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Regions Financial Corp. (RF)
NYSE:RF

Regions Financial (RF) AI Stock Analysis

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RF

Regions Financial

(NYSE:RF)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$34.00
â–²(14.32% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitability and prudent leverage) and supportive technical strength (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation is also favorable with a moderate P/E and solid dividend yield, while earnings call guidance was constructive but includes manageable near-term expense and credit-related headwinds.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability and margins
Consistently healthy revenue growth and high operating margins indicate durable core profitability. Sustained margins provide capacity to absorb credit cycles and fund strategic investments, supporting long-term earnings stability and shareholder returns across 2–6 months and beyond.
Conservative capital and balance-sheet strength
A conservative leverage profile and healthy CET1 support resilience to stress and capacity for measured loan growth and buybacks. Strong capital and liquidity underpin regulatory flexibility and durable ability to finance operations and returns over the medium term.
Diversified, recurring fee businesses
Growing fee businesses (wealth, treasury, capital markets) reduce reliance on interest spreads and smooth revenue volatility. Diversification into high-margin, recurring services supports longer-term revenue resilience and helps offset cyclical loan and NII pressures.
Negative Factors
Elevated net charge-offs
Higher trailing charge-offs signal lingering credit stress that can persist into future quarters. Even if expected to improve, elevated losses erode earnings power and require higher provisioning, constraining capital deployment and margin recovery over the medium term.
Higher near-term tech spend
Sustained elevated tech investment raises operating expense near term, pressuring reported efficiency ratios and free cash flow. While modernization should yield long-term benefits, the temporary step-up limits distributable cash and compresses operating leverage for several quarters.
Deposit repricing and CD maturities
Large near-term CD rolloffs and deposit mix shifts force active pricing management and raise interest-bearing deposit beta risk. Higher funding costs or faster beta transmission would squeeze NIM and margin stability until deposit rebalancing completes over coming quarters.

Regions Financial (RF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Regions Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRegions Financial Corporation, a financial holding company, provides banking and bank-related services to individual and corporate customers. It operates through three segments: Corporate Bank, Consumer Bank, and Wealth Management. The Corporate Bank segment offers commercial banking services, such as commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, and investor real estate lending; equipment lease financing; deposit products; and securities underwriting and placement, loan syndication and placement, foreign exchange, derivatives, merger and acquisition, and other advisory services. It serves corporate, middle market, and commercial real estate developers and investors. The Consumer Bank segment provides consumer banking products and services related to residential first mortgages, home equity lines and loans, consumer credit cards, and other consumer loans, as well as deposits. The Wealth Management segment offers credit related products, and retirement and savings solutions; and trust and investment management, asset management, and estate planning services to individuals, businesses, governmental institutions, and non-profit entities. The company also provides investment and insurance products; low-income housing tax credit corporate fund syndication services; and other specialty financing services. As of March 01, 2022, it operated through a network of 1,300 banking offices and 2,000 automated teller machines across the South, Midwest, and Texas. Regions Financial Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.
How the Company Makes MoneyRegions Financial generates revenue through various streams primarily focused on net interest income and non-interest income. Net interest income is derived from the interest earned on loans and investments minus the interest paid on deposits and borrowings. Key revenue streams include interest from commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans. Additionally, Regions earns non-interest income from service charges on deposit accounts, fees from investment management services, and other financial services such as wealth management. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with businesses and technology firms that enhance its service offerings and customer base, contributing to its overall earnings.

Regions Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 16, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call portrayed a largely positive picture: strong full-year earnings, industry-leading returns on tangible common equity, record fee income in several businesses, progress on core modernization, and disciplined capital allocation including $2.0 billion returned to shareholders. Management acknowledged loan growth headwinds in 2025 driven by strategic runoff and capital markets refinancings, modest nonrecurring charges in Q4, elevated near-term tech spend for modernization, and some seasonal/quarterly weakness in capital markets and noninterest income. Credit metrics are improving (NPLs down, criticized loans down), though trailing charge-offs remain elevated. Guidance for 2026 shows cautious optimism with loan and deposit growth expected in the low single digits, NII growth guidance of 2.5%–4%, and continued positive operating leverage. Overall, the positives — solid earnings, strong returns, improving credit, and strategic investments that support long-term competitiveness — outweigh the contained near-term challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year and Quarterly Earnings
Reported FY2025 net earnings of $2.1 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.33; Q4 2025 earnings of $514 million with GAAP EPS $0.58 and adjusted EPS $0.57.
Industry-Leading Returns
Generated one of the highest returns on tangible common equity in the industry at just over 18% for the full year.
Solid Fee Income and Business Momentum
Adjusted noninterest income grew 5% in 2025; wealth management delivered record full-year revenue and four consecutive quarters of growth; Treasury Management hit a second consecutive record; capital markets posted its second-best year ever.
Improved Balance Sheet and Margin Dynamics
Net interest income grew 2% quarter-on-quarter; net interest margin rebounded to 3.7% (up 11 bps, inclusive of some nonrecurring items); interest-bearing deposit costs declined 16 bps in Q4 and management expects a mid-30% deposit beta over time.
Returning Capital to Shareholders
Returned $2.0 billion to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and buybacks; executed $430 million in share repurchases and paid $231 million in common dividends in Q4.
Capital and Liquidity Strength
Estimated CET1 ratio of 10.8% at quarter-end (9.6% inclusive of AOCI); management expects to manage CET1 inclusive of AOCI around current levels to support growth and shareholder returns.
Operational Progress and Digital Experience
Significant progress on core modernization (user testing underway; pilot expected in Q3 2026, conversion early 2027); launched new native mobile app rated 4.9/5 in the App Store; ongoing investments in authentication, data governance and AI capabilities.
Expense Discipline and Operating Leverage
Managed expenses prudently in 2025, delivering 140 basis points of adjusted positive operating leverage; adjusted noninterest expense up only 2% for the year with guidance for 2026 expense growth of 1.5%–3.5% and continued positive operating leverage.
Credit Resolution and Improving Asset Quality
Business services criticized loans and total nonperforming loans decreased 9% and 8% respectively; NPL ratio improved to 73 bps (down 6 bps); allowance for credit losses declined $27 million to 1.76% of loans while allowance as a % of NPLs increased to 242%; management expects net charge-offs of 40–50 bps for 2026.
Growth in Priority Markets and Talent Investment
Investments in priority markets drove over 40% of new corporate client growth in 2025; added ~50 of targeted ~120 commercial bankers as part of a two-year hiring plan to support growth initiatives.
Negative Updates
Loan Growth Headwinds in 2025
Loan growth was constrained in 2025 due to strategic runoff of over $2 billion (primarily leveraged lending and portfolio exits) and corporate customers refinancing into capital markets; management guided to average loans up low single digits in 2026.
Q4 Nonrecurring Charges and Tax Items
Recorded $26 million of incremental tax expense from state tax reserve adjustments and $14 million of incremental severance/pension/escrow expenses, which collectively reduced Q4 EPS by $0.04.
Quarterly Decline in Noninterest Income
Adjusted noninterest income declined 6% versus Q3 2025 due to postponed M&A, seasonal weakness in loan syndication and underwriting, and temporary impacts from a government shutdown affecting real estate capital markets and swap activity.
Elevated Charge-Offs (Trailing Indicator)
Annualized net charge-offs rose 4 basis points to 59 bps in the quarter (though management expects improvements toward a 40–50 bps range in 2026).
Higher Near-Term Technology Spend
Technology and software expense will run higher as core modernization continues; tech spend guidance increased to 10%–12% of revenue (from historical 9%–11%), creating near-term pressure on expense levels even as efficiencies are expected over time.
Capital Markets Seasonal/Timing Risk
Capital markets revenue weak in Q4 with guidance implying a slower start to 2026 (expected quarterly revenue $90M–$105M, nearer the lower end early in the year) as M&A and syndication activity reaccelerates.
Deposit Mix Shifts and CD Maturities
Customer behavior shifted from CDs into money market accounts; although ending deposits rose ~$800 million and average deposits were roughly flat, there are sizable CD maturities (another $3.5B in Q1 and $5B in Q2) that require management of pricing and beta exposure.
Practical Constraints on M&A During Modernization
Core systems modernization (conversion scheduled across 2026–2027) practically limits the bank's ability to pursue whole-bank M&A while the program is in flight, reducing optionality in the near term.
Industry-Specific Credit Pressure Remains
Certain industry exposures remain challenged—trucking and transportation improving but still stressed; forest products and some building materials/construction-related industries remain under pressure, creating pockets of risk.
Company Guidance
Regions provided detailed 2026 guidance built on strong 2025 results (FY25 adjusted earnings $2.1B, adjusted EPS $2.33, Q4 earnings $514M, Q4 EPS $0.58/$0.57 adjusted, return on tangible common just over 18%); they expect 2026 average loans and average deposits to be up low single digits, net interest income growth of 2.5%–4.0% with a starting NIM in the mid‑360s (Q1 NIM ~3.7% and full‑year trending to the low–mid‑370s), net charge‑offs of 40–50 bps, adjusted noninterest income growth of 3%–5% (Capital Markets quarterly revenue $90M–$105M), adjusted noninterest expense up 1.5%–3.5% with full‑year adjusted positive operating leverage and technology spend expected to run 10%–12% of revenue, an allowance for credit losses of $1.76B (AL ratio 1.76%, allowance/NPLs 242%) that could normalize toward ~$1.64B, an estimated CET1 of 10.8% (9.6% inclusive of AOCI; target range ~9.25%–9.75% inclusive), an expected effective tax rate returning to 20.5%–21.5%, confidence in a mid‑30s interest‑bearing deposit beta after Q4’s 16 bp decline in deposit costs (36% linked‑quarter beta; 33% cycle beta), $3.5B of forward‑starting receive‑fixed swaps added, and continued capital returns (2025 returns $2B, Q4 buybacks $430M and dividends $231M).

Regions Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong income statement (revenue up 6.58% TTM; solid net margin 21.96% and EBIT/EBITDA margins 27.55%/28.76%) and a conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity 0.32; ROE 12.03%). Cash flow is a modest drag due to a 14.73% TTM decline in free cash flow growth despite strong cash conversion (FCF to net income 98.54%).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Regions Financial has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 6.58% increase in TTM, supported by solid gross and net profit margins of 69.45% and 21.96%, respectively. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 27.55% and 28.76%, indicating efficient operational management. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin over the years suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32, reflecting prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is strong at 12.03%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 11.91%, suggesting a stable capital structure, though there is room for improvement in asset utilization.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, with a coverage ratio of 2.06, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate has declined by 14.73% in the TTM, which could signal potential cash flow management challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains high at 98.54%, showing efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.59B9.37B9.15B7.48B6.60B6.64B
Gross Profit6.95B6.60B7.02B6.89B6.96B4.95B
EBITDA2.77B2.50B2.84B3.23B3.59B1.74B
Net Income2.16B1.89B2.07B2.25B2.52B1.09B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets159.94B157.30B152.19B155.22B162.94B147.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.10B34.16B34.91B39.16B57.89B45.11B
Total Debt6.08B6.49B2.33B2.28B2.41B3.57B
Total Liabilities140.84B139.39B134.70B139.27B144.61B129.28B
Stockholders Equity19.05B17.88B17.43B15.95B18.33B18.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.24B1.45B2.15B2.81B2.96B2.27B
Operating Cash Flow2.28B1.60B2.31B3.10B3.03B2.32B
Investing Cash Flow-1.14B-262.00M-1.61B-12.94B-2.87B-4.85B
Financing Cash Flow436.00M2.58B-5.13B-8.35B11.29B16.37B

Regions Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.74
Price Trends
50DMA
28.30
Positive
100DMA
26.51
Positive
200DMA
25.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.66
Positive
RSI
56.84
Neutral
STOCH
30.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.26, above the 50-day MA of 28.30, and above the 200-day MA of 25.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RF.

Regions Financial Risk Analysis

Regions Financial disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Regions Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Regions Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$26.08B12.9311.68%3.74%4.00%28.54%
75
Outperform
$23.56B14.289.48%3.90%3.86%5473.29%
74
Outperform
$34.94B14.9612.20%3.14%0.15%11.62%
69
Neutral
$24.01B12.149.92%0.37%-3.18%-3.10%
69
Neutral
$35.16B12.4510.03%3.50%5.73%38.39%
69
Neutral
$27.67B16.857.24%2.89%-3.93%40.62%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RF
Regions Financial
29.78
6.28
26.73%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
53.06
9.91
22.96%
FCNCA
First Citizens BancShares
1,990.69
-157.26
-7.32%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
17.47
1.27
7.83%
KEY
KeyCorp
21.69
4.49
26.10%
CFG
Citizens Financial
64.39
18.67
40.84%

Regions Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Regions Financial Expands Stockholder Rights With Bylaw Changes
Positive
Feb 4, 2026

On February 4, 2026, Regions Financial Corporation’s board of directors approved amendments to the company’s Amended and Restated By-Laws that expand stockholder rights and update governance provisions. The revisions allow one or more stockholders owning at least 25% of the company’s stock to request a special meeting, subject to specific informational and timing requirements, adjust advance notice rules for director nominations and other business at annual and special meetings, refine which executives qualify as officers for indemnification and advancement purposes, and update various provisions to align with changes in Delaware law, signaling a continued focus on shareholder engagement and governance clarity.

The most recent analyst rating on (RF) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regions Financial stock, see the RF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Regions Financial Reports Strong Fourth-Quarter and 2025 Results
Positive
Jan 16, 2026

On January 16, 2026, Regions Financial reported that fourth-quarter 2025 earnings reached $514 million, or $0.58 per diluted share, while full-year 2025 earnings totaled $2.1 billion, or $2.30 per diluted share, with adjusted earnings up 7 percent year-over-year and adjusted EPS rising 9 percent. The bank cited $1.9 billion in total revenue for 2025, a 6 percent annual increase, and highlighted record annual income in its wealth management and treasury management businesses, supported by peer-leading low interest-bearing deposit costs, robust capital levels, improved credit quality metrics, and a top-quartile net interest margin, factors that underpin its strong profitability metrics and reinforce its competitive positioning against regional banking peers.

The most recent analyst rating on (RF) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regions Financial stock, see the RF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Regions Financial Announces CFO Retirement and Succession Plan
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Regions Financial announced that longtime Chief Financial Officer David J. Turner Jr. will retire effective March 31, 2026, after a nearly 40-year career in finance and auditing, including two decades at the bank, and that veteran executive Anil D. Chadha, currently Controller and head of Corporate Finance, will assume the CFO role upon Turner’s retirement. Turner, who has served as CFO since 2010, was credited with steering Regions through a turbulent period for the banking sector, strengthening its capital and risk profile, and helping deliver strong shareholder returns, including net income of more than $1.7 billion in 2024 and a stock price gain of about 320% since 2010, while Chadha’s appointment reflects an internally cultivated succession plan aimed at preserving strategic continuity in finance, risk management and capital allocation as the company seeks to maintain its peer-leading profitability and balance sheet strength; both executives are expected to work together through March to ensure a smooth transition, and no special arrangements or related-party relationships were disclosed regarding Chadha’s promotion, with compensation changes to be detailed once approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (RF) stock is a Sell with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regions Financial stock, see the RF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Regions Financial Highlights Strategic Priorities to Investors
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

In November and December 2025, Regions Financial executives plan to present the company’s operations and performance to institutional investors. The presentations will highlight Regions’ strategic priorities, including its robust capital management, effective risk management, and strong shareholder returns. The company’s proactive interest rate hedging and capital resiliency position it well for various economic conditions, while its consistent profitability and growth metrics support a higher valuation.

The most recent analyst rating on (RF) stock is a Sell with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regions Financial stock, see the RF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026