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PNC Financial (PNC)
NYSE:PNC

PNC Financial (PNC) AI Stock Analysis

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PNC

PNC Financial

(NYSE:PNC)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$233.00
▲(10.64% Upside)
PNC Financial's overall score reflects strong earnings performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly the FirstBank acquisition. While technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, caution is warranted due to overbought signals. The valuation is fair, and the earnings call provided a positive outlook despite some challenges.
Positive Factors
Strategic Expansion
The acquisition of FirstBank expands PNC's presence in key regions, enhancing its capabilities in treasury management and digital banking, which strengthens its competitive position and growth prospects.
Strong Loan and Deposit Growth
Consistent growth in loans and deposits reflects PNC's robust customer base and market position, supporting future revenue generation and financial stability.
Stable Credit Quality
Maintaining low net charge-offs indicates effective risk management and strong credit quality, which supports long-term financial health and profitability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant revenue decline poses challenges to sustaining growth and profitability, potentially impacting long-term financial performance.
Pressure on Net Interest Margin
Decreasing net interest margins can reduce profitability, especially in a competitive banking environment, affecting future earnings potential.
Increased Non-Interest Expense
Rising non-interest expenses can pressure profit margins, requiring effective cost management to maintain financial performance over the long term.

PNC Financial (PNC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PNC Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. operates as a diversified financial services company in the United States. The company's Retail Banking segment offers checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit; residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, auto loans, credit cards, education loans, and personal and small business loans and lines of credit; and brokerage, insurance, and investment and cash management services. This segment serves consumer and small business customers through a network of branches, ATMs, call centers, and online and mobile banking channels. Its Corporate & Institutional Banking segment provides secured and unsecured loans, letters of credit, and equipment leases; cash and investment management services, receivables and disbursement management services, funds transfer services, international payment services, and access to online/mobile information management and reporting; foreign exchange, derivatives, fixed income, securities underwriting, loan syndications, and mergers and acquisitions and equity capital markets advisory related services; and commercial loan servicing and technology solutions. It serves mid-sized and large corporations, and government and not-for-profit entities. The company's Asset Management Group segment offers investment and retirement planning, customized investment management, credit and cash management solutions, and trust management and administration services for high net worth and ultra high net worth individuals, and their families; and multi-generational family planning services for ultra high net worth individuals and their families. It also provides outsourced chief investment officer, custody, private real estate, cash and fixed income client solutions, and fiduciary retirement advisory services for institutional clients. The company has 2,591 branches and 9,502 ATMs. The company was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyPNC generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans, fees from various banking services, and investment income. Key revenue streams include interest earned on commercial and consumer loans, mortgage origination fees, and service charges on deposit accounts. Additionally, PNC benefits from wealth management fees and asset management services. The bank has established significant partnerships, including collaborations with fintech companies, which enhance its service offerings and customer reach. Market factors such as interest rate fluctuations and economic conditions also play a critical role in influencing its overall earnings.

PNC Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Deposits
Deposits
Measures the total amount of client deposits, providing insight into the bank's liquidity and funding base. Strong deposit growth can indicate customer trust and a stable source of low-cost capital.
Chart InsightsPNC Financial's deposits have shown a gradual decline since mid-2022, reflecting broader industry trends of deposit outflows. However, the recent earnings call highlights a $2 billion increase in deposit balances, suggesting a stabilization or potential reversal in this trend. This is supported by PNC's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, including technology investments and cost reductions, which may enhance customer retention. Despite challenges in commercial real estate and mortgage sectors, PNC's robust capital position and positive outlook for loan growth and net interest income signal resilience and potential for future deposit growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

PNC Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 15, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
PNC demonstrated strong financial performance with record revenue and net income, driven by solid growth in loans and deposits and strategic acquisitions. However, challenges such as a decline in commercial real estate loans, pressure on net interest margin, and increased expenses were noted. The company remains optimistic about future growth, but there is cautiousness regarding economic uncertainties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Net Income
PNC reported record revenue of $5.9 billion, up 4% from the previous quarter, and net income of $1.8 billion or $4.35 per share.
Strong Loan and Deposit Growth
Loans grew by $3 billion or 1% to $326 billion, and deposit balances increased by $9 billion or 2% to $432 billion.
Expansion and Strategic Acquisitions
PNC plans to open 25 new branches by the end of the year and complete over 200 branch builds by 2029. The acquisition of FirstBank will triple PNC's branch footprint in Colorado and add presence in Arizona.
Positive Operating Leverage
The company delivered more than 200 basis points of positive operating leverage and record PPNR of $2.5 billion.
Strong Non-Interest Income Growth
Non-interest income rose by 8% to $2.3 billion, driven by a 9% increase in fee income and a 35% rise in capital markets and advisory revenue.
Stable Credit Quality
The net charge-off ratio remains low at 22 basis points, and provision for credit losses decreased to $167 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Commercial Real Estate Loans
Commercial real estate loan balances declined by $1 billion or 3% as PNC continues to reduce certain exposures.
Pressure on Net Interest Margin
The net interest margin decreased by one basis point to 2.79%, primarily due to a shift in deposit mix with increased commercial deposits.
Anticipated Decline in Fourth-Quarter Revenue
Total revenue is expected to be stable to down 1% in the fourth quarter due to the anticipated decrease in fee income and the effect of delayed Fed rate cuts.
Increased Non-Interest Expense
Non-interest expenses rose by 2% due to higher personnel costs and increased investment in technology and branches.
Uncertainty in Economic Outlook
Potential downside risks in the U.S. economy exist, despite overall resilience in consumer spending and cautious optimism from corporate clients.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc., the company provided robust guidance for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025. PNC reported net income of $1.8 billion, translating to $4.35 per share. The quarter showcased significant growth across various metrics, including a 1% increase in loans to $326 billion, a 2% rise in investment securities to $144 billion, and a 2% increase in deposits, which averaged $432 billion. The net charge-off ratio remained low at 22 basis points, indicating strong credit quality. The company achieved a record revenue of $5.9 billion, up 4%, and a record pre-provision net revenue (PPNR) of $2.5 billion. PNC's net interest income grew by 3% to $3.6 billion, while non-interest income increased by 8% to $2.3 billion. The tangible book value per common share improved by 4% quarter-over-quarter to $107.84. Looking ahead, PNC expects total revenue to be stable to down by 1% for the year, with net interest income up approximately 1.5% and fee income down approximately 3% due to elevated levels in the third quarter. The company also plans to open more than 25 new branches by year-end and remains on track to complete over 200 branch builds by 2029.

PNC Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PNC Financial exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with a reasonable debt level, although vigilance is required due to potential economic fluctuations. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting the company's operational and strategic initiatives. While there are areas for improvement, such as enhancing cash conversion efficiency, the company's financial position is sound and well-managed.
Income Statement
72
Positive
PNC Financial demonstrates strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trend in total revenue over the years, highlighted by a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.31%. The company maintains healthy profitability margins, with a gross profit margin of 62.74% and a net profit margin of 18.34% in the TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, indicating efficient operational management. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from previous periods suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05 in the TTM period, showing improvement from previous years. Return on equity remains strong at 11.08%, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the relatively high level of total debt could pose risks if interest rates rise or if there is an economic downturn.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
PNC Financial's cash flow statement shows positive trends, with a notable 7.93% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, which may indicate challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0 suggests that the company is effectively generating cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.80B33.69B31.90B23.54B19.70B18.26B
Gross Profit21.80B20.01B20.75B20.64B19.99B13.73B
EBITDA8.32B7.50B6.95B8.12B8.76B4.93B
Net Income6.53B5.89B5.58B6.04B5.67B7.52B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets568.77B560.04B561.58B557.26B557.19B466.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments107.17B55.64B92.51B78.52B213.79B179.55B
Total Debt62.34B61.67B72.74B58.71B33.00B39.29B
Total Liabilities509.73B505.57B510.44B511.45B501.46B412.64B
Stockholders Equity58.99B54.42B51.10B45.77B55.70B54.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.43B7.88B10.11B9.08B7.21B4.66B
Operating Cash Flow5.43B7.88B10.11B9.08B7.21B4.66B
Investing Cash Flow-6.37B-3.23B10.11B-60.36B-2.79B-51.12B
Financing Cash Flow-1.37B-9.12B-3.85B3.38B-3.43B48.42B

PNC Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price210.59
Price Trends
50DMA
188.20
Positive
100DMA
192.38
Positive
200DMA
181.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.79
Negative
RSI
78.42
Negative
STOCH
93.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PNC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 210.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 193.39, above the 50-day MA of 188.20, and above the 200-day MA of 181.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.42 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PNC.

PNC Financial Risk Analysis

PNC Financial disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PNC Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PNC Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$27.65B12.3410.37%3.48%5.73%38.39%
76
Outperform
$31.45B12.619.60%2.80%-0.81%20.34%
76
Outperform
$83.26B12.2611.69%3.77%2.91%33.77%
71
Outperform
$31.43B14.2211.52%3.14%0.15%11.62%
71
Outperform
$63.40B13.297.98%4.17%22.02%
71
Outperform
$81.17B13.3611.31%3.13%1.79%30.93%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PNC
PNC Financial
210.59
17.22
8.91%
TFC
Truist Financial
49.89
6.73
15.59%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
48.15
4.16
9.46%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
17.82
1.21
7.28%
MTB
M&T Bank
203.84
10.00
5.16%
USB
US Bancorp
53.42
4.27
8.69%

PNC Financial Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
PNC Financial Receives Approval for FirstBank Acquisition
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, PNC Financial Services Group announced it received regulatory approvals to complete its acquisition of FirstBank Holding Company, with the transaction expected to close on January 5, 2026. This acquisition marks a significant milestone for PNC, expanding its presence in the Rocky Mountain region and the Southwest, and integrating FirstBank’s operations into PNC’s national platform, enhancing its treasury management, payments, and digital banking capabilities.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
PNC Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a net income of $1.8 billion and earnings per share of $4.35. The company achieved record revenue driven by increased net interest income and fee growth, while maintaining well-controlled expenses. PNC also announced an agreement to acquire FirstBank, which is expected to accelerate growth in strategic markets. The company demonstrated strong credit quality and increased liquidity and capital positions, with significant growth in loans and deposits.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 12, 2025