tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
US Bancorp (USB)
NYSE:USB

US Bancorp (USB) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
3,498 Followers

Top Page

US

US Bancorp

(NYSE:USB)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$49.00
▲(7.41%Upside)
US Bancorp's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance, attractive valuation, and positively reviewed earnings call. The main strengths are its profitability metrics, reasonable valuation, and a solid dividend yield. Technical indicators and revenue growth challenges slightly moderate the score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
USB shares outperformed expectations with stronger fee income and lower credit costs, leading to revised earnings estimates and a higher price objective.
Operational Efficiency
Operating leverage outpaced guidance, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Negative Factors
Investor Sentiment
Stock valuation reflects investor skepticism, indicating concerns about the company's future performance.
Market Competition
USB has a tough task to grow more fees with wholesale clients when every other large bank looks to do the same and its capital markets remain undersized compared to larger peers.

US Bancorp (USB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

US Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionU.S. Bancorp (USB) is a diversified financial services holding company headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota. It operates through its principal subsidiary, U.S. Bank National Association, and offers a wide range of financial products and services in the sectors of consumer and business banking, corporate and commercial banking, wealth management, and payment services. The company serves individuals, businesses, nonprofit organizations, government entities, and financial institutions primarily in the United States.
How the Company Makes MoneyU.S. Bancorp generates revenue through several key streams, including interest income from loans and leases, fees from payment services, and wealth management and investment services. Interest income is primarily derived from consumer, commercial, and real estate loans, as well as credit card operations. The bank also earns significant revenue from non-interest income sources such as transaction fees from merchant processing, card issuing, and ATM services. Wealth management fees, including those from investment advisory and asset management services, contribute to its earnings. Moreover, U.S. Bancorp benefits from strategic partnerships and a diversified customer base, enhancing its profitability and financial stability.

US Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 16, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 18.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with notable achievements in operating leverage, credit quality, and diversified fee income. However, challenges remain in net interest income growth, loan growth, and consumer spending sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share and Return on Tangible Common Equity
U.S. Bancorp reported earnings per share of $1.03 and a return on tangible common equity of 17.5% for the first quarter of 2025.
Positive Operating Leverage
The company achieved year-over-year positive operating leverage of 270 basis points on an adjusted basis, marking the third consecutive quarter of revenues outpacing expenses.
Strong Credit Quality and Capital Levels
Net charge-off ratio improved modestly, with a CET1 capital ratio increase of 20 basis points to 10.8%, and a tangible book value per share up 13.8% year-over-year.
Diversified Fee Income
Fee income represents 41% of total net revenue, supported by strong performance in trust and investment management, and capital markets fee businesses.
Negative Updates
Flat to Declining Net Interest Income
Net interest income on a fully taxable equivalent basis totaled $4.12 billion, relatively stable compared to the previous quarter, with some impact from lower short-end rates.
Modest Growth in Average Loans
Average loans increased by a modest 0.9% on a linked quarter basis, indicating challenges in achieving higher growth rates.
Consumer Spending Concerns
There was a modest pullback in consumer spending early in the year due to weather-related factors, with ongoing concerns about consumer sentiment.
Company Guidance
During the U.S. Bancorp First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and forward-looking guidance. For the first quarter, U.S. Bancorp reported earnings per share of $1.03 and a return on tangible common equity of 17.5%. The firm achieved a year-over-year positive operating leverage of 270 basis points on an adjusted basis, attributed to disciplined expense management and modest margin expansion. U.S. Bancorp's net charge-off ratio improved slightly, and its CET1 capital ratio increased by 20 basis points to 10.8%. The bank's total net revenue growth for the full year 2025 is projected to be between 3% and 5%, with positive operating leverage expected to exceed 200 basis points. The second quarter net interest income is anticipated to range from $4.1 billion to $4.2 billion, with non-interest income projected to be stable. The management emphasized a continued focus on tightly managing expenses, driving organic growth, and transforming the payments business to achieve these targets.

US Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
US Bancorp overall demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and cash flow metrics, balanced by moderate leverage. While the revenue growth has been stagnant, the company maintains efficient operations and effective equity utilization. Strengthening revenue growth and increasing equity could further enhance its financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
US Bancorp's income statement demonstrates stable performance with a gross profit margin of 59.5% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The net profit margin improved to 15.7% TTM, indicating robust profitability. However, the revenue growth rate was slightly negative at -0.3% compared to the previous year, suggesting a need for growth initiatives. EBIT and EBITDA margins were healthy at 19.7% and 21.9% respectively, showcasing solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.28, which is typical for the banking sector. The equity ratio stood at 8.9%, indicating a stable capital position. Return on equity for TTM was strong at 11.1%, highlighting effective use of equity. Nonetheless, a higher equity buffer could enhance financial resilience.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
US Bancorp's cash flow statement shows a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.25 TTM, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio was also healthy at 1.25. Although free cash flow decreased compared to the previous year, it remains positive, supporting financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.60B42.71B40.62B27.40B23.71B25.24B
Gross Profit25.36B25.10B25.74B22.21B23.89B19.42B
EBITDA9.31B8.85B7.88B7.86B10.66B6.58B
Net Income6.69B6.30B5.43B5.83B7.96B4.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets676.49B678.32B663.49B674.80B573.28B553.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments136.36B142.87B130.56B125.59B161.31B199.02B
Total Debt77.02B73.52B66.76B71.05B43.92B53.06B
Total Liabilities615.93B619.28B607.72B623.57B517.90B500.18B
Stockholders Equity60.10B58.58B55.31B50.77B54.92B53.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.33B11.27B8.45B21.12B9.87B3.72B
Operating Cash Flow8.33B11.27B8.45B21.12B9.87B3.72B
Investing Cash Flow-22.13B-24.53B18.93B7.50B-57.49B-15.44B
Financing Cash Flow-13.17B8.57B-19.72B-3.98B13.94B51.90B

US Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price45.62
Price Trends
50DMA
42.59
Positive
100DMA
42.92
Positive
200DMA
45.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Negative
RSI
64.28
Neutral
STOCH
90.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 45.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.03, above the 50-day MA of 42.59, and above the 200-day MA of 45.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for USB.

US Bancorp Risk Analysis

US Bancorp disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. US Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

US Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PNPNC
81
Outperform
$72.19B12.8911.15%3.51%3.07%19.01%
80
Outperform
$27.15B12.9211.71%3.64%5.75%0.68%
MTMTB
77
Outperform
$30.70B12.749.39%2.82%1.20%1.12%
RFRF
75
Outperform
$20.58B11.0411.33%4.37%1.05%12.14%
USUSB
73
Outperform
$69.83B11.0311.50%4.46%2.19%34.00%
67
Neutral
$16.51B11.239.71%3.96%11.61%-10.70%
TFTFC
63
Neutral
$54.21B12.200.10%5.02%-27.31%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
USB
US Bancorp
45.62
7.72
20.37%
TFC
Truist Financial
42.54
6.48
17.97%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
41.45
6.89
19.94%
MTB
M&T Bank
193.49
49.99
34.84%
PNC
PNC Financial
185.51
39.02
26.64%
RF
Regions Financial
23.35
4.95
26.90%

US Bancorp Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
U.S. Bancorp Appoints Gunjan Kedia as New CEO
Neutral
Apr 16, 2025

U.S. Bancorp announced significant leadership changes effective April 15, 2025, with Gunjan Kedia appointed as the new President and CEO. Her compensation package includes an increased base salary and a substantial long-term incentive award, reflecting her transition to the CEO role and market pay levels. Andrew Cecere, the former CEO, will continue as Executive Chairman with a defined compensation package and an amendment to his retirement plan, which freezes his supplemental benefits as of April 15, 2025.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
U.S. Bancorp Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

U.S. Bancorp reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with a net income of $1,709 million and diluted earnings per share of $1.03. The company achieved a return on tangible common equity of 17.5% and a net revenue increase of 3.6% year-over-year. The bank’s capital levels and asset quality remain robust, with a CET1 capital ratio of 10.8%. Additionally, U.S. Bancorp has expanded its collaboration with State Farm, allowing State Farm customers to apply for personal loans through U.S. Bank, and introduced a new Spend Management platform for business owners to manage card-based spending.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025