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Shinhan Financial (SHG)
NYSE:SHG

Shinhan Financial Group Co (SHG) AI Stock Analysis

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SHG

Shinhan Financial Group Co

(NYSE:SHG)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$64.00
▲(17.45% Upside)
Overall score is supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and dividend) and a generally steady technical backdrop. The main offset is fundamental quality: while profitability is solid, TTM revenue weakness and recently negative/volatile cash flows weigh heavily, and the latest earnings call was constructive on capital and shareholder returns but mixed due to profit and credit/asset-quality concerns.
Positive Factors
Stable Capital Management
Maintaining a stable CET1 ratio indicates strong capital management, ensuring the company can withstand financial stress and regulatory requirements.
Interest Income Growth
Growth in interest income reflects effective asset growth and margin control, contributing to long-term profitability and financial stability.
Improved Asset Quality
Enhanced asset quality management reduces risk exposure, supporting sustainable financial performance and resilience against economic downturns.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Cash flow difficulties can hinder operational flexibility and investment capacity, posing risks to long-term financial health and growth potential.
Net Income Decline
A decline in net income indicates potential issues in maintaining profitability, which could affect future earnings and shareholder returns.
Increased RWA
Rising RWA suggests higher risk exposure, potentially impacting capital adequacy and requiring more capital to meet regulatory standards.

Shinhan Financial Group Co (SHG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Shinhan Financial Group Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionShinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. provides financial products and services in South Korea and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Banking, Credit Card, Securities, Life Insurance, Credit, and Others. It offers retail banking services, including demand, savings, and fixed deposit-taking; checking accounts; mortgage and home equity, and retail lending; electronic banking and automatic teller machines (ATM); and bill paying, payroll and check-cashing, currency exchange, and wire fund transfer services. The company also provides corporate banking services, such as investment banking, real estate financing, overseas real estate and development project financing, infrastructure and structured financing, equity/venture investments, mergers and acquisitions consulting; securitization and derivatives services comprising securities and derivative products, and foreign exchange trading; and working capital loans and facilities loans. In addition, it is involved in treasury and investment activities in international capital markets consisting of foreign currency-denominated securities trading, foreign exchange trading and services, trade-related financial services, international factoring services, and foreign banking operations. Further, the company offers trust account management, securities brokerage, and asset management services, as well as leasing and equipment financing, savings banking, loan collection and credit reporting, collective investment administration, private equity investment, and financial system development services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a network of 784 service centers; 5,234 ATMs; 7 cash dispensers; and 85 digital kiosks. Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
How the Company Makes MoneyShinhan Financial Group generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income comes from its banking operations, particularly through interest income derived from loans and mortgages extended to personal and corporate clients. Additionally, service fees from various banking transactions and investment products contribute significantly to its revenue. The group also earns income from its asset management and insurance subsidiaries, including premiums from life and non-life insurance products, as well as management fees from investment funds. Strategic partnerships, such as those with technology firms for digital banking services, enhance customer engagement and can lead to increased transaction volumes, further boosting revenue. Overall, SHG's diversified financial services portfolio and its strong market position in South Korea play crucial roles in its earning capabilities.

Shinhan Financial Group Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with stable capital management and positive shareholder returns. However, challenges such as declined net income, increased RWA, and concerns over credit costs and asset quality were significant. While there were some positive aspects, notably in interest income growth and asset quality management, the lowlights indicate substantial areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable CET1 Ratio
Shinhan Financial Group maintained a stable CET1 ratio of 13.56% by the end of September 2025, despite challenges such as won depreciation and loan asset growth.
Dividend and Share Buyback
The board resolved on a cash dividend of KRW 570 per share for Q3, with expected shareholder returns of KRW 2.35 trillion for 2025, including KRW 1.1 trillion in cash dividends and KRW 1.25 trillion in share buybacks.
Interest Income Growth
The group reported a 2.9% Q-o-Q rise in interest income due to profitability-based asset growth and active margin control, with the bank's loan in won increasing by 2.7% Q-o-Q.
Improved Asset Quality Management
The bank's NPL coverage ratio improved by 12.17 percentage points Q-o-Q, supported by NPL sales and strengthened asset quality management.
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline
Shinhan Financial Group's Q3 net income declined by 8.1% Q-o-Q, partly due to a decrease in securities-related profits reflecting market rate movements.
Increased RWA
The group's RWA increased by KRW 8 trillion Q-o-Q, driven by growth in foreign currency-denominated RWA due to won depreciation and loan-driven asset growth.
Credit Cost and Asset Quality Concerns
Credit cost ratio stood at 46 bp, up 2 bp YoY, with ongoing concerns about asset quality due to macroeconomic uncertainties.
Noninterest Income Decrease
The group's noninterest income decreased Q-o-Q, with declines in gains on securities, FX, and derivatives, although brokerage and IB-related fees surged.
Company Guidance
During the 2025 third-quarter earnings call for Shinhan Financial Group, several key financial metrics were discussed. The group's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio was preliminarily estimated at 13.56%, showing stability despite challenges like the depreciation of the won. Shinhan Financial Group announced a cash dividend of KRW 570 per share for the quarter, with an expected total shareholder return of KRW 2.35 trillion for 2025, combining cash dividends and share buybacks. The group's net income for Q3 was KRW 1.4235 trillion, with a controlled credit cost ratio of 46 basis points, which increased by 2 basis points year-on-year but improved quarter-over-quarter. The cost/income ratio remained stable, and the return on equity (ROE) and return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) rose by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year to 11.1% and 12.5%, respectively. The bank's net interest margin (NIM) rose to 1.56%, up by 1 basis point quarter-over-quarter, while group interest income increased by 2.9% quarter-over-quarter. Noninterest income decreased due to market conditions, though brokerage and investment banking fees surged. The group's SG&A expenses rose by 2.2% quarter-on-quarter, and the credit cost decreased by 30.1% quarter-on-quarter. The NPL coverage ratio saw mixed results, with the bank's ratio improving by 12.17 percentage points quarter-on-quarter.

Shinhan Financial Group Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and ROE are solid, but fundamentals are tempered by weakening TTM revenue and a major deterioration in cash generation (TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow both negative), reducing confidence in near-term financial quality.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Profitability is solid with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net margin around 16% and healthy operating profitability, but the top line is weakening (TTM revenue down ~13.7%). Annual results show uneven growth (notably a sharp drop in 2023 revenue growth), suggesting earnings are resilient but revenue momentum and consistency are a key watch item.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Capital and returns look steady for a regional bank, with return on equity in the ~8–10% range across the period and equity gradually building. That said, leverage is meaningfully elevated (debt-to-equity generally ~2.2–2.7), which is typical for banks but still increases sensitivity to credit and funding conditions.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Cash generation is the weak spot: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative, a sharp reversal from positive 2024 and strong 2021–2022 levels. The multi-year pattern is volatile (including negative cash flow in 2020 and near-breakeven/negative free cash flow in 2023), reducing confidence in cash flow stability despite good reported profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.44T35.38T33.80T24.56T25.75T25.72T
Gross Profit15.97T15.57T14.88T13.78T20.84T19.47T
EBITDA5.67T7.31T7.15T7.37T6.49T5.52T
Net Income4.87T4.45T4.37T4.67T4.02T3.41T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.0010.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>92.87T
Total Debt10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity57.87T56.05T53.72T50.73T47.97T44.07T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.65T3.85T-186.39B6.65T10.19T-5.05T
Operating Cash Flow-6.15T4.63T529.85B7.59T11.08T-4.41T
Investing Cash Flow-5.83T148.53B-4.27T-11.03T-12.03T-3.03T
Financing Cash Flow15.45T-182.65B9.76T3.39T4.96T7.88T

Shinhan Financial Group Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price54.49
Price Trends
50DMA
54.51
Positive
100DMA
52.87
Positive
200DMA
48.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.45
Negative
RSI
58.98
Neutral
STOCH
73.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.98, below the 50-day MA of 54.51, and above the 200-day MA of 48.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SHG.

Shinhan Financial Group Co Risk Analysis

Shinhan Financial Group Co disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Shinhan Financial Group Co reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The implementation of IFRS 17 beginning on January 1, 2023 renders certain of our historical financial information as of December 31, 2021 and for the year ended December 31, 2021, included in this annual report, not directly comparable with our financial information as of December 31, 2022 and 2023 and for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2023 included in this annual report. Q4, 2023
2.
Evolving regulatory framework for artificial intelligence and machine learning technology, may have an adverse impact on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Q4, 2023
3.
Our business may be materially and adversely affected by legal claims and regulatory actions against us. Q4, 2023

Shinhan Financial Group Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$28.38B16.0018.12%4.82%8.72%27.70%
72
Outperform
$39.78B11.4311.78%2.48%5.89%34.68%
69
Neutral
$33.77B8.709.99%2.79%-4.64%24.98%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$27.53B8.638.58%2.86%-4.88%4.84%
64
Neutral
$25.91B24.679.34%4.98%1.13%-11.93%
62
Neutral
$15.14B6.959.61%3.71%-2.90%16.10%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHG
Shinhan Financial Group Co
58.33
23.85
69.17%
BBD
Banco Bradesco SA
4.05
2.05
102.50%
BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil
6.92
2.64
61.57%
BAP
Credicorp
356.83
183.61
106.00%
KB
Kb Financial Group
93.97
32.86
53.77%
WF
Woori Finance Holdings Co
62.08
30.13
94.30%

Shinhan Financial Group Co Corporate Events

Shinhan Financial Group Ends KRW 800 Billion Treasury Share Trust as Agreement Expires
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. announced the termination of a trust agreement originally entered into on July 31, 2025 for the acquisition of its own shares. The agreement, concluded with NH Investment & Securities and totaling KRW 800 billion before termination, expired in line with the original contract term, and therefore did not require a separate board resolution under Korean capital markets regulations. Upon termination, a total of 10,840,573 common treasury shares, representing 2.23% of Shinhan’s issued shares and acquired from profits available for dividend, are being held directly in the group’s corporate account, with trust property returned in the form of cash and treasury shares. This move consolidates ownership of the repurchased shares on Shinhan’s balance sheet and may provide the group with greater flexibility for future capital management or shareholder-return initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHG) stock is a Hold with a $62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shinhan Financial Group Co stock, see the SHG Stock Forecast page.

Shinhan Financial Group Sets February 5, 2026 FY2025 Earnings Release and Announces Trading Blackout
Jan 21, 2026

Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd., a leading South Korean financial services holding company active in banking, securities, insurance and asset management, serves both retail and corporate clients in Korea and increasingly targets international investors through multilingual disclosures.

On January 21, 2026, Shinhan Financial Group announced it will hold its FY2025 earnings release conference on February 5, 2026, at 14:00 Seoul time, via live internet streaming in both Korean and English with a Q&A session open to investors. The group also declared a blackout period for insider trading and related activities from January 22 to February 5, 2026, underscoring its adherence to disclosure and governance standards as it prepares to present detailed FY2025 business results and engage directly with stakeholders through the webcast and accompanying presentation materials posted on its website and YouTube channel.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHG) stock is a Buy with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shinhan Financial Group Co stock, see the SHG Stock Forecast page.

Shinhan Financial Group Reports Slight Stake Reduction by Largest Shareholder NPS
Jan 21, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Shinhan Financial Group disclosed that Korea’s National Pension Service (NPS), its largest shareholder, modestly reduced its stake based on the shareholder registry as of December 31, 2025. NPS’s holdings fell from 44,159,384 common shares (9.10% as of November 4, 2025) to 43,846,070 shares (9.03%), marking a slight decrease in ownership that leaves the pension fund still firmly in a major shareholder position and signals only a minor shift in Shinhan’s ownership structure rather than a fundamental change in control or governance dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHG) stock is a Buy with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shinhan Financial Group Co stock, see the SHG Stock Forecast page.

Shinhan Financial Group Names Samil PwC as External Auditor for 2026–2028
Dec 30, 2025

On December 30, 2025, Shinhan Financial Group announced a change in its external auditor, signaling an adjustment to its financial reporting and oversight arrangements. The group will replace Samjong KPMG, which served as its external auditor for fiscal years 2023 to 2025, with Samil PricewaterhouseCoopers for fiscal years 2026 through 2028, a move that may influence its audit approach and governance framework over the next three years.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHG) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shinhan Financial Group Co stock, see the SHG Stock Forecast page.

Shinhan Financial Group Sets Record Date for 2025 Shareholders’ Meeting
Dec 10, 2025

Shinhan Financial Group has announced that shareholders registered as of December 31, 2025, will be eligible to exercise their voting rights at the Annual General Meeting of Shareholders for the fiscal year 2025. This announcement is significant as it sets the record date for shareholders to participate in the decision-making process of the company, potentially impacting its governance and future strategic directions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHG) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shinhan Financial Group Co stock, see the SHG Stock Forecast page.

Shinhan Financial Group Updates Dividend Record Date Policy for FY2025
Dec 10, 2025

Shinhan Financial Group announced an amendment to its Articles of Incorporation, allowing the Board of Directors to set the record date for dividends, aligning with global standards. This change was approved at the Annual General Meeting on March 23, 2023. For fiscal year 2025, the year-end dividend record date will be set after mid-February 2026, impacting shareholders’ eligibility for dividends. This strategic move may enhance operational flexibility and align shareholder interests with global practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHG) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shinhan Financial Group Co stock, see the SHG Stock Forecast page.

Shinhan Financial Group’s Strategic Acquisition of Athora Stake
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Shinhan Life Insurance, a subsidiary of Shinhan Financial Group, resolved to acquire approximately a 1% equity stake in Athora Holding Ltd. The acquisition, valued at EUR 115 million, will be executed through a cash transaction and is intended for investment purposes. This strategic move is expected to strengthen Shinhan’s investment portfolio and enhance its positioning in the financial services industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHG) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shinhan Financial Group Co stock, see the SHG Stock Forecast page.

Shinhan Financial Group Announces Issuance of Contingent Capital Securities
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Shinhan Financial Group’s board of directors decided to issue bail-in contingent capital securities to meet Basel III capital requirements. This issuance involves domestic, unregistered, unsecured, and uncollateralized hybrid securities worth KRW 270 billion, with a potential increase to KRW 400 billion based on demand. The securities are perpetual with call options available after five years. This move is aimed at bolstering the company’s capital structure and ensuring financial resilience, impacting its operational stability and positioning in the financial industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHG) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shinhan Financial Group Co stock, see the SHG Stock Forecast page.

Shinhan Financial Group Reports Stable Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Shinhan Financial Group filed its third-quarter 2025 Business Report, highlighting a consolidated net profit of KRW 4,547 billion, slightly down from the previous year. The report indicates a decrease in net insurance income and a lower cash dividend payout ratio compared to 2024. Despite these challenges, the group’s net operating income remained stable, reflecting its resilience in the financial market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHG) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shinhan Financial Group Co stock, see the SHG Stock Forecast page.

Shinhan Financial Group Reports Change in Largest Shareholder’s Stake
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. announced a decrease in the number of common shares owned by its largest shareholder, Korea’s National Pension Service (NPS). The NPS’s holdings reduced from 44,311,470 shares, representing 9.13% as of September 30, 2025, to 44,159,384 shares, representing 9.10% as of November 4, 2025. This change reflects a minor adjustment in the shareholder registry, which may have implications for the company’s shareholder dynamics and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHG) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shinhan Financial Group Co stock, see the SHG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026