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PNC Financial (PNC)
NYSE:PNC

PNC Financial (PNC) AI Stock Analysis

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PNC

PNC Financial

(NYSE:PNC)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$231.00
▲(3.48% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
The score is led by constructive technical trends and supportive valuation, reinforced by upbeat 2026 guidance and ongoing buybacks. The main drag is financial-statement quality—particularly the latest-period cash flow recorded as zero and a 2025 revenue decline—alongside near-term integration and credit headwinds.
Positive Factors
Shareholder capital returns
A sustained, multi-quarter buyback program signals durable excess capital generation and management confidence. Regular repurchases lower share count, support EPS growth and provide a reliable component of shareholder returns while the bank executes organic growth and strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Cash-flow visibility concern
A zero reported operating and free cash flow in the latest period undermines clarity around actual cash generation. This creates uncertainty for funding buybacks, capital investments and loss-absorption capacity until underlying classification or timing drivers are reconciled in subsequent reporting.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Shareholder capital returns
A sustained, multi-quarter buyback program signals durable excess capital generation and management confidence. Regular repurchases lower share count, support EPS growth and provide a reliable component of shareholder returns while the bank executes organic growth and strategic investments.
Read all positive factors

PNC Financial (PNC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PNC Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. operates as a diversified financial services company in the United States. The company's Retail Banking segment offers checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit; residen...
How the Company Makes Money
PNC primarily earns revenue from a mix of net interest income and noninterest income. Net interest income is generated by taking deposits and other funding sources and lending or investing those funds, earning interest on loans (e.g., commercial a...

PNC Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Deposits
Deposits
Measures the total amount of client deposits, providing insight into the bank's liquidity and funding base. Strong deposit growth can indicate customer trust and a stable source of low-cost capital.
Chart InsightsPNC Financial's deposits have shown a modest recovery in recent quarters, aligning with the 2% increase reported in the latest earnings call, reaching an average of $432 billion. This growth is supported by strategic branch expansions and acquisitions, such as the FirstBank deal. However, the earnings call highlighted pressures on net interest margins and potential economic uncertainties, which could impact future deposit growth. Despite these challenges, PNC's strategic initiatives and strong credit quality provide a solid foundation for navigating potential headwinds.
Data provided by:The Fly

PNC Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 16, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a broadly positive outlook: PNC reported record revenue, strong full-year EPS growth (21%), improved tangible book value (+18% YoY), healthy credit metrics, and an accretive strategic acquisition (FirstBank) with clear integration plans. Management provided confident 2026 guidance (loans +8%, total revenue +11%, NII +14%) and a target of ~400 bps positive operating leverage while maintaining aggressive investment in technology and branches. Near-term headwinds include $325M of integration costs, elevated Q1 net charge-off guidance (~$200M), mortgage revenue softness, and execution risk around higher absolute investment spending. On balance, the positive results, strong capital returns, accretive acquisition, and constructive guidance outweigh the manageable lowlights.
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Financial Performance
Net income for FY2025 of $7.0 billion; diluted EPS $16.59, up 21% year-over-year; total revenue up $1.5 billion or 7% vs. 2024; PPNR growth 15% and 5% positive operating leverage for the year.
Negative Updates
Integration and One-Time Costs from FirstBank
Estimated nonrecurring merger and integration costs of ~ $325 million (majority recognized in 2026), representing near-term expense pressure as the businesses are combined.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Full-Year Financial Performance
Net income for FY2025 of $7.0 billion; diluted EPS $16.59, up 21% year-over-year; total revenue up $1.5 billion or 7% vs. 2024; PPNR growth 15% and 5% positive operating leverage for the year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
PNC guided to strong 2026 growth with full-year average loan growth of ~8%, total revenue up ~11% (net interest income +14%, noninterest income +6%), noninterest expense up ~7% excluding an estimated $325 million of FirstBank integration costs, an effective tax rate of ~19.5% and roughly 400 basis points of positive operating leverage (nearly all on a PNC standalone basis); FirstBank is expected to be fully integrated by year‑end, reduce CET1 by ~40 bps (near‑term CET1 target ~10%), add roughly $1.00 per share to 2027, and drive an IRR of ~25%; quarter‑by‑quarter guidance for Q1 2026 includes average loans up ~5%, NII up ~6%, fee income down 1–2%, other noninterest income $150–200 million, total revenue up 2–3%, noninterest expense (ex‑integration) up ~4%, and first‑quarter net charge‑offs of about $200 million, while capital return is expected to continue with quarterly buybacks of $600–700 million.

PNC Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and returns are solid and leverage improved (debt-to-equity down; ROE ~11.4%), but 2025 revenue contraction and especially the latest-period cash flow showing operating/FCF recorded as $0 materially reduce confidence in near-term cash-generation visibility.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.34B33.69B31.90B23.54B19.70B
Gross Profit22.46B20.01B20.75B20.64B19.99B
EBITDA8.58B7.50B6.95B8.12B8.76B
Net Income6.94B5.89B5.58B6.04B5.67B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets573.57B560.04B561.58B557.26B557.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.71B55.64B92.51B78.52B213.79B
Total Debt57.10B61.67B72.74B58.71B33.00B
Total Liabilities512.94B505.57B510.44B511.45B501.46B
Stockholders Equity60.59B54.42B51.10B45.77B55.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.45B7.88B10.11B9.08B7.21B
Operating Cash Flow9.45B7.88B10.11B9.08B7.21B
Investing Cash Flow-20.68B-3.23B10.11B-60.36B-2.79B
Financing Cash Flow4.70B-9.12B-3.85B3.38B-3.43B

PNC Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price223.23
Price Trends
50DMA
217.28
Positive
100DMA
210.91
Positive
200DMA
200.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.14
Negative
RSI
68.64
Neutral
STOCH
93.87
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PNC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 223.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 206.96, above the 50-day MA of 217.28, and above the 200-day MA of 200.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PNC.

PNC Financial Risk Analysis

PNC Financial disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PNC Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PNC Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$90.08B10.1811.88%3.11%1.79%30.93%
69
Neutral
$33.67B11.6110.06%3.50%5.73%38.39%
69
Neutral
$33.23B11.549.88%2.76%-0.81%20.34%
69
Neutral
$86.01B10.9512.12%3.77%2.91%33.77%
68
Neutral
$45.29B12.3311.96%3.14%0.15%11.62%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
$63.06B11.758.15%4.12%22.02%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PNC
PNC Financial
223.23
76.42
52.05%
TFC
Truist Financial
50.48
16.48
48.46%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
50.22
17.56
53.78%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
16.59
4.18
33.66%
MTB
M&T Bank
222.99
69.77
45.53%
USB
US Bancorp
56.33
20.60
57.64%

PNC Financial Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
PNC Financial Completes $3 Billion Multi-Tranche Debt Offering
Positive
Jan 26, 2026
On January 26, 2026, The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. completed a multi-tranche public debt offering totaling $3 billion, consisting of $1.5 billion of 5.423% Fixed-Rate Reset Subordinated Notes due 2041, $1.2 billion of 4.075% Fixed Rate/Fl...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
PNC Financial Posts Record 2025 Results, Closes FirstBank Deal
Positive
Jan 16, 2026
On January 16, 2026, PNC reported that it delivered record results for full-year 2025, with net income of $7.0 billion, or $16.59 per diluted share, driven by record total revenue underpinned by record net interest income and record noninterest (f...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
PNC Financial completes FirstBank acquisition and preferred issuance
Positive
Jan 5, 2026
On January 5, 2026, PNC Financial Services Group completed its acquisition of FirstBank Holding Company and its banking subsidiary FirstBank, after receiving all required regulatory approvals and satisfying customary closing conditions, in a deal ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026