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U.S. Bancorp (USB)
NYSE:USB

US Bancorp (USB) AI Stock Analysis

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USB

US Bancorp

(NYSE:USB)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$58.00
▲(5.47% Upside)
US Bancorp's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, supported by positive earnings call insights and corporate events. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, and revenue growth concerns remain.
Positive Factors
Earnings Per Share Growth
The significant EPS growth indicates strong profitability and effective cost management, enhancing shareholder value and supporting long-term financial stability.
Fee Revenue Growth
Robust fee revenue growth reflects USB's successful diversification strategy, reducing reliance on interest income and enhancing resilience against interest rate fluctuations.
Impact Finance Growth
Sustained growth in Impact Finance underscores USB's strategic focus on sustainable finance, aligning with industry trends and enhancing long-term revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth suggests potential challenges in market expansion or product demand, which could impact future profitability and market position.
High Leverage
High leverage can constrain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially affecting USB's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.
Commercial Non-Performing Loans Increase
Rising non-performing loans in the commercial segment can lead to higher credit costs and impact profitability, posing a risk to financial stability.

US Bancorp (USB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

US Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionU.S. Bancorp, a financial services holding company, provides various financial services to individuals, businesses, institutional organizations, governmental entities and other financial institutions in the United States. It operates in Corporate and Commercial Banking, Consumer and Business Banking, Wealth Management and Investment Services, Payment Services, and Treasury and Corporate Support segments. The company offers depository services, including checking accounts, savings accounts, and time certificate contracts; lending services, such as traditional credit products; and credit card services, lease financing and import/export trade, asset-backed lending, agricultural finance, and other products. It also provides ancillary services comprising capital markets, treasury management, and receivable lock-box collection services to corporate and governmental entity customers; and a range of asset management and fiduciary services for individuals, estates, foundations, business corporations, and charitable organizations. In addition, the company offers investment and insurance products to its customers principally within its markets, as well as fund administration services to a range of mutual and other funds. Further, it provides corporate and purchasing card, and corporate trust services; and merchant processing services, as well as investment management, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, and brokerage and leasing services. As of December 31, 2021, the company provided its products and services through a network of 2,230 banking offices principally operating in the Midwest and West regions of the United States, as well as through on-line services, over mobile devices, and other distribution channels; and operated a network of 4,059 ATMs. The company was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyUS Bancorp generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from net interest income and non-interest income. Net interest income is derived from the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits. The bank offers a variety of loan products, including commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans, which contribute significantly to its interest income. Non-interest income comes from fees associated with services such as payment processing, wealth management, investment banking, and card services. Additionally, USB benefits from fees generated through asset management and trust services. Strategic partnerships, particularly in payment processing and technology solutions, enhance its revenue potential. Macroeconomic factors, interest rate fluctuations, and loan demand also significantly influence the bank's earnings.

US Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 17, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in revenue, EPS growth, and credit quality, supported by successful strategic initiatives and strong financial performance. Despite some challenges in specific segments such as corporate payments and an increase in commercial non-performing loans, the overall outlook remains positive with strong momentum in fee revenue and deposit growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Revenue
Achieved a record net revenue of $7.3 billion for the quarter, reflecting strong momentum across fee businesses and improved spread income.
Earnings Per Share Growth
Reported earnings per share of $1.22, marking an increase of 18.4% year over year.
Positive Operating Leverage
Generated 530 basis points of positive operating leverage and improved efficiency ratio to 57.2%.
Improved Credit Quality
Saw improvements in credit quality metrics, including a decrease in non-performing assets and net charge-offs.
Fee Revenue Growth
Fee revenue grew 9.5% year over year, driven by broad-based strength across payments, institutional, and consumer businesses.
Impact Finance Growth
Impact Finance business grew at a 17% CAGR from 2021 to 2024, with expectations for continued robust growth.
Consumer Deposit Growth
Consumer deposits now represent over 52% of total average deposits, up nearly two points from 2023.
Negative Updates
Corporate Payments Challenges
Corporate payment services faced headwinds, with negative year-over-year trends in government spend and corporate travel and entertainment.
Commercial NPL Increase
Commercial non-performing loans increased by 30% linked quarter, influenced by exposure to First Brands.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, U.S. Bancorp reported impressive financial metrics, including a record net revenue of $7.3 billion and an 18.4% year-over-year increase in earnings per share to $1.22. The company achieved a substantial 530 basis points of positive operating leverage, a return on average assets of 1.17%, and a net interest margin of 2.75%. U.S. Bancorp's fee revenue grew by 9.5% year-over-year, with strong contributions from payments, institutional, and consumer businesses. Their Impact Finance business, enhanced by the Union Bank acquisition, showed a 17% CAGR from 2021 to 2024, supporting fee income and providing a net tax benefit. The company maintained a robust balance sheet with total average deposits at $512 billion and an improved efficiency ratio of 57.2%. Looking ahead, they anticipate stable net interest income and a continued focus on organic growth through strategic investments and diversified fee income sources.

US Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
US Bancorp exhibits strong profitability and cash flow generation, with healthy margins and effective equity utilization. However, concerns exist regarding declining revenue growth and relatively high leverage.
Income Statement
75
Positive
US Bancorp's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 62.91% and a net profit margin of 17.38% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating solid profitability. However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 2.31% in the TTM, which is a concern. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 21.99% and 23.91%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.23, which is relatively high, indicating significant leverage. However, the return on equity (ROE) is strong at 11.81%, showing effective use of equity. The equity ratio stands at 9.11%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis highlights a robust free cash flow growth rate of 53.74% in the TTM, demonstrating strong cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 1.38%, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is excellent at 1.0, indicating efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.55B42.71B40.62B27.40B23.71B25.24B
Gross Profit26.01B25.10B25.74B22.21B23.89B19.42B
EBITDA9.98B8.85B7.88B7.86B10.66B6.58B
Net Income7.19B6.30B5.43B5.83B7.96B4.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets695.36B678.32B663.49B674.80B573.28B553.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments66.64B142.87B130.56B125.59B161.31B199.02B
Total Debt77.98B73.52B66.76B71.05B43.92B53.06B
Total Liabilities631.56B619.28B607.72B623.57B517.90B500.18B
Stockholders Equity63.34B58.58B55.31B50.77B54.92B53.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.90B11.27B8.45B21.12B9.87B3.72B
Operating Cash Flow9.90B11.27B8.45B21.12B9.87B3.72B
Investing Cash Flow-16.56B-24.53B18.93B7.50B-57.49B-15.44B
Financing Cash Flow-262.00M8.57B-19.72B-3.98B13.94B51.90B

US Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price54.99
Price Trends
50DMA
49.35
Positive
100DMA
48.38
Positive
200DMA
45.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.68
Negative
RSI
78.59
Negative
STOCH
83.02
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.67, above the 50-day MA of 49.35, and above the 200-day MA of 45.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.59 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for USB.

US Bancorp Risk Analysis

US Bancorp disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. US Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

US Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$24.37B12.2311.43%3.74%4.00%28.54%
76
Outperform
$85.48B12.5911.69%3.77%2.91%33.77%
76
Outperform
$31.86B12.779.60%2.76%-0.81%20.34%
71
Outperform
$32.00B14.4811.52%3.14%0.15%11.62%
71
Outperform
$83.88B13.8011.31%3.11%1.79%30.93%
70
Outperform
$64.74B13.577.98%4.12%22.02%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
USB
US Bancorp
54.99
8.82
19.10%
TFC
Truist Financial
50.61
9.28
22.45%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
48.41
7.20
17.47%
MTB
M&T Bank
207.28
24.27
13.26%
PNC
PNC Financial
213.89
28.23
15.21%
RF
Regions Financial
27.79
5.11
22.53%

US Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
U.S. Bancorp Executives to Present at Boston Conference
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 7, 2025, key executives from U.S. Bancorp, including John Stern, Mark Runkel, and Courtney Kelso, are scheduled to present at the BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference. The presentation will cover U.S. Bancorp’s strategic priorities and financial performance, highlighting its focus on payments transformation and organic growth. The company aims to deepen relationships and expand its reach, leveraging its strong financial foundation to achieve positive operating leverage and meet its financial targets.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
US Bancorp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

U.S. Bancorp reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with record net revenue of $7.3 billion and a 16.7% increase in net income year-over-year. The company achieved a return on tangible common equity of 18.6% and improved its CET1 capital ratio to 10.9%. Additionally, U.S. Bancorp has been selected to provide custody services for Anchorage Digital Bank’s stablecoin reserves, highlighting its growing involvement in digital finance. Moody’s has revised the company’s outlook from negative to stable, reflecting confidence in its financial strategy and performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025