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US Bancorp (USB)
NYSE:USB
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US Bancorp (USB) AI Stock Analysis

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USB

US Bancorp

(NYSE:USB)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$61.00
â–²(7.15% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
Overall score reflects solid and improving financial performance (better profitability and stable revenue, but leverage and cash-flow volatility temper strength), supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend). Technicals are mixed with neutral momentum and some short-term softness, while the latest earnings call was generally positive with credible growth/operating leverage guidance but notable NIM and regulatory/capital uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Fee diversification & payments momentum
Sustained fee growth across capital markets, trust and payments signals durable revenue diversification that reduces reliance on interest margins. Recurring fee streams and payments scale support stable noninterest income and help smooth earnings through rate cycles and loan-margin variability.
Negative Factors
Regulatory/capital uncertainty (Category II proximity)
Proximity to Category II thresholds and continued AOCI-related capital drag constrain capital distribution flexibility and strategic optionality. Regulatory timing and potential new requirements can delay buybacks/dividends or force retained earnings, affecting long-term capital planning and M&A pacing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Fee diversification & payments momentum
Sustained fee growth across capital markets, trust and payments signals durable revenue diversification that reduces reliance on interest margins. Recurring fee streams and payments scale support stable noninterest income and help smooth earnings through rate cycles and loan-margin variability.
Read all positive factors

US Bancorp (USB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

US Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
U.S. Bancorp, a financial services holding company, provides various financial services to individuals, businesses, institutional organizations, governmental entities and other financial institutions in the United States. It operates in Corporate ...
How the Company Makes Money
U.S. Bancorp generates revenue primarily through a mix of net interest income and noninterest income. Net interest income is earned by taking in customer deposits and other funding sources and deploying those funds into interest-earning assets suc...

US Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 16, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed solid operational momentum: double-digit EPS growth, mid-single-digit net revenue growth, robust fee income (notably capital markets), sustained positive operating leverage and strong credit metrics. Management highlighted strategic growth drivers (BTIG, Amazon, NFL partnerships), record consumer deposits and improving returns metrics while providing constructive guidance. Key headwinds include flat NIM this quarter, deposit-market competitiveness, near-term expense ramp for investments, regulatory/capital timing uncertainty tied to Category II/AOCI and execution/timing risks on strategic deals. Overall, the positives—revenue diversification, cost discipline, credit stability and visible growth initiatives—outweigh the manageable near-term and timing risks.
Positive Updates
Earnings and Revenue Growth
Diluted EPS of $1.18, up ~15% year-over-year; total net revenue $7.3B, up 4.7% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Net Interest Margin and Margin Headwinds
Net interest margin flat sequentially at 2.77%; NIM pressured by elevated mortgage prepayments, somewhat tighter credit spreads and some new loans at tighter spreads. NII growth modest at 4.1% YoY despite loan growth, and margin remains sensitive to interest-rate path uncertainty.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Earnings and Revenue Growth
Diluted EPS of $1.18, up ~15% year-over-year; total net revenue $7.3B, up 4.7% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
U.S. Bancorp gave Q2 and full‑year 2026 guidance: for Q2 2026 it expects net interest income (fully taxable‑equivalent) to grow 6–7% year‑over‑year, total fee revenue to grow 6–7% y/y, and total noninterest expense to grow 3–4% y/y; for full‑year 2026 it reiterated prior guidance for total net revenue growth of 4–6% y/y and at least 200 basis points of positive operating leverage, noting the guidance excludes the pending BTIG acquisition (expected to contribute roughly $200 million of fee revenue per quarter upon an anticipated back‑half‑Q2 close) and does fully contemplate the Amazon small‑business card and NFL partnerships (Q1 results that beat prior guidance included EPS $1.18 and $7.3 billion of net revenue).

US Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid but not best-in-class: profitability improved into TTM with net margin ~18% and ROE ~12.2%, and revenue is broadly stable. Offsetting this are moderate-to-elevated leverage (debt ~1.20x equity) and choppy operating cash flow/low coverage, which reduce balance-sheet and cash-flow consistency.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.34B42.86B42.71B40.62B27.40B23.71B
Gross Profit27.22B26.93B25.10B25.74B22.21B23.89B
EBITDA10.34B10.29B8.85B7.88B7.86B10.66B
Net Income7.81B7.58B6.30B5.43B5.83B7.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets701.00B692.35B678.32B663.49B674.80B573.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments217.33B137.73B142.87B130.56B125.59B161.31B
Total Debt79.22B77.93B73.52B66.76B71.05B43.92B
Total Liabilities634.75B626.69B619.28B607.72B623.57B517.90B
Stockholders Equity65.79B65.19B58.58B55.31B50.77B54.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.60B7.97B11.27B8.45B21.12B9.87B
Operating Cash Flow9.60B7.97B11.27B8.45B21.12B9.87B
Investing Cash Flow-23.34B-20.54B-24.53B18.93B7.50B-57.49B
Financing Cash Flow11.58B2.25B8.57B-19.72B-3.98B13.94B

US Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price56.93
Price Trends
50DMA
53.89
Negative
100DMA
54.64
Negative
200DMA
50.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.43
Positive
RSI
40.60
Neutral
STOCH
21.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 56.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.15, above the 50-day MA of 53.89, and above the 200-day MA of 50.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for USB.

US Bancorp Risk Analysis

US Bancorp disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. US Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

US Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$30.21B12.7110.25%2.76%-0.49%19.72%
72
Outperform
$23.02B10.0811.78%3.74%2.53%16.52%
71
Outperform
$82.97B10.3912.22%3.77%2.43%18.20%
71
Outperform
$85.82B12.1511.98%3.11%3.47%21.52%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$58.62B9.698.51%4.12%26.77%19.23%
66
Neutral
$43.45B58.088.86%3.14%7.12%-5.41%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
USB
US Bancorp
53.30
10.70
25.11%
TFC
Truist Financial
46.77
7.85
20.18%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
47.60
9.88
26.21%
MTB
M&T Bank
206.56
26.26
14.57%
PNC
PNC Financial
213.27
41.57
24.21%
RF
Regions Financial
26.84
5.50
25.74%

US Bancorp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
U.S. Bancorp Shareholders Reaffirm Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
Apr 23, 2026
At its annual meeting of shareholders held on April 21, 2026, U.S. Bancorp investors elected all twelve nominated directors to one-year terms ending at the 2027 annual meeting, reaffirming the current board composition and leadership structure. Th...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
U.S. Bancorp Delivers Strong First-Quarter 2026 Earnings
Positive
Apr 16, 2026
U.S. Bancorp reported first-quarter 2026 results showing net revenue of $7.29 billion, net income of $1.95 billion and diluted EPS of $1.18, up 15% year over year, driven by 4.1% growth in net interest income and 6.9% growth in fee revenue. The ba...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
U.S. Bancorp Updates Financial Reporting and Segment Presentation
Positive
Apr 8, 2026
Effective January 1, 2026, U.S. Bancorp reclassified several revenue lines and loan portfolios in its Consolidated Statement of Income and Balance Sheet to better align reporting with how it manages its businesses, without changing previously repo...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
U.S. Bancorp Launches New Medium-Term Note Program
Positive
Mar 9, 2026
On March 9, 2026, U.S. Bancorp established a new medium-term note program that allows it to issue Series EE senior notes and Series FF subordinated notes under existing indentures with Citibank, N.A. as trustee. The notes are registered with the S...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026