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PNC Financial (PNC)
NYSE:PNC
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PNC Financial (PNC) AI Stock Analysis

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PNC

PNC Financial

(NYSE:PNC)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$220.00
▲(12.82% Upside)
PNC Financial's strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are the most significant factors driving the score. The technical analysis and valuation provide additional support, indicating a stable outlook with potential for growth. Economic uncertainty and fee income challenges are minor concerns.
Positive Factors
Earnings
PNC reported better results than expected with core earnings per share and stronger core revenue.
Financial Performance
PNC Financial Services continues to stand out as one of the more compelling NII growth stories in the sector and momentum is expected to carry into 2026.
Loan Growth
C&I loan growth is a bright spot at +4% driven by line utilization ahead of tariff increase and new production from share gains in fast-growth markets.
Negative Factors
Economic Outlook
Increased economic uncertainty has weighed on projected fee income for the year.
Valuation
PNC shares have now surpassed the last published price target, leading to a more neutral stance on valuation.
Valuation Comparison
There is relatively less upside potential in PNC compared to outperform-rated banks that generate higher returns.

PNC Financial (PNC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PNC Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. operates as a diversified financial services company in the United States. The company's Retail Banking segment offers checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit; residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, auto loans, credit cards, education loans, and personal and small business loans and lines of credit; and brokerage, insurance, and investment and cash management services. This segment serves consumer and small business customers through a network of branches, ATMs, call centers, and online and mobile banking channels. Its Corporate & Institutional Banking segment provides secured and unsecured loans, letters of credit, and equipment leases; cash and investment management services, receivables and disbursement management services, funds transfer services, international payment services, and access to online/mobile information management and reporting; foreign exchange, derivatives, fixed income, securities underwriting, loan syndications, and mergers and acquisitions and equity capital markets advisory related services; and commercial loan servicing and technology solutions. It serves mid-sized and large corporations, and government and not-for-profit entities. The company's Asset Management Group segment offers investment and retirement planning, customized investment management, credit and cash management solutions, and trust management and administration services for high net worth and ultra high net worth individuals, and their families; and multi-generational family planning services for ultra high net worth individuals and their families. It also provides outsourced chief investment officer, custody, private real estate, cash and fixed income client solutions, and fiduciary retirement advisory services for institutional clients. The company has 2,591 branches and 9,502 ATMs. The company was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyPNC generates revenue primarily through its diverse banking services, which include net interest income and non-interest income. Net interest income comes from the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits. The company issues various loans—such as personal loans, mortgages, and commercial loans—which contribute significantly to this income stream. Non-interest income is derived from fees for services like asset management, treasury management, and investment banking. Additionally, PNC earns revenue from wealth management services and investment advisory fees. The bank also has strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base, further contributing to its earnings.

PNC Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Deposits
Deposits
Measures the total amount of client deposits, providing insight into the bank's liquidity and funding base. Strong deposit growth can indicate customer trust and a stable source of low-cost capital.
Chart InsightsPNC Financial's deposits have shown a gradual decline since mid-2022, reflecting broader industry trends of deposit outflows. However, the recent earnings call highlights a $2 billion increase in deposit balances, suggesting a stabilization or potential reversal in this trend. This is supported by PNC's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, including technology investments and cost reductions, which may enhance customer retention. Despite challenges in commercial real estate and mortgage sectors, PNC's robust capital position and positive outlook for loan growth and net interest income signal resilience and potential for future deposit growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

PNC Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 17, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.55%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in the second quarter with significant achievements in income growth, capital management, and customer expansion. However, there are concerns related to economic uncertainty, fee income guidance, and the sustainability of loan growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Second Quarter Performance
PNC reported net income of $1.6 billion or $3.85 per diluted share with a 4% increase in revenue and 10% PPNR growth. The company also achieved a 2% loan growth, driven by strong commercial loan growth.
Capital Management and Shareholder Returns
PNC maintained a regulatory minimum stress capital buffer of 2.5% and increased its common dividend by 6%. The company returned approximately $1 billion of capital to shareholders, which included $640 million in common dividends and $335 million of share repurchases.
Investment in Expansion and Customer Growth
PNC continued its national growth strategy, with significant expansion in consumer checking accounts growing by 2% year over year, including 6% growth in the Southwest. The company is on track with its $1.5 billion branch investment plan.
Positive Asset Management and Credit Trends
The asset management business showed positive net flows and a 16% increase in new client acquisition. Credit quality remained strong with improvements in non-performing loans, delinquencies, and charge-offs.
Optimistic Economic and Revenue Outlook
For the full year 2025, PNC expects average loans to be up approximately 1%, with full-year net interest income to increase approximately 7%. The company anticipates continued economic growth with real GDP growth of approximately 1.5%.
Negative Updates
Economic Uncertainty Impacts Fee Guidance
PNC revised its non-interest income guidance down from 5% growth to 4%-5% due to economic uncertainty and soft spots in corporate spending activity and mortgage revenue.
Challenges in Loan Growth Sustainability
While loan growth was strong in the second quarter, there is uncertainty about its sustainability, particularly in relation to tariff impacts and utilization rates.
Potential Rate Pressure on Deposits
PNC anticipates that deposit rates may increase slightly due to mix-oriented changes, although the increase is not expected to be significant.
Company Guidance
During PNC's 2025 second-quarter earnings call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting a positive outlook for the remainder of the year. PNC anticipates full-year 2025 average loan growth of approximately 1%, revising its previous guidance of stable growth. The company also expects net interest income to increase by about 7%, up from the prior guidance of 6% to 7%, driven by a favorable asset repricing environment and strong loan production. Non-interest income is projected to rise by 4% to 5%, slightly down from the initial expectation of a 5% increase, due to heightened economic uncertainty. Overall, PNC aims for a total revenue growth of around 6% for the year, maintaining a disciplined approach to managing non-interest expenses, which are expected to rise by approximately 1%. The effective tax rate is projected to be around 19%. For the third quarter of 2025, PNC forecasts average loans to increase by 1%, with net interest income and fee income both expected to grow by approximately 3% to 4%. Additionally, the company anticipates total revenue growth of 2% to 3% quarter-over-quarter and an increase in non-interest expenses by 2%. Expected net charge-offs for the third quarter are estimated to range between $275 million and $300 million.

PNC Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PNC Financial exhibits strong profitability metrics and a stable balance sheet, with effective cost management and cash flow generation. However, challenges remain with revenue growth and rising debt levels.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
PNC Financial demonstrated strong profitability with a stable gross profit margin reflecting consistent performance in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The net profit margin and EBIT margin remained robust, showcasing efficient cost management. However, revenue growth was slightly negative in the most recent annual report, indicating some challenges in expanding their top line.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a sound financial position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating balanced leverage. Return on equity is healthy, reflecting effective use of shareholders' funds to generate profit. The equity ratio is stable, showcasing adequate equity financing, though the rising debt levels warrant monitoring.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
PNC's cash flow statement highlights a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, implying efficient cash generation from operations. Free cash flow growth, however, has been inconsistent, suggesting potential volatility in capital expenditure or cash management strategies.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.69B31.90B23.54B19.70B18.26B
Gross Profit20.01B20.75B20.64B19.99B13.73B
EBITDA7.50B6.95B8.12B8.76B4.93B
Net Income5.89B5.58B6.04B5.67B7.52B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets560.04B561.58B557.26B557.19B466.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.64B92.51B78.52B213.79B179.55B
Total Debt61.67B72.74B58.71B33.00B39.29B
Total Liabilities505.57B510.44B511.45B501.46B412.64B
Stockholders Equity54.42B51.10B45.77B55.70B54.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.88B10.11B9.08B7.21B4.66B
Operating Cash Flow7.88B10.11B9.08B7.21B4.66B
Investing Cash Flow-3.23B10.11B-60.36B-2.79B-51.12B
Financing Cash Flow-9.12B-3.85B3.38B-3.43B48.42B

PNC Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price195.00
Price Trends
50DMA
188.85
Positive
100DMA
176.78
Positive
200DMA
183.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.91
Negative
RSI
58.74
Neutral
STOCH
72.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PNC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 195 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 191.54, above the 50-day MA of 188.85, and above the 200-day MA of 183.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PNC.

PNC Financial Risk Analysis

PNC Financial disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PNC Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PNC Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$75.61B13.1211.19%3.37%3.60%22.68%
78
Outperform
$28.31B13.3111.58%3.46%1.90%2.87%
76
Outperform
$71.76B11.0411.64%4.33%1.10%32.55%
75
Outperform
$24.66B11.3910.70%0.39%-2.09%-6.84%
75
Outperform
$29.80B12.359.47%2.80%0.69%14.79%
69
Neutral
$57.16B12.058.13%4.69%18.31%
67
Neutral
¥850.22B13.139.24%2.97%7.76%9.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PNC
PNC Financial
195.00
27.69
16.55%
TFC
Truist Financial
44.39
4.27
10.64%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
43.10
3.85
9.81%
FCNCA
First Citizens BancShares
1,931.34
-31.16
-1.59%
MTB
M&T Bank
193.18
34.85
22.01%
USB
US Bancorp
46.41
4.61
11.03%

PNC Financial Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
PNC Financial Completes $1.5 Billion Senior Notes Sale
Positive
Jul 21, 2025

On July 21, 2025, PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. successfully completed the sale of $1.5 billion in 5.373% Fixed Rate/Floating Rate Senior Notes due in 2036. This strategic financial move, executed with major financial institutions like Citigroup and Goldman Sachs, is expected to bolster PNC’s financial standing and potentially enhance its market position.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
PNC Financial Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, PNC Financial Services Group reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a net income of $1.6 billion and a 4% revenue growth. The company experienced its strongest loan growth since the fourth quarter of 2022, maintained stable noninterest expenses, and announced a dividend increase, reflecting its continued financial strength. PNC’s strategic priorities include expanding its client base and leveraging technology for superior client service, which contributed to record treasury management revenue and increased brokerage assets. The company also reported improved credit quality and maintained its stress capital buffer at the regulatory minimum.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025