA of 1970.66, and below the 200-day MA of 1985.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -33.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FCNCA.

First Citizens BancShares Risk Analysis

First Citizens BancShares disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Citizens BancShares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Citizens BancShares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$28.12B13.2211.58%3.46%1.90%2.87%
77
Outperform
$20.83B14.726.48%3.46%-3.68%25.31%
77
Outperform
$22.84B11.9311.59%3.89%2.94%20.85%
75
Outperform
$23.96B11.0410.70%0.39%-2.09%-6.84%
75
Outperform
$29.70B12.319.47%2.83%0.69%14.79%
73
Outperform
$24.45B12.4210.43%3.72%6.06%28.03%
68
Neutral
$17.56B11.6310.45%3.85%9.69%1.92%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCNCA
First Citizens BancShares
1,901.42
-90.58
-4.55%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
42.80
3.59
9.16%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
16.68
3.33
24.94%
MTB
M&T Bank
190.36
32.66
20.71%
RF
Regions Financial
25.69
4.75
22.68%
CFG
Citizens Financial
48.39
8.74
22.04%

First Citizens BancShares Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
First Citizens BancShares Announces New Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Jul 25, 2025

On July 25, 2025, First Citizens BancShares announced a new share repurchase program, authorizing up to $4 billion in Class A common stock repurchases through 2026, following the completion of a previous $3.5 billion program. The company reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with net income rising to $575 million, driven by revenue growth and positive credit performance. The announcement reflects the company’s commitment to long-term value creation and returning capital to shareholders, while also strengthening its leadership with the appointment of Diane Morais to the Board of Directors.

Executive/Board Changes
First Citizens BancShares Appoints Diane Morais to Board
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

On June 24, 2025, First Citizens BancShares appointed Diane Morais to its Board of Directors, effective July 1, 2025. Morais, a seasoned financial services leader with over 30 years of experience, previously held key roles at Ally Bank, including President of Consumer and Commercial Banking. Her appointment is expected to enhance the board’s governance efforts and align with First Citizens’ long-term, relationship-focused approach. Morais will serve on the Risk and Technology Committees, bringing valuable insights from her extensive background in banking and community involvement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025