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Horace Mann Educators Corp. (HMN)
NYSE:HMN

Horace Mann Educators (HMN) AI Stock Analysis

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HMN

Horace Mann Educators

(NYSE:HMN)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$52.00
▲(15.10% Upside)
Horace Mann Educators receives a strong overall score driven by solid financial performance, attractive valuation, and a highly positive earnings call. The company's strategic initiatives and robust execution further bolster its position, despite minor challenges in auto retention and elevated expenses.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow management enhances liquidity and operational flexibility, ensuring the company can invest in growth opportunities.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships enhance brand engagement and customer acquisition, strengthening market position in the education sector.
Negative Factors
Decreased Auto Retention
Decreased auto retention may indicate customer dissatisfaction or competitive pressures, potentially impacting future revenue stability.
Elevated Expense Levels
Higher expenses due to growth investments could pressure margins, affecting short-term profitability and requiring careful cost management.
Equity Structure
A relatively low equity ratio suggests limited financial buffer, which could constrain the company's ability to absorb financial shocks.

Horace Mann Educators (HMN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Horace Mann Educators Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHorace Mann Educators Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an insurance holding company in the United States. It operates in three segments: Property & Casualty, Life & Retirement, and Supplemental & Group Benefits. The company underwrites and markets personal lines of property and casualty insurance, including personal lines auto and property insurance products; supplemental insurance products, which include cancer, heart, hospital, supplemental disability, and accident coverages; retirement products, such as tax-qualified fixed and variable annuities; and life insurance products comprising whole life and term, as well as indexed universal life insurance products. It also offers student loan solutions, including online student loan management accounts for educators. The company markets its products through its sales force of full-time exclusive agents to K-12 teachers, administrators, and other employees of public schools and their families. Horace Mann Educators Corporation was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Springfield, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyHorace Mann generates revenue primarily through the sale of insurance policies, which include property and casualty insurance, life insurance, and annuities. The company earns premiums from policyholders, which constitute a key revenue stream. Additionally, HMN generates income from investment products, where it invests the premiums received until claims are paid. The company also benefits from fees associated with managing retirement plans and investment products. Significant partnerships with educational institutions and organizations enhance its market reach and customer base, contributing to its overall earnings.

Horace Mann Educators Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a very strong performance with record EPS, increased guidance, strong segment performances, and significant strategic growth initiatives. Despite minor challenges such as decreased auto retention and elevated expenses due to growth investments, the overall sentiment is highly positive due to the company's robust execution and strategic positioning.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Third Quarter Core EPS
Horace Mann reported record third quarter core EPS of $1.36, a 64% increase over the prior year.
Significant Increase in Full Year Core EPS Guidance
The company raised its full year core EPS guidance to a range of $4.50 to $4.70.
Strong Performance Across All Segments
Business profitability across all segments is in line with or above target levels, with total revenues for the quarter up 6% and net premiums and contract charges earned up over 7%.
Growth in Supplemental and Group Benefits Segment
Individual supplemental sales increased by 40%, and Group Benefits sales nearly doubled in the quarter.
Decreased Catastrophe Losses
Pretax catastrophe losses year-to-date were $56 million compared to $91 million last year, reflecting lighter severe weather activity.
Strategic Partnerships and Brand Engagement
New partnerships with Teach for America and Grand Canyon University, and increased brand awareness through events like Crayola Creativity Week.
Shareholder Value Creation
The company returned $20 million of capital to shareholders through share repurchases and $43 million through dividends.
Negative Updates
Decreased Household Retention in Auto
Household retention in auto decreased to 84% from the prior period.
Elevated Expense Levels
Expense levels are expected to be elevated in the near term as the company invests in growth and builds scale.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Horace Mann Educators achieved a record core EPS of $1.36, marking a 64% increase from the previous year. The company reported a 13.8% trailing 12-month core return on equity and increased its full-year core EPS guidance to a range of $4.50 to $4.70. Total revenues grew by 6% year-over-year, with net premiums and contract charges earned rising over 7%. The Supplemental and Group Benefits segment saw individual supplemental sales rise by 40%, while Group Benefits sales nearly doubled. Property and Casualty performance was strong, with a total combined ratio of 91.4% and an auto combined ratio of 96.4%, both aligning with targets. Property profitability was notable, with a combined ratio of 83.1%, well below the target of 90%. Year-to-date pretax catastrophe losses were $56 million, compared to $91 million the previous year. Life and Retirement segments benefited from strong net investment income, with the core new money yield exceeding book yield by more than 100 basis points. Horace Mann also focused on strategic investments, boosting brand engagement in the education sector and enhancing digital lead generation, which saw website visits increase by 120% year-over-year. The company remains committed to a 10% compound annual growth rate in core EPS and maintaining a 12% to 13% core return on equity by 2028.

Horace Mann Educators Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Horace Mann Educators presents a solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth and strong profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with manageable leverage, while cash flow metrics highlight effective cash management. Continued focus on operational efficiency and equity strengthening could further enhance financial health.
Income Statement
Horace Mann Educators shows a consistent revenue growth trend with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.59%. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 50.50% and a net profit margin of 8.74% in the TTM period, indicating strong profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, while positive, suggest room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40 in the TTM period reflects a moderate level of leverage, which is manageable. Return on equity stands at 10.62%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 9.30% indicates a stable financial structure, though there is potential to strengthen equity further.
Cash Flow
Horace Mann Educators demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of 119.80% in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0 indicates efficient conversion of net income into free cash flow, supporting liquidity and operational flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.60B1.55B1.43B1.34B1.25B1.29B
Gross Profit558.50M478.40M356.80M332.50M409.00M416.10M
EBITDA266.10M189.60M109.20M63.50M242.40M198.20M
Net Income164.10M102.80M45.00M19.80M170.40M133.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.49B14.49B14.05B13.31B14.38B13.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments674.90M513.30M5.49B5.41B6.72B6.71B
Total Debt842.90M547.00M546.00M498.00M502.60M437.30M
Total Liabilities14.05B13.20B12.87B12.21B12.58B11.68B
Stockholders Equity1.44B1.29B1.18B1.10B1.81B1.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow616.80M452.10M302.10M171.50M204.90M259.80M
Operating Cash Flow616.80M452.10M302.10M171.50M204.90M259.80M
Investing Cash Flow-239.00M-135.80M-107.40M-214.60M-302.00M-406.76M
Financing Cash Flow-115.10M-307.90M-207.80M-47.80M208.50M143.78M

Horace Mann Educators Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price45.18
Price Trends
50DMA
45.27
Negative
100DMA
45.07
Positive
200DMA
43.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Positive
RSI
43.84
Neutral
STOCH
36.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HMN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 45.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.71, below the 50-day MA of 45.27, and above the 200-day MA of 43.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HMN.

Horace Mann Educators Risk Analysis

Horace Mann Educators disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Horace Mann Educators reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Horace Mann Educators Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.97B14.3916.06%22.51%2.19%
78
Outperform
$2.38B11.7431.94%0.82%8.71%17.26%
78
Outperform
$1.84B11.4512.03%3.01%5.44%58.05%
75
Outperform
$1.13B12.869.97%4.59%13.35%16.56%
74
Outperform
$2.09B19.487.08%2.88%16.22%69.80%
70
Neutral
$1.10B22.7417.02%38.50%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HMN
Horace Mann Educators
45.18
8.58
23.44%
SAFT
Safety Insurance Group
75.71
-1.11
-1.44%
STC
Stewart Information Services
69.99
6.07
9.50%
HCI
HCI Group
183.89
71.04
62.95%
ROOT
Root
70.90
-6.55
-8.46%
SKWD
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.
48.62
3.53
7.83%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025