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PNC Financial (PNC)
NYSE:PNC
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PNC Financial (PNC) AI Stock Analysis

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PNC

PNC Financial

(NYSE:PNC)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$249.00
â–²(10.76% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:04/25/26
The score is driven primarily by solid profitability and improving leverage plus constructive 2026 guidance and strong technical momentum. These positives are tempered by the latest period’s cash flow visibility issue (operating/free cash flow shown as $0) and near-term integration, capital, and credit-related pressures.
Positive Factors
Scale and Loan Growth from Acquisition
The FirstBank deal meaningfully expands PNC’s loan and deposit base, boosting scale and low-cost funding. Larger deposit funding and higher loan volumes support durable net interest income, diversify regional footprint, and provide a structural boost to core banking earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Visibility Weakness
A reported $0 operating/free cash flow in 2025 creates a near-term visibility gap into cash conversion and internal funding capacity. Even if classification-driven, this disrupts confidence in cash generation needed for loan growth funding, buybacks, and cushion against credit stress until clearer cash metrics resume.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Scale and Loan Growth from Acquisition
The FirstBank deal meaningfully expands PNC’s loan and deposit base, boosting scale and low-cost funding. Larger deposit funding and higher loan volumes support durable net interest income, diversify regional footprint, and provide a structural boost to core banking earnings over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

PNC Financial (PNC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PNC Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. operates as a diversified financial services company in the United States. The company's Retail Banking segment offers checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit; residen...
How the Company Makes Money
PNC primarily earns revenue from a mix of net interest income and noninterest income. Net interest income is generated by taking deposits and other funding sources and lending or investing those funds, earning interest on loans (e.g., commercial a...

PNC Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Deposits
Deposits
Measures the total amount of client deposits, providing insight into the bank's liquidity and funding base. Strong deposit growth can indicate customer trust and a stable source of low-cost capital.
Chart InsightsDeposits have moved from a pandemic-driven peak into a multi-year normalization and recently stabilized—management’s reported average deposit level confirms that recovery—giving PNC the core funding to pursue its ~8% loan growth target, aggressive buybacks, and the FirstBank acquisition. FirstBank will add deposit franchise but reduces CET1 by ~40 bps and brings integration costs, so watch deposit mix and pricing: funding rebalancing to support loan growth or buybacks could pressure NII even as top-line revenue expands.
Data provided by:The Fly

PNC Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 15, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong balance sheet growth (including the FirstBank acquisition), robust loan growth and NII expansion, double-digit fee income growth year-over-year, solid credit metrics and active capital returns, supported by a favorable initial assessment of proposed Basel III changes. Offsetting items included short-term declines in noninterest income (notably mortgage MSR volatility), integration costs and modest increases in delinquencies and charge-offs. Management maintained constructive guidance for 2026 and reiterated confidence in the low-risk profile of NDFI-related exposures.
Positive Updates
Completed FirstBank Acquisition and Balance Sheet Expansion
Closed acquisition of FirstBank in Q1 2026, adding approximately $15 billion in loans and $22 billion in deposits; average loans rose to $351 billion, up $23 billion (7%) linked quarter and $34 billion (11%) year-over-year; spot loans were up 9% from year-end (including the acquisition and $14 billion legacy growth).
Negative Updates
Linked-Quarter Decline in Noninterest Income and Mortgage Revenue
Noninterest income decreased $136 million, or 6% linked quarter; mortgage revenue fell $30 million, or 20% linked quarter, largely due to a $31 million decline in MSR valuations amid heightened rate volatility.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Completed FirstBank Acquisition and Balance Sheet Expansion
Closed acquisition of FirstBank in Q1 2026, adding approximately $15 billion in loans and $22 billion in deposits; average loans rose to $351 billion, up $23 billion (7%) linked quarter and $34 billion (11%) year-over-year; spot loans were up 9% from year-end (including the acquisition and $14 billion legacy growth).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
PNC's guidance for 2Q 2026 calls for average loans up 2–3%, net interest income up about 3%, fee income up 2.5%, other noninterest income of $150–$200 million and total revenue up roughly 3.5%, with noninterest expense (ex‑integration) up ~2% and expected net charge‑offs of about $225 million; for full‑year 2026 versus 2025 management expects average loan growth of ~11%, full‑year net interest income up ~14.5%, noninterest income up ~6%, total revenue up ~11%, noninterest expense (ex‑integration) up ~7%, an effective tax rate of ~19.5% and ~$325 million of nonrecurring merger/integration costs (of which $98 million was recognized in Q1 and ~ $150 million is expected in Q2); Q1 averages were $351 billion loans and $458 billion deposits, Q1 NIM was 2.95% (up 11 bps) with management targeting NIM >3% in the back half, estimated CET1 of 10.1% (down 50 bps linked quarter), anticipated RWA relief under the Basel III proposal of ~10% (~$45–$50 billion), and ongoing capital return with quarterly buybacks expected in the $600–$700 million range (Q1 returned $1.4 billion: ~$700 million dividends and ~$700 million repurchases); macro assumptions include ~1.9% GDP growth in 2026, unemployment drifting to ~4.6% by year‑end, and no Fed cuts in 2026.

PNC Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and ROE improved and leverage trended better (lower debt-to-equity), but 2025 revenue declined and the latest cash flow data showing operating/free cash flow at $0 materially weakens confidence in near-term cash generation visibility.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.34B33.69B31.90B23.54B19.70B
Gross Profit22.46B20.01B20.75B20.64B19.99B
EBITDA8.58B7.50B6.95B8.12B8.76B
Net Income6.94B5.89B5.58B6.04B5.67B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets573.57B560.04B561.58B557.26B557.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.39B55.64B92.51B78.52B213.79B
Total Debt57.10B61.67B72.74B58.71B33.00B
Total Liabilities512.94B505.57B510.44B511.45B501.46B
Stockholders Equity60.59B54.42B51.10B45.77B55.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.45B7.88B10.11B9.08B7.21B
Operating Cash Flow9.45B7.88B10.11B9.08B7.21B
Investing Cash Flow-20.68B-3.23B10.11B-60.36B-2.79B
Financing Cash Flow4.70B-9.12B-3.85B3.38B-3.43B

PNC Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price224.81
Price Trends
50DMA
215.05
Positive
100DMA
211.82
Positive
200DMA
200.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.69
Negative
RSI
68.13
Neutral
STOCH
78.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PNC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 224.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 211.71, above the 50-day MA of 215.05, and above the 200-day MA of 200.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PNC.

PNC Financial Risk Analysis

PNC Financial disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PNC Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PNC Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$87.19B10.3912.22%3.77%3.87%18.20%
72
Outperform
$32.12B12.7110.25%2.76%-0.24%19.76%
71
Outperform
$88.22B12.1511.98%3.11%3.51%21.52%
71
Outperform
$45.09B58.088.86%3.14%7.66%-5.41%
71
Outperform
$33.23B13.988.82%3.50%9.60%0.60%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$63.27B9.698.51%4.12%26.83%19.23%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PNC
PNC Financial
218.71
62.96
40.42%
TFC
Truist Financial
50.65
13.83
37.57%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
49.79
14.95
42.91%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
16.31
2.23
15.85%
MTB
M&T Bank
215.54
49.69
29.96%
USB
US Bancorp
56.17
17.32
44.58%

PNC Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
PNC Financial Shareholders Approve 2026 Equity Incentive Plan
Positive
Apr 24, 2026
On April 22, 2026, PNC shareholders approved the company’s 2026 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan, authorizing 28 million new common shares plus unused shares from the prior 2016 plan for a broad range of equity- and cash-based awards to employe...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
PNC Financial Reports Strong First-Quarter 2026 Results
Positive
Apr 15, 2026
On April 15, 2026, PNC reported solid first-quarter 2026 results, highlighting the successful January 5 closing of its FirstBank acquisition, which helped drive a 7% linked-quarter and 11% year-over-year rise in average loans and a 4% increase in ...
Private Placements and Financing
PNC Financial Completes $3 Billion Multi-Tranche Debt Offering
Positive
Jan 26, 2026
On January 26, 2026, The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. completed a multi-tranche public debt offering totaling $3 billion, consisting of $1.5 billion of 5.423% Fixed-Rate Reset Subordinated Notes due 2041, $1.2 billion of 4.075% Fixed Rate/Fl...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 25, 2026